All right. Now I'm gonna make a fun prediction for the midterms and it's primarily because I don't think anybody's made this prediction. So the people are saying the Senate is probably gonna go Republican. So I'll go with that. I'll just go with the experts on that. So if I'm right or wrong about the Senate, don't put that on my permanent record because I'm just gonna agree with the experts on this. I don't have any special kind of insight on it.

But in the House, the House we imagine is supposed to go to the Democrats. That's what the experts have been saying. Some people are saying, well you know maybe there's some hidden Trump supporters, etc.

I was on Maria Bartiromo's show yesterday morning and I made this prediction for the midterms, and they'll talk about the House race in particular. If the midterms and the House race goes the way everything else has gone in the Trump era, what will be the outcome? Let's see if you can guess it. What will be the outcome of the House race if it goes like everything else? Let's see if anybody else comes to the same answer.

It's gonna take me a while for you to... somebody sent a surprise. I'd say no, not quite. So it might be a surprise but you're almost there. Here's the answer. It's going to be a photo finish with an ambiguous ending.

So if it's like everything else we won't know who won on Election Day. Here's what I mean by that. Listen, let's say it comes down to a majority of one, one, two, three. So one of the sides wins by a majority of just one or two or three representatives. If it's just that close, what do you think people are going to say? They're gonna say recount. They're gonna say there's something that happened in that district that's fishy. "Wait a minute, how come there were more votes in that area than there are people? Wait a minute, why was one of those polling places closed early? Wait a minute, why are some of the votes missing? Wait a minute, did Russia have anything to do with the election in this area?"

So this is, I'm gonna categorize this as a fun prediction. All right, meaning that I don't have a ton of confidence in it. So when I get this one wrong and you put it on my permanent record, just know that I didn't have a lot of confidence in it. But for fun, if it's like everything else it's going to be something like a tie in the sense that it will go one way or the other but there will be something ambiguous, some gray area, some dispute. So it won't feel like it's done. That's my prediction.

So my prediction is an ambiguous photo finish with different photos for different finishes, just like everything else. Can there be a tie? Well there, I don't mean a tie literally but I mean the result was so close that the ambiguity would make the difference between which way it went. So that's essentially a tie.

Because if you think about it, the primary. So Trump wins the primary but he has to go to the convention and there's still talk that they're going to try to take it away from him, right? So you think Trump wins the nomination but you're not really quite sure because they might take it away from him. Then he wins the presidency but now there's all this question about Russia stuff and you know it's like, well we're not gonna let you stay president. So it's sort of ambiguous.

Then he goes for the Supreme Court nomination for Kavanaugh and it's like, well he's easily gonna get in. Well maybe not. Well he's in but maybe we'll claw him back somehow. So it's just one thing after another that you think is done that isn't done.

Now I've also made the following prediction. In the year 2018 does any adult have an expectation of privacy in the digital domain? In other words, does any adult believe that they have actual privacy, meaning that no one can ever find out what they're doing on email or text or answering a poll? Do people think that they have privacy when they answer a poll? Most probably think they have enough, right?

Most people think, well I don't care if I have privacy or not. I'm voting this way or voting that way. I'm just telling you my reasons. I don't care if anybody knows that. But some people, maybe 5 percent, maybe 5 percent will say to themselves there's no such thing as privacy and there's no way my life is better if people find out. And I'm a Trump supporter.

So there's a very high likelihood that something like 5 percent of the people answering polls are just flat-out lying. They're lying just in case, just in case they really don't have any privacy and just in case they got on a list somewhere where somebody would hunt them down and kill them for being a Trump supporter.

Now I'm not saying that any of those risks are real. I'm saying that if you have a hundred people and all hundred people believe that this is no longer really a thing, I mean not if the government really wants to find out who you are, some of them I think might lie. And the other factor is turnout.

I've predicted what I call a jaw-dropping Republican turnout. Now it might also be that the Democrats will have incredible turnout so I don't have any kind of a prediction on the Democrat side. I suspect it'll be high. But on the Republican side it's really gonna be high. It could be a record-setting.

So that's my prediction, is jaw-dropping, surprisingly big. And here are a few of the reasons. Unlike some midterms, I'm no historian so I don't know if it's all, but most midterms are usually not just about the president. But this president is special in which everything is about Trump. So even if it shouldn't be about him, if it's not about him it's still about him.

I think two-thirds of the people voting have said it's sort of a vote that's about the president in their minds. So with that many people who think it's about the president and you've got a president with 90 percent support on his own side, and what matters most is how many of his own side goes to vote, how many of them are actually activated to stand up.

Have we ever seen a situation in which a president with this much persuasion power, at the height of his popularity within his own poll, has gone out and showed you a tremendous amount of energy of his own? This is very important. Make sure that you take away this point more than anything else I said today.

The president, by going to rally, rally, rally, rally, is demonstrating his own level of energy. What does he need voters to do? He needs them to model him. He needs them to pace him. He needs the voter to ramp up to his level of energy because that's what gets you off the couch.

He's bringing these record-breaking political crowds into an arena and he's showing you how much fun they're having together. Do you remember all of the video of all the Democrats who are in big crowds having fun together? I don't. I've seen pictures of Biden talking and you know that there's a crowd there. I've seen pictures of Kamala Harris and there aren't many people in the audience.

So the Democrats are either small groups or unhappy groups or angry groups. In my view, if you were to characterize all of the Democratic get-togethers, whether it's the street protests or going to talk to one of their political leaders, they're either angry or there are not many of them. Right? That's sort of the vibe.

Trump is showing us one image after another of enormous Republican crowds. And what's the one characteristic that all of the Trump crowds have in common? Happy. Happy, high-energy, happy. And they like to win. Take those three things: high energy, happy, they love the collective feel of it, they love being part of something. This is very important.

The Trump people really feel part of something that's positive. They can feel the love with each other, etc. So there's this enormous high-energy positive thing which is being modeled directly on the leader that they have a 90 percent approval of, President Trump.

His ability, and here's the bigger point I'm getting to: President Trump, the most influential person in a hundred years, just has directly asked the people who like him best to actually go vote. Now all politicians ask you to go vote but you've never seen it done like this before. You've never seen him model it, move your energy up, make you part of a group, make it the most fun thing you did this year. You went to that event.

But other people are watching and saying I wish I was in that crowd. That looks like it would be fun to be there live, etc. He's created this whole feeling of what it's like to vote for him and it's all positive. It's high-energy and it's great. And it's especially would be entertaining if the Republicans came from behind again because it would be another surprise win. It would be like the best day they've ever had.

I mean you can put yourself into that future, can't you? Imagine that you voted. Let's say you're a Trump supporter, you voted Republican. Can't you imagine what it feels like watching the results come in and then feeling of victory? It would feel amazing.

So I think Trump's persuasion on turnout will be the best you've ever seen. The Democrats of course are highly incentivized but their incentive is by anger. They've got some fear, they've got some anger. It's a whole bunch of negativity. Does negativity get you to go somewhere?

And by the way, who is asking the Democrats to vote? Think about it. You know who is asking Republicans to vote? President Trump, 90 percent support, most influential person of all time. Who on the Democrat side is asking them to vote? Because the ask matters. It's not enough to just get people in the mood to vote. You have to directly close the sale. You have to say here's what I need, do this now.

All the Republicans are doing that. They're of course saying get out and vote. They're making a big deal about it. But it's all distributed across people who have various levels of approval within the Democrats. Like no matter who it is on the Democrat side it's gonna be somebody who only has 40 percent and a high-level approval within the group, etc. So they don't really have a spokesperson who has any kind of persuasive quality whatsoever to get them out there.

But still they're very motivated. I think they'll do fine in terms of turnout. All right, so there you have my predictions. It's gonna be a fun election night.

I'm also going to go on record as saying that if the Democrats do take the House that President Trump will get stronger not weaker. So remember that. So there's a prediction that I'm confident of. It's sort of an if-then prediction. So if the Democrats take the House the President Trump will get stronger not weaker.

And the reason is that he's uniquely qualified and capable of working with both sides. If he doesn't need to work with both sides because he has a narrow majority of Republicans he's maybe not going to try so hard. And the Democrats will try harder to resist.

But if the Democrats had some power, meaning they had the House, they would have to play a little bit productively. If you have no power you don't have to be productive. If you do have power you kind of have to be productive. And that means working with the president who's not on your side.

So it seems to me that both immigration reform and health care are two areas in which the only way something is going to get done is if both sides agree with it a little bit and both sides are unhappy. The only way you get health care and the only way you get immigration is if both sides are unhappy. And the only way you get both sides unhappy is with a deal that both sides have some responsibility, both sides have some power.

So Trump has two ways to win in this election. One way to win is if he gets full stronger Republican control. The other way to win is if he doesn't. Yeah, I'm sure he has a very strong preference to do it the straight way and just get more Republicans in. That would be a first choice. But he does have two ways to win.

That has a lot to do with what's left, right? He's sort of done good things for the economy. He's done good things for North Korea, etc. You know the list.

But now let me make another point. I've said that one of the things that Trump does right all the time and his opponents do wrong all the time is Trump gets the visuals right. So he's talking about immigration at the same time that there's this great visual thing, the caravan itself. And then the wall itself is visual. And then he shows a picture of a cop-killer on his commercial and that's visual.

So Trump is visual, visual, visual, visual. And he picks also a topic that can be visual. What do the Democrats have? Health care. Now imagine your picture of health care. You can't do it, right? Imagine health care. What am I seeing? A doctor? You don't. There's nothing. You can't imagine health care. It's a concept. People just don't get activated by concepts. You can imagine maybe you're writing the check or something but that's as close as you can get.

Imagine, let's say, what else? Let's say climate change. Climate change, you can show weather but I'm not sure people are quite connecting all the dots. Climate change doesn't have a good visual either. Or at least they're not taking advantage of it. And partly is because they're scientifically trapped in their own scientific bias.

The Democrats would say that climate change is settled science from their point of view. That the scientists, the consensus is on their side. And so they would not want to be anti-science to sell the fact that they're pro-science. So it wouldn't make sense. And one of the things that they really can't really do is show anecdotes. You don't prove science by showing that there was a hurricane that time because there were hurricanes in all times.

So they do have a visual they could use but they can't really use it because their brand is we're trying to stick to the facts. They don't want to depart from the facts on climate science. That would be problematic.