would ever have the thought. It just wouldn't even be a thought that you would ever put two people on a ventilator, right? Because in a normal world you would just never do that. But is the only reason we haven't considered it because we have normal world thoughts? You know, should we at least toss it into the mix that somebody could develop a, and maybe somebody's making ventilators now that's a, you know, a central processor with a number of hoses. Is that a thing? Could you build that? I don't know. I'm not suggesting it's possible. I'm just saying let's put all the ideas into the mix. And in the deeply unlikely, you know, one percent case that having a, having a, you know, a double hose coming off of a single ventilator might actually make sense, one percent chance, I mean it's not very high likelihood but I'll put it out there. Maybe somebody sees it and says, oh my god I never thought about that. You never know.

This report from UC San Francisco on what is likely to happen in the United States and goes like this. So their estimate is that 40 to 70 percent of the U.S. will be infected over the next year and a half. 40 to 70 percent. Now you would need that many people to get infected to have any hope that it slows down or stops, because you have to have enough people who can't get it again because they've already been exposed and have some immunity, presumably. I mean I think we're agreed that it creates immunity if you've had it once but I guess we should get a confirmation on that as well. And they estimate that 1.5 million Americans may die compared to a seasonal flu that might be 50,000.

So this is why I'm blocking people who are comparing, because they're doing that dumb thing where they're comparing the number of people who have died already from this flu to the total number who will ever die from the other flu. So it's like a few hundred compared to 50,000. But the real number of course is the risk number that it could be 1.5 million people, most of them old people, compared to 50,000. That's not really close. Those are different problems. Fatality range they're still saying is in the range of ten times as much as a regular flu. There's some reason to hope that that could be downgraded when we have more information. This assumes no drug is found and I think that's fair. So 1.5 million people dying who might not have died otherwise or at least not so soon. Well they all, everybody dies. Everybody dies but wouldn't have happened that quickly or for that reason.

Here's something I would like my government to do for me. So schools are closing in various places in the country, not everywhere. So last I checked three states had closed