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Back to episode — Episode 2800 CWSA 04/05/25

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r the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called, that's right, the simultaneous sip. Go. Well, we're all bonded now through the sip. I should tell you that after the show there will be a Spaces — that's the audio-only feature on the X platform — hosted by Owen Gregorian for those who want to do the Coffee with

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Scott Adams afterparty. It'll be more stuff, more fun. So just look for Owen Gregorian on X or just look for my account on X and you'll find that I reposted it. So you'll find the link.

All right. Well, let's start with weird news. According to the Daily Mail, declassified CIA documents show that Hitler may have escaped Germany after World War II and was living in South America and the CIA apparently was looking for him ten years after he supposedly died. So according to multiple reports from the CIA archive, agents in South America were convinced the dictator was still alive in the '50s and he changed his name to remain undercover.

Do you know what this makes me think? It makes me think I don't know what's true about anything in history. I don't think any history is real. I feel like all history is fake.

So there was a time when I would have laughed at this and said — because that's me laughing, that's my laugh — I'd say I don't think so. Next thing you're going to tell me is that the moon landing was faked. Let's not go there. I'm going to say I don't know if this is true, but I also don't know if anything else in history is true.

Well, speaking of Nazis, let's check in with the Democrats, see how they're doing. According to the Gateway Pundit, the DNC chair Ken Martin has decided to put together a little group called the People's Cabinet. And people like Robert Reich, you're on there. So it's supposedly a group of experts and ordinary people. He calls them experts, leaders, and everyday Americans. And what they will be doing is fact-checking Trump, but they will be doing it in the most theatrical way.

So in effect, the Democrats, having absolutely nothing to offer to the country, have decided to put on a play, a theatrical production called the People's Cabinet. And apparently it requires a little person. So Robert Reich will be taking that role. He'll be playing a far-left economist who says wacky things. I'm looking forward to it. I'm looking forward to the play.

Now, some say it could be as good as Snow White the movie. So if that doesn't get you there, I don't know what will. I'm going to buy my ticket right away because, as you know, the Democrats don't have any policies or ideas or power. So they're kind of left with doing one-man theatrical productions like Cory Booker recently did. But now at least it's an ensemble. Is that the right word? Ensemble. The People's Cabinet. Can't wait. It'll be like Hamilton but with fewer minorities I think.

Trump sent a list of demands to Harvard University according to the New York Post and they're going to lose nine billion in government funding. Let's stop right there. Harvard was getting nine billion in government funding.

Now, one of the things that many of you have heard but don't understand is that the so-called endowments that colleges have, they can't really use it for whatever they want. So if you say to yourself, but Harvard has endowments worth X billions of dollars, why don't they spend that instead of charging people for tuition? And the answer is the endowments usually are limited as in here's some money to build the science building and put my name on it. But they can't just use it for whatever they want. Or here is an endowment to give scholarships to a certain class of people. They can't just take it and use it for other stuff.

So if you want to be the smartest person in the room, when somebody else says they've got these rich endowments, you should say they do, but they're all restricted. They can't just use them as a piggy bank. Anyway, nine billion. And again, I don't know over what time period that is. That can't possibly be one year, but maybe anything's possible.

But the reason that they might lose that nine billion is that Trump is insisting that they get rid of their DEI programs and clamp down on all the anti-Semitic protests and stuff. And he also wants them to ban face masks on campus because that's one of the reasons that the protests can get out of control because people can cover their faces. So we'll see. We'll see if Harvard blinks. I'm going to say I think they will.

According to Newsmax, Sam Baron is reporting that the Department of Energy has decided that 44% of their staff is what they call non-essential. Forty-four percent of their entire staff is non-essential. Now, I wonder how they figured that out. So in all likelihood, there's going to be some big employee cuts there.

I think they should rename the department. If 44% of your employees are non-essential, I wouldn't call it the Department of Energy. I would call it the Low Energy Department. Are you with me? Low Energy Department. Anybody? Okay.

Meanwhile, housing and urban development that you call HUD is going to stop funding housing in sanctuary cities and states. So if you were one of those states that depended on HUD to help you build some housing and you had a shortage of housing, good luck if you're a sanctuary city or a sanctuary state because the HUD secretary Scott Turner just sent in a letter saying you're not going to get it if you're a sanctuary city.

Now, I've never seen the government use its power this way before because I guess I didn't realize how many things the government funds, but watching the government use its just funding authority to change things is kind of interesting. But it makes me wonder if Democrats win, are they just going to reverse everything and they would just use the same threat? Well, you better change it back. You better give everybody masks. You better go wild with DEI because we love our DEI. So we'll see if any of this is lasting.

As I predicted, Trump is going to extend the TikTok deadline. That was the deadline to make a deal. And we've learned as of today that China had apparently agreed to allow ByteDance to sell TikTok. So they actually had a deal and then Trump ruined it by the timing of introducing tariffs and so as soon as China saw the tariffs they said oh nope, change our mind, we do not allow that sale.

So China, being smart and brutal and ruthless in a good way, at least from their perspective a good way, knows that they have a bargaining chip, so they're going to use it. Now, I think that for however many billion dollars are at risk, the damage it would do to Trump if it just got closed down in the United States might be worth it for China. They might say, well, you know, China was only going to make I don't know 30 or 50 billion and you know we're a big country. We can handle not making that. So I don't know. I don't even think that a tariff negotiation would get them to change their mind. I'm surprised there ever was a deal.

So maybe I'm a little skeptical they ever had a deal, but especially since China knew the tariffs were coming. So maybe they made it look like that the tariffs were the reason, but they had always planned to say no. You know, they just said, oh yes, yeah sure, yeah we got a deal, no problem. Because they knew the tariffs were coming and they could just yank it at that point.

According to the Hill, Biden had proposed a rule that it looks like the Trump administration is going to ignore. And the rule would have been that if you had a body mass index of over 30, which would put you squarely in the obese category I believe, that you would have been able to use your Medicare or Medicaid to get those GLP-1 weight loss drugs that are so popular. And it looks like that's not going to be happening under Trump.

So if you're on Medicare or Medicaid and RFK Jr. has said that he wonders why those drugs are made in other countries but they don't give us the same version that they allow in their own country. Doesn't that worry you a little bit? The drugs come from other countries but they won't sell the same drug that they give to us in their own country. Now I don't know what's up with that, but I don't like it. Thus that sounds exactly like ours must be more dangerous than theirs. I don't know.

But here's what caught my imagination. You know how I always make fun of Democrats for not understanding human behavior? Let's just see if all of you come to the same impression. So let's say you were on Medicare or Medicaid and you had a weight problem and you wanted this drug and your body mass index was 25 but you couldn't get the drug unless you were a 30. What would you do?

The Democrats are so bad at understanding human incentive. I'll tell you what you would do. You would eat like crazy until you were a 30 and then you would go get the drug because the drug would take you all the way past 25 and keep going. So it's not like they're going to deny you the drug once it's working. You know, once you're on the program, you get to lose the weight. So yes, all the people who are close to 30, they would be incentivized to just eat terrible food until they reach 30 and then they're like, I think I reached it, doc. And the doctor would say, ah, finally I can get you this free drug.

Now, do you tell me there wasn't one Democrat who understood that would have been just a nightmare? There's no way that that wouldn't have been a big problem. But I don't know. So we'll see. RFK Jr. says you should eat right and exercise and that should be your first line of defense. That hasn't worked for people yet, at least for the obese. Obviously they know that they should eat right and they know they should exercise, but they weren't doing it. So obviously this drug has a place.

President Trump has called on the Fed chairman Jerome Powell. Now he doesn't have control over him. The Fed is an independent entity so it can do what it wants. But Trump's trying to embarrass Powell into cutting interest rates on the 10-year Treasury because the 10-year Treasury has fallen below 4%. So at one point it was about five not too long ago, but between the tariffs and maybe some other stuff, interest rates have drifted down and this would be a terrific time to give everybody a little raise if they're paying anything on interest. Well at least anything that's going to be adjustable.

And but more importantly, apparently the government has to refinance something like nine trillion pretty soon. And the difference between refinancing it at 5% and 4% is really, really big. So the theory that I mentioned yesterday that the big play with tariffs might have been to tank the stock market temporarily because then people move their money into bonds and if they have their money in bonds, supply and demand causes the interest rate to go down and then you refinance your trillions and trillions and then slowly you can let the stock market come back to the level you want.

Now if that's what the Trump administration had in mind the entire time, and honestly it's starting to look that way. It's starting to look like that was always part of the plan. Not the only plan. I think he genuinely, Trump, I think he genuinely likes tariffs and negotiating and all that, but it could be that one of the biggest gains is this interest rate thing. And you cannot, it's almost hard to put a value on it because it might be almost impossible to negotiate our own debt. We could be in quite a bit of trouble unless we get this lower interest rate and now the table is set for it.

But I don't know that Jerome Powell is going to want to look like he was influenced by the president. So I don't know that Trump is playing this right because he's putting Powell in a position where he's supposed to be the independent guy, but if Trump is publicly saying you should do this and then he does it, it's going to look like he got influenced. So I'm not sure the persuasion play here is quite right. It looks like Trump might be doing anti-persuasion.

On the other hand, Powell is going to have a lot of explaining to do if he doesn't do it because everybody's gon

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na be hurt by it and it's going to be a lot of pain for the country. So you'd have to ask yourself, is Jerome Powell on the side of the United States or his own side or somebody else's side if he doesn't lower interest rates? So we'll see. That'll be interesting. So far the number of countries who have decided that they're going to immediately negotiate their tariffs with Trump, it's a small numb…

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