Episode 1423 Scott Adams - Brains Versus Cowardice Versus Studies Versus Doctors. Come Sip.

on the ball those of you who are early risers and uh dare I say assertive self-starters you're all here early because you know that if you missed the simultaneous sip live well you're going to have to do it record it and the recorded simultaneous sip well one of the best things in the world is not the best thing in the world which would be the live simultaneous sip which is coming at you just about now and all you need is a cup of micro glass a tanker Chelsea's dying I can't think of Alaska vessel of any kind how's my audio today pretty good right fill your cup with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything except my audio better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go um did you get the live one yeah it's better isn't it no surprise well may I start with the news of the day the big news of the day is like the big news of yesterday and the news of the day before because there's not much big news happening so we need something to be afraid of are you ready beware of the Delta variable the Delta variable is coming for you oh yeah you thought you were out of the woods no that doesn't sell clicks how can you sell advertisement on news programs if you've solved a pandemic you can't what you need is the delto variant Beware of the Delta variant which is under your bed it's under your bed it's in your closet children put on your masks Beware of the Delta a variable or variant now I don't know how afraid of the Delta variant you should be I know I'm not afraid of it because I got vaccinated and you know the the funny thing about vaccinations if there's anything funny about them is that it's caused this uh cattle versus sheep kind of thing we humans so love to be on a team and hate the other team that will make a team out of anything and suddenly it's like oh you're on the moderna vaccination team or the Pfizer team like what if I don't want to be on a team what if I just want to get vaccinated I don't have to be on a team do I so here's the thing my particular vaccination apparently is effective against the Delta variant oh I might have other risks getting vaccinated but not the Delta variant so your mileage May differ but we'll see if the Delta variant gets us because you got to be afraid of something so the House of Representatives voted yesterday to approve a resolution to create a committee to look into the January 6 Capital attack can you think of anything that you would like your government to do less than that if you were to make a list of all the things you think are important that your government should look into where would you put on your list of top priorities for the country where would you put form a committee to look into the January 6 Capital attack I don't have any questions left about that do you suppose we find out there were some bad actors in the group I don't care it's not like a few bad actors caused it to happen they might have been there well what if you find out that all the people there had different motives we kind of know that what if you find out that a large group of Americans had some really bad actors in it is there any possibility there weren't are there any large group of Americans that don't have any Bad actors in them what if we find out there were FBI Assets in the group of course there were so we already know that do you think the FBI uh informants or assets cause the riots do you think they pushed them well you don't need a committee to look into that do you it seems like law enforcement would be looking into that um or not so I don't see any purpose of this whatsoever except political just to keep it as a story I think uh was it Mc.

Carthy who who warned that you would lose your committee assignments if you're Republican and you and you joined this committee so I don't know that this will go anywhere very political completely useless big story of the day well uh Brittany Britney Spears is still a prisoner of her conservatorship I guess she was unsuccessful in getting that released but Bill Cosby is a free man that's right Britney Spears is still under a conservatorship dancing away in her bikini but Bill Cosby free man now I don't want to uh cause anybody to feel bad about this story if you've been a victim of any kind of crime like this or know anybody who has or you're just a good person you're probably quite offended by the story of Bill Cosby going free it turns out that he is Accused by approximately 60 women of a very similar crime 6-0 60 women how does your lawyer get you out of jail when 60 women have accused you of a similar horrible crime what kind of a lawyer can do that well he here's the basic idea most of these or all of them I think were past the uh uh stat statute of limitations so there was only one that was the subject of his going to jail and it turns out that he has some kind of oral agreement everything sounds naughty when you're talking about Cosby now he had an oral agreement with a lawyer and a lawyer a prosecutor that he wouldn't be prosecuted for that one crime uh if he was forthcoming on the civil case I don't really understand the details of that but apparently he got some kind of immunity for the one thing that he was being prosecuted for and it took them two years to sort that out and a court finally decided yeah you're right you had the immunity so you can't be prosecuted for the one that they could prosecute and a 60.

so how often can a rich guy get out of jail with good lawyering lawyer lawyering it's kind of impressive in a horrible way isn't it I mean what is it is it possible to say every normal criminal who's not famous do they all also have a get in a jail free card if they just lawyer well enough because really this was just the quality of the lawyering right that's the only thing that made him get out of jail I can't imagine that other people would have gotten out of jail even in the same circumstances the funniest part of this story and when I say funny I mean like you're gonna vomit funny uh Harvey Weinstein's lawyer uh thinks that Harvey will be next oh that's bad my computer just glitched let's see if I'm still on there all right um and I love the fact I love the fact that Harvey Weinstein's lawyer is trying to make a comparison because first of all Cosby is apparently guilty as hell 60 women accused him you know it's hard it's hard to imagine he's not guilty but to to therefore say that because he got off on that one technicality that Harvey Weinstein is just like him and and uh was falsely accused it takes a lot of lawyer balls to make that argument but Harvey Weinstein's lawyers making that argument that because this completely unrelated case where the guy is guilty as got off on a technicality therefore his his client who has nothing to do with Cosby whatsoever in a completely different situation should also be suffering totally logical not all right uh on school choice we've been watching the change in attitudes here so listen to this according to uh Corey De.

Angelis in a tweet yesterday a year ago ish 64 percent of the public was in favor of funding the students instead of the school system meaning that the student could take their funding and go to any other school that would accept it and the money would just travel with the student instead of going to a public school um so now it's going from 64 percent we're in favor of the money following the student up to 74 now 74 of those surveyed want the funding schedule thing to to change and in fact a lot of states are looking into doing that um and somebody asked if Harvey Weinstein is really guilty because he was just trading sex for fame no I don't think that was all he was doing he was masturbating into a plant at one point and I don't think he traded anything for that I think he just assaulted a plant so no it is not fair to say that all he did was trade sex for fame he was actually a rapist it seems all right but back to school choice it's icky to put these topics right next to each other but I did it anyway see if we could deal with it so 74 percent of those polls say that the funding should follow the student what do I tell you about the 25 rule you see it over and over again 25 of the public will answer the dumbest answer on any poll the poll could be are you in favor of oxygen 25 of the public would say I don't think so I'm not trusting that oxygen and I don't think oxygen is real I think it's fake it doesn't matter what the question is 25 of the public can be reliable idiots and so on the school choice thing we've hit the the idiot level so I've tell I think I've told you before that we should consider a 75 being on the same side as unanimous because that is all the smart people the other 25 percent are just the freaking morons who would vote against oxygen and clean water and anything for whatever reason the solid 25 are against everything all right so Fire season is starting in California so that's the end of my happiness uh if you might remember last year the pandemic was in place but well at least we could go Outdoors not really if you were in California and it was summer you couldn't even go Outdoors so you couldn't go anywhere indoors but you also couldn't go Outdoors for many weeks in California that sucks let me tell you when you can't go indoors and you can't go Outdoors you've got a very small world and it's not cool but I'm entering that phase now so we had we had a good solid month where the coronavirus was less and The Mask wearing was released if you were vaccinated and the air was clear and now that appears to be ending and I'm going into the long dark period of California because California is so poorly managed that we let a problem which we know to be a problem persist doesn't change anything nope we just keep on going with the same problems um so there was a study on masks and Kids a randomized controlled trial those are the good kind right if it's randomized and it's controlled pretty good trial now that doesn't mean it's right I think we've all learned that you can't you can't trust any individual study it's just not a thing you should trust but this study said there was a a problem with carbon dioxide and kids and masks so if kids wore masks for any length of time the quality of the air there was breathing went down so less oxygen more carbon dioxide and apparently that has some some types of health risks and so the suggestion is that maybe mess are bad for kids did you need a study for that I'm not sure you needed a study to decide not to put masks on kids but your mileage might differ maybe you're afraid of the Delta variant beware the Delta variant put masks on the kids because the Delta variant is coming for you so I wondered how long it would take for somebody to debunk this study it took Andrea's back house about five minutes until he saw my tweet and came in and said you know every time uh Andres or uh Anatoly lubarsky my two favorite critics anytime they criticize something I just shake my head because it's usually something I should have seen you know even with my limited analytical abilities even I should have seen it but I didn't really look for it usually uh here's what Andre says about this study uh he says in the JMA paper there's no difference when measuring only the inhale there they have to throw in inhaled and exhale there to find something now I'm not sure I totally understand that but it looks like on the surface that the inhaled air was fine but the exhale there had too much carbon dioxide in it how is that even a thing I mean I'm not I don't even know how that could be a thing uh but the suggestion is that maybe you should ignore that paper you know or at least wait for more papers to confirm it but uh put a little put a little asterisk next to that paper that said um children and mass seems like a bad idea to me so it's been a few days now since Tucker Carlson talked about the NSA spying on him and no news organizations seem to be agreeing with him including his own and the NSA has denied it in a way that confirmed it now we talked about this yesterday the nsa's overly specific denial is as clear a confirmation that it happened as anything just clearly confirming it and and we just moved on how did that happen this should be one of the biggest stories in the country if not the world that the government was spying on a political person you know somebody who talks on the news and and then they basically confirmed it by denying it in a way that really does confirm it and we just let that go I guess there's just nothing you can do about it you know maybe there's some legal thing that Tucker is looking into but can you see how thoroughly the the news business can just make a story go away they just made this thing go away I don't know what would be bigger than this uh I'm saying Matt Gates is calling for an investigation as well he should because you know Matt Gates is being invested is being watched by the NSA don't you don't you figure that Matt Gates is being spied on one way or another now it may not be directly they may have some some case in which they're looking for somebody else's stuff but they just get his incidentally but I would say that the odds that Matt Gates is not being spied on by our government is low it's probably low I'm almost curious in fact I think the odds that my digital Communications are compromised are 100 percent I mean I don't know that there's any chance they're not I would say that if you have any public standing in terms of politics and standing in this case just means you talk about it you have an audience if you have an audience and you might be persuading people one way or another I feel like your digital Communications is all penetrated by now if not by my own country than by you know foreign intelligence people I would think that somebody would want a blackmail Me by by now isn't it weird that I haven't well you wouldn't know I guess I wouldn't admit it if I had been but uh I haven't been blackmailed by anybody strangely enough and again if I had that I suppose I'd lie about it all right see I'm at my laptop keeps dying here and that makes me think that over on locals can you tell me if my feed just went dark when my computer timed out and I don't think my computer should be timing out when I've got a live stream going so so locals make the make the see what you can do to make sure my screen doesn't go to screen saver all right um as uh Adam dopamine said today on Twitter now Adam is a medical doctor he's an MD and he tweets us when you see 97 percent of doctors agreeing on whatever that is meaningless it's a lie of consensus now on some level you knew that right you knew that just because everybody agreed that doesn't necessarily make it true but let's take that to a deeper level he says as an MD I can attest that the vast majority of doctors outside of universities do zero primary research we know what we read in journals learn at conferences or here at uh late here on the Lay News so in other words the doctors are basically getting their information the same way you are and they don't have any special expertise to know if it's true so how so if there's one study and then the doctors read it all the doctors will agree and you'll say to yourself well all those doctors agree but it doesn't mean anything because the doctors are just looking at the same thing you're looking at oh there's a study you looked at it and it said X works the doctor looked at it and said X works and he came to the same conclusion the doctor added nothing now and if you don't know that that all the doctors agree it literally means nothing let me um let me take you back to and I think Adam pointed this out do you remember when we were told that 17 intelligence agencies agreed on what was it on Russia collusion or something do you remember that there were 17 intelligence agencies agreed who was and this will be a test of your memory anybody who's been following me for a while who was the only person in the country I think the only person public person who is the only public person in the country who said as soon as I saw the 17 intelligence agencies that really means one who else immediately said no 17 agencies means one the other 16 didn't reproduce the work they just looked at the one Uh something's happening noisy there's some noise happening here um right so if you worked in a in a large organization as I did and you happened to be the author of The Dilbert comic if you're the author of The Dilbert comic you know how bureaucracies work that the agreement is just people agreeing with other people right so um and I see some other names in the comments um but I think I might have been the first to say it out loud yeah a lot a lot of people who are maybe not in the public I were saying it privately so I don't claim that nobody else thought of it but I don't think anybody was dumb enough to say it out loud as soon as I did so whenever you see that just to keep in mind that you're not talking about experts looking at experts you're talking about people just like you looking at experts now Andres Backhouse weighed in on this and he said I had a tweet I was recently reminded by a German MD that medicine as a study program doesn't aim at qualifying for scientific medical research meaning that if you study to be a doctor you have not learned how to do medical research and therefore you haven't learned how to read it either so you can get through the program says Andres without having read a single paper or having analyzed data you can become a doctor without ever looking at a published study and learning how to read it correctly or analyze it or be critical so those are the people who are telling you what to believe people you believe are qualified but have never even taken the courses who would you trust somebody like Andres and somebody with an economics background who has studied you know at least could look at data and studies and and know if at least the math is done right who are you going to study who are you going to believe somebody who's not a doctor but knows how to look at a study or somebody who is a doctor who doesn't know how to look at a study so those are your choices um I would like to nominate myself for a Nobel Prize and either science or medicine and I'm open to whichever one they'd like to give me maybe both so I'm going to present to with you now to you now my proposal for why I should receive a Nobel Prize in science or medicine either one both would be fine and I'm going to give you my scientific theory that will change everything are you ready this is based not on my medical understanding of course this is based not on my scientific understanding of course this is based on pattern recognition and being pretty good at hearing a dog that doesn't bark and goes like this and I'm going to lay out my argument there is a mystery about viruses which is why they go away why did they ever go away now if I said to you why is it that viruses go away in the summer I know from experience every one of you who are not doctors and not virologists will be quite sure you know the answer and you'll say to me well Scott it's obvious it's warmer and viruses don't like that people go Outdoors they don't have the indoor air conditioning circulating things they get more vitamin D so they're healthier the virus has mutated by them Scott don't you know that people have reached herd immunity by them right you would have lots of reasons why viruses go away but did you know that the experts don't believe any of them meaning that everything you can think of for why any virus goes away forget about coronavirus just antivirus Spanish Flu antivirus any seasonal virus why does it ever go away the experts don't know the experts don't know so when you say it's obvious it's vitamin D the experts thought of that right you're not the one who thought of it the experts looked into Vitamin D they looked into everything and they can't find it they can't find the reason that a virus goes away did you know that it's a fascinating fact now it could be the combination of things but here's the problem every time you say the reason the virus goes away is that it has something to do with seasonality here's the problem it's always winter somewhere and these viruses are global the virus should always be able to hide wherever the conditions are still good and then because people are traveling around the world routinely that the virus would just go wherever it can live the best and it might hello and it would just go wherever uh wherever it needs to live so in theory any virus that has not reached herd immunity and that appears to be everything because even even the Spanish flu I don't think ever came close I don't believe it ever came close to herd immunity so things are going away for reasons we don't know here is why I will get the Nobel Prize because I'm going to tell you what the secret is you ready here are things we know number one we know that the amount of viral load you get initially determines how sick you get everybody agree with that the amount you initially get has is very highly correlated with how sick you get I think everybody agrees with that therefore if you've got just a small exposure to it while you are otherwise healthy would you get immunity that didn't show up when you were being tested for immunity so here's my hypothesis and why I'll get the Nobel Prize for sites or possibly medicine or possibly both I believe that what's unique about the summer is that people get exposed to micro doses of the virus and that they they develop something like a pre-immunity meaning that if you check them for antibodies maybe you wouldn't find them the way you're expecting to find them but that you're that your body has been warned essentially basically it's been prepped by tiny little exposures but not enough to make you sick because you're out in the sun and you're outdoors and maybe you get a little whiff of it from passing somebody so my hypothesis is herd immunity but not measurable meaning that if you measured and antibodies in the normal way you just wouldn't find it but that there's something about the micro exposure that preps some bodies in a way that may be as hard to detect to just be a little bit more alert for this specific problem and it just gets on it faster because that could be it it could be it could be nothing more than somebody's are responding faster now I suppose the other possibility is that some people have natural immunity to anything and that herd immunity doesn't really have to be 70 maybe it needs to be 35 and we've never been right about herd immunity that's the other possibility um somebody says nope no Nobel for you all right well that's I'm going to stick with that hypothesis that it has to be something about your somebody's prepping but not in a way that we can detect all right that'll probably take 10 or 20 years for me to get that Nobel Prize but I'm patient I can wait I would like my critics to make up their minds my critics call me a coward sometimes they call me a coward for uh saying that face masks work in some situations and that I am a coward for taking that position but at the same time the fact that I got a vaccination with this so-called risky experimental vaccine um makes me foolhardy so I am simultaneously a coward about mass at the same time I should be much more afraid but I'm not about vaccines so could my critics make up their mind am I a coward or am I foolhardy because I can't be both and if you're going to criticize me at least be consistent will you am I foolhardy or am I a coward please make up your mind well I would like to add this if you would like to find who the dumbest people in the world they're the ones who call anybody a coward for a risk management decision all of us are making risk management decisions all of us are trying to make the decision that lowers our risk if you're trying to make decisions that lower your risk based on you know incomplete data and the best you can do about making your guess are you a coward or are you like every person in the world with every decision for every year every minute of the whole civilization all of your decisions yours mine everybody's decisions are comparing risks that's everybody all the time with every decision if your best analysis is that somebody was a coward you're a idiot and I hate to be the first to tell you you don't know how to analyze anything you're just a idiot if if that's your filter on life it's like oh this one's a coward he got a vaccine he's so afraid he's so afraid of the Coronavirus or he's wearing a mask because it's the law he must be a coward what kind of a coward is he please if if your best analytical approach is calling somebody a coward because they made a different risk management decision than you did don't talk in public please don't ever talk in public you do not have the brains to say things out loud right at the very least talk in terms of risk management perhaps you have a different opinion of the risk let's say you're one of these people like uh sticks and hex and Hammer or 666.

who apparently has decided that the risk of getting the vaccine is higher than the risk of getting the Coronavirus is he right what do you think is uh sticks and hex and Hammer or 666 on Twitter a lot of you know very reasonable guy right if you've watched the show you know he's very reason based very rational is that the right decision how the would you know how the would you know if if the risk of getting the vaccination is higher in the long run than not getting it you don't know that now I made a decision but is it because I know that my my risk management is right no no am I going to tell you that the sticks and hex and Hammer 666 got it wrong no no how the would I know do you know how much the risk of the I don't know the the variants that are caused by the vaccination the long-term effects of the vaccination somebody says he's right Paul you don't know if he's right you couldn't know that nobody Einstein couldn't know that all the smartest people in the world can't know that it's unknowable 100 percent unknowable but you still have to make a decision right so I made a decision based on a number of variables and one of the variables was that it would free me up to you know travel and not have to wear a mask and stuff now did I make the correct decision to get the vaccination how the would I know it's impossible to know nobody has enough information about the future to know which way is right I'll tell you what what I was influenced by I was influenced by the fact that apparently most side effects happen early so I had waited a number of months and I saw how many you know side effects there seemed to be compared to how many people got the vaccination and it looked like we have most side effects happen early there weren't that many compared to what I saw as the risk of the coronavirus am I right is that is that a uh and let's say accurate or useful analysis how the would I know it's unknowable right I do know it made me feel better right so whoever says John you're dead wrong everybody who has certainty about the risks of vaccination versus the risk of not vaccination all the people with certainty are your idiots you're just idiots I'm sorry and you should not watch this live stream anymore you're not smart enough to watch this live stream you could be uh you could be confident that you made the right decision for yourself that would be fair you could be confident that there are certain type of risks you're not comfortable with but maybe other kinds that you are oh that would be fair that would be a reasonable decision but if you say to yourself you're dead wrong to get the vaccination or you're dead wrong not to get the vaccination you're an idiot there's no way around that that's like brain that doesn't work you can't know what was the right decision you just have to take your best shot at it if I'm wrong and let's say I get a horrible disease from the vaccination I'm not expecting that but let's say I do would you then say well Scott I told you well if you do you're a idiot because you didn't know you got lucky somebody's going to be right right somebody in the long run will look more right than somebody else it's not because you're knew you don't know you're guessing all right so get over yourself if you're confident that you're positive about vaccinations you're a idiot because nobody should be confident about this at all at all all right maybe I've taken that too far here's what uh Queen of the Universe elect says on Twitter to my points about this she said about masks and about vaccination she says both are evidence of your cowardice you were so afraid of the pandemic the pandemic that you got the risky vaccine it wasn't out of foolhardiness it was out of cowardice this fear is so deep that you believe we should all be forcibly vaccinated to protect you it's very sad um no I don't believe you should all be forcibly vaccinated to protect me do you know why I got the vaccination I don't need you to be vaccinated so opposite opposite of that I'm unafraid because I'm vaccinated was I ever afraid of masks no I just didn't like them you know for a variety of obvious reasons yeah so it's a mind reading and it's someone who is sure that my bravery and my cowardice are exactly the same thinking this is this is people who imagine they can think but they really can't these are really really dumb people who have certainty about this okay so don't be the certain person you could be for vaccinations or against them that's fine I think you could make an argument either way but don't be certain don't be that person all right um let's see uh there's a study that says that the covet can destroy your penis so there's a study that found that people had recovered still had uh coveted in their penis and at least a few cases not enough to be statistically relevant yet but anecdotally there are some people who seem to have become impotent after getting the coronavirus and it's still in their penis now um the doctors haven't been uh specific about this but I think this is an obvious case like breast exams uh you should you should examine your penis on a regular basis um I think that's what Jeffrey tubin was doing a lot of people think he was pleasuring himself but that was really a self-examination he was wondering if he'd been infected with the covert the covet virus and he was just finding out it was just examination to see if his junk was still working and apparently he was so good for you all right now how much uh how much should you put in your belief that coronavirus will make you impotent probably not a lot probably not a ton but you've got the Long Haul problem with covid but allegedly people have had problems with the vaccination which one is bigger so for all of you who are just positive you are just positive in your opinion for all of you tell me the risk of having a vaccination out bad outcome versus the risk of having a long-term coronavirus problem remember that's even if you live having a long long-haul problem so what are the risks so many of you are very very certain of the risks so for all of you who are so certain please compare with compare to me in the comments give me the risk of a vaccine vaccination bad outcome versus the risk of a coronavirus long-haul problem what what you don't know but you were so certain just minutes ago where are all my where all my convinced people who are so sure that one of those choices is cowardice well obviously you would know the risks because you couldn't compare the risks to know which one is the cowardest one unless you knew the risk is it one percent all right hahaha um you know and let me say somebody said I'm changing Minds about getting the vaccination that's not my intention I I'm quite adamant about the fact that you shouldn't get your medical advice from cartoonists all right that's not I don't say that just as a bumper sticker really seriously don't get your medical advice from cartoonists but if I can help you think about it a different way and you can talk to your medical experts more productively maybe that's good but don't don't get your decisions from the cartoonist don't do that all right um and I think I just lost the feed here because my laptop keeps dying so sorry about the screensaver going out uh on locals um all right just look I'm looking at some of your comments we're all good over there good thank you it's back all right yeah so the screen saver was knocking my live feed off on my laptop doesn't happen on here so I'll have to so I've told you every time I add a complication to the live streaming it does go bad the complication here is that using the laptop as a the screen saver that I need to deactivate so there's one more thing I have to remember to do um still working on the microphones by the way I'm going to try to get my road Caster working I figured out how to give phantom power to some microphones on it which was not obvious at first but I figured out my phantom power problem and now I got to figure out how to get sound out of the road caster so this is how far I got I've got a mixing board where I can get the sound into it now with all of my microphones I just can't get any sound out of it I've got to figure that out um here's a question I might never get the virus why risk taking the vaccination Donnie I I just don't know what to say to that I just don't want to say that if if you don't know the risk of the vaccination and you also don't know the risk of getting the virus you don't know which one's bigger and nobody can tell you nobody else knows either nobody knows that stuff you're gonna have to make the decision without knowing which one is the bigger risk now I happen to feel that given that the fact that most vaccinations are going to show you a bad impact fairly quickly that gives me some comfort along with the fact that we know that it does create antibodies and it does work so we know it works and we know that the period where you would see the most problems doesn't seem to be a big risk of course some be some people will always have problems with a mass rollout of any kind of new medicine um all right somebody says moderna gave you a vertigo well keep in mind if you're like most people you get at least one mystery illness per week is there anybody who doesn't get a mystery illness every week like I'll wake up and like ow my earlobe wow why does my earlobe hurt and it'll hurt all day and they'll just go away the next day you wake up it's like ah my sinus my sinus pretty much every week right have you have you ever gone a week where you didn't have at least one mystery illness my ankle ah I could barely walk on this one ankle okay it's okay by tomorrow how could it be possible that people people you know tens of millions of people getting the vaccination of course there should be millions of stories of people who got the vaccination and then ah my eye my eye of course it has to happen it can't not happen you know just the the the way numbers work all right I think I have uh angered everybody those people who have a certainty about their risk management decisions have all gone away because I've either shamed you or you you'll never watch me again uh one of those two things is happening right now somebody says a co-worker got vertigo badly um I I don't know that vertigo is necessarily a vaccination problem but I'm open to it could be all right um that's all for now I'm going to turn off uh You.

Tube I'm going to talk to my locals people here for another minute and I will see you tomorrow

on the ball

those of you who are early risers and uh

dare I say assertive self-starters

you're all here early because you know

that if you missed the simultaneous sip

live well you're going to have to do it

record it

and the recorded simultaneous sip well

one of the best things in the world is

not the best thing in the world which

would be the live simultaneous sip which

is coming at you just about now and all

you need is a cup of micro glass a

tanker Chelsea's dying

I can't think of Alaska vessel of any

kind

how's my audio today pretty good right

fill your cup with your favorite liquid

I like coffee and join me now for the

unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit

of the day the thing that makes

everything except my audio better it's

called the simultaneous Sip and it

happens now go

um did you get the live one yeah it's

better isn't it

no surprise

well

may I start with the news of the day

the big news of the day

is like the big news of yesterday and

the news of the day before

because there's not much big news

happening

so we need something to be afraid of

are you ready

beware

of the Delta variable the Delta variable

is coming for you oh yeah you thought

you were out of the woods no that

doesn't sell clicks how can you sell

advertisement on news programs if you've

solved a pandemic you can't what you

need is

the delto variant Beware of the Delta

variant which is under your bed it's

under your bed it's in your closet

children

put on your masks Beware of the Delta a

variable

or variant

now I don't know how afraid of the Delta

variant you should be

I know I'm not afraid of it because I

got vaccinated

and you know the the funny thing about

vaccinations if there's anything funny

about them is that it's caused this uh

cattle versus sheep kind of thing

we humans so love to be on a team and

hate the other team that will make a

team out of anything

and suddenly it's like oh you're on the

moderna vaccination team or the Pfizer

team like what if I don't want to be on

a team

what if I just want to get vaccinated

I don't have to be on a team do I

so here's the thing my particular

vaccination apparently is effective

against the Delta variant oh I might

have other risks getting vaccinated but

not the Delta variant so your mileage

May differ

but we'll see if the Delta variant gets

us because you got to be afraid of

something

so the House of Representatives voted

yesterday

to approve a resolution to create a

committee to look into the January 6

Capital attack

can you think of anything that you would

like your government to do less than

that

if you were to make a list of all the

things you think are important

that your government should look into

where would you put on your list of top

priorities for the country where would

you put form a committee to look into

the January 6 Capital attack

I don't have any questions left about

that do you

suppose we find out there were some bad

actors in the group

I don't care it's not like a few bad

actors caused it to happen they might

have been there

well what if you find out that all the

people there had different motives

we kind of know that

what if you find out that a large group

of Americans had some really bad actors

in it

is there any possibility there weren't

are there any large group of Americans

that don't have any Bad actors in them

what if we find out there were FBI

Assets in the group

of course there were

so we already know that

do you think the FBI uh informants or

assets cause the riots do you think they

pushed them well you don't need a

committee to look into that do you it

seems like law enforcement would be

looking into that

um or not

so I don't see any purpose of this

whatsoever except political just to keep

it as a story

I think uh was it McCarthy who who

warned that you would lose your

committee assignments if you're

Republican and you and you joined this

committee so I don't know that this will

go anywhere very political completely

useless

big story of the day

well uh Brittany

Britney Spears is still a prisoner of

her conservatorship I guess she was

unsuccessful in getting that released

but Bill Cosby is a free man

that's right Britney Spears is still

under a conservatorship

dancing away in her bikini

but Bill Cosby

free man

now

I don't want to uh

cause anybody to feel bad about this

story

if you've been a victim of any kind of

crime like this or know anybody who has

or you're just a good person

you're probably quite offended by the

story of Bill Cosby going free

it turns out

that he is Accused by approximately 60

women

of a very similar crime

6-0

60

women

how does your lawyer get you out of jail

when 60 women have accused you of a

similar horrible crime

what kind of a lawyer can do that

well he here's the basic idea most of

these or all of them I think were past

the uh

uh stat statute of limitations

so there was only one

that was the subject of his going to

jail

and it turns out that he has some kind

of oral agreement

everything sounds naughty when you're

talking about Cosby now he had an oral

agreement with a lawyer and a lawyer a

prosecutor that he wouldn't be

prosecuted for that one crime uh if he

was forthcoming on the civil case I

don't really understand the details of

that but apparently he got some kind of

immunity

for the one thing that he was being

prosecuted for and it took them two

years to sort that out and a court

finally decided yeah you're right you

had the immunity so you can't be

prosecuted for the one that they could

prosecute

and a 60.

so

how often

can a rich guy get out of jail

with good lawyering lawyer lawyering

it's kind of impressive in a horrible

way isn't it

I mean what

is it is it possible to say every normal

criminal who's not famous do they all

also have a get in a jail free card if

they just lawyer well enough

because really this was just the quality

of the lawyering right that's the only

thing that made him get out of jail I

can't imagine that other people would

have gotten out of jail even in the same

circumstances

the funniest part of this story and when

I say funny I mean

like you're gonna vomit funny

uh Harvey Weinstein's lawyer uh thinks

that Harvey

will be next

oh that's bad my computer just glitched

let's see if I'm still on there all

right

um and I love the fact

I love the fact that Harvey Weinstein's

lawyer is trying to make a comparison

because first of all

Cosby is apparently guilty as hell

60 women accused him

you know it's hard it's hard to imagine

he's not guilty

but to to therefore say that because he

got off on that one technicality that

Harvey Weinstein is just like him and

and uh was falsely accused it takes a

lot of lawyer balls to make that

argument

but Harvey Weinstein's

lawyers making that argument that

because this completely unrelated case

where the guy is guilty as got off

on a technicality

therefore his his client who has nothing

to do with Cosby whatsoever in a

completely different situation should

also be suffering

totally logical

not

all right

uh on school choice

we've been watching the change in

attitudes here so listen to this

according to uh Corey DeAngelis in a

tweet yesterday

a year ago ish 64 percent of the public

was in favor of funding the students

instead of the school system meaning

that the student could take their

funding and go to any other school that

would accept it and the money would just

travel with the student instead of going

to a public school

um so now it's going from 64 percent

we're in favor of the money following

the student up to 74 now

74 of those surveyed

want the funding schedule thing to to

change and in fact a lot of states are

looking into doing that

um

and

somebody asked if Harvey Weinstein is

really guilty because he was just

trading sex for fame no I don't think

that was all he was doing he was

masturbating into a plant

at one point and I don't think he traded

anything for that I think he just

assaulted a plant

so no it is not fair to say that all he

did was trade sex for fame he was

actually a rapist it seems

all right but back to school choice it's

icky to put these topics right next to

each other but I did it anyway

see if we could deal with it so 74

percent of those polls say that the

funding should follow the student what

do I tell you about the 25 rule

you see it over and over again 25 of the

public

will answer the dumbest answer on any

poll

the poll could be are you in favor of

oxygen

25 of the public would say I don't think

so I'm not trusting that oxygen and I

don't think oxygen is real I think it's

fake it doesn't matter what the question

is 25 of the public can be reliable

idiots and so on the school choice thing

we've hit the the idiot level

so I've tell I think I've told you

before that we should consider a 75

being on the same side as unanimous

because that is all the smart people

the other 25 percent are just the

freaking morons who would vote against

oxygen and clean water and anything

for whatever reason the solid 25 are

against everything

all right so Fire season is starting in

California

so that's the end of my happiness uh if

you might remember last year

the pandemic was in place but well at

least we could go Outdoors not really if

you were in California and it was summer

you couldn't even go Outdoors

so you couldn't go anywhere indoors but

you also couldn't go Outdoors for many

weeks in California

that sucks

let me tell you

when you can't go indoors and you can't

go Outdoors you've got a very small

world and it's not cool but I'm entering

that phase now so we had we had a good

solid month where the coronavirus was

less and The Mask wearing was released

if you were vaccinated and the air was

clear

and now that appears to be ending and

I'm going into the long dark period of

California because California is so

poorly managed

that we let a problem which we know to

be a problem persist

doesn't change anything

nope we just keep on going with the same

problems

um

so there was a study on masks and Kids a

randomized controlled trial those are

the good kind right if it's randomized

and it's controlled

pretty good trial now that doesn't mean

it's right I think we've all learned

that you can't you can't trust any

individual study it's just not a thing

you should trust but this study said

there was a a

problem with carbon dioxide and kids and

masks so if kids wore masks for any

length of time the quality of the air

there was breathing went down so less

oxygen more carbon dioxide and

apparently that has some some types of

health risks and so the suggestion is

that maybe mess are bad for kids

did you need a study for that

I'm not sure you needed a study to

decide not to put masks on kids but your

mileage might differ maybe you're afraid

of

the Delta variant beware the Delta

variant put masks on the kids because

the Delta variant is coming for you

so

I wondered how long it would take for

somebody to debunk this study

it took Andrea's back house about five

minutes until he saw my tweet and came

in and said

you know every time uh Andres or uh

Anatoly lubarsky my two favorite critics

anytime they criticize something I just

shake my head because it's usually

something I should have seen you know

even with my limited analytical

abilities even I should have seen it but

I didn't really look for it usually uh

here's what Andre says about this study

uh he says in the JMA paper there's no

difference when measuring only the

inhale there

they have to throw in inhaled and exhale

there to find something

now I'm not sure I totally understand

that

but it looks like on the surface

that the inhaled air was fine

but the exhale there had too much carbon

dioxide in it how is that even a thing I

mean I'm not I don't even know how that

could be a thing

uh but the suggestion is that maybe you

should ignore that paper

you know or at least wait for more

papers to confirm it but uh put a little

put a little asterisk next to that paper

that said

um children and mass seems like a bad

idea to me

so it's been a few days now since Tucker

Carlson talked about the NSA spying on

him

and no news organizations seem to be

agreeing with him including his own

and the NSA has denied it in a way that

confirmed it now we talked about this

yesterday the nsa's overly specific

denial is as clear a confirmation that

it happened as anything just clearly

confirming it

and and we just moved on

how did that happen

this should be one of the biggest

stories in the country if not the world

that the government was spying on a

political

person you know somebody who talks on

the news and

and then they basically confirmed it by

denying it in a way that really does

confirm it

and we just let that go

I guess there's just nothing you can do

about it you know maybe there's some

legal thing that Tucker is looking into

but

can you see how thoroughly the the news

business can just make a story go away

they just made this thing go away

I don't know what would be bigger than

this

uh I'm saying Matt Gates is calling for

an investigation

as well he should because you know Matt

Gates is being invested is being watched

by the NSA

don't you don't you figure that Matt

Gates is being spied on one way or

another now it may not be directly they

may have some some case in which they're

looking for somebody else's stuff but

they just get his incidentally but I

would say that the odds that Matt Gates

is not being spied on by our government

is low

it's probably low

I'm almost curious in fact I think the

odds that my digital Communications are

compromised are

100 percent

I mean I don't know that there's any

chance they're not

I would say that if you have any

public standing in terms of politics and

standing in this case just means you

talk about it you have an audience if

you have an audience

and you might be persuading people one

way or another

I feel like your digital Communications

is all penetrated by now if not by my

own country

than by you know foreign intelligence

people

I would think that somebody would want a

blackmail Me by by now

isn't it weird that I haven't well you

wouldn't know I guess I wouldn't admit

it if I had been but uh I haven't been

blackmailed by anybody strangely enough

and again if I had that I suppose I'd

lie about it

all right

see I'm at my laptop keeps dying here

and that makes me think that

over on locals can you tell me if my

feed just went dark when my computer

timed out and I don't think my computer

should be timing out when I've got a

live stream going so

so locals make the make the see what you

can do to make sure my screen doesn't go

to screen saver

all right

um

as uh Adam dopamine said today on

Twitter

now Adam is a medical doctor he's an MD

and he tweets us when you see 97 percent

of doctors agreeing on whatever that is

meaningless it's a lie of consensus now

on some level you knew that right you

knew that just because everybody agreed

that doesn't necessarily make it true

but let's take that to a deeper level

he says as an MD I can attest that the

vast majority of doctors outside of

universities do zero primary research

we know what we read in journals learn

at conferences or here at uh late here

on the Lay News

so in other words the doctors are

basically getting their information the

same way you are and they don't have any

special expertise to know if it's true

so how so if there's one study

and then the doctors read it all the

doctors will agree and you'll say to

yourself well all those doctors agree

but it doesn't mean anything

because the doctors are just looking at

the same thing you're looking at oh

there's a study you looked at it and it

said X works the doctor looked at it and

said X works and he came to the same

conclusion the doctor

added nothing

now and if you don't know that that all

the doctors agree it literally means

nothing

let me

um let me take you back to and I think

Adam pointed this out do you remember

when we were told that 17 intelligence

agencies agreed on what was it on Russia

collusion or something

do you remember that there were 17

intelligence agencies agreed who was and

this will be a test of your memory

anybody who's been following me for a

while

who was the only person in the country

I think the only person public person

who is the only public person in the

country who said as soon as I saw the 17

intelligence agencies that really means

one

who else immediately said no 17 agencies

means one

the other 16

didn't reproduce the work

they just looked at the one

Uh something's happening

noisy there's some noise happening here

um right so if you worked in a in a

large organization as I did and you

happened to be the author of The Dilbert

comic

if you're the author of The Dilbert

comic you know how

bureaucracies work that the agreement is

just people agreeing with other people

right

so

um and I see some other names in the

comments

um but I think I might have been the

first to say it out loud

yeah a lot a lot of people who are maybe

not in the public I were saying it

privately so I don't claim that nobody

else thought of it but I don't think

anybody was dumb enough to say it out

loud as soon as I did

so whenever you see that just to keep in

mind that you're not talking about

experts looking at experts you're

talking about people just like you

looking at experts

now Andres Backhouse weighed in on this

and he said I had a tweet I was recently

reminded by a German MD

that medicine as a study program doesn't

aim at qualifying for scientific medical

research

meaning that if you study to be a doctor

you have not learned how to do medical

research and therefore you haven't

learned how to read it either

so you can get through the program says

Andres without having read a single

paper or having analyzed data you can

become a doctor without ever looking at

a published study and learning how to

read it correctly or analyze it or be

critical

so those are the people who are telling

you

what to believe

people you believe are qualified but

have never even taken the courses

who would you trust somebody like

Andres and somebody with an economics

background who has studied you know at

least could look at data and studies and

and know if at least the math is done

right

who are you going to study who are you

going to believe somebody who's not a

doctor

but knows how to look at a study or

somebody who is a doctor

who doesn't know how to look at a study

so those are your choices

um I would like to nominate myself for a

Nobel Prize and either science or

medicine and I'm open to whichever one

they'd like to give me maybe both

so I'm going to present to with you now

to you now

my proposal for why I

should receive a Nobel Prize in science

or medicine either one both would be

fine

and I'm going to give you my scientific

theory

that will change everything are you

ready

this is based not on my medical

understanding of course

this is based not on my scientific

understanding

of course

this is based on pattern recognition

and being pretty good at hearing a dog

that doesn't bark

and goes like this

and I'm going to lay out my argument

there is a mystery about viruses which

is why they go away

why did they ever go away

now if I said to you why is it that

viruses go away in the summer I know

from experience every one of you who are

not doctors and not virologists will be

quite sure you know the answer and

you'll say to me well Scott it's obvious

it's warmer and viruses don't like that

people go Outdoors they don't have the

indoor air conditioning circulating

things they get more vitamin D so

they're healthier the virus has mutated

by them Scott don't you know that people

have reached herd immunity by them

right you would have lots of reasons why

viruses go away

but did you know

that the experts

don't believe any of them

meaning that everything you can think of

for why any virus goes away forget about

coronavirus just antivirus Spanish Flu

antivirus any seasonal virus why does it

ever go away

the experts don't know

the experts don't know so when you say

it's obvious it's vitamin D the experts

thought of that right you're not the one

who thought of it the experts looked

into Vitamin D they looked into

everything and they can't find it they

can't find the reason that a virus goes

away did you know that it's a

fascinating fact now it could be the

combination of things

but here's the problem every time you

say

the reason the virus goes away is that

it has something to do with seasonality

here's the problem

it's always winter somewhere

and these viruses are global

the virus should always be able to hide

wherever the conditions are still good

and then because people are traveling

around the world routinely

that the virus would just go wherever it

can live the best and it might

[Applause]

[Music]

hello

and it would just go wherever uh

wherever it needs to live so in theory

any virus that has not reached herd

immunity and that appears to be

everything

because even even the Spanish flu I

don't think ever came close I don't

believe it ever came close to herd

immunity so things are going away for

reasons we don't know here is why I will

get the Nobel Prize because I'm going to

tell you what the secret is you ready

here are things we know

number one we know that the amount of

viral load you get initially determines

how sick you get everybody agree with

that the amount you initially get

has is very highly correlated with how

sick you get

I think everybody agrees with that

therefore

if you've got just a small exposure to

it while you are otherwise healthy

would you get immunity

that didn't show up

when you were being tested for immunity

so here's my hypothesis

and why I'll get the Nobel Prize for

sites or possibly medicine or possibly

both

I believe that what's unique about the

summer

is that people get exposed to micro

doses of the virus and that they they

develop something like a pre-immunity

meaning that if you check them for

antibodies maybe you wouldn't find them

the way you're expecting to find them

but that you're that your body has been

warned essentially basically it's been

prepped by tiny little exposures but not

enough to make you sick because you're

out in the sun and you're outdoors and

maybe you get a little whiff of it from

passing somebody

so my hypothesis is

herd immunity but

not measurable

meaning that if you measured and

antibodies in the normal way you just

wouldn't find it but that there's

something about the micro exposure that

preps some bodies in a way that may be

as hard to detect to just be a little

bit more alert for this specific problem

and it just gets on it faster

because that could be it it could be it

could be nothing more than somebody's

are responding faster now I suppose the

other possibility is that some people

have natural immunity to anything and

that herd immunity doesn't really have

to be 70 maybe it needs to be 35 and

we've never been right about herd

immunity that's the other possibility

um

somebody says nope no Nobel for you all

right well that's I'm going to stick

with that hypothesis that it has to be

something about your somebody's prepping

but not in a way that we can detect

all right that'll probably take 10 or 20

years for me to get that Nobel Prize but

I'm patient I can wait

I would like my critics to make up their

minds

my critics call me a coward

sometimes they call me a coward for uh

saying that face masks work in some

situations

and that I am a coward

for taking that position

but at the same time the fact that I got

a vaccination with this so-called risky

experimental vaccine

um makes me foolhardy

so I am simultaneously a coward about

mass at the same time I should be much

more afraid but I'm not about vaccines

so could my critics make up their mind

am I a coward or am I foolhardy because

I can't be both

and if you're going to criticize me at

least be consistent will you am I

foolhardy or am I a coward please make

up your mind well I would like to add

this if you would like to find who the

dumbest people in the world they're the

ones who call anybody a coward for a

risk management decision

all of us are making risk management

decisions all of us are trying to make

the decision that lowers our risk if

you're trying to make decisions that

lower your risk

based on you know incomplete data and

the best you can do about making your

guess are you a coward or are you like

every person in the world with

every decision for every

year every minute of the whole

civilization

all of your decisions

yours mine everybody's decisions are

comparing risks

that's everybody all the time with every

decision

if your best analysis is that somebody

was a coward

you're a idiot

and I hate to be the first to tell you

you don't know how to analyze anything

you're just a idiot

if if that's your filter on life it's

like oh this one's a coward he got a

vaccine

he's so afraid he's so afraid of the

Coronavirus

or he's wearing a mask because it's the

law he must be a coward what kind of a

coward is he

please

if if your best analytical approach is

calling somebody a coward because they

made a different risk management

decision than you did

don't talk in public

please don't ever talk in public you do

not have the brains to say things out

loud

right at the very least talk in terms of

risk management perhaps you have a

different opinion of the risk

let's say

you're one of these people like uh

sticks and hex and Hammer or 666.

who apparently has decided that the risk

of getting the vaccine

is higher than the risk of getting the

Coronavirus

is he right

what do you think is uh sticks and hex

and Hammer or 666 on Twitter a lot of

you know

very reasonable guy right if you've

watched the show you know he's very

reason based very rational

is that the right decision

how the would you know

how the would you know

if if the risk of getting the

vaccination is higher in the long run

than not getting it you don't know that

now I made a decision

but is it because I know that my my risk

management is right no no am I going to

tell you that the sticks and hex and

Hammer 666 got it wrong

no

no how the would I know

do you know how much the risk of the I

don't know the the variants that are

caused by the vaccination the long-term

effects of the vaccination

somebody says he's right Paul

you don't know if he's right you

couldn't know that nobody Einstein

couldn't know that all the smartest

people in the world can't know that it's

unknowable 100 percent

unknowable

but you still have to make a decision

right so I made a decision based on a

number of variables and one of the

variables was that it would free me up

to you know travel and not have to wear

a mask and stuff now did I make the

correct decision

to get the vaccination

how the would I know

it's impossible to know nobody has

enough information about the future to

know which way is right I'll tell you

what what I was influenced by

I was influenced by the fact that

apparently most side effects happen

early

so I had waited a number of months and I

saw how many you know side effects there

seemed to be compared to how many people

got the vaccination and it looked like

we have most side effects happen early

there weren't that many compared to what

I saw as the risk of the coronavirus am

I right

is that is that a uh and let's say

accurate or useful analysis

how the would I know

it's unknowable right I do know it made

me feel better

right so whoever says John you're dead

wrong everybody who has certainty about

the risks of vaccination

versus the risk of not vaccination all

the people with certainty are your

idiots

you're just idiots I'm sorry

and you should not watch this live

stream anymore you're not smart enough

to watch this live stream you could be

uh you could be confident that you made

the right decision for yourself

that would be fair you could be

confident that there are certain type of

risks you're not comfortable with but

maybe other kinds that you are

oh that would be fair that would be a

reasonable decision but if you say to

yourself you're dead wrong to get the

vaccination or you're dead wrong not to

get the vaccination you're an idiot

there's no way around that

that's like brain that doesn't work

you can't know what was the

right decision you just have to take

your best shot at it

if I'm wrong

and let's say I get a horrible disease

from the vaccination I'm not expecting

that but let's say I do

would you then say well Scott I told you

well if you do you're a idiot

because you didn't know you got lucky

somebody's going to be right right

somebody in the long run will look more

right than somebody else it's not

because you're knew you don't

know

you're guessing all right so get over

yourself if you're confident that you're

positive about vaccinations you're a

idiot because nobody should be

confident about this at all

at all all right

maybe I've taken that too far

here's what uh Queen of the Universe

elect says on Twitter to my points about

this she said about masks and about

vaccination she says both are evidence

of your cowardice

you were so afraid of the pandemic the

pandemic that you got the risky vaccine

it wasn't out of foolhardiness it was

out of cowardice this fear is so deep

that you believe we should all be

forcibly vaccinated to protect you it's

very sad

um

no I don't believe you should all be

forcibly vaccinated to protect me do you

know why

I got the vaccination I don't need you

to be vaccinated

so opposite opposite of that I'm

unafraid

because I'm vaccinated

was I ever afraid of masks no I just

didn't like them

you know for a variety of obvious

reasons yeah so it's a mind reading and

it's someone who is sure that my bravery

and my cowardice are exactly the same

thinking this is this is people who

imagine they can think but they really

can't

these are really really dumb people who

have certainty about this okay so don't

be the certain person you could be for

vaccinations or against them that's fine

I think you could make an argument

either way

but don't be certain don't be that

person

all right

um

let's see uh there's a study that says

that the covet can destroy your penis

so there's a study that found that

people had recovered still had uh

coveted in their penis

and at least a few cases not enough to

be statistically relevant yet but

anecdotally there are some people who

seem to have become impotent after

getting the coronavirus and it's still

in their penis

now

um

the doctors haven't been uh specific

about this but I think this is an

obvious case like breast exams

uh you should you should examine your

penis on a regular basis

um I think that's what Jeffrey tubin was

doing

a lot of people think he was pleasuring

himself but that was really a

self-examination

he was wondering if he'd been infected

with the covert the covet virus and he

was just finding out it was just

examination to see if his junk was still

working and apparently he was so good

for you

all right now how much uh how much

should you put in your belief

that coronavirus will make you impotent

probably not a lot

probably not a ton

but you've got the Long Haul problem

with covid but allegedly people have had

problems with the vaccination

which one is bigger

so for all of you who are just positive

you are just positive in your opinion

for all of you

tell me the risk

of having a vaccination out bad outcome

versus the risk of having a long-term

coronavirus problem remember that's even

if you live

having a long long-haul problem so what

are the risks

so many of you are very very certain of

the risks so for all of you who are so

certain

please compare with compare to me in the

comments give me the risk of a vaccine

vaccination bad outcome

versus the risk of a coronavirus

long-haul problem

what what you don't know

but you were so certain just minutes ago

where are all my where all my convinced

people who are so sure that one of those

choices is cowardice well obviously you

would know the risks because you

couldn't compare the risks to know which

one is the cowardest one unless you knew

the risk is it one percent

all right hahaha

um

you know and let me say somebody said

I'm changing Minds about getting the

vaccination that's not my intention

I I'm quite adamant about the fact that

you shouldn't get your medical advice

from cartoonists all right that's not I

don't say that just as a bumper sticker

really seriously don't get your medical

advice from cartoonists but if I can

help you think about it a different way

and you can talk to your medical experts

more productively maybe that's good but

don't don't get your decisions from the

cartoonist don't do that

all right um

and I think I just lost the feed here

because my laptop keeps dying

so sorry about the screensaver going out

uh on locals

um

all right just look I'm looking at some

of your comments we're all good over

there good thank you it's back all right

yeah so the screen saver was knocking my

live feed off on my laptop doesn't

happen on here so I'll have to so I've

told you every time I add a complication

to the live streaming it does go bad

the complication here is that using the

laptop as a the screen saver that I need

to deactivate

so there's one more thing I have to

remember to do

um still working on the microphones by

the way I'm going to try to get my road

Caster working I figured out how to give

phantom power to some microphones on it

which was not obvious at first

but I figured out my phantom power

problem and now I got to figure out how

to get

sound out of the road caster so this is

how far I got I've got a mixing board

where I can get the sound into it now

with all of my microphones

I just can't get any sound out of it

I've got to figure that out

um

here's a question I might never get the

virus why risk taking the vaccination

Donnie

I I just don't know what to say to that

I just don't want to say that

if if you don't know the risk of the

vaccination and you also don't know the

risk of getting the virus

you don't know which one's bigger

and nobody can tell you nobody else

knows either nobody knows that stuff

you're gonna have to make the decision

without knowing which one is the bigger

risk

now I happen to feel

that given that the fact that most

vaccinations are going to show you a bad

impact fairly quickly

that gives me some comfort along with

the fact that we know that it does

create antibodies and it does work so we

know it works

and we know that the period where you

would see the most problems doesn't seem

to be a big risk of course some be some

people will always have problems with a

mass rollout of any kind of new medicine

um

all right

somebody says moderna gave you a vertigo

well keep in mind if you're like most

people you get at least one mystery

illness per week

is there anybody who doesn't get a

mystery illness every week

like I'll wake up and like ow my earlobe

wow why does my earlobe hurt and it'll

hurt all day and they'll just go away

the next day you wake up it's like ah my

sinus my sinus

pretty much every week right have you

have you ever gone a week where you

didn't have at least one mystery illness

my ankle ah I could barely walk on this

one ankle okay it's okay by tomorrow

how could it be possible that people

people you know tens of millions of

people getting the vaccination

of course there should be millions of

stories of people who got the

vaccination and then ah my eye my eye of

course it has to happen it can't not

happen you know just the the the way

numbers work

all right

I think I have uh

angered everybody those people who have

a certainty about their risk management

decisions have all gone away because

I've either shamed you or you you'll

never watch me again

uh one of those two things is happening

right now

somebody says a co-worker got vertigo

badly

um I I don't know that vertigo is

necessarily a vaccination problem

but I'm open to it could be

all right

um

that's all for now I'm going to turn off

uh YouTube I'm going to talk to my

locals people here for another minute

and I will see you tomorrow