hat the get out the vote was sort of separated in different teams and the teams that worked on young people didn't have much luck but the teams that worked on the older people were just really good at what they did. That could be possible couldn't it? But is it likely? Probably not.

So that's the sort of thing in the data that's going to make a lot of eyebrows go up.

All right. Correct me if I'm wrong. I tweeted this this morning. Correct me if I'm wrong but 100% of the press and pundits who have not personally analyzed the voting data say there's no fraud right? So everybody who didn't look into it did not personally research everything from counting the ballots themselves to auditing every line of code and every part of the system for the voting system, private companies. All the people who did none of that say there's no fraud. Does that pass the fact check that all the people who are saying there's no fraud have also not looked into it personally?

Right now how many people have looked into it personally and really dug into the data and concluded after looking at all the voting data in the relevant places, how many people who know how to do that and have dug into the data have concluded hey folks I looked at all the data and it looks good to me I don't see any problems? How many of them are there? Still zero I think. Zero right?

How many people looked into the data and then concluded there was a problem or at least your eyebrows are going crazy because it sure looks like there's a problem? How many people like that? Quite a few. Quite a few.

So again I'm open to a fact check but I believe all the people who haven't looked into anything say that they haven't found anything. No surprise because when you don't look for things it's easy to not find them. All the people who could have looked into it and found that there were no problems it seems like I've heard no reports of that but all of the people who have looked into it and really dug into it have found problems or alleged problems or the appearance of problems. Fact check me. Are all those statements true? Does it mean anything? Well it might. We'll find out.

Here's my current best guess of where this is going. There are deadlines in terms of when you have to put in your claims of election misconduct. Do you think that we'll get past those deadlines before any good information comes out about that at least that proves there's some problem with the vote? Very likely. Very likely that we will learn more and more as time goes by. We'll learn more and more and we might find more and more fraud.

So here is my belief about the world. My belief about the world is this. That in any complicated system you end up with fraud whether it's the stock market or the voting system. They're all complicated systems and over time they all become subject to fraud. No exceptions. So given that it's just a big complicated system the voting system the odds of it being full of fraud are really a hundred percent. It's not even any chance. There's no chance of no fraud. The question is how much right?

I think we're all on the same page even Democrats. Yeah there's always a little fraud. Always a little bit but not necessarily enough to change an election with a 5 million vote difference. So that's the first thing. I think we agree on that there's got to be a little bit.

Now if there's a little bit of fraud, a baseline fraud that also tells you that fraud is possible right? Fraud is possible because it happens. And I tweeted some stories about specific ballot stuffing prosecutions etc where we know it's possible and we know it's done. So then the question is what is the extent of it?

And again this gets back to the press creating an image at least in Democrats that Trump was actually literally Hitler. Now if you know how to cheat and it's possible and you could do it to stop who you believe, you've been brainwashed to believe is Hitler, how much fraud would you get in that year compared to all the past years when the only thing you were trying to do is win the election versus stop the end of the world? Well every bit of your common sense and logic and reason says that whatever amount of fraud there had been in the past would not even be close to what you should expect in this election.

Again I'm not saying I personally saw it. I said that this setup of thinking that Hitler is running and having you know decades of knowing that fraud is possible it pretty much guarantees massive fraud. So if you ask me Scott what would you bet that massive fraud, massive being more than ever before I'll just let me just define it as more than ever before as opposed to enough to change the election. What are the odds that we've had more than ever before and that it's widespread fraud this time? 100%. There isn't any chance that didn't happen. There really isn't.

Now the second question still matters a lot. Was it enough? That's what you will learn in the coming days. So far I don't think even in my own opinion I don't think I've seen enough in the public to say oh yeah that's it right there. But the time that you would see the stuff that's good is sort of next week. All right so we don't have to argue about who will be right. We can just wait. Just get back to me in next week and if nothing happens next week maybe it's the week after but in two weeks you don't have to wonder if they're going to be strong claims. Let me put that out there. I've seen a little bit more than you've seen and I think they're going to be strong claims.

So but here's how I think this is going to go. It's based on the fact that the media has proven they can disappear entire stories and create narratives that are just not true and make that the truth that the public sees. Now they've demonstrated that in the past several years and I don't have to give you all the examples of things they've disappeared and things they've created and nothing. So they do have the power now that even if Trump and his legal team can prove that the election was stolen and that reversing the fraudulent votes would be enough to give him the re-election even under those conditions where the court can see it the public can see it the data is right in front of you even in all of that proof I don't think it's enough because reality is not based on votes. Reality is a collective agreement of what is real and I believe that the news media is so strong now they can create a big enough consensus that Biden won anyway that Trump won't be able to keep the office even with proof that he won.

Now is that the most out of the box prediction you've ever heard? Probably. But I actually don't see how it could go any other way. Let me give you the other possibilities. So one possibility is that Trump proves he won and then it's just reversed and then the court says yeah okay you made your case you proved you won we threw out a bunch of fraudulent votes and so it's President Trump reelect. What would happen? Do you think that Joe Biden would just say oh okay all right good well I guess that's the way it goes well I guess I'm not president and then his supporters would say oh darn darn it darn it all to pieces we sure wish we won but I guess we didn't so better luck next time guess we'll try harder next time? No nothing like that would happen.

So the path in which Biden just says okay the data was not what we thought I changed my mind we'll get rid of our transition team forget about those cabinet appointments and I'll just go back to my basement I don't think it can happen. I think we've passed the point where reality can be adjusted that much. In other words the people who think Biden won are so firm in that belief that I don't think there's any amount of counter evidence that will change it.

And I think that President Trump is going to be faced with this decision the George Washington decision which is sort of perfect and the George Washington decision is this. I could take power because he probably could but would it be best for the country? And I think he would have to think seriously about his lifelong instinct you know to win. This would put that all into focus. The most competitive personality we've ever seen in the public domain. The person who wins wins wins never quits wins wins wins never quits. Could he say you know I've proven I've got more votes and I'm going to step down? Could he? If he did it's George Washington time because he would do it for the love of the country. It would certainly not be a personal preference. You know it wouldn't be a personal preference. You could be sure that he doesn't personally want to step down that I feel confident about that. But if he did it would be a completely selfless act except that you would get Joe Biden as the president which would be a problem. Now he might negotiate something for that you know.

But imagine if he did and then started his own media company. Here is the beauty of this play. If Trump stepped down even after winning the technical vote the electoral college because the country's mood just couldn't handle him he would know that the real power in this country is not the elected people. That would prove that the real power in this country is the press and who can create the narrative and he might create his own press. So imagine a President Trump being essentially driven out of office by a news press fake news bubble and then saying oh it looks like the real power is not politics it looks like the real power is to own a media platform and then having him start one. Would you watch it? You know you would of course you'd watch it.

So I think the most likely path is that President Trump will show he won and still not be able to take the office for re-election and he'll start a media platform because that's where real power is. Real power is in the media. It's not in the government anymore.

What were the odds that the Republicans would pick up a bunch of house seats but lose the presidency by 5 million votes? Do you think that that happened? Do you think that Republicans picked up substantial seats in the house while the president and the same party lost by five million votes? I don't feel like that happened. Could happen right? Can't rule it out. It's not impossible but I just don't feel like that happened. I also don't feel like Joe Biden got more votes than anybody's ever gotten. There's just a lot of stuff here that just doesn't look quite right.

Now our new hobby for the next several days will be picking out social distancing hypocrites because instead of Thanksgiving I guess this year will be Zoomsgiving and Zoomsgiving as a holiday is the most empty holiday of all time. At least Thanksgiving has some real meaning but Zoomsgiving is just an annoying call with your relatives.

And so far the following social distancing hypocrites: alleged Nancy Pelosi she just had to cancel a thing. Governor Newsom was apologizing for going to a dinner party. The Chicago mayor was partying with the celebrants over the election and then Chris Cuomo caught on camera at some place without his mask. So I don't care about any of that stuff really. None of it is I don't know it just doesn't have any weight but you'll see a lot of it. Sort of a fun hobby finding all the people who are cheating.

All right there isn't much new news now and part of it is because the president has decided to starve the news media. I don't know what his thinking is on this. He might just not want to be in public because you know the vote didn't go his way so far and maybe he just doesn't want to be in public for a while and he can be forgiven for that. But I feel as though the president staying