Back to episode — Episode 970 Scott Adams - ObamaGate, COVID19 Fake News, Fake Polls and Fun
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o that you saw with your own eyes, you saw them laughing and saying well the winners get to write history, ha ha ha. You saw it with your own eyes. You saw Bill Barr walking like a duck, talking like a duck, quacking like a duck. How could you be wrong? He was just laughing at winning and ignoring the rule of law. You saw it with your own eyes. How could you be wrong? It's right there. Well, exce…
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So if I had to guess, I would say that rich Democrats wanted to keep their business in China, thought that Trump was a risk to that, and wanted to put the pressure on Russia instead. They always needed an enemy. So I guess they wanted Russia instead.
All right. Now there's one tantalizing bit that we're finding out that Molly Hemingway reports. That when Obama was having this meeting that we've just learned about early on, in which he was talking about the transition, that according to Molly Hemingway, Obama asked the people who would be leaving at the end of his administration, I think that was guys like Brennan and Clapper, to leave the meeting. And he kept only those two people who would be continuing on in the Trump administration, James Comey and then Deputy Attorney General Sally Yates.
And then Molly says that's where they started hatching their plan to make sure that the incoming administration would not find out what they had been doing. Is that in evidence? Is it in evidence that that's where they started hatching their plan to make sure that the incoming administration would not find out what they had been doing or what they had planned to continue doing in terms of spying on the Trump administration? Is that in evidence?
I would say I would need to see the documents in support of that. All right. Yeah, and I guess that's where we're at. So we're just interpreting that conversation as meaningful or not meaningful depending on who you are.
Here are some things affecting this coronavirus stuff. They're sneaking up on us. You know, I don't think we're gonna have any kind of a magic bullet for defeating the coronavirus. But there's a whole bunch of stuff that in little ways seem like they're gonna chip away at it until it's important. You hear all the things we're doing that probably will bring down the curve.
All right. So individually they're not very meaningful, but if you add them together. So we got the masks and the social distancing. No doubt that makes a difference. We now know that the nursing homes have to be extra protected and that should cut the deaths in half, wouldn't you think? If the only change we made was better protecting nursing homes, death rate gets cut in half. So we know we'll probably do that, right?
We, the hydroxychloroquine seems to have some, the fact it's not a magic pill but it does seem to help. So you got a little bit of that going on. The apparently the ventilator situation, we're getting smarter and not killing people with ventilators now. So if you were to simply subtract from our death toll all of the nursing home deaths, which we now know how to prevent, and also all of the ventilator-caused deaths, which are tragic. It happened when they thought ventilators would make things better but probably were making things worse and actually killing people.
So if you took away all the ventilator deaths that we now know better how to avoid with the nose cannulas and the proning people on their stomach and all that, the new techniques that they're using, those two changes alone might drop the number of deaths by half, wouldn't you say? And then you add on to that just knowledge that we have with the testing. You know, we can test better. And even knowing that I think the African-American community and especially men are getting whacked harder. And you can't directly turn that into action. It's hard to say we know which groups are getting affected and then directly turn that into something useful.
But I feel like we might be, I mean just the fact that if we know that the black population has twice as much problems in terms of outcomes, there might be some way to use that information productively to protect a group of people better than we're doing. So just the fact that we know more has given us tools to attack this thing.
And I think it has to be said that we probably have a pretty good chance of keeping the curve flat for a good while. The projections on death, at least one model has 137,000 by the end of August. Where is that compared to what you thought it would be? Of course we don't know if that's real yet. But comparing the 137,000 projected deaths from coronavirus, of which many of you suspect are being overcounted, to the regular flu deaths, which we now suspect are close to zero.
If you've missed that story, I talked about that. The doctor who looked into how we count regular flu, it turns out the way we count the number of people who die from the regular annual flu is we don't count them. That's it. Nobody's ever counted it. We don't count how many people died of the regular flu. It's determined by an algorithm. They've got some model. So basically we have no idea.
So it's not a coincidence that you don't know anybody who died of the regular flu, but you probably do know somebody or you know somebody knows somebody who died of coronavirus. Because you're saying, well if the numbers are somewhat comparable, why do I only hear about people dying from this one thing? And my whole life I've never heard of anybody dying from this other thing. Some of you have heard of people dying of the flu, but it's rare.
So the real number of people who die from the regular flu might be a few thousand every year. A few thousand. That's it. So you should be comparing, let's pick a number, let's say 5,000. So 5,000 for regular flu. That's probably the real number. The reason that it's inflated is so you'll get a shot, so you'll get a vaccine. Of course they want to scare you with
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the flu so you'll take it more seriously. So let's say that the new estimate is over 100,000 more deaths than the regular flu if you were to buy those projections. And I don't know that necessarily. What would you say? Oh, I changed my mind. I thought it was no worse than the flu when the information I was getting, which was flawed, was that the regular flu is 20 to 60,000. This one's gonna be ar…
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