ach in and guess somebody's really specific thought and if you can do that you just click and the two of you lock in and then you know there's an opportunity or a channel open for persuasion.

And you see the president doing this in this way because he says directly he knows something that you don't know that I think I know that you don't know. So he's basically talking about what's in our heads and everybody else's, what's in the public's heads. And he kind of nails it without actually saying it. Which is we all think we know. We're not sure if you know what I know or if I know what you're thinking but I feel like we all know we're thinking the same thing.

So anyway he hit every note you can hit in persuasion and it was funny as well.

Here's some good news. I'm full of good news today. One of my neighbors who couldn't finish college because of the coronavirus stuff, his home, the family is doing some shopping because she's in that young healthy, relatively healthy category. And so she was nice enough to give me some groceries a few times so far. And today she was at a store for other purposes and saw toilet paper for sale on the shelf. Let me say that again. My town had toilet paper on the shelf. And I'm not talking about industrial toilet paper. I'm not talking about stuff you wouldn't want to get near the tender bottom of yourself. I'm talking about the good stuff. Twelve-pack Charmin. Yeah that's right. Solid gold.

And so she said would you like me to get some for you? And I was texting. It's like I couldn't type it fast enough. And she said you want one or two? That's like one or two? One or two? I didn't even know that was an option. And I started weeping while typing. Two. I think there might have been a limit which by the way will be the secret to getting everybody enough. Is if the big box stores when they do get new supply and it looks like it's happening, if they limit it to two per customer or something like that. So I think that's what's gonna happen.

Now let's talk about predictions. How many of you remember when I predicted when the toilet paper supply would start to replenish? I said it would be about a month from the first day that your stores got empty shelves. And I did like a back of an envelope calculation to guesstimate the average of how much people hoarded. But then you have to calculate in that people are home more so they're using more stuff at home. And then calculate in that the businesses probably were working double time to produce more. So calculating all that and I think I said about a month from the time that your shelves first emptied. How close did I get? In my town I think I nailed it right. I think, well you don't know but about a month from the last moment that you could buy these products in my town it's today. I think it's just about a month. So that was just a back of the envelope calculation but looks like that's going to come through. We have to wait and see. Let me know if any of you have experienced that yet.

All right. Let's say this. You know one thing that this coronavirus situation has done, and I think after it's over there's gonna be all these unintended benefits that are really gonna rack up. And one of the interesting things about it is it created this little test lab where there were lots of ambiguous situations that people in public were competing in a sense. People were competing to have the best take on it and the most accurate interpretations, the best predictions. And so there are lots of elements and parts of the story of the coronavirus pandemic but in each of those little substories and each of those little subplots there are people like me, people in public, pundits and famous people and politicians and celebrities making all kinds of predictions and statements about them. And so in a very condensed period like we've never seen before we got to see people's minds at work in public and then we fairly quickly got to see who is more right than other people.

So I think one of the good things that comes out of this is you're gonna find out who's good at this stuff. And I'm gonna tell you a little bit more about my predictions so you can see how I stack up with the public predictions.

All right. So there's a prediction from the experts that say the US will reach its peak use of resources and the most we'll need on around Saturday which is pretty close, right? This is the weekend. And I don't see the task force being panicked. It looks like they figured it out. Like we found enough, we moved it around, we flattened the curve enough. They were pushing from every direction from finding new vents to figuring out how to retrofit things quickly, building new ways to build them and everything. But it looks, it's beginning to look like we're going to get past the peak of it without the grotesque shortages that would kill people from their lack.

Now I just saw a message just before I got on from somebody said in a particular hospital that they were reusing stuff and may have caused infections and mayb