hat's not unusual. But do you think it's like what the conscripts are doing? Like they're all walking out as soon as their commander turns around. They're like, and as soon as nobody's watching, they just... I don't think it's happening. I don't think it's happening. But it's pretty hilarious as a report. But again, I don't think it's true.

You know, this is... let me give you a little lesson on writing humor. If you can write humor that requires the listener or the viewer to complete the story in their head, it's always funnier. So the image I have in my head of these conscripts is sort of the little movie that I've made on my own. It's not like yours, but the one in my head is hilarious. The one in my head is really funny. Like you're all having a different movie in your head, so yours will be different. But in theory, if I did it right, the movie that you're playing in your head is just as funny as mine was. The one that works for you, because you're the one that made it. So that's perfect humor. If everybody writes their own punchline, like they're doing the visual in their own head, that's as good as you could get for a punchline.

All right, Rasmussen is reporting that the last poll they do before the midterms about the generic lead of one versus the other. So it shows the lead is narrowed to five points from last week. But that lead jumps up and down, so it doesn't mean much directionally. But GOP is five points ahead according to the generic ballot.

Now, question to you: how predictive is the generic Republican against a generic Democrat poll? What does that tell you about the actual results? How accurate do you think that's going to be? It's not exactly a straight line cause and effect kind of thing, right? I'll just give you an example. As Rasmussen says, in 2018, right before the Democrats won a big House majority, the polling was a statistical dead heat. So in 2018 it was a dead heat, and then the results were quite different.

Now, how many of you would be surprised if the Democrats actually have a big win in the midterms? Would you be? How many would be surprised? I know what you're going to say, because you're expecting cheating, right? But how many would be surprised? Okay, I would not be. I would not be surprised. Because remember how we got surprised in 2020 because there were things that changed that we didn't know about, or I didn't know about. So I didn't know about Attorney Mark Elias and what Mark Zuckerberg did, and I didn't know what would be the impact of the different voting mechanisms and laws and changes and all that. I don't know. And those things may have been definitive. That might have made the difference. I think we have the same problem this time.

Problem number one: I don't know if polls are as useful as they used to be. So the accuracy of any polls is in question. Would you agree? Because we have polls that are pretty far apart going right into the election. So if you have lots of polls and they're all over the place, what are you going to do with that? So it's possible that the polls have told us nothing, right? It's possible that the polls don't tell you anything. It's possible, but I have no evidence of this, that one tea