Back to episode — Episode 2587 CWSA 09/04/24
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at the same time allow these screaming signals to be there? Why would you do that? Well who knows. CNN says 15 percent of likely voters in six battleground states are still undecided. Now they're quite adamant that Pennsylvania is the most important of all the states. But do you believe that 15 percent of likely voters are undecided anywhere? Do you think that's really, is that true? 15 percent?…
← Previous segment →Trump was on Lex Fridman show and I don't know, I saw some things he said. I'm not sure he really made any news worth mentioning on that. But it's another example of Trump basically putting everything out there for you to look at. You know he's got four years of being president so we got to look at all of that. He's been the most researched, investigated person of all time so we've seen all of that. And then he'll go on any podcast and answer any question for as long as you want it looks like. So that you really know who he is. As Bill Ackman pointed out, Harris has done nothing close to that. Which means that you have one candidate who wants voters to know everything about him and the other candidate wants you to know nothing about her. Which one makes you feel comfortable? The one who is completely transparent or the one who is the opposite? It's amazing to me that we're accepting this as okay. And the Democrats are like oh now that you mention it having interviews is the dumbest thing in the world. We won't do any of it.
Okay, Kevin O'Leary was on CNN and he said this before but every time he says it I like hearing it just because it's a dose of truth. And because he said it on CNN he said quote I don't put companies in New York anymore or in New Jersey or California. Those states are uninvestable. I think he said Massachusetts right. So New York, Massachusetts, New Jersey, California. He calls them uninvestable because the policies are insane, the taxes are too high and the regulations are ridiculous.
Now I'm of the same opinion. I've told you this. I have this habit it's sort of a mental hobby I guess of thinking about what small businesses I could start locally. Like I'd really love to open a cat petting cafe where you could buy a ticket or be a member or something and it's a place you can take your laptop to, you know cafe setting, and it would be full of cats and you could pet them or you could ignore them or you could just be there where they are. But you would just sort of be in a place where there's a bunch of cats. And I think you know I don't know if I could make money on it but you know if I owned the building or something it wouldn't be too bad. It'd be fun just to hang out there.
And then I think oh no I live in California. You know why I wouldn't make a business in California? It's too hard. It's too hard. If I were in North Dakota there would already be a cat cafe. Like literally, truly I literally would have built the cat cafe if I lived in North Dakota because I would imagine the regulations would be less and if I made money I know taxes probably less. So yeah California is in my opinion without any exaggeration uninvestable. They really need to fix that. I don't know how long you can go being uninvestable. I mean the exceptions might be startups because if they work they work really well but traditional businesses I just don't know why you do it here. I agree with Kevin O'Leary.
There are two pollsters, both Southern. I don't know if that matters but they have Trump looking good in the polls now. A lot of the polls are showing that Harris is slightly ahead within the margin of error but Trafalgar is interesting because they were one of the top, traditionally they've been one of the top pollsters for presidential elections and they've got Trump winning with 296 electoral votes according to their best polling methods. Which would suggest that whatever momentum Harris got is over.
So the big story is not how Trump is polling. The big story is that there was just a Democratic National Convention. There was enormous media support for Harris and it didn't seem to move her polls. So she's probably, there's a really good chance that unless there's some big October surprise or something there's a really big chance they've already seen her peak. Because it's all good news when you first start right? It's just the glow of the honeymoon. But once the honeymoon wears off you're going to have to talk. You're going to have to have a debate. I think everything could be different after the debate but that might be giving people too much credit because I think that she could go up there and drool on the floor and she would only lose 5 percent of her support.
So if you look at how Biden did in his debate with Trump we all agree that he did terrible, terrible, terrible and that was the end of him. But what do people say after the debate? Democrats were pretty much still all in on him. Was it like a five point difference something like that right? That he only dropped like five points by showing he was brain dead in public. Just hold that in your head. Biden showed everybody in the whole world left and right. We all saw it and everybody had the same impression. Uh oh he's brain dead. It only cost him five points in the polls. Right now five is enough for a landslide because of our system but only five points. I'm just making that up from memory. So if Harris shows up and you can tell that she has a functional brain unlike Biden, if her brain functions but she just doesn't have a good debate I'm not sure that w
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ill move one vote. I really don't know that it'll make any difference because they really just wanted somebody who wasn't brain dead. You know we finally hit the limit of how low they would be willing to go. Well okay brain dead might be too far. I'm going to admit that not having a functioning brain okay that might be a standard we can agree on. But a simple bad debate I don't know might not chan…
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