Back to episode — Episode 2972 CWSA 09/28/25
Context —
rising anti-aging potential? So if you eat cocoa, your inflammation markers will drop and you'll be happy. And if you're smart enough to combine your cocoa with your coffee, you can live forever. I think that's what science says. You will live forever. All right. Science. Well, I wonder if there's any science that they didn't need to do. They could have just asked me. Oh, in PsyPost, Eric Nolan.…
← Previous segment →ough 30 seconds together to, hey, got a two-hour movie. But it turns out that nobody's been able to do that. The technology just sort of doesn't look like it will. Honestly, it doesn't look like it'll ever be there. So maybe it will, you know, you hate to bet against technology, but maybe.
So but they have problems with copyrights and all kinds of things. And then they're trying to overlay the AI on top of the regular human jobs that they already are associated with. Can you imagine all the people who knew that if the AI made a proper movie that they and all their friends that work with them would lose their jobs? How hard are they going to work to make sure that the AI can make a good movie? It seems to me that all the people who have a job that would lose their job if AI could make a movie are not the ones who should be implementing it. But I'll bet they were because, you know, big organization, you know, you don't fire everybody to do the new thing. You see, if you can get the people that you have working there to implement the new thing. How excited do you think they were about doing that? And how capable were they to implement AI? Not excited, not capable. So not too surprised that after one year they might give up on that.
Well, do you know how I keep telling you that I don't really believe there's a TikTok deal? Even though it's announced, even though we've heard details, I'm not so sure there's really a TikTok deal because China, you've heard of China? Well, now CNBC's Dylan B. is writing that Beijing has been what he says is conspicuously quiet about the TikTok deal. In other words, we don't have confirmation from China really that there's a deal now. Do you think that China would just decide to be quiet about it? Does that make sense to you? Or is it more likely that they're going to yank that football away from Trump yet again after he's announced the deal so that he looks weak and pathetic and it looks like he doesn't know what he's doing? I don't know. Maybe the deal will happen, but at the moment I'd say it's a coin flip. It's probably 50-50. So don't get too excited about a TikTok deal. It may or may not happen.
According to Interesting Engineering, China has created quite a few robots in the last year. Now, mostly these would be factory robots, you know, the big one-arm robot, not a humanoid robot, but guess how many robots China has built and implemented in one year. Before you guess how many China has done, I'll tell you how many the United States has done. So these are just factory robots, again, just the big one-arm thing usually. So American factories have installed 34,000 of these robots in the past year. Now that's impressive. 34,000 robots implemented. Yeah, they're actually in action right now. Let's see how China did. 300,000. Oh well, suddenly that 34,000 doesn't sound so big.
I feel like China has a bigger problem than we do because doesn't that mean that 300,000 people don't have a job? That's kind of what that means, right? You know, at least it's not one-to-one, but I don't know how China survives because they have to go robotic to be competitive, but where is everybody going to work? Well, they'll figure it out.
Well, Google's DeepMind, the Meta chief Yann LeCun, he thinks that AGI, the really super general intelligence version, which would be way different than the current AI, it would be the good one where it can actually think and it doesn't hallucinate and all that stuff, thinks that might be five to 10 years away.
Now, those of you who have spent even one minute in the real world, what does it really mean when somebody says something might be five to 10 years away? What's the way to interpret that? Well, let me tell you. Let's take a page out of the nuclear fusion. How long has nuclear fusion been five to 10 years away? 30 or 50 years, maybe 50 years. It's been five years away now. It might actually be five years away now because they've actually greenlit some fusion plants. But if you look at the total history of how long they've been saying it's five years away, it's about 50 years, right? Some saying in the comments, some say 60 years, something like that.
So when Meta says, and this is somebody who is in the middle of it so he would know, when they say five to 10 years I hear we don't know how to do it and nobody has any idea when we'll figure out how to do it. It's one thing if it's just an engineering problem or they just have to train it more. But that's not anything that has to do with what's holding up AGI. They just don't know how to do it like at all. Nobody knows how to do it. So why would you even be able to guess that you'd be able to do a thing that you don't know how to do and you don't even know the path to get there? How could you predict it would be five to 10 years? On what basis would you predict that? Yeah. It'd be like saying we're gonna have an anti-gravity car in five to 10 years. No, we don't have any idea how to do it. No, nobody has any idea how to do it. But five to 10 years because they're working on it really hard. Yeah, that's what it sounds like.
Meanwhile, in other AI news, Elon Musk's xAI is accusing OpenAI, their big competitor, of stealing trade secrets by hiring away their staff. Now, if you were one of these real high-end AI experts, wouldn't you take a job and then make sure you got poached away for way more money? It feels like nobody should take a job and then just keep it because they're all being poached, you know, all the good ones. So no matter what salary you negotiated or compensation, you should go there. You should work one year until you know all their secrets and then you should let yourself get poached because you're probably talking about a hundred million dollars. You know, who in the world is gonna say, oh, I think I'll use my corporate loyalty instead of taking a hundred million dollars?
Well, let me give you some advice that I've given many people, young people usually, when they're trying to figure out, I wonder if I should quit my current job. I've got this great offer, but I feel like, you know, I told my current employer that I would stay here and not be a job hopper, so I don't know. I think I can't take that promotion and raise at that other company. And then they say to me, but that's the right decision, right? Because I want to be a good person, you know? I want to be true to my word. If I said I would stay here for a few years, I don't want to leave for money. And I look at them and say, you don't owe them a thing. Do you think they wouldn't fire you in a heartbeat if they had any good reason, as in it would make more money if they fire you? Of course they would. You owe them nothing. If it's good for you to quit that job and take another job, you should quit that job and take another job every time. There's no ambiguity there. You are working for you. You're not working for your boss. You're working for your next job. You know, I put that in one of my books that your job is not your job. Your job is to get a better job. The moment you think your job is your job, you're trapped. As soon as you go, oh, this is a stepping stone, and I'm going to step as fast as I can step. Just as fast as I can. So that's the advice I give to people. It's good advice.
All right. Sam Altman in an interview recently said he thinks that just because AI will bec
Context —
ome incredibly intelligent and have all these abilities, he says it will not become the center of the human story. Now what he means by that, he said, quote, we're wired to care about people not machines. Now, I saw a quote from Naval the other day. This seemed to me, I think, I'm not sure. I can't read either of their minds, but I think is in the same direction, which is to say that we will care…
Next segment → →