Back to episode — Episode 905 Scott Adams - Swaddle in Place. Come Learn a Useful Trick With Me.
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ecause they're pretty responsible and there's a logic to it and there are ways you can tell most of the time. I got a second opinion. So the second ER doctor had a different take on it and it went like this. He too was not disagreeing with the basic premise that a doctor can know the accurate cause of death let's say ninety-five percent of the time. So both doctors seem to be on that same page th…
← Previous segment →this. I don't believe doctors in any kind of major way would lie about the cause of death nor do I think that there are many cases that are on the fence that gets down to that five percent that probably could go either way. And so maybe there's some mistakes. So I wouldn't be surprised if there's a five percent bias because the doctors want the hospital to feel good about the doctor and everybody's playing along and the hospital makes money so the doctor still has a place to work and stuff like that. But we don't have a way to measure it. It's just my experience of life and my understanding of humans is that probably the deaths are being coded ninety to ninety-five percent correctly which is good enough to think there's not some giant problem here. That's my take. Could be wrong.
Let's see. I love giving you reminders of things I said years ago so you can see whether or not they came to fruition. And one of my favorite predictions, and it was my favorite because I knew that not a single person believed that this would happen nor did anybody take it seriously. And here it is. I said in 2015 that Trump would not just change what we thought of politics but that he would alter our understanding of reality itself. And I said it a number of times publicly and almost nobody ever engaged beyond that by saying, well what do you mean? Like what exactly does that mean? And if they had I don't know if I could have explained it. But let me give you some examples.
So we saw for example that facts don't matter. I mean that was a gigantic mental shift, right? You went from a world in 2014-ish in which you thought facts actually matter and that people use them to make decisions. But I told you they don't and that that's not the way people are. People don't use facts to make decisions except for the minor things that are either really obvious or they have no emotional content. But for most of what we do we're emotional creatures and we rationalize it after the fact. So I think most of you have come around to believe that is true. And think about how massive that is, changing your understanding of reality from facts matter to they don't matter. That's a pretty fundamental change. And I think a lot of you have gone on that journey with me.
But here's just a few other things about reality that have changed in just the last few years. It's funny when you see them all together. What is the Russia collusion thing? Was it there at least some point in that when you said to yourself, well I don't believe this is actually an organized coup attempt to throw the elected president of the United States? What do you think now? As of this week we know that basically that the FISA process was completely abused. Attorney General Barr says basically well it could be incompetence but it certainly isn't looking like it. And we're looking to see if anybody needs to go to jail. So that's your Attorney General.
So whether or not, no matter what we find about once we get to the bottom of the Russian collusion thing, no matter what we find, wouldn't you say that your belief about what's possible got modified a little bit? Because I would have said no. If somebody had described this before any of it happened and said, Scott, give me a read on this. Tell me, do you think this could happen? Deep state actors would put together this BS charge about Russia that creates this whole conspiracy and it would be the grounds for impeachment and they would remove a legally elected president with just a bunch of stuff they made up. I would have said to you I don't think so. Sure that's a thing. And then we watched it happen. We watched it happen.
Now there's some of you who said we've known for years. I would question what knowing means in this context. There were certainly people who were confident that it was always a big conspiracy and people who thought it wasn't. Well I don't know if anybody knows. I always point out the fact that there are always smart people all around every topic. So if you ever get to the point where you know the answer some of them will be right. But if you can't tell which ones are right ahead of time I don't know if it's anybody knowing they're right or it's just people are on all sides so somebody's got to be right anyway.
So we have a different opinion about how slimy the people in our government are and can be. We've lost all trust in our intelligence agencies. I mean I have to admit that the Iraq weapons of mass destruction and even other notable failures that they've had, the surprise by the fall of the Iron Curtain, so there's some famous failures of our intelligence agencies. But did you think that they might not even be working on your side? Did it ever occur to you that our most trusted intelligence agencies were actually not even on your side? They're not even on your team? But we know that now because obviously there were important members of them who were working against the interests of the American public.
How about the World Health Organization? Two weeks ago did you think that was a legitimate international organization in which they were working toward world health? I kinda did. I kind of thought it was an actual organization dedicated to world health. Well I don't know what the World Health Organization is but it's nothing like that. Looks like it's some kind of Chinese propaganda arm.
How about how long ago was it tha
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t you thought the news was real? I came to this one sooner than you did because I've said this before but because I'm often the subject in the news I have a front row seat to see how inaccurate it is. Because when they're talking about me I know if it's accurate. I'll be like I didn't do that. I didn't say that. That's all inaccurate. But most of you are just observers. You're just in the audience…
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