Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive May 24, 2026
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that I don't know anything about, and I'm excited anyway. Do you think I would be stopped by a complete lack of useful information about a story? No. Have you met me? No, I'm not going to be slowed down by a complete lack of information. I'm going to take the most positive spin I can take, and I'm going to give you my hot take on it. Are you ready for it? So you remember there was a company, or s…

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fferent areas. He was a skeptic. Now was he proven right in the end? Go. Was Alex Berenson proven to be right after all? Go.

Comments I'm seeing, a wall of yeses over here. Some not reallys. Don't know. Yes. 25 yes. Yes. Yes. Some nos. Some nos. But mostly yeses. And some people don't know. So my audience thinks mostly he's been proven right. I didn't see any of that. Are you sure you're not hallucinating? Because I literally didn't see you get anything right that I'm aware of.

So maybe has anybody done like a report card for his predictions? Here's what I think happened. I believe Alex Berenson got famous for being really bad at analyzing data. But every time he was really bad at analyzing data, he would come to the same conclusion that the government was lying and wrong about whatever it was telling you about everything.

Now what would happen if instead of being bad at analyzing data, you were just somebody who didn't analyze any data at all and you just said, I'm going to go out there and make a prediction that the government is lying to you and what they're saying is not quite correct. How well would you do? So it's the fog of war. It's a pandemic. Nobody really knows anything. So you go out there and you make yourself famous by saying the government's wrong about everything. How would you do as a public figure? Really well. Really well. In fact, people would come to believe that you were sort of magic because you kept being right about stuff. Except that the way he got there is by being amazingly wrong at analyzing anything. That's how it happened. He analyzed incorrectly, just study after study. That's what it seemed like to me, right?

So this is my subjective impression of what was going on. So it looked to me like he got everything wrong but he got the right outcome or something close to it. So it drives me crazy because you knew that there would be people guessing on both sides. And whoever guessed right would say that they were right all along. It was obvious that you shouldn't believe them. But it's sort of a trick because either the government was going to be mostly right and it would have been good to follow their lead, or it would turn out that maybe they were more wrong than right. It was going to be one of those things. And there were people on both sides.

So one of the people, let me ask you this. The people who were completely opposite of Berenson, how close were they to being correct? The people who were completely opposite of him, how close were they to being correct at the end of it now that we can see things a little bit clearly? You're saying not close? Yeah, of course I'm priming you for this answer. Well the opposite would be, I guess the opposite would be that masks do work, the vaccinations do stop the spread, that they are safer than not getting them, that that is good for children, that sort of thing. I would say they're mostly at best half right at best, right?

So the people on the other side from Berenson didn't come out too well. But what did I tell you in the beginning of the pandemic? My clearest, most often repeated warning: everybody's guessing. Somebody's going to guess right. When it's done, whoever guessed right is going to claim genius. That's what happened. That's what happened. I called that exactly.

However, we have the two movies on one screen phenomenon. So we have both sides with opposite opinions claiming victory after it's all done. The people with the vaccine who are pro-vaccination will tell you, well sure, you know it didn't stop the transmission so much but it sorta did in the first variant a little bit, but mostly it kept people from dying. So that's a big win, right? That's what they're saying. They're saying yeah, you know it wasn't as good as we hoped but it saved millions of people. So darn good thing we did it. We better give it to those children.

And by the way, as far as I know, do a fact check on this, 100% of all civilized, let's say industrialized countries, if that's even the term anymore, I would say 100% of all industrialized countries believe that the vaccinations are and were a good idea. Fact-check me. There are no civilized countries who think the vaccinations were a bad idea. Can you fact-check that?

Now I'm not saying that they're right. I know, I know, I know most of you are anti-vaccination and I'm not disagreeing with you. I'm just asking you what the facts are and if we're all aware of the same facts, see if we're on the same page. In my opinion I think 100% of the industrialized countries are on the same page which most of you think is wrong. Still right. That was kind of hard to explain, isn't it? Kind of hard to explain.

Now remember if somebody stopped vaccinations during Omicron, you know that's where opinions start to diverge legitimately because Omicron's a different level of risk. Problem was a lack of conversation. WEF explains it. So you think it's the WEF that explains everything. So one view would be that all of the industrialized medical communities are slaves to what the WEF or slaves to possibly Fauci. Because I wonder if the American medical community, if you got COVID after getting a vaccine, you have a trigger that others don't. Okay, maybe. Could be. Could be.

All right, so we're not talking about whether any of this is true or not true. Those conversations are no longer interesting. But I do think it's fascinating watching the Berenson phenomenon. So one view is that, and by the way I think that he's valuable although mostly wrong. Valuable but mostly wrong. That's my opinion. You need somebody on the other side of a big issue like this and he was, he did a good job as a making attention on the, you know, hey maybe we should tap the brakes on this. So I think he did. I think he was a solid. In my opinion I think he added to the process. All right.

Would you like an update on the 13th hoax? Everybody knows what the 13th hoax is, right? So the 13th hoax is that Trump had any kind of important nuclear secrets at Mar-a-Lago. To me, to me that's ridiculous. Or at least that he knew about it. You know the suggestion that he knew about it and there were sensitive nuclear secrets and he didn't want to give them back. No, no. There's no chance that's true. Really, people, there's no chance that's true. Just thinking through it. Trump had sensitive nuclear secrets, put them in a warehouse in Mar-a-Lago, had some reason to keep nuclear secrets. I don't know what that would be. And when asked to return them, refused. That's sort of the story we're being told. There's no chance that's true. None. I mean really, there's no chance that's true.

Anyway, so here's my summary of the 13th hoax and I have to do it in this accent: fool me 12 times, not gonna fool me again. So that's the tag line for the 13th hoax. Fool me 12 times, not gonna fool me again. But I guess they are.

So I saw Greg Gutfeld mentioned this and I was just sort of catching up a few days ago. Historian Michael Beschloss asked this question on Twitter. He said, any possibility that certain foreign governments Trump loves wanted American nuclear secrets from him? Now Michael Beschloss, and this is what Greg pointed out, I thought he was like a serious historian. Like he's somebody with some weight, right? He's somebody we've been seeing for years talking about presidential history, etc. What I didn't know is that he apparently is associated with NBC News. What's that mean? Yeah. So I don't think Trump is selling nuclear secrets to foreign countries by storing those documents in Mar-a-Lago.

So here's the question. Is that even serious? When Beschloss says is there a possibility Trump might want to sell nuclear secrets to some foreign country, am I supposed to take that comment seriously? Like actually. And what I mean is, is he saying something that's purely political and we should recognize it as such, which would be fine, right? You know on Twitter people make incredible hyperbolic leaps to the absurd. But if you know what it is then you put it in context. Oh that's one of those hyperbolic absurd statements. It's just sort of a political gotcha. But is that what he's doing? Is this just a political gotcha? You know sort of exaggerating

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something. Or does he actually think we should believe this, that this is on the table, there's a possibility of this? But then I was informed that he worked for NBC. NBC, the entity most closely associated with allegedly the CIA. Is the CIA wanting us to believe that Trump is selling nuclear secrets to a foreign country? I think so. I don't know. But it would be consistent with what we've seen f…

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