has no chance, let's say even with RFK Jr. in the mix? Because I think there might be more regular Democrats than you think who would like to go to something less controversial. How would you like to have a president that there's a strong crossover, that the other party doesn't hate him completely?

You know at the moment you could pick any Republican at random and you could say what do you think of President Biden and they're going to have something negative to say. But could you ever imagine a president — and an RFK Jr. might be one — in which maybe only 80 percent of Republicans say he's terrible? That would be a big improvement because that would still give him a lot of operating room, right?

So I don't know. I don't know when's the last time we had that. If abortion is the top issue, is RFK pro-abortion? He is. So RFK is pro-abortion. So he would certainly lose all Republicans who have that as a top issue or anywhere near the top. But it's also a state's issue. So it could be that people will just say, ah, as long as he doesn't want to do a federal law, I think Republicans would say well just leave it to the state. We're good with that.

So he has a way to get there. He does have a way to win. He has a path to victory. And if you don't believe that I don't think you're paying attention. He definitely has a path to victory. But even more than that he has a path to being the kingmaker. The person who could decide to stay in or to get out. And that might be the choice of who wins. So that's pretty interesting.

Yeah, I do think that RFK Jr. is such a threat to the Republican people in power that they would do everything they could to stop him. But it's going to be interesting. And you know what the funny thing is? I keep hearing people criticizing RFK Jr. because he's just going to screw up everything for Democrats. Like he might just ruin the whole Democrat game. And I thought to myself there is nobody who has more legitimate moral and ethical right to screw up everything that he does. Like he's the guy. He has absolute right to just destroy the system and then maybe help rebuild it.

But I don't mind destroying our stuff because we're good at rebuilding. Some of our stuff needs to get destroyed. Demolition phase before rebuilding.

All right. Is there even a Democrat Party anymore? You know I feel like the Democrats that have the most power have morphed into a criminal enterprise which I don't see on the Republican side at all. There are clearly individual Republicans who do bad things that are illegal but it doesn't look coordinated. It looks like the Democrats have literally created a structure where their own people can have key jobs and then the corruption can be unchecked. That's what it looks like.

So I would say that RFK Jr. is going to look like the only Democratic party. That could be the frame that we start hearing is that RFK Jr. is running as a third party. It's called Democrat. That would be strong. I'm running as the only Democrat but I can't call myself that. I can't call myself the only Democrat because the party has this control and they're stopping people from competing. But I tell you I'm not part of the criminal enterprise. If you want a real Democrat I'm going to offer you that option. The rest of what they're calling Democrats are essentially a criminal organization and you should be destroying them, not voting for them if you're a real Democrat.

It's just I think he's got a killer argument. So we'll see.

There's a report by the nonprofit Society of Actuaries. We've been waiting for this, right? Trying to figure out about the excess deaths. Don't you want to know if the insurance actuaries are going to charge people differently if they've been vaccinated versus unvaccinated? Right? Because they're the ultimate, I would say, the jurors on what was more dangerous than what. Because the insurance companies in theory are just going to try to make money, right? They're not making money from pharmaceuticals. They're not making money from selling masks. They just want to know for sure who's more likely to die. That's all they need. We just need to know who's more likely to die and then we'll do the rest. We'll just charge based on that.

And their current thinking is that there were 34 percent more deaths — these would be the excess deaths above the expected baseline — so 34 percent more in the ages 35 to 44, you know the core of life, in the last three months of 2022. So around the time that vaccinations were rolling out, excess deaths started to climb. Is that because of that? Well the problem is there are lots of reasons why there would be excess deaths. We know there's more suicide. We know there was more overdoses. We know that people were less healthy. They got much fatter. So there's a whole bunch of reasons people should be dying and it would have started about the same time as the vaccinations because the lockdown started before the vaccinations. So we don't know that's the reason.

But what would be — this is a test of your analytical abilities, okay? If the one thing you know for sure — and I don't know this for sure but suppose the one thing you knew for sure is that right around the same time as the vaccinations, which as I remind you was also the same time we were getting fat and overdosing and committing suicide. So we had several reasons that happened about the same time.

If you knew there was a substantial difference in the excess mortality right around the time vaccinations were rolled out but as I said those other things were happening too, could you conclude with a high degree of certainty that the vaccinations were the problem? Yes or no? With a high degree of certainty? I see yeses. I see nos. Well, here most of the nos are correct. All right, the nos are correct.

Here's what you would want to study: the vaccinated versus the unvaccinated. And that's it. You can't study the average people. That will tell you nothing because there are too many things going on. But if you were to study separately vaccinated versus unvaccinated and by age group because you would want to separate that by age group, if that analysis caused the actuaries to say oh that's real and we're going to charge based on whether you're vaccinated or unvaccinated — because remember they can charge more if you smoke cigarettes, am I right? They do, right? If you smoke cigarettes they'll charge you more, won't they, for life insurance? Right? And it's not really easy to check up on that. I mean they could but it's not easy.

So couldn't you also charge more for people who are either vaccinated or unvaccinated depending what your actuarial numbers determined was more dangerous? Yeah. So the only thing I want to teach you is that looking at excess mortality, even if it started at the same time as the vaccinations, it doesn't tell you what you think it might. It doesn't. It's just not something you should rely on.

But if you actually saw numbers that you could think were accurate about the vaccinated versus the unvaccinated that would tell you everything. I believe. I mean you probably want to control it for age and obesity and stuff but basically just look at those two groups.

Now has anybody done that analysis? I haven't seen it. Have you? Why would nobody have done the one analysis that actually would make you confident you knew what was happening? What is it too hard? You think it's too hard to study that? I doubt it. It's not too hard. That info was reliable. They didn't have to ask and assumed unvaxxed if unknown. Okay I don't know about that.

And the other thing I would teach you is don't compare the United States to any other country. So as soon as you say compare to Sweden or compare to Africa or anything, none of that works. None of that works. We don't collect data the same way. There's just nothing that's the same. It's just too different in too many ways. It won't tell you anything.

So that, ladies and gentlemen, concludes my comments for today. I feel sorry for you and feel sorry for Israel especially and also the innocent people in Gaza who are going to pay a big price. But you're going to hear the same arguments just over and over all day long today. I hope I gave you something that was a little bit different but it's going to feel like a lot of the same all day long.

I'll tell you one thing that the situation in Israel — let's call i