Back to episode — Episode 1352 Scott Adams - Chauvin Verdict and What it Means About America
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and killed a teenage Black girl in Columbus, Ohio just as the verdict was being announced in the trial for the killing of George Floyd." Oh my God, police are terrible, aren't they? I mean just listen to this. Police shot and killed a teenage girl just as the verdict was announced in the Floyd trial. It's just going from bad to worse. The police just killing this teenage girl. Oh there's more to…
← Previous segment →s it was a good result. Not too far from my own opinion although I'm not sure the facts of the case exactly supported it but I like the outcomes. Whereas Tucker Carlson is talking about the trial being unfair. I think I like the fact that these opinions are different. I just like that fact independent of whether I agree with them. It's just healthy that they're not on the same page.
Remember I told you, I think I told you, that I'm waiting for the J&J vaccine. That's the one I want. It's the only one banned at least in the United States or maybe there's another one banned but they're looking into these rare blood clots and that's why the J&J vaccine, the only one that is one shot and one of the ones that uses existing technology instead of the mRNA stuff.
And here's what a blood clotting expert says about this. So here are the actual odds. And by the way compliments to CNN. Compliments to CNN. Weird, huh? CNN actually did an opinion piece in which they showed the math and they did a cost-benefit analysis. How often have you ever seen that? When was the last time you saw CNN report a story with like a proper cost-benefit analysis so you can see both sides? It's really rare. So when it happened, good job CNN. In fact this should have been on Fox News. So CNN I'm going to give you an A-plus for what I'm going to read right now for just the way they handled this story.
So this is a blood clotting expert talking about the J&J vaccine that says, quote, the chances of you being, oh wait back up. The chances of getting what we are calling vaccine-induced immune thrombotic, I think I pronounced that correctly, or VITT is one in a million. All right, so let's just call it blood clots. So the chance of getting a blood clot from this vaccine is one in a million. Hold that number in your head.
The chances of being hospitalized with COVID is roughly one in 100 for the adult population. And the chances of having a blood clot once you are hospitalized is probably one in five or one in six and a little more. It's like one in three if you're in the ICU. So put those numbers together. A one in a million chance that the vaccine gives you a blood clot but there's a one in 100 chance that if you get COVID you're going to be hospitalized and you've got a one in six chance of getting it.
Now the math is too much to do the direct but I think you can see just from the magnitude that we're not talking about more risk from the vaccine. We're talking about lower risk if this is the only way to get the vaccine.
Now to be fair the real comparison should have been getting this vaccine versus the other vaccine. So if I'm being fair I think I have to knock their A-plus down to a maybe a C-plus as I'm thinking about it because they did the wrong comparison. So if you had enough vaccines so everybody could get one, why not get rid of this one? Risk that doesn't seem to be the case with the other vaccines. But do you really know the risk with the other vaccines because they're the new technology? Maybe they're a risk later and you don't know. So that's got to be in there.
And what about the risk that you don't get COVID at all? So this risk of one in 100 being hospitalized that's only if they get it. But you have to multiply that by, you know, or you have to factor in what are the odds of getting it in the first place which is not in here. So I'll at least give them credit for waving their arms at the magnitudes and I think they got the magnitudes right. The risk is really low. And especially since I'm male and it seems that the risk is more for females for this J&J, I'm really waiting for this one to come available because this is the one I would run to.
Like at the moment I'm sort of waiting for the availability to get better. I just talked to somebody who got the shot in my area. How long do you think somebody had to wait in their car to get a vaccination in my area? Take a guess. How long did somebody just wait in Northern California to get the vaccination? Five hours. Five hours in a car waiting for the vaccination. I'm not gonna wait five hours in my car for a vaccination. You're gonna have to get a little better than that.
So if this J&J vaccine becomes back in availability I'm hoping that one will have a shorter line if you know what I mean. So I'm going to be all over that one. I hope that that one comes through.
Let me give you an update on the Dilbert NFT. If you know what they are, it's digital art that's tied to the blockchain. And so the blockchain tells you that you have the one and only original. And so there's Dilbert NFTs, two of them. One with a clean punchline and one with the F word in the punchline. And I just wanted to give you the current number is the one with the F word is selling for, or at least t
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he auction number so far is 10 times as much as the clean one. So in terms of collectibility the naughty one is 10 times more valuable. The real bidding won't happen until the last day of the auction so you can't really tell what it'll go for now. But I think it's May 1st is the last day of the auction. But the naughty one's up to $12,000 and there's not really a strong reason for anybody to bid…
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