Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive October 9, 2026
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st basically thinks it's funny. He just laughs at his own company that he bought. All right. I don't know if this is the favorite story of the day, but you all know the congressman Santos, the Republican who just got elected and then apparently we find out he didn't have the education he said he did. He didn't have a college degree, I think he didn't have one. He said he did. Didn't work at two p…

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our guesses were right. So there's a big difference.

All right. How about this one? A 10-year projection or even a three-year or five-year. How about just projections that are based on good solid data and experts making them? Yeah, the projections are usually ridiculous. Usually ridiculous.

How about the VAERS report? If the VAERS report is sending a really strong signal, what's that telling doctors? Well I know that many of you disagree. Many of you would say whoa, there's so many on there about COVID in particular. You would say well I realize it's anecdotal but there's just so many on there that that's telling you something. But not really. It isn't. It is telling you you might want to look into it. So you know it's not to be ignored. That's why it's there. It's not there to be ignored. But you don't know for sure just from the VAERS report.

How about a really good randomized controlled trial? How much should you trust it? A really good randomized controlled blind trial. Do you know what's missing? Who funded it? Who funded it, right? Yes, the only thing I told you is there was a randomized controlled trial. The amount of credibility you put in it is none. Literally none. Would you agree? The gold standard in science is a randomized controlled trial. If the only thing you know is that one happened, the credibility should be zero.

Now that's not something I don't think doctors would agree with. I think doctors would say that's actually our best evidence. We do everything based on that. That should be the best evidence. Now if you don't know who funded the trial you don't know anything. That's something we learned, right?

Now suppose you knew that it wasn't funded by the pharmaceutical companies. What then? You don't really know that. See it's a trick. I tried to trick you. Well what if you know it was not funded by the pharmaceutical companies? You'll never know that. It's unknowable because they may have gotten to the person who ran the trial. So they may not have funded the trial but they might be the source of lots of speaking agreements for the project manager. You know what I mean? Would your doctor know that? Would your doctor know that yes it was funded by this, maybe the government, but would they know that the project manager makes 40 percent more than his normal income by doing speeches for that pharmaceutical company? You would have no way of knowing that.

So what we used to think was the gold standard of science is closer to a coin flip. You don't really know much of anything unless you know who funded it or how everybody's making their money. And if you only have one of them you wish you had two, right? So if you only have one you're automatically shaky compared to at least two.

How about anything about any study that big Pharma does itself? Should you believe it? Because that would be the basis of all vaccinations, childhood vaccinations, right? Aren't pretty much all childhood vaccinations based on big Pharma's own studies? I'm just guessing. I don't know if that's true. Now presumably there would also be other studies by now but mostly they were approved based on big Pharma's own studies, right? I guess that's more of a question than a statement. I mean I assume that's the case.

And then what about meta studies or meta-analysis? Should doctors trust them? Because the meta-analysis looks at all the studies or all the relevant studies. So yeah they could be the best or they could be the worst but you don't know in advance. Hahaha. So the weird thing about a meta-analysis is it could be exactly right but you would have no way of knowing just because you did it or you do some details. You wouldn't know. But it could be. So it doesn't matter what it says. You don't know which one is the right one and who cheated on what's in the analysis and what's not in the analysis. So meta-analysis is pretty low credibility.

All right. Question. How many young Americans do you think would meet the fitness and health requirements to join the American military? What percentage? What percentage? I wasn't even doing it this time and you still got the right answer. It's 23 percent. About a quarter.

That I always do the asking people to guess what the poll results are because the running joke is that 25 percent of the public will get every question wrong. Every poll question, the 25 percent will have the dumb answer, you know, when there's one that's like clearly the dumb answer, 25 percent. Well this has nothing to do with this. This is health and fitness. But only 23 percent of young Americans meet the fitness requirement of the military.

Now allow me to do an old man thing. I'm going to do a grandpa thing. In my day I feel like it would have been 75 percent of the kids I went to school with. Now I'm talking about the boys. Wouldn't you agree things have gone downhill that much? That only 23 percent could pass the physical? And maybe do you think I'm remembering wrong? Could be false memory because there weren't that many kids in my class so it wasn't a good sample. But 23 percent really? That's all? Yeah.

I'm going to shock you a little bit more in a minute here. So obviously the military is having trouble recruiting. But one of the things that the military has decided to do is to reduce their standards for mental health. So before they were pretty tight. You couldn't have any at least a recent mental health problems. But now they're going to loosen that. And I think ADHD is now going to be considered not a problem if it hasn't been a problem recently. And I guess if you're treating it medically. I wonder if there could be any risks to having more people with mental problems in the military. What could go wrong? What could go wrong?

All right. Have you ever heard of, there's a movement called trad wives. I just read about this on CNN like a minute before I went live. Have you ever heard of trad wives? It's supposedly a growing theme. The trad is short for traditional and they're modeling after the 50s, you know, stay-at-home housewife kind of thing. And there's some number of people who like the aesthetic. So they like the way they dressed and sort of the way they treated their husband as the boss of the house I guess. And so some kind of a growing thing.

Now related to that, separately, I've told you there's a whole bunch of relationship experts talking about what doesn't work these days. But I've watched a number of these relationship experts who have the

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same line of thinking and I don't know what's wrong with it. So I'm going to test it out on you and it goes like this. If you're a woman and you're looking for a guy, correctly if I'm wrong, these are the standard things that women are looking for now and these are the things that they say most often. Now every woman is different, right? Every man is different. So this isn't all people. It's just…

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