a published study and learning how to read it correctly or analyze it or be critical. So those are the people who are telling you what to believe. People you believe are qualified but have never even taken the courses.

Who would you trust? Somebody like Andreas and somebody with an economics background who has studied, you know, at least could look at data and studies and know if at least the math is done right. Who are you going to believe? Somebody who's not a doctor but knows how to look at a study, or somebody who is a doctor who doesn't know how to look at a study? So those are your choices.

I would like to nominate myself for a Nobel Prize in either science or medicine, and I'm open to whichever one they'd like to give me. Maybe both. So I'm going to present to you now my proposal for why I should receive a Nobel Prize in science or medicine, either one. Both would be fine. And I'm going to give you my scientific theory that will change everything. Are you ready?

This is based not on my medical understanding, of course. This is based not on my scientific understanding, of course. This is based on pattern recognition and being pretty good at hearing a dog that doesn't bark. And I'm going to lay out my argument. There is a mystery about viruses, which is why they go away. Why did they ever go away?

Now if I said to you, why is it that viruses go away in the summer? I know from experience every one of you who are not doctors and not virologists will be quite sure you know the answer. And you'll say to me, well Scott, it's obvious. It's warmer and viruses don't like that. People go outdoors. They don't have the indoor air conditioning circulating things. They get more vitamin D so they're healthier. The virus has mutated by then. Scott, don't you know that people have reached herd immunity by then? Right? You would have lots of reasons why viruses go away.

But did you know that the experts don't believe any of them? Meaning that everything you can think of for why any virus goes away — forget about coronavirus, just any virus, Spanish flu, any virus, any seasonal virus — why does it ever go away? The experts don't know. The experts don't know. So when you say it's obvious, it's vitamin D, the experts thought of that, right? You're not the one who thought of it. The experts looked into vitamin D. They looked into everything and they can't find it. They can't find the reason that a virus goes away. Did you know that? It's a fascinating fact.

Now it could be the combination of things, but here's the problem. Every time you say the reason the virus goes away is that it has something to do with seasonality, here's the problem. It's always winter somewhere, and these viruses are global. The virus should always be able to hide wherever the conditions are still good. And then because people are traveling around the world routinely, the virus would just go wherever it can live the best. And it might. Hello. And it would just go wherever it needs to live. So in theory any virus that has not reached herd immunity — and that appears to be everything, because even the Spanish flu I don't think ever came close. I don't believe it ever came close to herd immunity. So things are going away for reasons we don't know.

Here is why I will get the Nobel Prize, because I'm going to tell you what the secret is. You ready? Here are things we know. Number one, we know that the amount of viral load you get initially determines how sick you get. Everybody agree with that? The amount you initially get is very highly correlated with how sick you get. I think everybody agrees with that. Therefore, if you've got just a small exposure to it while you are otherwise healthy, would you get immunity that didn't show up when you were being tested for immunity?

So here's my hypothesis and why I'll get the Nobel Prize for science or possibly medicine or possibly both. I believe that what's unique about the summer is that people get exposed to micro doses of the virus and that they de