Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive May 24, 2026
Scott Adams Philosophy Archive
Search ideas
Episodes Episode #3019 Segments
MainContent Cognitive Reframing

Back to episode — Episode 3019 CWSA 11/15/25

Context —

of all obsessed with not having a problem with my hands and that I would have two separate problems at the same time. They had nothing to do with each other. What are the odds of that? Because I'll bet not one of you wakes up in the morning worried about your hands. I'm the only one. The only one worrying about it. And both hands got taken out at the same time by completely different situations.…

← Previous segment →

ent has become a confusopoly.

Now, why does that work so well for the politicians? Because the politicians only have to confuse you to stay in power. If they did not confuse you, then you would know exactly what they were promoting and you might even know if it worked or it didn't work. That's no good. The politicians don't want you to be able to measure their effectiveness because you would measure it maybe less than they would. So they'd rather have a big confusing situation where both sides could say they have the better health care plan, both sides could say they've got the better idea for bringing down prices, right? So as long as both sides can make claims that are confusing and you can't discern what's true, then everybody can stay in power.

So confusion is not an accident in government or in business. Confusion often, probably more often than any other reason, is for the purpose of making you unable to discern what's going on. That's its purpose.

Anyway, I was waiting for either Jonathan Turley or Dershowitz to weigh in on this British broadcasting story. Trump is apparently going to sue them for I don't know, a billion dollars. He hasn't decided yet. Probably be a lot. And Turley says that he disagrees with friends and colleagues who have suggested that this would be an easy case to prove in a US court. So what would be proven or not is Trump would say that they defamed him. I guess that's the right word, defamed. And that they did it intentionally. So the intentional part or at least they should have known. I think that ends up being the same. It's either intentional or you should have known it was going to happen. I think they both apply.

But this is legal stuff. I'm not good at it. So listen to your podcasters who have also been lawyers because it turns out there's a lot of them. There's a lot of podcasters, especially on the right, who at one point were lawyers. I guess they're still lawyers. But do you agree? Do you think it would be difficult to make the case? I believe it might be nearly impossible. So I'm going to agree with Turley, which I always do, by the way. You know, full disclosure, if I had a different opinion than Jonathan Turley on a legal question, I would immediately abandon my position. The minute I found out he had a different opinion, I'd be like, "What's his opinion?" Okay, that's my opinion now. Same with Dershowitz. I would just abandon my opinion immediately if they disagreed.

But I also think that the problem here is not that it happened. That part will be easy to demonstrate and not that they didn't know about it. They might be able to prove that whoever did it was completely aware of what they were doing in the sense that they knew it wasn't an exact quote. But I think you have to go further to make your case. And I believe you have to show that you intentionally were trying to cause damage. As far as I know, there's no document that shows that, right? Is there any BBC email or text that says anything like well, we'll do it this way to damage Trump? I don't think that exists. And without that, I don't really know how you could win that case.

But does Trump need to win? He does not. And Trump does not need to win. He's created a situation where the threat alone might cause them to settle. And even if they don't settle and they decide to fight it out, everybody else is going to look at it and say, "Oh, that's some trouble I don't want." So I think Trump wins in every scenario simply by putting the fear of lawsuits into his enemies. That feels like a really useful thing to do if you're him. You know, in general, I would think it would be a little unethical to just use the fear of the courts as your main tool. But in his specific case where he's been lawfared from top to bottom and impeached and every other weasel thing happened to him, in his case, yeah, he can use the threat. I think that would be totally appropriate, even if he makes some money on it.

Well, you've all been wondering why Trump had been so worthless on healthcare, right? And you kept saying, "Well, you know, it's not enough to say Obamacare is bad. We're going to agree with you on that, but you're going to have to suggest something that's not bad, i.e. your job as the government." And so Trump now has an outline for replacing what he calls a stupid Obamacare. And the key to that, according to Modernity, Steve Watson's writing about it. The key to it is instead of giving money to insurance companies, he would give it to the patients and then they could shop around and then the free market would kick in because the customers would have some kind of transparency on prices. I think that's part of it somewhere. And the free market would lower costs.

Do you believe that? Do you believe that if the only thing that he did was change who has the money in their pocket that that would change the cost of healthcare? Maybe over time, but probably not. It doesn't really look like it would be a game changer, does it? To you.

All right. So I feel like that's a little less than we need. And then other people said if you get rid of Obamacare, then insurance companies won't take the high-risk people because they wouldn't have to. Part of Obamacare is that they have to take the high-risk people, right? They have to. And that's partly what raises costs. Well, so that would just recreate that problem if Obamacare is scrapped. I don't know what we do about that.

And then I'm going to go back to my confusopoly theme. All right. So now I've described to you a Trumpian kind of approach, which is free market and who you give the money to and then you wait blah blah blah. Now, there are other parts to it, but do you think you could actually compare that to the alternative, or would it all just be confusing? I can't do it. I mean, I feel like I'm reasonably bright and I actually care about the topic and I've looked into it at various times at various depths, but I have no idea. I have no idea how to fix it. I have no idea if Trump has the best idea I've ever heard. I have no idea if there's some better way to fix Obamacare. And neither do you. Do we agree that we're just out of our depth? But so is everybody else. And if someone were not out of their depth and they really understood this and had a great idea and brought it to you, you wouldn't know it was a great idea. So how do you get from here to there if none of us could even evaluate the quality of the idea, which I think is where we're at? It wouldn't be enough that there are some experts who could tell the difference. I kind of doubt it. I think even the experts would be guessing on this one.

But a very interesting thing happened yesterday. I don't know if any of you noticed. So yesterday on my podcast, do you remember what I said about healthcare? So get the timing of this just because this is more fun this way. I was sort of frustrated and I said the only way I could even imagine we would get affordable health care without ruining the country is that Tesla would start a robot hospital. Because, you know, Elon had said we're getting closer and closer to the robot surgeon that will be way better than a human. Well, I don't know how far away we are, but if we could save ourselves on healthcare within several years, would that be soon enough? If we could get way low-cost healthcare with robots in, let's say, five years, would we already be bankrupt by then? It would be kind of close.

So here's what I'd like to see. I've taught you this persuasion trick before, right? Here's a really important persuasion trick. I hope someone in the administration is paying attention. And I'm going to put this in the... So this is something I learned in my corporate days, and it goes like this. Whoever does the best job of making a picture about the situation essentially rules the day. If you could come up with a graph of let's say climate change, would that change anything? Oh yeah, those climate change graphs changed everything. Just everything. When you see a graph of our national debt going through the ceiling, does that change anything? Oh yeah, it does. It does. Because when you see the picture, it just changes everything.

Now, let's talk about health care. Who has a picture of health care as a solution? Nobody. There's no picture that would show how we could ever survive health care costs the way they are and the way they will be. There's no picture. And so that means that that space is completely available for persuasion, which means that the team that's really good at this stuff, which would be the Republicans, they have a wide open space and there's a specific picture that they need to create. And I'm going to describe it now, but you know, my hands don't work, so I'm not going to draw the picture. So I'd like to see somebody take a run at it. And if several people take a run at it, we'll just pick the best one.

But here's what the picture should show. It should show health care costs in the United States with a little bit of history so that you can see them zooming to the sky. Maybe you also show the national debt screaming into unsustainable territory and that would be the do-nothing scenario. But if you want to make a story where we're saved by robots, which by the way, I think is nearly guaranteed. It's closer to guaranteed if you wait long enough than it is to maybe. Would you agree with that statement that the idea of robot medical care, it's not an if. It's definitely coming. We don't know if it's a year or five years or 10 years, but it's definitely coming. So you pick a time that seems reasonable, five years. Five years, maybe 10. And then you show that the expenses for healthcare are going through the roof. And then in that fifth or 10th year, whatever you thought was reasonable, you show a plateau. You know, it's not completely flat, but it flattens. And then you show it dropping down.

Now, why would you show that? Because we feel right now that healthcare is hopeless, that there's nothing going to happen except it will go up unless we just take people off of healthcare, which we don't really want to do, right? We'd like everybody to be on there. So I'd like one good persuasive picture that shows that we do have a path out and it goes through probably Tesla. I mean, you could even label it Tesla. Now, I don't know that Elon would object to the idea that either his company or one like it or other companies in that domain would be the only way out. The only way out. There's no second way to do this. If there were a second way to do it, it'd be a whole different situation. There's not. There might be one way, and we might be lucky enough to be alive when that one opportunity just happens to come along.

So if you want to change the world, make one persuasive picture that shows yes, we're in total trouble. Now, in the short run, we'll just fund it, as expensive as it is, but we're going to try as hard as possible to make sure that Elon's vision of a robot nearly free healthcare world happens. And that might require some, you know, private plus government coordination. I know you don't like the government part, but usually you need it.

All right. What do you think of that idea? So you've been living in this world where healthcare is the biggest problem, it looks like. But I just offered you something that looks like a solution, but you still have to way overpay for 5 to 10 years before you got there. That's still better than no solution, right? Even if it takes a few years because you could subsidize it if you knew we were rapidly approaching the place where robots make everything almost free. That's what Elon thinks that we'll get to the point where of such abundance because of robots and AI that everybody will have everything.

So anyway, you got really quiet in the comments. I can't tell if you think that's a good idea or you're thinking about it. Well, here's the way you should evaluate it. There's some idiot who just keeps writing in all caps, stupid idea. So you know, I know what the NPCs are going to say. "Scott, I'm an NPC and the important thing is that the government should not be involved in anything. Scott, I'm an NPC and you can't give Elon Musk any more sway over the economy, Scott." All right, so we'll forget about you all caps guy.

All right, let me just make sure I'm seeing your comments here. All right, but here's the way to evaluate that. You should not evaluate it based on a perfect idea. That's what the NPCs do. Did I suggest a perfect idea? No. No, it's not perfect. Did I suggest an idea that we hadn't seriously thought about? Yes. Is it an idea that you could imagine? It takes some imagination that you could imagine it could help work things out and we'd all get healthcare. Yes, you can imagine it, right?

So if there's literally one and only one plan on the table, and I believe there is, it's this. We overpay for healthcare in the short run, just we have it, but we work as hard and as fast as possible to make sure that the cost of health care drops to zero or close to it with robots. You tell me you have a better idea, and you know what I'm going to say? That's a confusopoly. Is my idea confusing? Does everybody understand? Short run you overpay. Everybody knows what overpaying is. Long run robots come in and lower the cost. Everybody knows what a robot is. Everybody knows what lowering cost is. So now I have the simplest idea, the easiest one to explain. It covers the short run, which is going to be unpleasant, but that would be true of every plan. In every plan, the short run is unpleasant. So if you say to me, but Scott, you've solved nothing in the short run. I would say that is common to all plans. Nobody has a short-term plan. But if there's only one long-term plan, you're going to have to beat it, right? You're gonna have to come up with an idea that's better than that. Now, I haven't heard one. Have you?

So here's the interesting thing that just three hours after I said the only way to solve this is Tesla robot hospitals, that's basically what Elon said at a convention he was at. He said basically he said that we'll you know that doctors don't grow on trees but that they will be built in factories which is a great line. Let me say it again. This is just a great line that doctors don't grow on trees but in the robot world they will be built in factories. That's a really good reframe.

All right. There was a whole bunch of other Tesla news I thought was interesting. I didn't know this, but apparently Tesla is moving quickly toward its American-built cars having no Chinese parts. Now, that's only for the American-built cars. How smart is it that Tesla is moving first to make just the American-built cars have no Chinese parts? Well, I think that's really smart because if something blows up in the supply chain, you'd certainly want America to be something you could let's say retreat to and say, "All right, well, we still have America, you know, so it'd still be a viable company and you could build from there." So yes, that's exactly where you want to start with no Chinese parts, American-built cars, because they build cars in other countries.

And also Elon Musk says that they've mapped out a plan to put a 100 gigawatts per year of solar powered AI satellites into orbit. I saw this on a post by Nick Cruz Patane, who's a real good follow on all the Tesla stuff. Nick Cruz Patane. Anyway, this is what Elon said. He said, "We see a path to putting 100 gigawatts per year of solar powered." I think that's like a quarter of all the energy used in the entire country. And he's looking to put that much up per year because the amount of energy we're going to use is almost incalculable. So we're not going to have too much. And apparently what they can do is just put a bunch of satellites in the air and network them together, which they already know how to do. They have all the components for that. And he pointed out that the United States consumes roughly 460 gigawatts on average per year. So he wants to put 100 gigawatts into the air every year over the United States when we're only using so it's like a little more or a little less than a quarter of that. Anyway, and he says we have a plan mapped out to do it. So it gets crazy. So this is not hypothetical. It's not hypothetical. He's literally going to make Tesla the biggest energy company in the world. It looks like it's going to happen any moment now.

Now I want to give credit to the person who made this recommendation to

Context —

me several years ago, but I think I'll wait to talk to him to see if he wants his name mentioned. But a very successful investor once said on X that you should look at Tesla as an energy company. And I thought to myself, what an energy company? I don't quite get that. Now I get it. Now I get it. It could very easily the energy company could be I don't know. It could be bigger than robots, I imagin…

Next segment → →