Back to episode — Episode 1577 Scott Adams - How I Riled Up the Low-Information Binaries and Kamala is on the Roof
Context —
told you that one of the tells that we live in a simulation is character reuse? Not just code reuse, but specifically characters. Let me give you an example. This is from my real life. I think I could tell this story, and I can't tell this story well. Suffice to say a weird coincidence happened in my personal life that the same people keep popping up in all kinds of different contexts. So there's…
← Previous segment →case against them. It's one thing if prosecutors have a case, but if names just come up as associates or people they knew or people who traveled with them, I feel that would be deeply unfair in our system of justice.
What do you think? Don't you think it would be deeply unfair to start hearing names of people who just were in the circle? Trump, for example. Bill Clinton. I don't have any evidence that they did anything wrong, either one of them, nor do I have evidence that they didn't. I don't have evidence one way or the other. But I don't think that unless you're going to bring a case against them, I don't think we should be hearing these names in some kind of defamatory way.
Well, let's talk about the Omicron virus, which the World Health Organization knows literally nothing about. This is what they said on their tweet. This is the WHO: "We don't yet know whether it is associated with more transmission." Well, that'd be pretty important to know. We don't know if it gives you risk. We don't know risks of reinfection, risk of evading the vaccines. Basically we don't know anything about it. So you should be very, very afraid about the thing we don't know anything about, I guess. But they're working urgently to answer those questions.
Now, I ask this question because I'm an optimist, not because it's likely. I'm just an optimist. I'm trying to think of any way that any virus would stop circulating because we've talked about this before. For some reason they just stop. Now the old thinking was that things stopped because you reached some kind of herd immunity, but we know that that's not the case. Like the Spanish flu, I don't think, reached herd immunity but it stopped.
So I had speculated, and I'm getting closer to saying this is probably true, that the only way a virus stops is that it creates its own vaccination. Meaning that a variant eventually comes out that affects people as well or better than the original but doesn't make them that sick and then gives them some immunity against the bad one. Is there any scientific evidence for that at all? I can't tell if this is me just spitballing or if there's any science. Who's said something similar? Well, I know a dead host is useless. Yeah, but that's not exactly the answer here.
Okay, well that's what I think is happening. And one possibility is that this is the one. The Omicron might be the vaccination. It might be the end of the pandemic. But it's too early to say that because the early reports of mild symptoms are coming out of South Africa. Now South Africa is part of a continent in which people are way younger, way thinner, way less likely to have any problems at all. So I think that even the regular COVID would have given them, the same group of people, mild symptoms. So I don't think we know if Omicron is worse or not. Too soon to know. But we don't see evidence of people having worse problems from it. So we don't know that it's better, but there's no evidence of it being worse. So that's not quite data. That's short of being data.
But I'm feeling like it's time. It just feels like this is it. I'm not sure I felt like this before, so I can't
Context —
tell you that my feeling is based on anything that you should believe because it's just a feeling. But I am feeling that this Omicron is going to be a mild one and that it will finish up our herd immunity in its own weird way. I said this on Twitter yesterday and I got almost no pushback on it, which is the story itself. So here's something that I couldn't have said one year ago. The public wasn'…
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