Back to episode — Episode 817 Scott Adams - Who REALLY Won in New Hampshire, New Stupid Attack on Trump
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no particular order, and you know that gigantic story about the anti-Trump guy who tried to massacre a bunch of Trump volunteers? You know, the thing that everybody is talking about? It's a gigantic story. I mean, why wouldn't it be? There's somebody who tried to massacre a bunch of Trump supporters. Oh wait, it's not a national story. It's kind of a little blip. As I was mentioning, the guy that…
← Previous segment →y, one of the big stories from last night, is that Yang is out. Andrew Yang has dropped out of the race. Did not really get the support that he needed to continue. But I would like to join all of you in thanking Andrew Yang. And I think most of you would agree with this. I think he made the race better. I think he made the conversation in the United States about the topics that he was pushing — you know, robots are coming for your jobs, etc. — I think he added a real genuine value, which is the same as real. He really upgraded the conversation. Now, he didn't quite make it to the final three, but he certainly changed the conversation, and I think it might be a permanent kind of a shift in our thinking. And he was fun. He was great for Asian-Americans because he got as far as he did. So everything about him was good. It was a very positive experience. So thank you, Andrew, for being a good American, a great American, one of the best. So thanks for that.
One of the things that one of my Twitter friends noted is that he had a little program that I was not aware of, and I thought I'd give it a shout-out because it was interesting. It was basically a student exchange program within the United States, which is not the worst idea I've ever heard. So normally you do the student exchanges with other countries so that you both get a little flavor of what the other country is about. It's good in the long run for peaceful relationships and understanding and all that. But I guess Yang was suggesting that we do it within the United States so that people would get out of their little bubble of their neighborhood or their culture and see what it's like somewhere else. It's actually a really good suggestion. Let's keep that one out there.
All right, so thanks, Andrew Yang. Let's talk about the other candidates and where we're at now. If I had to pick one variable that makes the most difference in who's going to win the presidency, I would say the economy. Now, President Trump has an incredible lead in the economy, meaning the incumbent over what is maybe the best economy we've ever had. And sure, you can say Obama had better stats and this or that, or it's just a continuation of Obama, and people will say that. But still, when things are going well, the economy is a super strong indicator.
But the second big variable in a world of many variables, the two that stick out, are the black vote and the economy. So if President Trump looked good on those two things, you'd have to look for some kind of a special situation to take him out, because those are by far the two most commanding variables. Not the only variables, and there could be lots of surprises between now and Election Day, but these are very predictive.
So let's look at how the other candidates look on those two variables and some others, and let's talk about matchup. What is Trump's biggest negative? His
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biggest negative now, you could say there are two. I'd say two of his biggest negatives are the deficit. Trump is not as good on reducing the deficit as even his own side would like, and certainly the people who oppose him would use that as a club. But he's running against people who are going to make the deficit worse, and they're not even pretending that's not the case. They're not even pretendi…
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