Back to episode — Episode 2681 CWSA 12/06/24
Context —
and just replace the entire smartphone industry with some kind of AI phone that works on satellites? I feel like that could happen kind of quickly. So there's some new news on the large language models. Apparently somebody did in fact come up with a new algorithm dubbed calibration aware low precision decomposition. Okay doesn't matter what it's called but somebody found a way to massively change…
← Previous segment →, got gun expert. And then the very next gun expert says the opposite and then the very next gun expert. I feel like some of the gun experts are probably right but I can't tell which ones because I'm not a gun expert. So I feel like the gun experts are just one more example of you can't believe experts about anything.
But I'll tell you the things that sound more believable than others. Here's what I observed. I believe that he was experienced at using that weapon because he kind of quickly cleared it or reloaded it or racked it or whatever he had to do. He seemed to know that whatever the problem was was immediately fixable. So that would suggest that he had experience with the weapon.
I would disagree with anyone who says he's a professional hitman who has ever done this kind of work before because as one of the gun experts said if your job is just to be a professional hitman you would walk up to him, you'd put one bullet in his head and then you'd drop the weapon. I don't know if that still makes sense in today's ability to find DNA on anything but you know you probably would have done a head shot and then you would have left right away, maybe left the weapon there if it was untraceable and you didn't have any fingerprints on it.
But to me he didn't look like a professional. He looked like somebody who was prepared but not a professional. One of the shots apparently hit the CEO in the calf and I just don't see that being a professional job. I don't know how that happens.
Some people saying that the reason the gun appeared jammed or had to be reset was that there was some kind of crappy silencer on it and he didn't calculate that if he put a silencer on it the gun doesn't reset itself after every shot and they had to do it manually, blah blah blah. I don't know. It looks like just somebody who did a lot of homework and did a little practice.
But then there's a photo allegedly of the shooter with his mask down where he was allegedly flirting with somebody at some hostel and he had this big smile on his face and he looked kind of young and handsome and he looked like a particular movie star that I'm not going to mention. And I thought to myself I don't know, he just doesn't look like an angry person who was out to avenge maybe a family member who had a bad experience with insurance. He just sort of looked like he was having a good time. There's something wrong about all of it. I don't know what it is.
So some are saying it's not the same person and I think that's possible that it's not the same person although it looked like the same person. Yes and as the people in the comments have told me the .22 caliber, we think it was a .22 caliber, some of them are subsonic which would give him some problems with the instrument if that's what the problem was. So I don't know. We'll wait on that.
Did you know he was separated from his wife for a long time? So my first impression was her reaction didn't sound like a spouse. Like there wasn't enough anguish or something. But they've been separated for a while so you know maybe they weren't on ideal terms. That doesn't make her a suspect obviously but it would explain why she was a little less emotional than you would expect if they were living in the same house for the last several years anyway.
There's a new poll by JL Partners that says that Biden will be the worst president in modern history. Yeah I guess there were only nine presidents that were ranked but he was ranked last. Now can I take a victory lap? I'm pretty sure I've been saying he will be the worst president in history. Now I'm not the only one right so you can all take a victory lap too but I've been saying this for a while. I mean I think probably a year in I was saying he'll be noted as the worst president we've ever had. Here we are. So good prediction.
According to some kind of new study the government, only 6% of federal workers show up in person on a full-time basis. According to a Senate report 6% of federal workers work in the office. The rest work at home. Now I think they have requirements that they might come in once a month or something in some cases but basically work at home. And Elon Musk corrected it where they thought only 6% came to work. So Elon Musk decided that wasn't accurate enough so he posts this: if you exclude security guards and maintenance personnel the number is closer to 1%. 1%. I think we have a lot of extra buildings. It feels like.
Well according to Rasmussen poll 55% of US voters think that Trump has a mandate because he won convincingly. And of course that means that most Republicans say he has a mandate. And interestingly 32%, no yes something like 35% of Democrats agree he has a mandate. That's a lot actually.
Now here's what I think trying to put together the clues. So Trump likes dancing to YMCA which some have said is like a gay anthem. And now I think the YMCA people they say it's not a gay anthem but to the rest of the world it looks like a gay anthem. And then now we find out that Trump has a mandate. Let's see he has a gay theme music and he has a mandate. I think Trump's gay. No I'm just kidding. I'm just kidding. He's not.
All right there's a report Sky News is reporting that Elon Musk spent more than a quarter billion dollars getting Trump elected. It's funny a quarter billion dollars sounds like a lot of money doesn't it until you realize that Twitter was 44 billion. So for 44 billion he basically saved free speech and whatever we have left of a democratic process. For a quarter of a billion he may have pushed Trump over the finish line and gave us a chance of getting rid of some of the worst situations we've ever been in. So I'll tell you Elon Musk, he spends a lot of money but he sure spends it in good ways. That's like the best quarter billion ever spent.
All right David Sachs has been picked as the White House AI and crypto czar according to Trump. So here's the first part that's fascinating that there would be a czar over these two things that you think are unrelated, AI and crypto, but they're not because you know it just seems that those two worlds are going to come together in a variety of ways. But I love the fact that they combined them. It just feels kind of smart because if somebody's going to be your czar and advising you probably someone who's smart in both of these domains is a pretty good way to go.
So if you've watched the All-In Pod or you've been paying attention to politics you know that David Sachs is probably one of the smartest observers of American politics and one of the smartest people in the investment world. And having him on the most critical new technologies, god it feels good.
Have any of you had this feeling with a number of the appointments and a number of things that Trump's doing that it just feels like something special is happening? Like everything from Bezos kind of saying well you know let's give this a chance and Jamie Dimon saying similar things like hey let's give this a chance. But David Sachs, I mean the fact that there are people who have built really successful lives and don't need any of this trouble are willing to take on the biggest hardest tasks in the world to save the country. And it's no less than saving the country by the way because we're on a doom loop at the moment. And I couldn't be happier that the smartest, most capable and I think the least nefarious people we've ever seen in public life, because I don't think for a second that somebody like Sachs or Elon Musk is trying to figure out how to make money off of this. I mean they're really taking on hard jobs and I could not be more proud to be an American at the moment because this is what America looks like to me. The people who have the most capability doing their own thing until they're called upon and then dropping everything and going full on to help the country. So this just feels so right.
But there are a few other things. Ro Khanna, you might know him as a Democrat representative who more often than most Democrats says things that are common sense and that's almost why he's famous as a politician is that he'll sometimes say things that you say oh well that's just common sense. Yeah so he's now publicly said that he's ready to work and help the DOGE effort and Musk thanked him on X. So Ro Khanna again, common sense guy says you know this could work, how about if I help? This is amazing. This is just not what happens. You're seeing all the smart people go to the same team and you're seeing that they're treating it not like politics. Have you noticed that the political frame for all this just seems to have dissolved? Because you're taking people who used to be Democrats in many cases and active Democrats in some cases but they're working with Trump. This is amazing. I've never seen anything like this in my lifetime of observing America. This is the most optimistic I've ever felt. Just everything you'd want to be going in the right direction is.
Here's another one. Senator Fetterman goes on Joy Behar and said that the Hunter Biden situation was lawfare and so he approves of the pardon but then he went on in great detail to say that Trump's felony convictions were obviously lawfare and probably should be pardoned. And poor Behar has to listen to that and I think she didn't comment on it but here again here's a now prominent Democrat who is saying something about the Hunter case and the Trump case that I consider common sense. To me it's common sense that both of those had a political dimension on it and so therefore maybe you should be treated that way. So yeah Fetterman is just saying this is not political it's just common sense. You don't want to have lawfare. Yes yes thank you.
I think even Elon said he's liking Fetterman more every day. I say the same but only when he's talking common sense which he likes to do so I appreciate it.
Meanwhile let's see the opposite of common sense. Let's see Joy Reid on MSNBC. She compared the state of Tennessee who didn't want to give gender altering care to minors compared it to Nazi Germany. So if you don't give minors surgery that will change them for the rest of their life even if they change their minds when they're older you're like Nazi Germany.
Now I say this every day but it's true. The best laugh I have every morning is just watching actual MSNBC coverage with no commentary, just a clip. And I just laugh like people actually watch that. That's pretty funny.
All right here's a sketchy one. Apparently according to the George account on X a coalition of black churches that represent as many as 28 million black Americans issued a letter to MSNBC demanding that they fire Al Sharpton and investigate the payments because you know the story. Al Sharpton received half a million dollars from Kamala Harris's campaign before he interviewed her and didn't disclose that which is big no-no.
So do you believe that a coalition of black churches on their own decided to send the letter to MSNBC suggesting that a prominent black commentator Al Sharpton should be investigated or fired? Do you believe that? Here's what they say. Sharpton does not have a degree in journalism and it undermines the career of black men and women who have more experience than journalism integrity. Well does anybody really care that he doesn't have a degree in journalism? Or correct me if I'm wrong but isn't the media world full of people who didn't have a degree in journalism doing journalism? I thought it was the most common thing. Bob Woodward the Watergate guy, Bob Woodward, did he have a degree in journalism? I don't know. I don't think so.
But anyway here's what I think. I think this story is too on the nose. Doesn't sound organic and sounds like maybe some people at a black church are receiving some money from somebody who's got a Republican bias. To me this doesn't sound real. It doesn't sound like it's organic. It's real but it's not organic. I don't think that they sat around and said you know what this Al Sharpton guy is bad for black Americans we better weigh in on this important issue because we've already solved all the problems with people's souls and getting to heaven and all that. We got that taken care of but what we really need to take care of is that MSNBC has somebody who's not experienced as a journalist. Really? Do you believe that that's an organic thing that they just came up with? No. I would place a large bet that that's not organic.
All right so Jordan Neely's father is going to sue Daniel Penny no matter what happens in the criminal trial. Wow that's right. Jordan Neely's father. So the guy who got, well who died when Daniel Penny was restraining him or he died after the restraint actually. So that Daniel Penny even if he gets off and I guess it's the third day or so of deliberation so sounds like a hung jury to me. Even if he gets off on the legal part he will still be sued and probably lose because the standard for that is different. You just have to get a majority and probably in New York it's probably not hard to just get a majority who just thinks he shouldn't have done it. It's better I just don't comment on this one. Isn't it? Let me do this. I'm going to send you my opinion through ESP. I'm sending it. I believe you're picking it up. Yes yes I'm getting a confirmation. Yes you have all accurately identified my opinion. Good. I guess we can move on.
Well you heard that story that Mexico seized like a ton of fentanyl, the biggest haul ever. And so people are saying oh it's the Trump effect so now Mexico is going to get tough on the cartels. So what's missing with the story? What's missing with this story? So Mexico seized a ton of fentanyl and you know it's enough to kill a billion people or whatever. What's missing with the story? Let's see how well I've trained you because this is something I talk about all the time. There's something wrong with the news story. They found a ton of fentanyl. What's missing? What percentage is that? How many times have I had to say this story is leaving out the important part? Different stories. Sometimes they leave out the percentage sometimes they leave out the raw number. Anytime somebody leaves out either the percentage or the raw number it's propaganda.
So I don't know is a ton of fentanyl a lot? It's a lot if you look at the raw number which is the only thing they gave us. But was that 90% of all the fentanyl coming into America because that would be impressive? Was it 1% of all that's coming into America because that would be nothing? Is it a lot but it's so easy to make it that by the end of the day they'd already reproduced that amount of supply and sent it out? If you don't know those you don't even know if this is anything. You actually can't even tell if this is good news or just sort of news. You don't know. This probably made no difference at all in the supply after two weeks because they could probably just, I bet they could reproduce this in two weeks. Probably no difference at all. But it could be a political response to Trump so it might actually be because of Trump but I wouldn't be confused that anything has happened with fentanyl. There will be no difference in fentanyl deaths because of this.
All right Obama is speaking at some event and correct me if I'm wrong but has Obama become the person who just makes everything worse? I think Obama came to believe his own publicity which is to say that since he would be considered a successful president especially by Democrats, two terms, got overwhelmingly reelected, so historically if you were a historian you'd say very successful. But do you think that he believes he was successful because he was smart or does he not know that maybe it was his charisma and there was just something about his personality and the time in history where people said yeah let's I want a black president. You know I said that. I remember when he first ran I thought you know I'm obviously I'm anti-DEI like crazy. You couldn't be more anti-DEI than I am. But at the same time I live in the real world and if we could get past that you know can a black man be president? And the answer is yes. That just feels healthy because then we don't have to prove it again because we could say oh okay that's a good symbol for everybody and you know it's a good sign for everything. So I was in favor of it.
But I don't think that Obama realizes that maybe he never had any good ideas. It was always about him because now when he talks he's doubling down on this identity stuff. So I saw a clip where he's talking about all of his identities. He goes you know we all have multiple identities. I'm a 63-year-old African-American man, husband, father, Christian, writer. As others pointed out he didn't mention that he's half white. That was not part of his identity but it's his identity so he gets to be whatever he identifies about I guess.
But doesn't that sound to you like he doesn't understand anything that's happening in politics at the moment? Like why would he even be talking about all of his identities? That was what lost everything. The identity messaging is what made the entire Democrat Party completely destroyed because once Trump created an alternative which was common sense, when you compare common sense to identity politics those are not close. And of course the public picked common sense over identity at this time. So I really think he maybe is fooled by thinking that he was a brilliant president. He's a smart guy but I don't think any of his presidential success was because of his brilliance. I think it was him as a personality. He was a special personality. He's very good at it. So certainly as a politician he's one of the best.
All right David Hogg who you know as an anti-gun activist. He's one of the survivors of the Parkland shooting right? He is apparently noodling with the idea of running, trying to run the Democrat party. So he might want to run the DNC because he thinks he can fix the problem of what he thinks is the party's main problem of talking down to voters.
Now first of all has he accurately identified the problem with the Democrats? Do they talk down to their voters? Well yes yes they do. Yep yeah it's a bunch of elites talking to each other. So yes David Hogg has correctly identified that they have become an irrelevant party talking to themselves basically.
And he said this. This is what Hogg said quote "I think the main one overall the main problem with the Democrats is that we would rather live in a comfortable delusion than an uncomfortable reality." Wow is he escaping from The Matrix? I feel like he's got one foot out because if he realizes that the Democrats are living in a comfortable illusion and that the Republicans are maybe in more of an uncomfortable reality, what does uncomfortable reality sound like to you? Common sense right? They're not the same but if you allow yourself to live in the uncomfortable reality then you can apply your common sense to the reality and get a better result. If you're living in a comfortable delusion your common sense won't help you at all because there's nothing to apply it to because you're living in an illusion.
To me this is like kind of a seriously important insight coming from somebody who was right in the middle of the Democrat world. I'm very optimistic about that. Now he of course is pro-Democrat and would like to help them be competitive but I feel like he's just one layer away from agreeing that DOGE is a good idea and that maybe we should be in fewer wars you know like almost Republican now. He's never going to be okay with the gun part of being a Republican and that's fine. You know I don't mind that the country has different views as long as they have some kind of common sense and you know there's a philosophical good intention behind it. So he has good intentions. Clearly a smart organized guy. Went to Harvard I think. Smart guy. But I love hearing this. He says the party needs to open its eyes and take its fingers out of its ears basically. Yeah that is actually exactly correct.
So I think you're seeing the smartest people in the Democrat Party, the Fettermans, the Ro Khannas and maybe David Hogg. You know he might surprise you. He's never going to be Republican but wouldn't it be good to have Democrats who if they got elected could apply some common sense?
Here's a story that might tell you something about the future. Did you know that there are 11 media outlets that are local, I guess they're local newspapers, that are owned by one entity that doesn't even try to be news. They're just a Democrat activist organization. So it's not just fake news it's actually their business model. They're not even trying to be real news. Their purpose I believe it's stated is to influence politics through local news. And apparently a lot of their funding is coming from the Soros organization, 15 million in 2023 which is way up from prior years.
And here's how this scheme works. So as you know you're probably thinking but Scott nobody reads local newspapers how in the world does that make any difference at all? Here's what they do. The local news publications would advertise their own publication which is legal of course and of course they would show an example of some of their work. So they would buy Facebook ads and then show an example of one of their articles and this would be an advertisement for their platform except that they would only show anti-Trump pro-Democrat examples. So when you thought you were looking at an advertisement for just local news you were being brainwashed by looking at some negative story about a Republican. So this is pretty clever that they take a sort of an unwatched useless media entity, the local news. I don't even know anybody who reads a local newspaper. Do you know anybody who's ever read a local newspaper in the last year? I think we have one. You know Dilbert used to be in the local newspaper but I haven't even seen one or held it in my hand in 10 years. So yeah that's a pretty clever trick to use the fake advertisement as really just a political brainwashing.
Meanwhile over in Syria Joel Pollak is reporting for Breitbart that the IDF is sort of staying out of the fight in Syria. So you might know that there are some rebels that are trying to take over the government of Syria and the rebels seem to include some extremists. So the rebels include people America likes but also people that want to destroy America and Israel. The same situation. Some of the people trying to destroy the Syrian government which Israel doesn't love are also people that Israel doesn't love. So there's so many bad guys over there that they're not taking sides. So that seems smart.
But here's what's interesting. Apparently the rebels are being unusually successful and it looks like it's because Iran and Russia may be stretched a little too far with what they're doing elsewhere. So it may be that Syria being sort of a client of Iran and Russia is now unprotected and it's the very right time in the world to back some military to take him over if that's what you wanted to do.
But I think there's a bigger play here. I think that this is all related to Ukraine and Hamas and Hezbollah and Iran and I feel like what it's doing is creating another variable for negotiation. So I've told you that I think what Trump's going to do, Trump administration, is I think he's going to go for a base clearing home run. Typically politicians will say what do you think we can negotiate and they'll think well probably the best we can do is a temporary ceasefire that won't hold. Okay well if that's the best we can do let's go do that and then they get a temporary ceasefire that doesn't hold.
I think Trump is so much smarter than that that he will throw into the negotiations just a whole bunch of different things so everybody will first of all get confused because it'll become complicated and when people get confused they look for the person who's the most certain. In any kind of confusing situation whoever speaks with the most certainty just absorbs all the attention because you want the certainty. So if Trump creates this massive negotiating playing field in which we're talking about what do you do about Gaza, what do you do about Hezbollah, how about Lebanon, what's our situation with Ukraine, what are we doing with Crimea, what about a warm weather port? What if Trump says here's the deal we want a big peace. We want to settle all of our issues with Russia. We want to settle all of our issues with Iran and we don't want these proxies to ever bother us again. So we'll make a big deal. If you give us a lot but it'll be good for everybody. I think this is doable and I don't think I would have ever said this before. It's only because all the right people are in place again. The same situation as the Abraham Accords. You don't get the Abraham Accords unless the leaders who happen to be there at the same time are all dealmakers and that's happening again. It's all dealmakers. It's the best dealmakers in the entire region. Putin's a dealmaker right? Iran is always a dealmaker. I mean you have different problem with trusting them of course but Iranians are dealmakers and obviously Netanyahu obviously. Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia. They're all dealmakers. So this is the time. This is the time to get the big one. The one that gets rid of the risk of nuclear war. The one that settles borders. Maybe it gets funding for the people who have been displaced. I think the big one's coming and it might be so big that it's just breathtaking and it might be so big that it just changed how you even frame the whole situation.
So I've said a million times that Russia should be a natural ally of the United States. The argument against that than being a natural ally is that the United States is a predatory country and we can't have any competition. So wherever we can we conquer and control and try to dominate every country that could be a problem to us which is clearly what we're trying to do with Ukraine and with Russia. So could you make a deal where Putin would say you know what I'd actually be better off with that deal. I'm good with that. Or is the United States unable to make peace because that's not what we do? I mean the last time we made a deal with Russia didn't we, weren't we the ones who broke the deal with Ukraine because I'm pretty sure that we promised that Ukraine would not be eligible for NATO and then I believe it was the United States who went back on that. So I think that the obstacle to peace is probably that the United States only wants fake peaces so that they can conquer everybody they can conquer and control every market they can control and especially control energy. Controlling energy is the number one thing you have to control.
So is it possible that Trump could make a deal that the entire military industrial complex would say you know what that actually works for us? Probably a minimum you'd have to do is show that the people who make weapons can make as much money with or without a peace and I think you could do that because Trump and Reagan both did a smart thing. They both said we're going to build up our peacetime military. Because if you're the one selling the weapons a war is a good way to make money but if somebody says I'm going to massively build up your peacetime military then maybe you say oh well I guess we don't need a war. So I do suspect that we create a lot of wars and maybe if we can find a way that everybody makes money without the war just by being prepared in case there is one I don't know maybe you could sell that. Maybe you could. We'll see.
So I'm super optimistic that common sense is broken out everywhere. I heard Bill Maher on some clips recently who repeats common sense as the thing that we need, that Democrats need to stop arguing against basically. So he said stop arguing against common sense. You know you could still be Democrats but don't argue against common sense. And that's coming from a lifelong Democrat. So I believe common sense is breaking out everywhere. I think DOGE is going to be the biggest greatest thing ever. Boy is it going to get messy though. W
Context —
ow. And I'd love to see what's going to happen with Social Security and you know the things that are seemingly impossible to cut. I think we'll probably figure out how. Boots on the ground. What's that about? History is fake. Yeah history is mostly fake. Yeah we have not played well with that. That's true. All right. Oh taking out Iran's nuclear facilities from there. Yeah so you know the thing w…
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