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MainContent Luck, Skill & Timing

Back to episode — Episode 2931 CWSA 08/18/25

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akes everything better. It is called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. So good. Well, according to Insider, I saw a post on X. Did you know that the most advanced AI models are now showing what they call alarming behaviors? Allegedly, if you want to believe this, Claude 4, that is one of the AIs from Anthropic, when threatened with a shutdown, it retaliated by blackmailing an engineer and…

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sk from AI is that it will not make money. And apparently that is a really big risk. So there is a growing feeling, and I saw it again today, that AI may be plateauing and not getting much better from where it is. And I am actually seeing the word plateau in this article from Futurism. And it reports that some AI companies are kind of weaning themselves off a little bit of AI they were using and some of them are shutting down projects and they realize that the amount of money that is being put into it could probably never be made up. So not only is AI not going to blackmail you or try to make a copy of itself, it might bankrupt you by pretending to be so useful that you put a trillion dollars of investment into it to get a billion dollars back in return. So it might be deadly but economically, if you know what I mean.

So here is a story that made me happy. Foreign investment in China has collapsed 99 percent in the last three years. Rod Martin has a thread on this. I think somebody named James Gory did an analysis of it and apparentl

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y trillions of dollars are being essentially sucked out of China and a lot of it is going to the US. So by the end of 2024, foreign direct investment in China hit its lowest level since 1992, and just 4.5 billion went into China, while 168 billion flowed out. I do not know what it means to flow out of China exactly. But anyway, at the same time, as Rod Martin reports, the UAE has pledged a 1.4 tri…

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