Back to episode — Episode 505 Scott Adams - TDS, Dopamine, Climate Crazies, Russian Interference, Bernie
Context —
e always predictive. Incentives are always predictive. You've created a situation with the scouts and with the Catholic Church that pretty much guarantees it attracts a certain type of person because they would have the greatest incentive. And nothing stops that. It's hard to find any example where incentives that are that strong and that clear don't drive behavior. I mean that you should expect…
← Previous segment →middle of that heap. I was not born with special athletic skills but I'm way above average in terms of athletic ability. Still most of what I experience is losing. If I run in a tournament with lots of teams my team probably won't win. If I join a team I'm probably not going to be the best one on it. I might not even get to play. Am I sitting on the bench?
If you've experienced watching sports, especially school sports, it's mostly about humiliating people who are bad at sports. There's nothing fair about sports. They're designed to be unfair by their design, by their intention. They're mostly about creating big categories of losers where there would have been none before. I'll say that again. Sports creates losers where there would not have been any losers. And far and away mostly losers.
We tend to deify and celebrate the winners but is winning at sports important? It's not. Sports are really just some weird thing we play out because it feels good. But sports, alright.
So here's my point. Sports are this big unfair cruel pile of crap. That's the current situation. If you were to add on top of that a little extra unfairness it is like adding on top of crap. So if you tell me that adding transgenders makes the original worse I say you can't really make crap worse by adding to it. So when you say to me that adding transgenders ruined sports I say well it does introduce a new set of unfairness but it's a new unfairness on top of a completely unfair thing that's designed to be completely unfair. Some people just have advantages. It's probably not you.
So my only argument is that adding transgenders doesn't change the original. If you're starting with the point of view that sports are clean and fair and wonderful and you're adding a little taint to them by this little bit of unfairness that you perceive in transgenders, well then I would say you're welcome to that argument.
But my argument is not that we're starting out with a good situation and adding an imperfection. I say we're starting with a huge pile of unfair, humiliating crap and we're adding a little more humiliating crap on top of it. It's still just a pile of crap when you're done. So I say that the social benefit of treating everybody equally, there's a greater gain than adding some to some that which is irrelevant.
Seinfeld did it better. Once you're wet, you're wet. Well by that analogy. And somebody says but it's only unfair to women. Again it's already completely unfair and adding a little more doesn't change the original.
So your argument is that sports don't matter so who cares? I didn't say they don't matter. Have you noticed one of the ways you can tell that an argument is solid is that the people arguing against you have to create an imaginary argument to be angry about? And you're going to see that in the comments. I'll pick one out here. Somebody said who hurt you, buh-buh-buh. Or you are hypocritical about what you are unfairly talented at creating comic strips. That's correct. Totally unfair.
Let's talk about Kim traveling to Russia. This could be a good thing, could be a bad thing. There's no way to know. But Chairman Kim is visiting with Putin. I guess that's happening today or something like that. And I've got a feeling this could be good because the thing that Kim wants more than anything else is security. And if Kim gets a guarantee of security from three countries — Russia, China, and the US — he might be able to convert his nuclear program into just an energy program. So this is probably an important step.
Now the cynic would say he's just trying to get Putin on his side so he doesn't have to give up any nukes. And maybe that could be. But I would think that Russia, China, and the United States would all agree on the following point. That if those three countries can guarantee the safety of North Korea, that that's a pretty good argument for you don't need your nukes anymore. But you need all three to be on the same side and to keep each other in line. You know maybe there's some way that the three can guarantee it with some kind of sanctions against each other if they don't or something. I don't know. There may be some way to guarantee it.
Watch the recording. You literally just said the sports don't matter. Well let me clarify that. Sports are not — what's the best way? I said they matter to people because people say they matter. So that's just an observable fact. People act as though sports matter so in their minds they do matter. So it is also true that if you don't play sports you can still have a good life, right? There are plenty of people who don't participate in any sports and they don't really miss it. They don't.
So I think you could say that if you could snap your fingers and nobody could remember that sports even existed it wouldn't matter. You just wouldn't care. You wouldn't even notice it was gone. So in the sense of what does a human being need in life etc. probably doesn't matter. But we do treat it as though it matters. So that's the clarification.
Losing also motivates people to be better. Sure. And that's a good reason to add transgender athletes because if you have a transgender athlete then everybody gets the character-building experience of losing instead of just a few people. You get a few more people losing so they get even better character, right? Right. Because that's our clever workaround for the fact that sports are a giant humiliation engine. It's really about humiliating the people who are not good at sports. That's mostly what happens. For every few people who it definitely helps their life — it definitely does help their life — there are some people who are absolutely better off from sports and a lot more people who are just humiliated by learning how unqualified they are for sports.
One of the things I get all the time on a number of topics is that when people don't agree with me they say they imagine I have motives that are not obvious. Meaning they imagine that what I'm really doing is just trolling and that it's not a real opinion. I just want to get the clicks up etc.
I don't know if I've ever done that. It's not something I'm doing now. And certainly you know that no time in my Periscope life have I ever claimed to hold a position that I didn't really hold. I just sort of don't do that. I mean it wouldn't be interesting. I don't know why I'd do it. Feels like it'd be a bad risk-reward. So just don't think about that. If I tell you my real opinion it's my real opinion. I've got the fuck you money. I don't need to mess around. I couldn't gain enough attention or I don't know how I would gain enough by pretending to have an opinion I didn't have. So I don't do it.
And then other people are saying well he's just gonna say this crazy thing and then he's gonna twist it around at the end. He's got some agenda. Not really. My agenda is the same theme I always have, which is that we are irrational creatures and most of our perceptions and our opinions and our decisions are irrational. And so when I point out points of irrationality sometimes it's about other people, sometimes it's about you. And when it's about you, you think well that can't be true. You must be just saying this for effect.
But when I say it about other people they say oh yeah he's nailing it. Scott is so on this talking about that other person. But when he talks about me I'm sure he's just kidding. He can't really mean that, could he?
So he says gaslighting is beautiful. Gaslighting is not a thing. It's not a thing. If you think somebody's gaslighting you it means you're experiencing cognitive dissonance. Maybe not every time but that's the most likely explanation. If you think that somebody is intentionally trying to make you insane, to doubt your belief in reality, well maybe there's somebody who has done that somewhere but no, that's not a thing. There are just people who are lying. There are people persuading. There are people who are wrong. You know there are all kinds of things but there is no gaslighting. If you imagine that there is, you are experiencing a cognitive problem.
The reason that people — let me be as clear as possible. Cognitive dissonance can be identified by people coming up with weird explanations of things. So if I say here'
Context —
s my reason why I think something's true and it doesn't ring true to you, you say no no you got it wrong, here's my reasons why it's wrong. So there's no cognitive dissonance in that. You just hear some information, you have a different opinion, you disagree. But if I nail it or somebody else does and they say something that just looks true but you don't want it to be, what do you do? What does y…
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