Back to episode — Episode 1095 Scott Adams - Biden's Fake Lead in Polls Evaporates, Coup V2.0, Q and BLM
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s get attached to it. But it's the national press that decides what's the story and they have decided it's not good for their personal careers to emphasize any racial disparity in crime and so they don't. And so therefore that story of the tragic story of the child who got murdered by the neighbor doesn't tie to a national story. So if you think you should that would be fair to say. But if you're…
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I will add this following prediction. I think that the reason that the herd immunity is so low, somewhere 20 percent-ish, might be because of the vitamin D thing. I think we're going to find out that the people who had the lowest vitamin D as well as any other medical problems were just the entire group that could have a problem. Because it turns out that you have low vitamin D if you're African American, if you're overweight, if you've got diabetes, if you're old, if you're probably in a senior care facility. Like all of the things, all the types of people who were at high risk coincidentally also had very low vitamin D. I think in the end we're going to find out that they were the ones at risk. And if we had tested for vitamin D levels we could have really done better.
Now some of you are going to say how can herd immunity be 20 when we know that at least in one city in Europe it was over 50 and there are some prisons which are also over 50. And there actually is a perfectly good reason why some environments don't get herd immunity at 20 percent and it has to do with density. So if you've got people packed together such as in a jail it doesn't matter that herd immunity would normally be 20 percent. They're just basically marinating in virus. There's just so much of a viral load. If you get enough infected people in a small area like a jail that in that case, as with at least one cruise ship as well, it'll rush past 20. But those are artificial environments where people can't get away from each other too well. So it could be true that a prison or a cruise ship or a certain town could have a 50 situation for herd. Another one might be 20 percent if you're just living in the country. So those can be compatible.
CNN has a poll that shows, here's how it's worded on I think Breitbart, that Joe Biden's lead has evaporated in the last two months. A new poll from CNN shows, this is a CNN poll, showing Biden's lead has evaporated. Now let me ask you this. Let's say you were planning a coup version 2.0 and let's say you wanted to maybe keep all your options open and one of the options would be to replace the top of the ticket with Kamala Harris. If you were an illegitimate news organization whose leader Jeff Zucker was personally and has for a long time been promoting Kamala Harris, what do you think your polls would show right before the Democratic convention? I believe your polls would show that Biden has a lead that evaporated. Because if CNN wants Kamala Harris to take the top spot they're going to have to create a narrative that says that Biden cannot win the way he's going. In other words they're going to say ah the weakness in the party it's obviously the top spot because you know and now his lead has evaporated according to CNN. Huh how convenient. Just when the Democrats are at that decision point of deciding whether they need to make a change at the top. Just at the right time CNN that is very pro-Kamala Harris coincidentally produces their worst poll results for Joe Biden. Huh interesting. What a coincidence. Or is it?
Now I would say that one of the reasons that maybe Trump will look better in all the polls, because I would expect all the polls to start narrowing especially as we get closer to the vote. And here's the thing that I don't think you can underestimate the degree to which Democrats saw Biden as a seat filler and not a real candidate. Because as long as Trump was running against a generic Democrat that generic Democrat didn't have any flaws. And Biden was really just a seat filler. He was just a stand-in, a proxy if you will, for a generic Democrat. A person who was not Trump. But now you put in Kamala Harris. People say well she's the real president. And suddenly it's Trump versus an actual person who has actual history and actual targets and actual flaws. It's the first time until now Trump was running against a generic. Even with Biden and it was just a generic. Now it's a real person. So you would expect that the flaws of a real person would seem bigger than the flaws of a generic because that person can be perfect in your mind.
And the funniest part is that the battleground states, the only ones that matter, have, how close are they? They're dead even. So the battleground states are dead even. Do you know what dead even means in a CNN poll? If the CNN poll says the battleground states are dead even statistically it's 49 to 48. That means that Trump is ahead in the battleground states. There's no other way to see that. Because you know there's some shy Trump supporters in there. How shy are the Trump supporters? Let me put it to you this way. You know those gigantic Trump boat rallies that you've seen on social media but you don't see in the news because the news doesn't cover it. Those, I'm just looking at a comment that's making me laugh. The reason that Trump supporters have to have the rally in the water is because they can't do it on land. Trump supporters could not put on their Trump hats, pick up their Trump flags and say hey let's meet in the park and have a Trump rally. It would be dangerous. It's dangerous to be on land as a Trump supporter that could be identified. It's actually dangerous. And so Trump supporters didn't just find a cool way to show their support. It's like hey boats are cool. If we have a lot of boats and it's the summer it's going to look pretty cool. Let's have a lot of boats. Yeah that's part of it. That's part of it. But the bigger part is the Republicans are not safe on land. Democrats could have a pro-Biden parade and they would know they would not be harassed. Maybe verbally but not physically, right? Democrats can have a rally on dry land.
You live in a country where this sort of snuck up on you. It's not an accident that the Trump supporters had to leave the continental United States. I mean they're still in U.S. waters but they had to leave the continental United States, literally physically leave it, leave the United States to have a Trump rally. I mean they're still in our waters but they have to leave the dry land. That's not a joke. There's no joke there. That is actually what happened. They couldn't feel safe on dry land. Now you tell me that these people are telling the truth when pollsters call them and say who do you support? Not a chance. Not a chance.
I told you that when a pollster called me the first, I think the first time it's ever happened, the moment I realized it was a pollster and I realized what the question was going to be about in my head I said oh I'm going to tell them Biden because the last thing I'm going to do is tell them the truth. And you know it turns out they asked me if I was registered to vote and I said no and that was the end of it. So I didn't have to lie but I would have.
So at the moment it looks like there's no real chance that Biden can win as the top of the ticket. And that means that CNN is going to soften up the public by giving some low poll numbers. You should expect that any other poll polling company that's friendly to Biden is going to show his lead narrowing. You should see all of the left-leaning polls narrow quickly because they're going to
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try to create the story that well sooner than it's, sooner is better to replace the top of the ticket. Better get this going. Better hurry up because he's not going to win. You look at the polls he's not going to win. You better put somebody stronger in there. Hey who do we put in there? Kamala Harris. Somebody says dude Trump was holding two rallies a week until COVID hit and everything. Well th…
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