Back to episode — Episode 650 Scott Adams - China, Hurricanes and More
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Let me say this about Hurricane Dorian. If you're a person who was hoping Hurricane Dorian would wipe out Mar-a-Lago because you think it would be awesome, you're a bad person. That's all I'm going to say. If you're disappointed that Mar-a-Lago is not going to get destroyed by Dorian, you're a bad person.
← Previous segment →Let me give you an update on China. As you know, China is the number one, by far the number one, exporter of fentanyl to this country, generally through Mexico. Now we have some competing information on this story. You will decide what is true and what is not.
So a Border Patrol official testified that the flow of deadly fentanyl from China has dropped precipitously. That's good, right? So the flow of deadly fentanyl from China has dropped a lot. Do you believe that? Whoa. What does that mean when we just captured enough fentanyl from China in Virginia, I think it was, that would be enough to kill 14 million people? And what about the 25 tons of fentanyl that we just caught off the coast of Mexico that was from China? Are we counting those two gigantic shipments that we caught as part of this precipitous decline in shipments? I have some questions. I don't believe it.
So here's something else. President Xi said he would do something to stop the fentanyl trade. He said he would make it illegal, make it a capital offense. And apparently there's some activity along those lines. So Lu Yujin, a narcotics commissioner, vice commissioner in the narcotics commission, told reporters that in May China began regulating all fentanyl-related drugs as a class of controlled substances.
So I don't know if that's enough. Does it count that they changed the law to take care of all the analogues, the things that are like fentanyl but just slightly different? So before they used to be legal because they were slightly different, and now they're illegal. Is that enough? And Lu noted that Chinese officials say the fentanyl deaths continue to rise despite increasingly strict controls on the Chinese side. Well, is that true? Are there increasingly strict controls? And Lu said that no fentanyl smuggling cases have been discovered between the US and China since the new measures were implemented.
What? And as the article notes, this was unscientifically, like I said, where officials in Virginia just found a whole bunch of it that they captured from China. So it sounds as though China is pretending to do something but not doing something. They're probably just shipping it through third countries. So in other words, if they say, "Oh yeah, the shipments from China to the United States, we're going to curb them," it might be way down. But they're way up if you count the stuff they shipped to Mexico that Mexico ships here.
But here's the canary in the coal mine. You should ignore everything that's said on this topic until this one person, I think his name is Zhang, is dead. Yeah, Zhang. I don't know if I'm pronouncing it right. Zhang is the biggest fentanyl dealer in China. We know his name. The United States has named him as the guy. And as far as I know he's still alive. If he's still alive, the biggest fentanyl dealer in China, they're not doing anything.
I want to see a story, a reliable story, that says that that guy by name is dead. You say he's been executed. Because if it's true that they've changed the laws to make it a capital offense, and that's not clear, it's not clear that they've changed it that much, then that guy should be dead by now. China works fast.
So I'm on record as saying that we are pushing on China, meaning the United States, the Trump administration, and they are tying it to trade negotiations and they should. China is embarrassed enough that they're doing something about it or pretending to, and they should. But it's all meaningless. It's all meaningless until that one guy is dead. Because until he's dead, it's obvious they're not really doing anything. It's obvious that it's just more China making promises they're not keeping.
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Speaking of promises they're not keeping, let's talk about Hong Kong. I have two predictions about Hong Kong. Number one, China can't lose in the long run. They might have to pull back. They might pretend they're pulling back. But remember, it's a long game and China has all the power and the influence. Eventually they'll do whatever they need to do to get full control of Hong Kong. I don't think…
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