Back to episode — Episode 2360 CWSA 01/21/24
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hing in return. Now not positive that's true. Well the rare minerals might be a valid argument. So I do think they're getting resources. But what I don't think is that they're delighted with the return on their investments. Because America also has seemingly all the rare materials we need. I mean we're building stuff. So China has raw materials like rare earth. We have rare earth. But we didn't sp…
← Previous segment →do you think? Because they're hurting public opinion and they're not getting what they wanted for it which is kill Hamas. So that's not ideal.
But if you have Netanyahu who is against the two-state solution and you've got Biden who wants one and of course we're going to have to get on the same page at some point, what do you do? Well let me give you a lesson in negotiating. If you have a situation which cannot be solved anytime soon your best bet... All right somebody's saying Israel isn't losing like that. I don't want to get into a dumb argument right. So let's see if I can say it in a way that you'll stop saying that. You don't know who's winning and losing because that depends on the final state and that's unknowable. You don't know if Israel will be forced by public opinion to slow down what they're doing which will leave Hamas intact which would definitely be losing. But you also don't know if Israel is just going to ignore public opinion and do whatever they need to do until they do win which they could. It's possible. So you can't say Israel is winning and you can't say Hamas is winning. You can say there's an argument for both situations. Are you okay with that? There's an argument for both but you don't know which way it's going to end. How would you? Well I'm going to give you a prediction based on the only way it could end. When there's only one way it can go it's not hard to predict. Would you agree? I don't think it was hard to predict where Ukraine and Russia would go. They would kill more people until they got tired and they would make some kind of agreement that looks sort of like the borders the way they are now. So you don't have to be a genius if there's literally only one way things can go. I mean you could say well it'll be a nuclear war but not really. It doesn't really look like it could be a nuclear war.
So here's the way I think Israel and Gaza is going to go. The two-state solution people will never give up. Netanyahu will not be able to stay in office and push his one-nation thing. Biden isn't going to say one nation. And here's what's going to happen. There's only one way to solve it. You make a 20-year deal and say here's the deal. We can't just hand it back to Hamas. You understand why. But we'll make a 20-year plan for a two-nation solution. If after 20 years the following security and let's say education of the people in those areas reaches certain criteria at that time we will look into turning you back over to Hamas or not Hamas probably but to the Palestinians to run it. Because after 20 years you've shown us that you can live with us in peace and not be a threat.
Now what would Biden say to that? Oh that's too slow. And then Netanyahu says it's all you're getting. All right we'll try to sell it. So then they can say this is the only plan because you know you can't do it in a day and you know you can't wait 100 years. So we're going to do the only productive thing we can which is to say look 20 years is reasonable because you got to change a lot and it's going to take 20 years especially educating the youth. So if Israel gets control of the curriculum in the schools such that they can actually brainwash the youth and they can reduce the number of terror attacks to whatever level they say is low enough that they're okay with it, at the end of 20 years they will definitely be open to that two-state solution.
Now what will really happen in the real world? First of all it would be hard to say no to that deal if it's the best one you can get. Because Israel is never going to agree to a two-state solution right off the bat. That's just stupid. Like even imagine that's going to be a serious conversation is crazy. But eventually you know they can make a claim that things can change. They can't make a claim that it would work today. That would be crazy. Literally crazy. So when you only have one thing you can do that's probably what's going to happen. So the one thing you can do is say we'll create some series of confidence building steps to get us to where we both would like to be. Because I don't think Israel would hate it if they got out of the business of protecting themselves from their neighbor. It just doesn't seem possible but if it could be done I think they'd like it. I don't think that they lust for extra land, you know expanding in this way. I don't think that's as much as I would like to just not have the problem at all. That's my guess.
So I'm going to predict that there will be a phased kind of approach. And oh yeah maybe the Abraham Accords will be wrapped into that as in you know if you guys can get along for a while then Saudi and Israel get along for a while and maybe help with the rebuilding. You could tie all that stuff together. But the important thing is Israel would have to know that they could say no after 20 years and then they would definitely say no after 20 years because there isn't a chance in the world that the Palestinians will stop their attacks. There's no chance of that, right? And if they poll the public and maybe one of the criteria is polling. Maybe one of the criteria is if we poll you you can't be 80 percent in favor of killing all of the people in Israel because we're not going to give you a state if that's the situation. So you know even though polls can be faked and whatnot they could say you're going to have to get public opinion down to some reasonable level of wanting to kill us before a two-state solution is even something we could take seriously. So yeah that's the only way to go. So therefore it will.
There's talk of a hostage deal. Hamas is saying they'll give back all the hostages if the fighting stops and Hamas can go back in charge of Gaza. That's not gonna happen. So these are all fake offers. So why is Hamas making a fake offer that they know will be turned down? So that it looks like they're negotiati
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ng. So it looks like they care about giving back the hostages. Yeah so it's a fake offer and Israel should match it with a fake offer of their own. Oh hey what I'll make you a deal. Can't give you that state right away but if you work with us, keep things safe for 20 years, yeah totally possible. All right that ladies and gentlemen is the end of my content. Tight and perfect I think for today. I'…
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