Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive August 24, 2026
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sn't look like it to me. You know if I had to put my own money on it I'd say there are two facts in there but the way you've woven it together, no that's just misleading. That's what I'd bet on. But I also would have bet the FBI was not trying to remove a legally elected president. I would have been wrong about that. So I like to remind you when I'm right, but it's also just as useful to remind yo…

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and you would think that they would be smart enough not to write stuff down, right? Wouldn't they be smart enough not to write down the things that are going to get them in jail or whatever? But I have to think that Obama was never that dumb. You know, my impression of Obama, you can love him or hate him for his policies or whatever, I don't care. But I don't know that anybody has questioned his intelligence. To me he always seemed like a really smart guy. So would a really smart guy leave any kind of a trail of this kind of activity? I don't think so. I think that if he was involved it would have been verbal and probably only with one person who he knew he could trust. That's how I'd play it. If I were trying to overthrow the government I would not leave any kind of a record of it.

So I know a lot of you are saying you know probably he did. I would have to go, if I'm going to put a percentage on it, the odds that... Well here's the problem though. We know that the FBI knew that they were doing something sketchy. What we don't know is if that was ever transmitted to Obama. We do know that he was the boss, but we don't know that if when they gave a status report to Obama, did they say you know I know you want this guy out of here so what we're doing is we're going to pretend that Carter Page has something. Maybe we can find something. We'll dig around. I don't know that they ever told him that. It feels like something you don't tell the president because you don't want him to know, right?

So I would guess that Obama will never be in it as a co-conspirator. So let me put odds on it. I would say the odds that he actually knew that something just blatantly illegal was happening... One of the odds he knew something illegal was happening. Then you'd have to define knowing. Did he know because he just sort of knew or did he know because they told him? I think knowing because they told him probably didn't happen. Knowing because he's experienced and he just knew, maybe seventy percent. Seventy percent chance, something like that. Yeah, I'll give you a seventy percent chance that Obama knew. Will you be satisfied with that? I know some of you one hundred percent.

Elon Musk is on Rogan really and it's dropping at 9 a.m. Somebody says well that would be interesting. Somebody says he knew but he looked the other way. Yeah, we would never be able to prove something like that. Lisa Page was quoted as saying... Somebody's saying in the comments here quote "POTUS wants to know everything we are doing." Well him wanting to know everything you're doing and you deciding to tell him that you're doing something illegal are very different things. So I don't doubt that the president wanted to know. I do doubt that they told him everything. Somebody points out that Watergate started without direct knowledge by Nixon. Good example.

So I think in general you would find that your presidents are smart enough to not commit things to writing. Here's something that I have a hypothesis that nobody like Trump could ever have made it to the presidency if he had ever used email. That's my statement. That Trump would never be our president if he had a habit of using email all of his life. There's just no way. Because sooner or later those emails would come out and God knows what would be in them. My understanding is that Trump made a career-long practice to not write stuff down. Now how well did that pay off? Really well. I mean not writing stuff down is a pretty solid strategy if you don't want somebody coming after you.

Somebody's asking about Kim Jong-un's body double. All right. So you know that I've called on the video of Kim Jong-un and on the photo as well. Now that doesn't mean I'm right. All right? So I like to always deal in probability. But I'm going to go with the prediction that Kim is either let's say degraded or dead. Probably not dead

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. More likely degraded because I think we'd know if he was dead. But we wouldn't necessarily know if he were in a coma. Here is my evidence in case you didn't hear before. Just prior to the video being shown, the president was acting like he definitely knew what the situation was and he was wishing Kim well. But then right after that Kim is chipper walking around visiting the fertilizer plant. Di…

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