f even at the cost of a trillion dollars. And that would be degrading permanently our biggest problem in the world that is in China, which we're also handling, but also proving that our military assets are so dominant over the military assets of a potential foe that it makes them completely get out of the game and just say all right, we just watched what the United States did to Russia without putting a boot on the ground. Did it with Ukrainian fighters who were being trained on the equipment. If Ukraine uses American equipment largely to fight Russia to a standstill where Russia has a lot of ground advantage, goes right on the border there. I don't know. It looks like the neocons may have pulled off something that looks like a victory if you're a neocon. It might also set the stage where a Republican president could work with Putin to say look, you know, you don't want to be in this situation anymore and we don't want you to be friendly with China. So how about this? We'll be a lot friendlier to you if you do the same. The main thing we want is that you're not blackmailing Europe with your oil or gas and you're not too friendly with China because that's a strategic problem.

Do you think the next president could make a deal? I don't think a Democrat can, but do you think a Republican president could make a deal? If Vivek or Trump, you don't think Vivek or Trump could make a deal? I think they could. So we're on the verge. This is recreational again. So if you're pushing back, I get it. This is recreational optimism that the three biggest military problem areas and also I gave fake credit for maybe minimizing the Taiwan risk for a number of years, we might be in the best position we've ever been in except for debt. I don't know what you do about that honestly. I just don't know how to get out of that. But maybe. Who knows?

All right. My opinion of AI at the moment, I'm updating it, is AI will be no more transformational to civilization than the invention of the laser printer. Now what I'm talking about is the current versions of AI, the large language model ones. In my opinion it could be big economically because it will work its way into everything we do. So that's true. AI will be an element of just everything. But I don't think it's a civilization transformation. So here's what I'm seeing so far. In my opinion AI has been available long enough that the smartest people in our technical world would have already shown you the best things they can do. But instead, so far AI has not made a joke as funny, has not written a song that I would want to listen to twice. I mean I'd listen to it once just to see what's up. Hasn't made a movie I would want to consume. And a judge ruled that AI work is not even copyrightable. So even if somebody made an AI movie, it would be hard to monetize it. So you'd still end up making human movies I guess but using AI as maybe a tool for editing or backgrounds or whatever.

I don't believe humans are going to be forming relationships with AI much beyond the level of furries. You know the furries? That's a group of people who like to wear like furry outfits of animals, like full body outfits, and they get off on it sexually and they have conventions and stuff. Now I don't know if I've ever mentioned this but I don't judge anybody for their personal preferences if it's legal. Like I ended it legal. Was it legal? Yes. Were they on my lawn? No. Do you have a problem with it? Why would I? I'm not even in the room. Why would I have a problem with furries? Furries go wild. Have fun. I have no judgment about anybody in any way. But I don't think that the people having full relationships with AI will be much bigger than the furries. There would be some. And the reason is that the AI does not stay interesting because eventually you realize it doesn't have real intelligence. And I've not been impressed by AI's intelligence. Given that you don't know if it's lying, you don't know if it's biased, you don't know if it's hallucinating, so that makes it largely useless to me.

And when I see people showing the wonderful things they can do, it looks like demoware. It looks like all AI is for is for the smartest among us to show you what you could have done with AI if you were also the smartest among us but you're not that. Like every time I see somebody doing something that looks impressive I think whoa, could I do that? And the answer is well maybe if you wanted to also spend all of your time working on it like the person who did that demo did spent two weeks making this little thing that took 30 seconds to show. I think that's all it does. It's like mainly about people showing off what it could do if you were like them but you're not. That doesn't take you very far. And so I think we overestimated it by a lot. I don't think AI appears smart to me anymore. I think the so-called intelligence of AI was a magic trick or a parlor trick or basically it was an illusion because you can't really speak to an AI for more than a minute without figuring out it's AI.

Anybody who says that our current AI can pass the Turing test, I would say I think the Turing test needs to be updated so that the people on the other side of the curtain are not morons. You don't think I could beat the Turing test? Yeah. Hey AI, by the way this is a comedian's joke. This is not... I'm stealing a joke so this is not my original idea. Watch me defeat the AI in the Turing test. Now the Turing test is you put the computer on the other side of a curtain and then somebody talks to it from this side and you try to guess if you're talking to a person or a machine. So a comedian said this. Here's me b