Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive July 10, 2026
Scott Adams Philosophy Archive
Search ideas

Context —

ke the fourth one down was it's never been this warm in February. Here's why that's not a good thing. That's the actual title. After all the blizzards and hurricanes and record cold, it's never been this warm in February. Here's why that's not a good thing. Now I'm not going to say that weather is climate. I get it. I get it. It could be really cold one day and really warm another day and that's…

← Previous segment →

ecause you believe that I think that I believe the news coming out of Ukraine? Is there anything I can say that would convince you I don't believe everything coming out of Ukraine? Is there any way I could convince you that's true so that you would stop making comments like that? You don't need to disagree about the quality of the information. You really don't. We all get it. We all get it.

However, for fun I'm going to make a prediction. I believe they're out of ammo. I could be wrong and it wouldn't even surprise me. It wouldn't even surprise me. But remember that Russia is worse at everything than you think. Is that fair? So far Russia is way worse at everything you think they should be able to do. Am I wrong? Everything. Literally everything. Do you think that their manufacturing capacity is better than you think? If it's like every other thing is way worse than you imagine. So I don't think that they can make enough ammo and I don't think the ammo that they're getting is high enough quality not to blow up in the gun. And I don't think that they can get, I don't think that they have a good pipeline of new barrels coming into the front line to replace the barrels that are wearing out. I think it's over. I think it's over. I think at this point there's no way Russia can win on the battlefield.

Let me acknowledge all the people who are disagreeing in the comments. I respect your disagreement right now. When I was talking about stuff like the hoaxes, honestly I wouldn't respect your disagreement about the hoaxes. You know, I think I explained that. But in this case because none of us know and it's very complicated, I totally respect your disagreement that Russia will do fine. They'll find them out somehow. I respect that. I disagree with it but it's a perfectly reasonable opinion. Perfectly reasonable. Yeah. I'm going to go with the heuristic that Russia is worse, way worse at everything, and that that's all you need to know to know that we're going to run out of ammo.

China has stated their support. Let's say you're China and the only thing you care about is your own interests because I think that's fair for most countries. Wh

Context —

at is in China's best interest? To become a major player in the Ukraine war or to let Russia and NATO punch themselves out until both are weaker? What is in China's best interest? Now I suppose maybe they could give them ammo so that the fight goes on longer. But China's best interest I think would be to continue buying energy and trade with Russia which seems fine and not to be too directly invol…

Next segment → →