Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive July 2, 2026
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Episodes Episode #150 Segments
MainContent Persuasion

Back to episode — Episode 150 Scott Adams - The Next Putin Summit

Context —

So what do we expect out of this upcoming summit? First of all, it's classic Trump to the media. Once he has all of this energy, yeah there was so much hair on fire and reporting and explaining, that he took all of this energy and then he refocused it, as he does. I've told you that 50% of persuasion is just keeping your attention, because whatever your attention is on, you will eventually convinc…

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There's also a very important thing going on that I'm going to call the bro code. For the women who are watching this, this will be a mysterious conversation in which you will not completely understand what's going on here. Probably some of you might. You've heard something called the bro code. There's sort of an understood way that men deal with other men that is different than the way men would deal with, let's say, a crowd, different than they would deal with a family member, different than they would deal with a woman, no matter what the relationship was. Two men have sort of an understanding that's just built into culture and experience that there are some rules at play that are not written down.

Here's one of the rules. President Trump took a lot of heat to help rehabilitate Putin. In other words, to allow Putin to even stand on the world stage. President Trump had to eat about a mile of it in public. So even though President Trump has doubled down and said yes, Russia did a lot of cyber stuff, meddled in the election, he's confirmed that a number of times. But in public and when he talks about Putin, he's giving him all kinds of forgiveness, if you can call it that. And I would get rid of this guy. He's giving him all kinds of respect. Putin, because of the bro code, owes Trump a favor. He owes him a favor. This has nothing to do with politics. It has nothing to do with diplomacy. It has a lot to do with just the bro code. There's just a way that two males work with each other.

Now if Putin violates what we want as a country, he's in a lot of trouble. If on top of that Putin violates the bro code, in other words if he just screws the president who just gave him space and protected him essentially in public, if Putin does that he's crossed the line that you can't uncross. And I think he knows it. So I would expect a favorable result in October. But it will be reported as if it's the end of the world coming by the enemy press.

Trump begged himself. Yes, sort of. So you saw it. The last summit, there was this talk about, hey what if Mueller goes over to Russia and talks to the suspects in the election meddling? In return, what if some Russian law enforcement people of some sort come to the United States and on our soil we'll talk to some people related to that Bill Browder situation?

Now the experts, the diplomats said, oh you can't do that. You can't give up our diplomats just because you're Putin's best friend. You can never give up an ambassador or a diplomat. You've got to keep that diplomatic immunity going. Well here's the thing. That whole offer of exchanging people, none of that was real. Neither Putin nor Trump could have possibly thought that was a good idea. But it sounded good. It was something you say in public and it sounded like, oh that's reasonable I guess. Well that's better than nothing.

But when you come right down to it, what would that look like, keeping in mind that the laws of the other don't apply in a foreign land? So what's the worst-case scenario for whoever Russia wants to talk to? Here's the worst-case scenario. That person goes to a meeting in which there's heavy security and talks to their Russian law enforcement. And the Russian law enforcement says, here's my question. And the diplomat says, I'm not going to answer that. And then they ask another question and the diplomat says, I'm not going to answer that, etc., until the Russian legal, whoever they are, just leaves.

Now what recourse does Russia have if the diplomat just says I'm in America and I don't really have to answer your question? That's it. And there's security standing there and you're in America. You're perfectly safe. That's it. That's the whole meeting. The whole meeting is just the diplomats saying I'm not going to talk to you.

Now could the diplomat talk to the Russians and answer their questions if they wanted to? Well they could, but it would be stupid because the right approach is to create a precedent there. Yeah you can come over, take a flight over, you could be in the room with me and my heaviest security, but I'm never going to answer a question for a foreign country. It's just not going to happen.

So likewise if Mueller goes over to talk to the Russians, you would assume that the Russians would lie about everything or just not answer questions. And it wouldn't matter because Mueller has no power. He can't indict them. He can't find them guilty of obstruction of justice. So it's a toothless, ridiculous offer that they exchange people. Just I think it was designed to sound like there was something that wasn't nothing, but it was closer to nothing than something.

Context —

Giving Tony Podesta immunity? Yeah I saw something about that story but I don't know enough about it or what the implication of that is. But it does look like, yeah yeah Manafort. Some big troll. Why are you assuming it's on home soil Scott? Because no American would go to a neutral place to talk to Russian law enforcement about something they don't want to talk to. There's no law that would force…

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