Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive July 2, 2026
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need to get one too. All right. Well, I'm going to start with the best story of the day. So CNN had ex-CIA director Brennan to talk about the Ukraine situation, and he notes that Russia seems to be losing everything and it's all falling apart for Russia. And he believes that Russia sabotaged the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which is Russia's own pipeline. Now it had been turned off already, so they ha…

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it'll skew things. Or they'll say this one is so low quality that even though the other ones are higher quality, you know, we'll throw it out. So those studies end up being subjective accidentally. Some meta studies are well made, some are not. And usually we can't tell the difference.

All right, so is everybody comfortable that I'm anti-mask? Period. Period. Anti-mask. But now you understand why the left believes they work, because there are people sending studies around. It is sort of the laundry list thing. If there are enough studies, it doesn't matter that they're all bad because there are lots of them. So I think that's the whole story anyway.

The January 6th insurrectionists — this just amazes me because every once in a while you have to go back and shake your head at this. The entire January 6 situation depends on one assumption — more than one, but one that I care about — and the one assumption is what Trump actually believed. Am I right? Because if Trump believed the election was genuinely fake, then what he did would make sense actually. It would make sense as a candidate and it would make sense as a patriot. It would make sense as an American if he genuinely believed the vote was hanky.

Now the entire January 6th thing depends on his critics knowing what he really secretly thought that he has never said out loud to anybody that we have any evidence of. So here's Trump, the person who says everything he thinks. Am I right? Trump is the person who says everything he thinks, and yet there's no evidence whatsoever in writing, any reports, not even anonymous reports of Trump ever being inconsistent with his belief that the election was sketchy. So why is it that the most unrealistic assumption is underpinning the entire thing and we don't pay attention to that?

I feel like I'm the only one who's ever mentioned this actually. Have you ever seen anybody else say everything depends on what he was thinking? And if you were to make two hypotheses of what he was thinking, do you think there's really any chance that he thought the election was fair? Because he was thinking the same thing that most Republicans thought. Don't you believe that most Republicans thought it was sketchy? Most, I think most did. So if he had the same opinion as most Republicans who had the same information he had — we were all just watching TV, right? He didn't have secret intel. He was just watching TV like the rest of us. So if he watched TV and you watched TV and you said to yourself that doesn't look like a fair election to me, I don't know if you're right or wrong, but say that was your opinion. Why would you think he wouldn't have that opinion? What possible argument could you make that he would singularly believe the election was fair when everybody was looking at exactly the same information at the same time? All the people on his side said I'm not so sure if that election was fair.

And of course, doing the most obvious analysis you can do, did the Democrats think the election was fair? Did Hillary think the election was fair when Trump won the first time? No. The most common, believable, and ordinary assumption you can make about this situation, as well as when Hillary lost, the most common ordinary assumption is that the people who lost genuinely believe there's some question about the outcome. They genuinely believe it.

Now if I were Trump's team, that's the only thing I would talk about. I say, are you making the case that you believe the president actually thought he lost when nobody else thought that? Now it's separate from the argument of whether he really lost. So their trick is to argue whether or not it's true that the election was fair has nothing to do with this because nobody was operating on the truth because it was unknowable. There was a suspicion, but at that time it was pretty hard to know what was true and what wasn't. If you were biased toward thinking the election was rigged, as the Democrats were when they lost, as Republicans are when they lost, as the Democrats will be again if they lose, you don't think the Democrats are going to say the election was rigged if they

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lose the next election? Of course they will. Do you think they'll believe it? Yes, yes I do. I do think they'll believe it. That's how it works. So now am I wrong? Am I wrong that everything follows from that assumption? Am I missing anything? The entire understanding of that day has everything to do with what Trump secretly actually believed about the election. Because if he believed that it was…

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