Back to episode — Episode 885 Scott Adams - Announcing my Candidacy for President of the United States
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ly skewing the average in a way that is misleading. And I think that's true. I would need some confirmation, but I think that's true. But then some other smart people pointed out another problem with the model, and this is a pretty big problem, which is that the models say that after the end of the quarantine or the social distancing that our number of deaths will be way down. And that's the good…
← Previous segment →the person on the phone could hear you? So in other words, could you be wearing a mask, having a regular conversation with somebody on the phone through your mask, but people in the room can just hear a little murmur? Maybe it doesn't bother them so much. Yeah. And maybe you could put some heads-up display, you know, some virtual enhanced reality stuff. So make it cool, maybe.
All right. Let us compare what experts told you and when to what a cartoonist told you and when. Okay? Every day when that is good to say, well, how did the experts do compared to the non-experts? And that doesn't mean that the very next time you should only listen to the experts or only listen to the non-experts. Really this is just one data point. But every now and then you should stop and say, all right, how did
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the experts do? Just sort of keep a running tally so you know when to be skeptical or not. Let me give you some examples. Who was the first expert who said we should close the airports, the flights from China? Was it the virologist or was it me? It was me. It was me. So I was way before the experts saying we should close flights from China. Right? I mean, you could check that. January 24th. But w…
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