Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive July 10, 2026
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Episodes Episode #2358 Segments
MainContent Politics as Persuasion

Back to episode — Episode 2358 CWSA 01/19/24

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have to work out the details. That can't happen. That can't happen. They've designed a failed system from the start. There's only one way it goes. No that's it. So I'm going to predict that eventually the border has to be separated from the budget deal or they're going to have to do something different than whatever this is. They're not going to make any progress on this. And Trump has already sa…

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ought experiment for you. Try this with your Democrat friends. Goes like this. I posted this so if you want to send it to them in my words you can. It's on my X feed. So thought experiment. All right imagine one American state that implements nothing but mainstream Republican policies and they don't even have to argue about it right. There's nobody on the other side. They just go full Republican in every way from the school system to taxes to law enforcement everything. Then there's another state it goes the other way and it's full Democrat policies right. They got everything from reparations to sanctuary cities and high taxes for the rich people just the whole boat. Then you wait 25 years and now ask your Democrat friend to describe both states 25 years from now. What do you think will happen?

Well yeah in the real world I'll tell you what would happen then I'll tell you what happens if you ask somebody about it. All right so I've got a hypothesis that Republicans can predict the future with eerie precision on this test. So if you said all right how do those two states work out the Republicans say well the Republican state has well educated people who are doing well and the families and everything looks good. And then they would, you would say to the Republicans well how do you think the Democrat state went? They say oh 25 years of that probably has decayed into something like those areas in Seattle that were run by the street people. What was that called? Yeah it's probably a complete failed state. CHAZ. The CHAZ. CHAZ is actually a perfect example of what the entire state would be if they used the same policies as within CHAZ which apparently Democrats were happy enough with CHAZ and CHOP. Yeah it's funny those things that young people will never hear. They'll never hear about CHAZ and CHOP.

All right so here's what I think under that condition the migrants would flood only the Democrat state. So all the migrants that would have ordinarily hypothetically gone to both states would go only to the one state in unlimited numbers. And all the rich people in the Democrat state would eventually move to the other state for lower taxes because if it's just Democrats they're going to take like a 90% tax on the richest people you know that right. So nobody's going to stay there and pay a 90% tax if they're mobile and all rich people are mobile so they would just immediately pull up stakes and move to another state. So you lose all your rich people so you lose your tax base. Then the poor people would move to your state because you got better benefits so you'd have poor people moving from the Republican state to the Democrat state to get benefits. You'd have the rich people moving from the Democrat state to the Republican state. Now wait 25 years and game that out. It only goes one way. There's only one possible outcome to that. A complete failed state in one case and a marvelous happy state in the other.

Now you could argue oh they're not so happy because abortion is illegal in the Republican state and you'd have some at least that's a debate that I would respect the debate no matter which way it goes. But in general you would have a failed state and you would have one successful one.

So here's what I would like to add. We're in this weird imaginary world where we imagine that Republicans and Democrats differ on policy preferences. That's what you think right? Because every conversation about politics is I like this policy you like that policy. I don't think anything like that's happening. My filter says that the people who can do math and can imagine the future, in other words they can imagine what's happening today and then project it in their mind into the future, that they're all on the same side. And the people who don't have the ability to imagine how current situations would unfold in the future either because they're mentally limited in some cases but more often because they just don't have that training or exposure to that kind of stuff.

Have you noticed that Democrats skew young and Republicans skew old? People under 25 literally don't have developed brains and people under 30 literally don't have as much experience as everybody who's 31. Everybody who's 31 has more experience than everybody who is 30 and so by the time you reach your 50s and 60s it really makes a difference. So this is the difference of the coffee maker one button versus the taking you ou

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t of flow state. If you're young that coffee maker sounds like the best freaking idea. Seriously one button I love that. But if you're my age and as soon as you saw how many features this thing had you said to yourself oh I know how this is going to go. I still like it. I still recommend it by the way. It's a good machine. The Miele makes way better coffee than a Mr. Coffee and Mr. Coffee is a fin…

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