Back to episode — Episode 1531 Scott Adams - Now!
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imulation. Here's why. Because there's nobody else buying food. If this is a simulation, I'm the only one buying food and everything else is an illusion, right? So the NPCs don't buy food. They just look like it when you're shopping. They look like they're buying food but as soon as you leave they empty the carts and put it all back on the shelves. So here's my point. If the simulation has a bug,…
← Previous segment →g this? I'm not measuring it with any science. I'm just saying that I haven't seen any claims that have been confirmed yet. So predicting that 95% of them or more would not be confirmed seems to be pretty close to the mark. No. All right, so let's keep an eye on that. That's kind of fun.
There's something happening here that's really interesting. Now I might, I think some of you are going to imagine I've changed my opinion when you hear this next part. Because on Twitter today I think I saw at least three people hallucinating my opinion and telling me that, you know, it's about time I came to the right opinion because I was so wrong before. To which I say I never had that opinion you thought I had. I never had that opinion. So some of you are going to have that experience in a moment. You could have an experience that you think I changed an opinion that isn't going to happen. But see if you feel like it. Tell me in the comments if it feels like I changed my opinion. It just feels like that to you. Okay.
I've told you before that one way I judge the truth of things in the news is I look for a correspondence between what the science says and what direct observation tells me. Now if my direct observation conflicts with what the science says, it doesn't mean the observation is right. It means I've got questions. For example, science says that smoking cigarettes can give you cancer. My observation is that people who have lung cancer almost always smoke cigarettes. Very good, compatible, totally compatible, right? Science says if you take this antibiotic your bacterial infection will probably go away. I take the drugs, my infection goes away. Good. Science and observation pretty good. They can form. But science is also telling us that very few people are being injured by vaccinations. Science is very clear about that. Yes, people can be injured by any kind of vaccination, really any kind of medicine, but they're not many, not many, at least compared to the number of people who are having COVID problems.
But I asked on Twitter because people keep telling me anecdotally that they know people who are injured by vaccinations. Now first question: Does anybody know that somebody in their circle was injured by the vaccination? Do they know it or is it just that they got the vaccination then a very unusual health problem happened soon after? You agree they don't know it, right? They just have a strong suspicion, so strong that they speak of it as if it's obvious, right? Now could, and you also know that in a big country there would be coincidences like that that would look exactly like people were being injured even if they weren't. Don't give me the VAERS database because that's a different story. All right.
So here's my opinion that you're going to think is a change of opinion but it isn't. You ready? So I asked on Twitter how many people personally know people who are injured by the vaccination. That doesn't mean they know it. It means I strongly suspect it. And it's a lot. It's a lot. The people who say I personally know people or multiple people that they believe were injured by the vaccine, it's a lot. So what do I have now? I've got the science telling me one thing, that the side effects are rare. And then I've got personal observation, but it's really the third-hand personal observation. Really all I can
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observe is people telling me they observed something pretty sketchy, right? But if I had observed it myself I would likewise be subject to confirmation bias. So the fact that other people are telling me and maybe they have confirmation bias probably doesn't change much because if I had directly seen it myself I'd probably have the same confirmation bias. So let me say this as clearly as possible…
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