never we talk about death rates for coronavirus, we're always talking about averages. And the averages are useful, but they could be misleading as well. And here's what I'm wondering. How many people in Trump's position, meaning they were diagnosed early so there was sufficient testing to catch it before the symptoms were bad, and they got the full suite of, let's call it the Trump protocol, every drug that Trump got, the same way that he got it, and let's say they were in their 70s and let's say they had one comorbidity, they had some extra pounds. How many people in that situation who were lucky enough to get treated as well as the president, which would be rare but we could get there, how many of those people would die? Because I'm starting to think that the number is so close to zero that we should just forget about it.

I mean, if we can get to the point where we can catch people early and give them exactly what Trump got and whatever else comes along, I feel as if vaccines are not going to be the answer. You know, one of my predictions I made months ago, which I haven't re-upped, but I think I'll do it now. I'm not sure we'll ever see vaccinations. I'm just not sure vaccines are going to be the answer. As other people have noted, we've never successfully made a coronavirus vaccine. So are you wondering why is it we've never been able to make one in the past, but now, you know, six or ten different companies suddenly can all make one, and they can make it all with different techniques? So suddenly the thing that was impossible every year until now is now so possible that you can do it ten different ways. There's something wrong, right? There's something terribly wrong with what we're being told.

Now maybe it was always possible and there was some financial or other reason it wasn't being done. Maybe it was a timing thing. Maybe those coronaviruses weren't so bad, so we didn't have to try so hard. But we're definitely not getting good information about what's going on in the world.

Have you seen the latest polls? It looks like the polls are starting to show Biden with a commanding lead. What do you think? Do you buy it? Apparently this is the same week in 2016 relative to election day, the same week that Hillary was at her maximum poll numbers. Now does that mean that this will go the way it went last time? Well, I certainly suspect that people are lying to pollsters, first of all. We'll see how much. But it's also true that this might be one of the president's worst weeks, wouldn't you say? And we also see that these numbers can swing wildly in one week. So what it is today is really not terribly predictive of what the election is going to be, as we know from 2016.

So I wouldn't worry yet. But if things don't change, it's not looking good. That's for sure.

All right, let's talk about persuasion and the strongest elements of persuasion to see if we can get a little visibility on what's going on here. As I've told you before, the strongest persuasion, especially for the presidency, is fear. You could pretty much predict that whoever does the best job of scaring voters in the way that they want to scare them, that's probably who's going to win the election. Fear is the big persuader. It's the one thing that'll get people off the fence. It's the one thing that'll make you show up to vote. And it'll certainly get you to switch parties if you're afraid. You might not do it for other reasons, but if you're afraid you might switch parties.

So let's look at the fear filter. So number one fear is COVID, right? So the Democrats quite wisely decided to focus on coronavirus as the primary push against President Trump. It works for two really good reasons. Number one, there's a general impression that he has not performed as well as he could. So they've got something to say about his performance. Now I of course have said that those opinions are probably ridiculous. It won't matter