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Back to episode — Episode 3033 CWSA 12/01/25

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Now, there might be some obvious exceptions, like if you're buying something that only has one ingredient, you know, it's not necessarily soy, but if you have anything that has multiple ingredients in it, oh yeah, you're eating soy. So I don't know if the soybeans and the soy oil have the same impact, but beware. Akira the Dawn has released a little preview of another piece of music that features…

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d. So if you can get one, you know, if it's within your financial and or other abilities, you should definitely get one because you're going to be competing against people who don't have one. And maybe you're lucky and you get an employer who genuinely doesn't care. There are more of them every day. But the odds of running into somebody who does care, maybe because they have one themselves or they went to the same school or whatever, it's pretty high. So I would say from a maybe a logical perspective, it's not as necessary as it used to be. But if you're looking at it from a strategic employee perspective, yeah, you should get one if you can do it without burdening yourself financially for the rest of your life. Now, you don't want to do it at all costs. You want to do it at a reasonable cost for your resources. But yeah, I would definitely play the advantage if you have the option.

You know what Polymarket is? It's one of those betting sites. It's the big betting site. Well, apparently the betting sites are more accurate than opinion polls. So once people put their money on it, they're way better at predicting than if you just say, "Hey, what do you think?" So I guess one of the founders or the CEO was talking about that. And so keep an eye on Polymarket because it's going to tell you more than opinion.

However, it makes me ask this question. Don't you think that if you had some way to know who had been really good at predicting in the past that you'd like to see just those people predicting the next thing? Wouldn't that be a lot better? Why would I take the average of people who are terrible at predicting? Meaning that they didn't win anything, you know, because you could see if they ever won anything on Polymarket. Why would I want to see the average of the people who never were right mixed in with the average of the people who were right most of the time? What the hell good is that? Wouldn't it make a lot more sense if you could go to Polymarket and say, "Show me the people who have been right more than 60% of the time on whatever topic it is." Of course that would be better.

How about if it's something that maybe is a new category or something, wouldn't you like to see the people who were the most well-informed? Why would I take the average of people who were poorly informed on the topic? Let's say the topic is crypto. Do I really need to see my idiot, well I won't say that, but do I want to see my plumber's opinion on crypto mixed in with David Sachs' opinion? No. No, I just want to see David Sachs' opinion. I don't want to see my plumber's opinion on crypto. So I

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think there's a whole level where this prediction thing can go up a level. They just have to give us a way to know who's been good at it in the past. Well, Trump is teasing that he's already picked the replacement for Jerome Powell to be the head of the Fed. We don't know who that will be, but he's sort of hinting by being coy about it that Kevin Hassett is likely to be picked. That's not confirm…

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