l, wouldn't you get a pretty good picture? No? Don't you think you could get at least one good clear picture? And there is video. Video especially, like at least some point, it should be in focus. But no, somehow it's not clear. And here's the funniest thing. It's shaped like a flying disc. I'll say a flying disc. That's a little too on the nose. Flying disc from Russia. Sorry, Russia. Nice try, but we're not buying that UFO.

Here's more evidence that I might be sensationally right about something that you believe I'm sensationally wrong about. And before we talk about Ukraine, I'll give my disclaimer. No, I don't believe any reporting about Ukraine. No, I don't believe the narrative that Ukraine is about to win. It looks like it sometimes. Sometimes it looks the other way. But no, you can't tell who's going to win. You can't tell how it's going to go. So the next thing I say is under the umbrella of we don't know what's going on over there. It's just something fun to talk about. I say it twice because sometimes you don't hear it the first time. That's why.

So here's new reporting from CNN. The Wagner Group is complaining viciously that they can't even get a phone call through to the Kremlin because they keep asking for ammo because they're running out of ammo. The most important fighting group, the Wagner Group in Russia, is not even answering their calls anymore. At the same time, the Russian army says, hey, they're giving all of our ammo to the Wagner Group. Now CNN's reporting had the actual soldiers from Russia saying they don't have ammo. The Wagner Group is getting it. They have the head of the Wagner Group, his own quotes publicly saying that he can't get any ammo because it's going somewhere. Now with those two stories together, would you conclude that Russia is running out of ammo? Yes or no? Given that we can't believe anything, can't believe anything. But when you conclude they're running out of ammo, yeah, I would say it's too soon, wouldn't you agree? Too soon. I think it's too soon because first of all all the reporting is hard to believe, but also there could be a strategic reason. They could be stockpiling it for a big push. That's possible. And this isn't yet the big push. They could be withholding it so the Wagner Group doesn't go further, right? They might want their army to just be holding until they're ready for like a really big push.

But if you add it with yesterday's story that they were using their so-called best missiles and lots of them, that kind of suggests the running out of regular stuff is sort of, I mean it not necessarily, but at this point all signs are pointing toward running out of ammo. Now as I've told you before, you don't have to get to zero ammo before everything falls apart, am I right? You don't have to run out before everything falls apart. You just have to be not enough, and then you're going to retreat instead of fight because you don't have enough. If you don't have enough ammo, the smartest thing to do is retreat, right? Am I wrong about that? You know, if you don't have any other kind of advantage, because you want to wait until you have ammo so you preserve your forces, wait to have ammo and then make another push. So I believe you could have a complete systems failure with just an ammo shortage, not running out. And I don't know what that shortage is. It could be not much. It could be imagine if 10 percent of your forces didn't have ammo, or everybody had ammo but nobody had enough to like get through a conflict. The degree that you would have to restrict the ammo probably is not as much as you think before the whole thing falls apart.

Now remember my other conspiracy theory hypothesis. You should put no weight behind this idea because it's purely speculative. My belief is that the Wagner Group head is getting too important and he has to be taken out by Putin. And the best way to take him out is to let him die or let his forces get degraded before Putin negotiates for peace. Because the last thing he wants is this souped-up, fully armed Wagner Group to be sort of repatriated from the war into the country. And now there's like a standing army that doesn't report to Putin, you know, not directly. And they might be pissed at the Russian government for who knows what, everything basically. So I think Putin might need to have to take the Wagner Group out before he can negotiate peace. So I think he's grinding up the Wagner Group so it looks like Russia has an offense but making sure they don't win too hard because that's not even going to help him. You know, winning a little extra isn't going to help him a lot because I think he wants to negotiate his way out. So speculation, speculation. I wouldn't put a bet on it, but it looks to me like there's two things going on. They're literally running out of ammo, but on top of that not running out but they're running low. And then on top of that I think Putin's trying to take the Wagner Group out because he has to. I'll just put that out there for fun. See what happens.

Here's a spotting of systems being better than goals out in the wild. So I saw a tweet from a Twitter user Brent Arel who said the most dangerous career move anyone can make is pursuing education and training strictly on the basis of an economic future that is unknowable and therefore almost completely imaginary. What do you think? Given that the future is super unpredictable at the moment, should you get educated because your education