Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive July 10, 2026
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pletely different topic, I follow a Twitter account by the name of somebody named Brian Rommle. If you want to look for it, definitely worth following. He has lots of new technologies and you know what's coming next kind of tweets. And one of them just will blow your head off. Apparently now our hologram technology is so good that there's this device from — let's see — called Portl Hologram. So yo…

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ld you that we should make decisions based on data? Has anybody mentioned that lately? In this election cycle it's all you hear. We must use the data. We must listen to the experts. Follow the data. Follow the data. That's what all the dumb people say. Following the data would be a terrific idea if you had data. Following the data would be a terrific idea if you had the data and it was reliable and it was right. Under those conditions and you knew what to do with it, you know, you knew how to act based on that data. But that's a lot of ifs, isn't it?

Here's a good example. What is the only data about the coronavirus that you would need to know to really understand where we are and where we're going? What is the one bit of data you would need? You might say to yourself a death rate. Nope, nope. That's what I would have said a few weeks ago. I would have said as long as you know the death rate that's pretty much what you need to know in terms of where we're heading. Somebody smarter would say you need to know the hospitalization rate because first of all the hospitalization rate can to some degree predict the death rate but also you need to know your hospital capacity. You don't want to go over it. And you also get your people who have long-term problems and they would be picked up in the hospitalization. It wouldn't be picked up in the death rate. So that's all you need, right?

Somebody says recovery rate. Nope. You don't need the recovery rate. You don't need the hospitalization rate. You don't need the death rate. It would be good to have and they have value so I'm not saying you shouldn't know them. I'm saying that the most important data, which we could get — it's achievable, we could collect it, we haven't — and it goes like this: how many people are dying who are getting the right meds and the right treatment? Right? Because that's all that matters. If we're throwing people in who are having problems today with the average of how they were doing before we had good therapeutics back in the day when we would stick people on ventilators and the ventilator itself would kill them — I think a lot of the deaths were from ventilator misuse. Nobody's fault because nobody knew what to do in the early days. Certainly definitely not any kind of medical malpractice or anything. I'm not suggesting that. But we didn't know.

So can you tell me that you know or that anybody has collected the only data that matters? You went into the hospital and you got your Remdesivir let's say, you know, you were at that stage, or you got your Regeneron or you got your vitamin D, you got your zinc and maybe your baby aspirin, whatever else, maybe some Z-Pak. And that's the only data I want to know. Now on top of that I also need to know availability of those meds. So if the Regeneron needs let's say two weeks or three months or whatever it is to ramp up so everybody can have it in this country, I need to know that because that's telling me when we can get to a better place. Same with the Remdesivir. So I would want to know how many people are dying with the right treatment. And let's call it the Trump protocol, okay, just to keep it simple. The same stuff Trump got you have to assume is the good stuff, right? Plus Remdesivir. I don't think he got that but he didn't need it.

So if we don't know that, do you know anything? Seriously, do you know anything if you don't know that? It's the only number I think matters to how well we're doing, when are we going to get out of this, how bad is it, do we open up, do we not open up. All of our decisions are based on this one thing: how do we do today like today, October 13th? How would you do today if you went into the hospital and you got the full Trump protocol? Right, because it's nowhere near the death rate of March and I feel like we're making decisions based on March. You know, March through October death rates which would be insane.

And somebody says the deaths are grossly inflated but I would say that anybody who got the Trump protocol would be certainly confirmed to be somebody who's got a coronavirus problem. I'm pretty sure by the time you get the full protocol they know that the coronavirus is the thing that's going to kill you or not. So there is definitely a question about how the deaths are counted but I think we could count the — if you looked at the excess mortality you'd be okay. So if you knew excess mortality had gone down to normal because people who got the treatments, their death rate had gone down to a trivial number, that would be a lot to know.

All right, so you can love having data but if you collect the wrong data it doesn't matter. If you know, as I mentioned earlier, if you're the CDC and you collect the data that 85% of the people getting the virus are wearing a mask, how did that help you? In fact it probably hurt you because people would misinterpret the data. Now the

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y might misinterpret it in a way that actually helps you if it made them wear the mask. No, in that case I think they would wear the mask less. So people would misinterpret it and do the wrong thing. Data is very overrated. Data is usually wrong. That's just a fact. All data is usually wrong and wrong enough that it would change how you deal with it. Somebody says I'm laughing at your blind loyal…

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