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Episodes Episode #2596 Segments
NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

Back to episode — Episode 2596 CWSA 09/13/24

Context —

New Hampshire probably doesn't have a problem, but you read a story like this and it makes you think, whoa, probably those other states are doing some post-election audits too. Well, if they are, it's probably just as total. Meanwhile, Newsmax has to go to trial because they said some things that Smartmatic, the company that makes some machines, didn't like. The big problem here, it looks like al…

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can make them think about how they were done, they have uncritically accepted that these must be hoaxes if they're worrying about how they were done. And that is a very strong persuasion trick. It's one that Trump uses all the time in other contexts, so he knows how to use it. It's one of his best.

Meanwhile, World War III is kicking off. Save that for last. So apparently the news is saying that Blinken, Secretary of State Blinken, may have given Ukraine the green light to send some American-made missiles deep into Russia. As Putin has pointed out, there is no way that Ukraine could send these missiles deep into Russia unless they used NATO satellites, which would make it a NATO operation. And unless the NATO operators are the ones who actually sort of set up the missiles and probably push the button, because it isn't so easy just to hand these missiles to somebody and say hey, point them at Russia. Doesn't work like that. Apparently there's quite a bit that goes into making sure your missile goes to the right place, and it's unlikely that anybody except NATO people would be firing them. So says Putin. I'm not sure that's true, but that's what Putin says. And that would make it, as Putin is trying to warn us, that would make it a NATO attack on Moscow, which would be a red line, which would allow him to use nuclear weapons.

And you know, I'd still bet against him using nuclear weapons because he would die, right? If Putin uses nuclear weapons, Putin's going to be dead. There's no question about that. But so would a few billion other people. So I think it's the last thing he wants to do because he is rational. But man, here's what I would expect as a response. I think if an American missile hits Moscow—and they already have—but if it becomes more of a major attack on Moscow, I think he's just going to bulldoze Kiev. So obviously he's made major attacks on the capital before, but I don't think he's really concentrated on it. I mean he could send his entire army, his entire air force, just to turn it into rubble. And he might. And he wouldn't be wrong to do it in the context of war. Nothing's good in war. But in the context of war, if they do a strong attack on Moscow and he has the stronger military, if he wants to he can just destroy the capital of Ukraine and with no remorse. So I think that's more likely. So I think Kiev has to worry about what they're getting.

I suppose I did hear an opinion the other day that maybe Ukraine and maybe Israel would like to start more of a war, perhaps with Iran or Hezbollah, which is also Iran in a sense. But that it might be the very best time to start a war is right away because the United States is so distracted and disjointed at the moment that if you don't want a strong response from America, this would be the time to do it. Now I don't know. I do not embrace that to be true.

So I'd like to give a message to both Israel and Ukraine, because I know you're watching. If you take advantage of the United States when we're temporarily weakened, you better finish us off. Because if you take advantage just because we don't have our act together for a few months, whoever gets in power is going to make that right. And we're not going to be happy about it. So my warning to anybody who wants to take advantage of a little bit of unrest in the United States is we're not going to be unscathed, right? And we're not going to be happy about it. So I wouldn't mess with us when we've got some problems. That's going to come back 10 times stronger than you think. And I think that's just human nature. I'm not really saying anything that's some kind of brilliant strategy or geopolitical opinion. I'm just saying human nature. If you hit us when we're confused and down, we're going to be way madder when we get right. And we're going to get right pretty quickly, especially if you hit us. So if you want the United States to organize and be united for once, just hit us when we've got some trouble like during the election season. Yeah, you're going to pay for that. That's going to be the most expensive thing you've ever done. So just want you to know that.

Meanwhile, Russia has their own thermite-spewing dragon drones. So you saw that Ukraine has these thermite—it's basically fire-breathing drones. Now when you imagine how bad that would be, you think to yourself, well it's a little drone. How far can it throw fire anyway? I mean it seems like it'd have to get pretty close and it can't be that powerful. Oh yeah it can. Because it turns out that the way they're doing it is they're having the fire just use gravity. So in other words they just fly over something and there's something about this thermite that makes it basically almost like a solid. So the fire falls like a solid and it's some bad stuff. So really bad stuff.

So I'm seeing a comment: You suffer from the same idiot mindset most Western people do. You look at other people as if they like you. They are not. Russia is not susceptible to your big mouth. Never was, never will be. Well, you sound like an idiot. All right. See, you are somebody who doesn't understand how anything in the world works. You don't think that Russia and China are watching public opinion in the United States? You don't know how risk management works either. If I increase the risk profile of any action, it changes behavior. Maybe not in the end, but it changes the likelihood of behavior. So does Russia care about what Americans think? Yes they do, you idiot. Does Israel care about what Americans think? Yes they do, you idiot. They do, because our actio

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ns will determine a lot to them. Do we care about how they think? Yes we do, because it matters to us. To imagine that other countries don't give a what the United States thinks about vaporizing them with nuclear weapons is the dumbest thing I've seen all day. So great comment there. You're doing great. Anyway, I feel a little spicy today because I may have gotten enough sleep for the first time.…

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