Back to episode — Episode 1220 Scott Adams - Good News on COVID-19, Biden Warned us About Himself, Historians Screwed
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also a big conversation about who should do it in front of the public, because wouldn't you like to see Joe Biden get a vaccination in public? That would be good for confidence, and I think that's good too. And I'll tell you, in my opinion, I'm pretty sure the vaccine is going to be safe. But just in case, you know, I again I'm really sure the vaccinations will be safe, but just in case, don't you…
← Previous segment →ine." And I highly recommend you should all get... ow, wow.
For those of you listening on podcast, what you missed was a hilarious impression of me becoming frozen.
Now I will say again I will get the vaccination. I'm sure the vaccination is safe. If you didn't hear the story of how the vaccination process got sped up by Trump, it's really interesting. So here's a little tidbit that I heard just yesterday listening to the news, which was that the normal process if they do a big study is that the FDA — I think it's the FDA and whoever they work with — looks at the data for something like six months. I did not misspeak. After a controlled study of a new drug, the FDA will look at the data and really study it for six months. I think I got that right. Six months.
Now have you ever studied data? I've studied data. I've done it for a living. I've never seen any data I needed to study for six months. The study itself might take six months, but studying the data took six months until Trump said not anymore. Basically Trump basically just said no, how about no. It doesn't take six months to look at data. What the hell were they doing all the time up until now if it took them months to look at data?
Do you know how long it should take, even if there's a lot of data? How long it should take? I'm thinking days. I'm not thinking months. And now apparently the people who do these things said, "Oh well I guess we'll just do it in a more reasonable compressed amount of time." I think they got it down to — I had my numbers approximate — but it was like something like taking it from six months down to one month. And I'm still saying to myself, a month? What exactly takes a month? I can't think of any data that would take a month to look at. If it takes a month to look at it, somebody organized it poorly. So you really need to be talking to whoever gave you the data, because there should be things like summaries and totals at the bottoms of columns and stuff. I feel like they should have done a lot of work for you. I don't know. I was just amazed by that.
So when you hear that Trump did the impossible with the warp speed stuff, maybe it was the impossible for other people, but he just sort of made it happen and then they just did it. And that's a lesson in management.
Let me give you the rookie lesson in management followed by the experienced person's lesson in management. Here's what young people and people who do not have experience think management would look like. Manager comes in and says to the project experts — you know the manager doesn't know much but the people working on the project know the details of the project — and the manager says, "I need you to be done in a month." And the project experts say, "Whoa, I know that's what you want but let me show you the timelines, the dependencies on the project. There isn't actually any way to do this in less than two months."
All right, now the inexperienced manager way to look at this is, well the person who knows a lot more than I do and I hired them and I trust them says it's going to take two months. I wanted it in one, but I guess I have to accept two months. That's the inexperienced person's view of management.
Here's the experienced person's view of management. "I'd like this to be done in one month. It's very important." Expert says, "No way to do this in less than two months, and here's my reasons why." Manager looks blankly at expert and says, "Do it in one month." And then the expert does it in one month. But without the part, because the manager usually leaves that part out. That's what an experienced manager does, because they know that just about everything can be done faster and they have a sense of what that means in any particular context if they're good managers, right?
So when Trump was presented — I wasn't in the room but one can imagine something like this happened. You can imagine somebody's saying to Trump, "And here's the process, and the reason it takes all these years to do a vaccine is that it takes six months to look at the data." And you can imagine the look on Trump's face. I don't know if any of this happened in real life, but you can imagine this. Imagine Trump listening to somebody tell him that the phase o
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f just looking at the freaking data was going to take six months. Just imagine what he said, right? I'll tell you what he didn't say: "Well you're the experts, I guess it takes six months to look at data." No, no. Maybe Biden would do that because Biden says listen to the experts, right? Maybe he would have said, "What can you do?" Every single expert just said six months. If that's what it takes…
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