Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive October 9, 2026
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Episode 1971 Scott Adams - Today I Will Separate The Liars From The Brainwashers And Regular Idiots

Episode #1971 Dec 28, 2022 56:10 21,029 views

Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Fauci's wife, NIH Head of Bioethics - George Santos, a liar in...congress - Doctors learning to analyze data - Military physical & mental fitness standards - TradWives trend - The brainwashers caused J6 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and there's never been a finer situation. Yeah, and you either lucked into it, some of you. Others have been strategically planning for this moment for I don't know how long, but thank goodness…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

k. Well, if you'd like to take your experience up a notch, and I think you would, I think you would, all you need is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard or a chalice or a jug or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pl…

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QandA General Commentary

he simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go. Which of the F-word substitutes do you like best? Fudge, friggin, freaking or fracking? We can throw a little fracking in there. Well, you've got lots of opinions on this one. Wow. Looks like it's all over the place. The Battlestar Galactica fracking see…

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MainContent Media & Fake News

to be doing well. All right, well maybe I'll try some of those. I'll take some of those for a spin today. Okay, well the first freaking story... no, no, I'll work on that. All right. I have a media recommendation. Have you all been wondering, Scott, can you please tell us what you would personally…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

consumer right. They made something for the customer, so therefore it cannot win any awards because the awards are won by people who make movies for other people in the movie industry. So people could say, my God, your acting in that role made me feel terrible the entire time I watched the movie, bu…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

day on some podcast or something, he said that every conspiracy theory about Twitter turned out to be true. And he laughed because he couldn't think of any conspiracy theories about Twitter that weren't actually demonstrated to be true. And this one is crazy. It's crazy. Now I don't think it necess…

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NewsReaction General Commentary

ke I think that you would argue it's not. Yes, there's some indirect thing but not a direct thing. I don't know. And despite these glaring issues, Twitter nonetheless, so at Twitter there was an internal Slack channel where they communicate with each other on this little channel unironically called…

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MainContent Decision Making

st basically thinks it's funny. He just laughs at his own company that he bought. All right. I don't know if this is the favorite story of the day, but you all know the congressman Santos, the Republican who just got elected and then apparently we find out he didn't have the education he said he di…

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MainContent Career & Life Strategy

our guesses were right. So there's a big difference. All right. How about this one? A 10-year projection or even a three-year or five-year. How about just projections that are based on good solid data and experts making them? Yeah, the projections are usually ridiculous. Usually ridiculous. How ab…

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Tangent General Commentary

same line of thinking and I don't know what's wrong with it. So I'm going to test it out on you and it goes like this. If you're a woman and you're looking for a guy, correctly if I'm wrong, these are the standard things that women are looking for now and these are the things that they say most oft…

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MainContent Hypnosis & Influence

mall really fast. And that's just two filters. Here's some more. Suppose you wanted a guy who was going to be faithful. You know, basic, right? You want a guy who's not going to cheat on you but he's also over six feet tall and he has a good income. What are the odds of somebody who is tall and has…

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NewsReaction Luck, Skill & Timing

ually polluted it. And by the way I don't have, I'm not complaining about his content. I'm not saying we shouldn't be there. I'm not saying it has no value. I'm just saying there's so much of it that you can't even use the app. He actually overwhelmed Instagram. Has anybody else had that experience?…

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MainContent Health & Biohacking

insurrection? An unarmed insurrection. Why would they think such a ridiculous thing? Because they're brainwashed. They're brainwashed, right? There's no, that's obviously no critical thinking going on there. It would take like this much critical thinking, like a dollop, to know that an unarmed Repub…

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Closing General Commentary

d have been vaccinated? So like some of you I have no idea what planet you're coming from. It's like I don't even know. I don't even understand your comments at some point. It doesn't make sense at all, right? You got a lot quieter, didn't you? You know if you told me that I was gonna that at the e…

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Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and there's never been a finer situation. Yeah, and you either lucked into it, some of you. Others have been strategically planning for this moment for I don't know how long, but thank goodness you made it.

We're going to kick off the lesser swearing version of the live stream. Everybody on board with that? I might say fudge or frickin. That's as far as I'll go. I'll go all the way to frickin but then I'm pulling back. Pulling back.

Well, if you'd like to take your experience up a notch, and I think you would, I think you would, all you need is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard or a chalice or a jug or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go.

Which of the F-word substitutes do you like best? Fudge, friggin, freaking or fracking? We can throw a little fracking in there. Well, you've got lots of opinions on this one. Wow. Looks like it's all over the place. The Battlestar Galactica fracking seems to be doing well. All right, well maybe I'll try some of those. I'll take some of those for a spin today.

Okay, well the first freaking story... no, no, I'll work on that. All right. I have a media recommendation. Have you all been wondering, Scott, can you please tell us what you would personally like to watch on the television set and then maybe I would like to watch it too? Don't laugh. Don't laugh. Glass Onion on Netflix. So I guess it's a movie. Glass Onion.

Now here's why I recommend it. I've been railing for years about everything that's wrong with movies. This one didn't do anything wrong. No, hold on. I've only watched the first third of it. I've only watched the first third. Already I recommend it, right? I'll watch the rest of it sometime. But here's why I recommend it.

Number one, probably is not really the best show for the younger set. I think maybe this would appeal to people who are used to a certain kind of movie. Here's what I liked about it. They took what was good about movies in the past and then they just made one of those. And I thought to myself, nobody thought of that before. Just take all the things that were good about movies when we grew up and just make one of those.

So here's what they don't do. Nobody is tied to a chair to be tortured. Nobody. I know, is that weird? I don't believe there's going to be a chase scene. I've only seen a third of it. I don't believe there'll be a chase scene. The entire first part of the movie, where usually the first third of a movie is where something terrible happens to the hero, you know, the hero gets divorced or his family is wiped out or there's a hurricane or something, but this was just fun. And there's some mystery because it's about a little murder mystery and it's just fun and it's about characters and actors that you've seen. And a lot of the actors are ones you're familiar with, so it's just sort of fun to see them all in the same place and stuff. And it's sort of the perfect empty calories.

Now here's what will never be true. It's not going to win any awards. No awards will be won. All they did was make it incredibly consumer right. They made something for the customer, so therefore it cannot win any awards because the awards are won by people who make movies for other people in the movie industry. So people could say, my God, your acting in that role made me feel terrible the entire time I watched the movie, but wow did you act well. You acted so well that I have a stomachache when I left. I felt so bad for you. But this movie just doesn't have any parts in it that I don't think, you know, I haven't seen it but it looks like that's their theme. There won't be any unpleasant parts.

Now you're not going to remember it forever. It's not going to be your favorite movie. But it really is giving me hope that somebody paid attention and figured out how to make a movie finally. So give it a chance.

All right, here's something I learned today that apparently everybody knew about me. At least everybody in the local subscription site. So Elon Musk tweeted today or yesterday maybe. Almost no one seems to realize that the head of bioethics at NIH, National Institutes of Health, the person who is supposed to make sure that Fauci behaves ethically, is his wife.

Now how many of you who didn't know that, like me until today, how many of you also didn't know that until today? Now it sounds like a joke, doesn't it? It literally sounds like a joke. I heard Elon Musk say the other day on some podcast or something, he said that every conspiracy theory about Twitter turned out to be true. And he laughed because he couldn't think of any conspiracy theories about Twitter that weren't actually demonstrated to be true. And this one is crazy. It's crazy.

Now I don't think it necessarily made any difference. Like I'm not going to say that if that had been different we would have seen Fauci in a different light. I doubt it. But just the fact that that person, his wife, was in that job, that's just too much of everything, isn't it? That's just too much of everything. How could that possibly be true? I don't know how many times I've been saying this lately. I'll just look at something that's definitely true and I'll just say, how could that possibly be true? How could it possibly be true that the number one person who's being questioned on ethics, his wife is in charge of his ethics? Like yeah, there are seven, what, eight billion people in the world. The odds of that were low, but maybe they were high, you know, given the way things work out.

All right. And then Musk seems to be directly accusing Fauci of gain of function research, which is another way, Elon Musk says, is another way of saying bioweapon. And then he notes that Fauci authored the 2012 paper arguing for gain of function research. And that now, this is all what Musk is tweeting. I can't, I'm not saying all this is true. I'm just going to say Musk is tweeting it, right? And Musk said that Obama wisely put this on pause, meaning the gain of function research, but Fauci restarted it. Now again, I don't know if that's true. Like I think that you would argue it's not. Yes, there's some indirect thing but not a direct thing. I don't know.

And despite these glaring issues, Twitter nonetheless, so at Twitter there was an internal Slack channel where they communicate with each other on this little channel unironically called the Fauci Fan Club. So within Twitter there was a Fauci fan club and they had their own Slack group. And Elon Musk just basically thinks it's funny. He just laughs at his own company that he bought.

All right. I don't know if this is the favorite story of the day, but you all know the congressman Santos, the Republican who just got elected and then apparently we find out he didn't have the education he said he did. He didn't have a college degree, I think he didn't have one. He said he did. Didn't work at two prestigious places that he said he did. And I think there were a bunch of other lies. So basically he just totally lied and got elected anyway.

Now there's a few things, a few ways to go on this story. Number one, the question is should Republicans try to take the high road and even though the Democrats are full of liars, should they say no, we cannot have a liar in our midst so we've got to get rid of them? Or do they say no, things are so tight we need every vote we can get and everybody's a liar so you know, what's the difference?

And I have to admit I was sort of going back and forth this morning trying to decide which one made sense. I was thinking, well I do like making a point of it because it'd be a good way to establish Republicans as at least trying to be more honest. But on the other hand I can certainly see the raw power argument. And Congress is mostly a raw power situation. So playing within the rules, everybody lies, he lied, no big deal.

But here's how I decided. I made my final decision on this. I think he should keep his job as opposed to resigning. And here's why. Do you know how entertaining it would be to hear the other members of Congress argue that they just can't have a liar in their midst? You tell me that wouldn't be funny. Every time, I don't care who says it. I don't care if the Republicans say it. I don't care if the Democrats say it. As long as they're members of Congress, I want them on video saying we have to get rid of the liars in Congress. I just want to see that. That's all. I would personally find that very entertaining no matter how many times I saw it. And I don't need to point out the hypocrisy, right? So we don't need to point that out.

You know I could always tell the people who believe what they read on Reddit. They come over here with some rumors about me that are almost always out of context or untrue. It's always the Reddit people. Like I think anybody who actually got their information anywhere else doesn't have any. So somebody's coming over here just to say vaccine passports because they actually believe that I was in favor of them. So we'll get rid of the dumb people, the disinformed people, but they like to keep me busy.

All right. So I thought it was interesting that Musk is directly accusing Fauci of these things because doesn't he have any defense to that? He's got some defense, does he? I don't know who's telling the truth. But oh, I guess we were talking about Santos. And then the other thing that Santos said in his not quite truthful way was that he's a Catholic guy. But at one point he said that he wasn't Jewish but that he was Jew-ish. So your emphasis on the ish part. So not really a Jewish person, but he claimed that because he had some family connection to Judaism that's unclear that he was a Jewish-ish.

And then I saw the number of people who are criticizing him and I thought I'm a little uncomfortable with that because while he's not Jewish, if you criticize him you wouldn't be anti-semitic. But wouldn't you be a little anti-semitic-ish? Just a little bit? So I don't want to criticize him because I don't know where that line is. I don't want to be anti-semitic-ish about a guy who's not Jewish but he's Jewish-ish. So I mean it's dangerous. It's dangerous out there. There's a landmine everywhere. Would you take that chance? No, no, don't take a chance. So I'll just stay away from that.

Well there's a new book out from somebody named Thompson, Escape from Model Land. In this case it's not Victoria's Secret models. It is mathematical models. And these models being used to predict the future. This will come as a big surprise to you but did you know that complex models that are used to predict the future, I know this is going to be a real surprise, not reliable? I know, I know. I was as shocked as you were. Yeah. So there's a book now to teach people that complex mathematical models don't actually predict the future. Amazing. Amazing, huh?

Well this brings me to my next topic, which is I believe that doctors are learning the hard way how to analyze data. And by that I mean they're learning by doing it wrong in public and having people say that's not how you do that. And I think that I'm seeing at least in my Twitter feed a lot of doctors who are clearly now way more informed about how to consume data.

And here's what I would suggest for doctors who didn't have any training in this field. I think you could simplify it to simply a checklist quiz to ask a doctor which of these sources are reliable and maybe a little bit about why. It'd be a really simple one-page test. For example, if you ask doctors to rate the credibility of the following things, I don't know what they would say, but let's say you said a study is published. There's one study. It's not a randomized controlled trial but it's just one study in a publication and it's published as peer-reviewed. What level of confidence should you put on one study, not a randomized controlled trial, but it's peer-reviewed and it's published? Well the right answer is less than 50 percent because about half of them get retracted. But of the ones that don't get retracted, how many of those are true? Nobody knows because they didn't get retracted. But it's not zero, right?

So it could be that something in the order of 25 to 50 percent of studies that are peer-reviewed and published turn out to be true or useful. So would a doctor know that? And we're somewhat of course, but how many doctors would know that being published means it's usually untrue? I bet most would say well it might be false but if it got published and it's peer-reviewed it's probably true. But actually it's the opposite. It's probably untrue. So would they even know which way it goes? Would they know it's probably untrue or would they just assume it went through the steps to validate it a little bit so that is probably true? But maybe not. It's a big difference because that might be the difference between an off-label treatment or not.

How about this? How about a retrospective study? A retrospective study, would somebody be able to know the value of a retrospective study? Now that's where you didn't do a study in advance so you have to look at it after the fact. And so you say okay, these people did take this and they had these outcomes so it must have been because they did the thing. Now that's different than saying in advance. If you say in advance we're going to test this thing and we think it's going to have this outcome, that's a far more reliable way to go. But if you only did it once and nobody reproduced it, you're still not where you want to be, right? Looking backwards is going to be less reliable, right? Would you all agree? Looking backwards as opposed to establishing a test where you can look forward and find out if your guesses were right. So there's a big difference.

All right. How about this one? A 10-year projection or even a three-year or five-year. How about just projections that are based on good solid data and experts making them? Yeah, the projections are usually ridiculous. Usually ridiculous.

How about the VAERS report? If the VAERS report is sending a really strong signal, what's that telling doctors? Well I know that many of you disagree. Many of you would say whoa, there's so many on there about COVID in particular. You would say well I realize it's anecdotal but there's just so many on there that that's telling you something. But not really. It isn't. It is telling you you might want to look into it. So you know it's not to be ignored. That's why it's there. It's not there to be ignored. But you don't know for sure just from the VAERS report.

How about a really good randomized controlled trial? How much should you trust it? A really good randomized controlled blind trial. Do you know what's missing? Who funded it? Who funded it, right? Yes, the only thing I told you is there was a randomized controlled trial. The amount of credibility you put in it is none. Literally none. Would you agree? The gold standard in science is a randomized controlled trial. If the only thing you know is that one happened, the credibility should be zero.

Now that's not something I don't think doctors would agree with. I think doctors would say that's actually our best evidence. We do everything based on that. That should be the best evidence. Now if you don't know who funded the trial you don't know anything. That's something we learned, right?

Now suppose you knew that it wasn't funded by the pharmaceutical companies. What then? You don't really know that. See it's a trick. I tried to trick you. Well what if you know it was not funded by the pharmaceutical companies? You'll never know that. It's unknowable because they may have gotten to the person who ran the trial. So they may not have funded the trial but they might be the source of lots of speaking agreements for the project manager. You know what I mean? Would your doctor know that? Would your doctor know that yes it was funded by this, maybe the government, but would they know that the project manager makes 40 percent more than his normal income by doing speeches for that pharmaceutical company? You would have no way of knowing that.

So what we used to think was the gold standard of science is closer to a coin flip. You don't really know much of anything unless you know who funded it or how everybody's making their money. And if you only have one of them you wish you had two, right? So if you only have one you're automatically shaky compared to at least two.

How about anything about any study that big Pharma does itself? Should you believe it? Because that would be the basis of all vaccinations, childhood vaccinations, right? Aren't pretty much all childhood vaccinations based on big Pharma's own studies? I'm just guessing. I don't know if that's true. Now presumably there would also be other studies by now but mostly they were approved based on big Pharma's own studies, right? I guess that's more of a question than a statement. I mean I assume that's the case.

And then what about meta studies or meta-analysis? Should doctors trust them? Because the meta-analysis looks at all the studies or all the relevant studies. So yeah they could be the best or they could be the worst but you don't know in advance. Hahaha. So the weird thing about a meta-analysis is it could be exactly right but you would have no way of knowing just because you did it or you do some details. You wouldn't know. But it could be. So it doesn't matter what it says. You don't know which one is the right one and who cheated on what's in the analysis and what's not in the analysis. So meta-analysis is pretty low credibility.

All right. Question. How many young Americans do you think would meet the fitness and health requirements to join the American military? What percentage? What percentage? I wasn't even doing it this time and you still got the right answer. It's 23 percent. About a quarter.

That I always do the asking people to guess what the poll results are because the running joke is that 25 percent of the public will get every question wrong. Every poll question, the 25 percent will have the dumb answer, you know, when there's one that's like clearly the dumb answer, 25 percent. Well this has nothing to do with this. This is health and fitness. But only 23 percent of young Americans meet the fitness requirement of the military.

Now allow me to do an old man thing. I'm going to do a grandpa thing. In my day I feel like it would have been 75 percent of the kids I went to school with. Now I'm talking about the boys. Wouldn't you agree things have gone downhill that much? That only 23 percent could pass the physical? And maybe do you think I'm remembering wrong? Could be false memory because there weren't that many kids in my class so it wasn't a good sample. But 23 percent really? That's all? Yeah.

I'm going to shock you a little bit more in a minute here. So obviously the military is having trouble recruiting. But one of the things that the military has decided to do is to reduce their standards for mental health. So before they were pretty tight. You couldn't have any at least a recent mental health problems. But now they're going to loosen that. And I think ADHD is now going to be considered not a problem if it hasn't been a problem recently. And I guess if you're treating it medically. I wonder if there could be any risks to having more people with mental problems in the military. What could go wrong? What could go wrong?

All right. Have you ever heard of, there's a movement called trad wives. I just read about this on CNN like a minute before I went live. Have you ever heard of trad wives? It's supposedly a growing theme. The trad is short for traditional and they're modeling after the 50s, you know, stay-at-home housewife kind of thing. And there's some number of people who like the aesthetic. So they like the way they dressed and sort of the way they treated their husband as the boss of the house I guess. And so some kind of a growing thing.

Now related to that, separately, I've told you there's a whole bunch of relationship experts talking about what doesn't work these days. But I've watched a number of these relationship experts who have the same line of thinking and I don't know what's wrong with it. So I'm going to test it out on you and it goes like this.

If you're a woman and you're looking for a guy, correctly if I'm wrong, these are the standard things that women are looking for now and these are the things that they say most often. Now every woman is different, right? Every man is different. So this isn't all people. It's just sort of a generality. But here are the things. All right. And this will be a little quiz for you.

Women usually like taller men, over six feet tall. What percentage of American men are over six feet tall? Go. What percentage of American men are over six feet tall? Your guesses are unusually bad. Not usually bad. If I average your guesses I think they'd be right. The answer is 14.5 percent, right? So if you're a woman on your first filter, your first sort, you've eliminated 85 percent of all men because only 14.5 are above that.

Right now if you go up to six foot one, do you know how fast that drops? You get down to one percent really quickly. You know at around six three, six four it's down to like one percent. But let's say let's start with 14.5. So that's your story.

Now most women want a guy who can provide, right? No matter how modern the woman is they still like the guy to have a job that's serious. So how many men of any height, just men in general, American men, how many have an income over a hundred thousand a year? How many men? This is married, unmarried, just men. The answer is 13 percent. So if you were just simply going to find somebody who is tall and made over 100k a year, the math of it is you would multiply the two percentages together. So if you multiply 14.5 percent times 13 percent it starts getting really small really fast. And that's just two filters.

Here's some more. Suppose you wanted a guy who was going to be faithful. You know, basic, right? You want a guy who's not going to cheat on you but he's also over six feet tall and he has a good income. What are the odds of somebody who is tall and has a good income, meaning the most desirable man, what are the odds that he will be faithful to one woman over a relationship? Let's say charitably 50 percent. Charitably, right? Just so it doesn't sound too terrible I'll say 50 percent. So that you would also multiply that by the percentages.

How many women would prefer a beta male over an alpha male? Almost none, right? So women would also want somebody who projects at least an alpha male. How many men project an alpha male persona percentage-wise? I'm gonna charitably say half. Would you accept it? Charitably half. Most of you think way less than half but let's say charitably half, right? So that cuts in half again the number of possibilities for the women.

Do you think the women care if the man has an addiction to drugs or alcohol or a mental illness? What percent of men don't have an addiction or a mental illness? Again I don't know. Maybe half. Would you say half? Just say half just so we can do the math, right? So again you take what you've cut down to already and cut that in half again.

How about would women want a guy who's in reasonably good shape? Now not necessarily running marathons but just somebody who's in the better quadrant. So maybe let's say 25 percent of men. Would you say 25 percent of men are in reasonably good shape? You know they don't have to run marathons. Let's say 25. So now take what you're down to and you know take 25 percent.

About the right religion, the right age, a guy who will treat you right. He's also available so he has to be available otherwise it's useless. And he has to like you and you have to like him. So if you do the math the available number of people, that's right. If you eliminate all of the people on all of those things do you know what's left? Andrew Tate. Andrew Tate. That's all.

And I don't know how many he can handle according to him. That's his word. I'm using his word. I would never call women that. Never what Andrew does. So let me tell you. But he can only handle I don't know maybe 100 or 200 per year like maximum because he's busy. He's got some businesses to run. He has to exercise. He needs one hand to smoke his cigar. So like he can't handle thousands of women. Now he does have a brother and his brother can handle maybe a few hundred extra but the Tates alone can only handle at most a thousand women out of all the billions in the world. So you really can't depend on him to do it all.

So do you know why AI is going to be a problem? It seems like I changed the subject but I didn't. Do you know why AI is going to be a problem? Because it might tell you the truth. Hey AI, should I get married? What's AI going to say? Or if you say what are my odds of being happily married or finding a man that I want to be married to? And AI will say well what is your criterion? You know, tell me what you're looking for. And you'd say well you're just tall and blah blah blah. And then AI would say all right, your odds of finding what you need, the minimum that you need to be happy, are point zero zero zero zero zero one. And it will be correct. That will be the actual right calculation.

Who would get married? It's the end of civilization. You do understand the civilization absolutely requires us to be deluded all the time because the moment you actually understood the odds of things you change your behavior. It would be the end of civilization.

Speaking of Tate, he tweeted at Greta Thunberg today. He's very good at being provocative. And he tweeted, hello Greta Thunberg, I have 33 cars. My Bugatti has a big quad turbo engine. My two Ferraris have giant engines. He goes this is just the start. Please provide your email address so I can send the complete list of my car collection and the respective enormous emissions. So he tweeted that at Greta. Greta answered him back and she said yes please do enlighten me. You can email me at smalldickenergy at getalife.com. So I'm glad the two of them are getting along.

So I don't know. I don't want to like Greta because I don't agree with her climate hysteria. But I realized today that I have to delete my Instagram app. Did anybody else have this problem? I made the mistake of looking at some Andrew Tate videos and now that's all that feeds me is nothing but Andrew Tate videos. It's like 80 percent of Andrew Tate videos. So the entire thing is useless now. Like I have to delete Instagram because he actually polluted it. And by the way I don't have, I'm not complaining about his content. I'm not saying we shouldn't be there. I'm not saying it has no value. I'm just saying there's so much of it that you can't even use the app. He actually overwhelmed Instagram. Has anybody else had that experience? Because you only have to look at a few of them and the algorithm does the rest. So I have to search for other things until it overwhelms them, right? Yeah. All right. Look at more pet videos. Yeah I think he overwhelmed the pet videos too.

All right. Why is it that we never blame the brainwashers? Have you noticed that? So the January 6th thing, I guess Trump was blamed for quote inciting violence. You know arguably that's a debatable point. But is inciting the same as brainwashing? Not really. We use them differently, right? Somebody incited to do something you think has not necessarily been brainwashed. You know maybe they're not thinking clearly but not brainwashed per se.

Was there anybody who did brainwash the January 6 people? Was there any actual source of brainwashing? Of course it was. Yeah, all of the media that they were consuming. Yeah, maybe the FBI but certainly the news they were watching brainwashed them to think that the election had been stolen and then brainwashed them into thinking that their actions would be productive.

Now you might say to me but Scott they had free will. To which I say well they had free will as long as physics stopped working inside their skull. But if physics actually works everywhere like inside your skull, outside your skull, that is just causing the fact that they were going to do what they were going to do. But the brainwashers caused January 6th.

Right? Even if you imagine that Trump did something extra to get them whipped up, that's very debatable. They were there for a particular reason. They had already been brainwashed. Now does that mean that they're wrong? No I'm not saying they're wrong. I'm saying that they were not there based on reasons and facts and logic. They were there because they're brainwashed.

Do you know why the people who observed it believe it was an insurrection instead of a protest? Why do the Democrats think they saw an insurrection? An unarmed insurrection. Why would they think such a ridiculous thing? Because they're brainwashed. They're brainwashed, right? There's no, that's obviously no critical thinking going on there. It would take like this much critical thinking, like a dollop, to know that an unarmed Republicans are not trying to take over a country. Like you don't have to do deep thinking to figure that out. But still, but still half of the country believes it's true and it would be the most obviously untrue thing of all time.

So but you know why we can't blame the brainwashers, right? There's a reason besides just political. It's because the entire justice system depends on the illusion of free will. If you take away the illusion of free will you can't punish anybody. If you can't punish anybody then there's no legal system. As there's no legal system civilization falls apart. So the illusion that people have this thing called free will as opposed to being hypnotized by obvious brainwashers, you have to put the responsibility on the person who does the act because it's the only way civilization works. But it's not rational. It's completely irrational. Well except that it works, right? But the logic of it doesn't hold up.

I know it makes people score you when I say free will is an illusion but usually it's just people are defining it differently. If they just say I can observe that somebody could choose this way or choose this way so therefore that's free will. To which I say you can't observe that. You can't see the physics happening inside their brain. I say whatever they did was the only thing they could have done because physics only worked one way in that case.

All right. What presented this is a Rasmussen poll. What percentage of the country in June of this year believed that Russia was winning the war? In June, 25 percent. That's right, pretty close. Yep, 25 actually, 24. And so in June 24 percent of the country thought Russia was winning. Now it's 14 percent. 14 percent of likely voters in America think Russia is winning. Now about I think about half of the people think that it looks like a stalemate and the rest think that Ukraine is winning.

Now how many of you think Russia is winning? Are you in the 14 percent? How many of you think Russia is winning? Yeah you know it's hard to separate Russia will win in the long run from Russia is winning. So the question is a little unclear. I'll give you that. Already won somebody says. Yeah.

Well have I ever mentioned to you that things tend to go my way? And you remember I keep reminding you that although I was a hundred percent wrong when I said that Putin wouldn't actually invade Ukraine, the reason I said it was wrong is because he couldn't win and that it was almost immediately obvious he was going to get waxed. His army was. Now when I said that at the time that he invaded, would you say that close to 90 percent of the public would have said Russia is totally winning and going to win? Would you agree that at the point that I was saying that Russia couldn't win, 90 percent of the people were on the other side? Now it's completely reversed. That the vast majority of America believes what I believed would happen from the start. That Ukraine would surprise everybody with a better performance than anybody thought.

So I'm only going to point out that things tend to go the way I want them to and I don't know why. I don't. I honestly don't know why. To me it feels like I'm in a simulation and I'm either imagining the things are going my way or you know I'm influencing it somehow or I'm the world's best predictor. You know even getting notable ones wrong I'd still be the world's best predictor. I don't understand it. I honestly don't. But it's so consistent. It's hard to find any major topic that isn't going the direction that I thought it would publicly. I don't know why.

All right. Let's see. There's a new study out that we don't believe because we don't believe studies but it says that metformin, I think it's an over-the-counter diabetes drug that lowers your blood sugar levels, and it allegedly helps with long COVID. With long COVID like fairly substantially.

First question, how many of you believe long COVID exists? Because I had to do a Google search today because you know in the beginning people were saying there'd be this long COVID and then there was a period where we weren't sure if it was real and I didn't know where that ended up. So if you do a Google search on is long COVID real, Google will, I'll only just tell you what the search reveals. I don't know if it's true but the search reveals that most of the media is saying long COVID is real. The studies say it's real. But at the same time there are studies saying it's not real in the same time period in April, May of this year. So there's a little bit of a difference but overwhelmingly Google will say it's real. Doesn't mean it's real. Just Google will say that.

Now is it interesting that metformin lowers blood sugar levels? Because we knew that the diabetics were having the worst time with the COVID, right? Wasn't diabetes the number one comorbidity? You know sort of co-morbidity with obesity at the same time I imagine. So is sugar the villain in everything? Like I saw some experts saying that it wasn't the lower blood sugar that makes the metformin work if in fact it works. There was some other mechanism. But I'm not sure I believe that because the thing that we keep seeing over and over again is that having too much sugar in you is just always bad for everything. Am I wrong about that? There's like almost no exception, right? Did you put sugar in your body? Yes it's bad for you. I mean except for normal carbs and stuff of course. So I don't know. That would be my guess without any medical training that if everything that adds sugar is bad for you in every possible way and everything that decreases sugar in your body is good for you in every possible way, I would think metformin would work. So I guess I'll believe this one because it matches my presumption. That's as good as you can do.

So I heard Dr. Robert Malone, famous co-inventor of the mRNA technology and a famous critic of the lockdown and vaccination kind of regimen, and he told his reasons for getting vaccinated. Because if you didn't know now he's vaccinated. He gave two reasons. One, concern about long COVID as opposed to concern about dying. And he believed he actually had long COVID. And at the time it looked like a vaccination would reduce your long COVID symptoms even after you had the long COVID. Now he's not so sure that's true anymore but a Google search suggests that Google is telling you it is still true a little bit. It's a little unclear.

But so Dr. Malone said he got the vaccination because he wanted to do international travel. It was the only way he could do it practically. And he wanted to reduce his risk for long COVID. Does that sound familiar? Is there anybody else you know who made a decision exactly the same? Exactly the same and about the same time? Yeah I did. I did.

So for those of you who are here to tell me I made the wrong decision, you could be right but I need you to know I made exactly the same decision as the world expert critic of the vaccinations. So the smartest person in the whole world on this topic made the same decision I did because he was working with the same data as we all were.

So somebody says copium. Kyle says that agreeing with the person that you believe is the best source, that agreeing with your expert is a bad decision. That's your point of view. Is it a cope or is it just a fact that the person you believe is the most qualified agrees with me? Is that a problem that your expert agrees with me? I'm just rubbing it in. I just like feeling right. So that's just for me now.

I'll tell you my current opinion. My current opinion is I doubt the vaccinations help with long COVID. I doubt it. Oh did Dr. McCullough get vaccinated? Does anybody know? Because I was wondering if Malone was the only sort of, I don't know if I call him anti-vaccination but a vaccination program critic anyway. I would call, okay so I'm gonna call it McCullough. And did he get it? He got COVID though, right? Did McCullough get COVID? I assume everybody did at this point. Don't know, don't care. All right we'll look into that or I will.

Well ladies and gentlemen we're still in the slow week of news. Somebody says yes he's vaccinated but I don't know. Steve Kirsch is crushing the pro-vax peeps. Let me ask you this. Are the anti-vax doctors, the Malone's and the McCullough's, I don't want to call them anti-vax because that's my labeling. I shouldn't do that. But are those doctors that are prominent critics of at least some parts of the vaccination issue, do they think that the vaccinations are still a good idea for older Americans? Does anybody know that? Is there anybody who says the vaccinations are a mistake for old people?

Well I asked the question wrong so now I don't know what your answers mean. Is there a general agreement that over 65 it still saves lives or is even that up in the air as well? So Malone thinks older people should get it. Even Kory and Bhattacharya I think it's okay above 65. Okay so you're saying that even the biggest critics would agree that I should have gotten vaccinated. Is that true? Is it true that the biggest critics of vaccinations that were the most expert people believe I made the right choice? So the only people who don't believe that I made the right choice for myself are the people who don't believe their own best experts. So the people who believe their experts believe I made the right choice but the people who believe that the people that they trust the most are not credible would think I made a mistake.

And by the way I don't know if I made a mistake or not. How would I know? Scott has other comorbidities. Not really. I thought I had asthma but it turns out I don't. So as long as you all agree that I made the smartest decision that anybody could have made in my situation and I think now that you all agree with that. I remember that a lot of people were mocking me until they found out that I made the choice that their experts would recommend. Not me. I only did what my critics' godlike experts recommended. So that's all I did.

Yeah I thought I had asthma at the time and I was concerned about it and that you know so under my bad information from my own medical people I was misinformed. I didn't do it just for vacation but that was the reason I did it when I did it. But the decision to do it was also largely because of I didn't want a long COVID problem. But probably you know I'm not sure it makes any difference.

Yeah all right. You were misinformed on everything COVID. Was I? Did you just miss the entire last five minutes? Was I misinformed on everything COVID when we all just agreed that all of the experts including the critics say people in my category should have been vaccinated? So like some of you I have no idea what planet you're coming from. It's like I don't even know. I don't even understand your comments at some point. It doesn't make sense at all, right? You got a lot quieter, didn't you?

You know if you told me that I was gonna that at the end of this year I would be arguing that Dr. Malone should be totally believed because he agrees completely with me. Oh you didn't see that coming did you? I didn't see it coming. I thought I was all on my own here. Honestly I thought I was just on my own here.

All right there's nothing else to talk about in the news unless you know something. So I'm going to go talk to the locals people. So YouTube I'll talk to you later. Thanks for joining.

good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams and uh there's never been a finer situation yeah and you either lucked into it some of you others have been strategically planning for this moment for I don't know how long but thank goodness you made it and we're going to kick off the Lesser swearing version of the of the live stream everybody on board with that I might say fudge or frickin that's as far as I'll go I'll go all the way to frickin but then I'm pulling back pulling back well if you'd like to take your experience up a notch and I think you would I think you would all you need is a copper amug or a glass of tanker Chelsea's dinette candy juggar flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine here the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous but it happens now go ah well which of the f word substitutes do you like best fudge friggin freaking or fracking we can throw a little uh fracking in there well you've got lots of opinions on this one wow uh looks like well it's it's all over the place the Battle Star Galactica fracking seems to be doing well all right well maybe I'll uh I might you know try some of those I'll take some of those for a spin today okay well the first freaking story no no I'll work on that all right I have a uh a media recommendation have you all been wondering Scott can you please tell us what you would personally like to watch on the television set and then maybe I would like to watch it too don't laugh don't laugh Glass Onion on Netflix so I guess it's a movie Glass Onion now here's why I recommend it I've been railing for years about everything that's wrong with movies this one didn't do anything wrong no hold on I've only watched the first third of it I've only watched the first third already I recommend it right I'll watch the rest of it sometime but here's why I recommend it number one probably is not really the best show for the younger set I think maybe this would appeal to people who are used to a certain kind of movie here's what I liked about it they took what was good about movies in the past and then they just made one of those and I thought to myself nobody thought of that before just take all the things that were good about you know movies when we grew up and just make one of those so here's what they don't do nobody is tied to a chair to be tortured nobody I know is that weird I don't believe there's going to be a chase scene I I've only seen a third of it I don't believe there'll be a chase scene the entire first part of the movie where usually the first third of a movie is where something terrible happens to the hero you know the hero gets divorced or his family is wiped out or you know there's a hurricane or something but this was just fun and there's like some mystery because it's about a little murder mystery and it's just fun and it's about characters and actors that you've seen and a lot of the actors are ones you're familiar with so it's just sort of fun to see them all in the same place and stuff and it's sort of the perfect um empty calories now here's what will will never be true it's not going to win any awards no Awards will be won all they did all they did was make it incredibly um consumer right they made something for the customer so therefore it cannot win any awards because the awards are won by people who make movies for other people in the movie industry so people could say my God you're acting uh in that role that made me feel terrible the entire time I watched the movie but wow did you act well you acted so well that I I have a stomachache when I left I felt so bad for you but this movie just doesn't have any any parts in it that I don't think you know I haven't seen it but it looks like that's their theme there won't be any unpleasant parts now you're not going to remember it forever it's not going to be your favorite movie but it really is giving me hope that somebody paid attention and figured out how to make a movie you know finally so give it a chance all right here's something I learned today that apparently everybody knew about me at least everybody in the local subscription site um so Elon Musk tweeted today or yesterday maybe almost no one seems to realize that the head of bioethics at NIH National Institute of Health the person who is supposed to make sure that fauci behaves ethically is his wife now how many of you who didn't know that like me until today how many of you also didn't know that until today now it sounds like a joke doesn't it it literally sounds like a joke I heard uh Elon Musk say the other day on some podcast or something he said that every conspiracy theory about Twitter turned out to be true and he laughed because he couldn't think of any any conspiracy theories about Twitter that weren't actually demonstrated to be true and and this one this one is crazy it's crazy now I don't think it necessarily made any difference like I'm not going to say that you know if that had been different you know we would have seen fauci in a different light I doubt it but just the just the fact that that that person his wife was in that job that's just too to everything isn't it that's just too much of everything how could that possibly be true I don't know how many times I've been saying this lately I'll just look at something that's definitely true and I'll just say how could that possibly be true how could it possibly be true that the number one person who's being questions on ethics his wife is in charge of his ethics like it yeah there are seven what eight billion people in the world the odds of that were low but maybe they were high you know given the way things work out all right um and then Musk seems to be um no it seems to be he's directly accusing uh fauci of a gain of function research which is another way Elon Musk says is another way of saying bio weapon and and then he notes that fauci authored the 2012 paper arguing for a gain of function research and that now this is all what musk is tweeting I I can't I'm not saying all this is true I'm just going to say musk is tweeting it right and it must said that Obama wisely put this on pause meaning the gain of function research but fauci restarted it now again I don't know if that's true like I think that you would argue it's not yes there's some indirect thing but not a direct thing I don't know uh and despite these glaring issues uh Twitter nonetheless so at Twitter there was an internal slack Channel where they communicate with each other on this little Channel uh unironically called the fauci fan club So within Twitter there was there was quote a fauci fan club and they had their own slack group and Elon Musk just just basically thinks is funny he just laughs at his own company that he bought all right I don't know if this is the favorite story of the day but you all know the congressman Santos the Republican who got who just got elected and then apparently we find out they didn't have the education he said he didn't have a college degree I think he didn't have one ah he said he did didn't work at two prestigious places that he said he did and I think there were a bunch of other lies so basically he just totally lied and got elected anyway now there's a few things a few ways to go on this story number one the question is should Republicans try to take the high road and even though the Democrats are full of liars should they say no we cannot have a liar in our midst so we've got to get gotta get rid of them or do they say no things are so tight we need every vote we can get and everybody's a liar so you know what's the difference and I and I have to admit I was sort of going back and forth this morning trying to decide which one made sense I like I was thinking well I do like I I do like making a point of it because it'd be a good way to establish you know Republicans as at least trying to be more more honest but on the other hand I can certainly see the raw power argument and and Congress is mostly a raw power situation so you know playing within the rules everybody lies he lied no big deal but here's how I decided I made my final decision on this I think he should keep his job as opposed to resigning and here's why do you know how entertaining it would be to hear the other members of Congress argue that they just can't have a liar in their midst you tell me that wouldn't be funny every time I don't care who says it I don't care if the Republicans say it I don't care if the Democrats that as long as they're members of Congress I want them on video saying we have to get rid of rid of the Liars in Congress I I just want to see that that's all I I would personally find that very entertaining no matter how many times I saw it and I don't need to point out the hypocrisy right so so we don't need to point that out you know I could always tell the people who believe what they read on Reddit they come over here with some rumors about me that are almost always out of context or untrue it's always a Reddit people like I think anybody who actually got their information anywhere else doesn't have any yeah so that so somebody's coming over here just to say vaccine passports because they actually believe that I was in favor of them so we'll get rid of the dumb people the disinformed people but they like to keep me busy all right um so I thought it was interesting that musk is directly accusing fauci of these things because isn't there doesn't he have any defense to that he's got some defense does he I don't know who's telling the truth or but uh oh I guess we were talking about Santos and then the other thing that Santo said in his uh not quite truthful way was that he's a Catholic guy but at one point he said that he wasn't Jewish but that he was Jew Dash ish so your emphasis on the ish part so not really not really a Jewish person but he claimed that because he had some family connection to Judaism that's unclear that he was a Jewish ish and then I saw the number of people who are criticizing him and I thought I'm a little uncomfortable with that because while he's not Jewish he's only Jewish if you criticize him you wouldn't be anti-semitic but wouldn't you be a little anti-semitic-ish just a little bit so I don't want to criticize them because I don't know where that line is I I don't want to be anti-semitic ish about a guy who's not Jewish but he's Jewish so I mean it's a dangerous it's dangerous out there there's a landmine everywhere would you take that chance no no don't take a chance so I'll just stay away from that well there's a new book out called uh from somebody named Thompson escape from model land in this case it's not Victoria Secret models it is um mathematical models and these models being used to predict the future this will come as a big surprise to you but did you know that complex models that are used to predict the future I know this is going to be a real surprise not reliable I know I know I was as shocked as you were yeah so there's a book now to teach people that Financial that complex mathematical models don't actually predict the future amazing amazing huh well this brings me to my next topic which is I believe that doctors are learning the hard way how to analyze data and by that I mean they're learning by doing it wrong in public and having people say that's not how you do that and I think that I'm seeing at least in my Twitter feed a lot of doctors who are clearly now way more informed about how to consume data and here's here's what I would suggest for doctors who didn't have any training in this field I think you could simplify it to Simply a checklist quiz to ask ask a doctor which of these sources are reliable and maybe a little bit about why it'd be a really simple one-page test for example if you ask doctors to rate the credibility of the following things I don't know what they would say but let's say you said um a study is published there's one study it's not a randomized controlled trial but it's just one one study in a publication and it's published as peer-reviewed what level of confidence should you put on one study not a randomized controlled trial but it's peer-reviewed and it's published well the right answer is less than 50 because about half of them get retracted but of the ones that don't get retracted how many of those are too nobody knows because they didn't get retracted but it's not zero right so it could be that something in an order of 25 to 50 percent of studies that are peer-reviewed and published turn out to be true or useful so would a doctor know that and we're somewhat of course but how many doctors would know that being published means is usually untrue about I bet most would say well it might be false but if it got published and it's peer-reviewed is probably true but actually it's the opposite it's probably untrue so would they even know which way it goes would they know it's probably untrue or would they just assume it went through the steps to you know validate it a little bit so that is probably true but maybe not it's a big difference because that might be the difference between an off-label you know um treatment or not how about this how about a retrospective study a retrospective study would somebody be able to know the value of a retrospective study now that's where you you didn't do a study in advance so you have to look at it after the fact and so you say okay yeah these people did take this and they had these outcomes so it must have been because they did the thing now that's different than saying in advance if you say in advance we're going to test this thing and we think it's going to have this outcome that's a that's a far more reliable way to go but if you only did it once and nobody reproduced it you're still not where you want to be right looking backwards is is going to be less reliable right would you all agree looking backwards as opposed to establishing a test where you can look forward and find out if your guesses were right so there's a big difference all right how about this one um a 10-year projection or even a three year or five year how about just projections that are based on good solid data and experts making yeah the projections are usually ridiculous usually ridiculous how about the vares report if the vares report is sending a really strong signal what's that telling doctors well I know that many of you disagree many of you would say whoa there's so many on there about covet in particular you would say well I realize it's anecdotal but there's just so many on there that that's telling you something but not really it isn't it is telling you you might want to look into it so so you know it's not to be ignored that's why it's there it's not there to be ignored but you don't know for sure just from the various report how about uh a really good randomized controlled trial how much should you put how much should you trust it a really good randomized controlled you know blind trial do you know what's missing who funded it who funded it right yes the only thing I told you is there was a randomized controlled trial the amount of credibility you put in it is none literally none would you agree the the gold standard in science is a randomized controlled trial if the only thing you know is that one happened The credibility should be zero now that's not something I don't think doctors would agree with I think doctors would say that's actually our best evidence we do everything based on that that should be the best evidence now if you don't know who funded the trial you don't know anything that's something we learned right now suppose you knew that it wasn't funded by the pharmacistical companies what then you don't really know that see it's a trick I tried to trick you well what if you don't what if you know it was not funded by the pharmaceutical companies you'll never know that it's unknowable because they may have gotten to the person who ran the trial so they may not have funded the trial but they might be the source of lots of speaking agreements for the project manager you know what I mean would your doctor know that would your doctor know that yes it was funded by this maybe the government but would they know that the project manager makes 40 more than his normal income by doing speeches for that pharmaceutical company you would have no way of knowing that so what we used to think was the gold standard of science is closer to a coin flip you don't really know much of anything unless you know who funded it or how everybody's making their money and if you only have one of them you wish you had two right so if you only have one you're automatically shaky compared to at least two how about uh yeah anything about any study that the Pharma big Pharma does itself should you believe it because that would be the basis of all vaccinations childhood vaccinations right aren't pretty much all childhood vaccinations based on big Pharma Zone studies I'm just guessing I don't know if that's true now presumably there would also be other Studies by now but mostly they were approved based on big Pharma Zone studies right I guess that's more of a question than a statement I mean I assume that's the case so uh and then what about meta metadata studies or meta studies what about a meta-analysis should doctors trust them because the meta-analysis looks at all the studies or all the relevant studies so yeah they could be the best or they could be the worst but you don't know in advance hahaha so the weird the weird thing about a medicine meta-analysis is it could be exactly right but you would have no no way of knowing just because you did it or you do some details you wouldn't know but it could be so that so it doesn't matter what it says you don't know which one is the right one and and who who cheated on what's in the analysis and what's not in the L analysis so meta-analysis is pretty low credibility all right question how many uh Young Americans do you think would be the fitness and health requirements to join the American Military what percentage what percentage of I I wasn't even doing it this time and you still got the right answer it's 23 about a quarter that I always do the uh asking people to guess what the poll results are because the the running joke is that 25 of the public will get every question wrong every poll question the 25 will have the dumb answer you know when there's one that's like clearly the dumb answer 25 percent well this has nothing to do with this this is Health and Fitness but only 23 percent of Young Americans meet the fed this requirement of the military now allow me to do an old man thing I'm going to do a grandpa thing in my day I feel like it would have been 75 percent of the kids I went to school with now I'm talking about the boys wouldn't you agree things have things have gone downhill that much that only 23 percent could pass the physical and maybe do you think I'm remembering wrong could be false memory because there weren't that many kids in my class so it wasn't it wasn't a good but 23 really that's all yeah um I'm going to shock you a little bit more in a minute here uh so obviously the military is having trouble recruiting but one of the one of the things that the military has decided to do is to reduce their standards for mental health so before they were you know pretty tight you couldn't have any uh at least a recent medical health problems but now they're going to loosen that and I think ADHD is now going to be considered not a problem if if it hasn't been a problem recently and I guess if if you're treating it medically I wonder if there could be any risks to having more more people with mental problems in the military what could go wrong what could go wrong all right um have you ever heard of there's a movement called Trad wives I just read about this on CNN like a minute before I went live have you ever heard of Trad wives is supposedly a growing theme the Trad is short for traditional and they're modeling after the 50s you know stay-at-home housewife kind of thing and there there's some number of people who like the aesthetic so they like the way they dressed and sort of the way they treated their husband as the boss of the house I guess and so some kind of a growing thing now related to that was separate I've told you there's a whole bunch of relationship experts talking about what doesn't doesn't work these days but uh I've watched a number of these relationship experts who have the same line of thinking and I don't know what's wrong with it so I'm going to test it out of you and it goes like this if you're a woman and you're looking for a guy uh correctly if I'm wrong these are the standard things that women are looking for now and these are the things that they say most often now every woman is different right every man is different so this isn't all people it's just sort of a you know generality but here are the things all right uh and this will be a little quiz for you uh women usually like uh taller men over six feet tall what percentage of American men are over six feet tall go what percentage of American men are over six feet tall your guesses are unusually bad not usually bad if I average your guesses I think they'd be right the answer is uh 14.5 percent right so if you're a woman on your first filter your first sort you've eliminated 85 percent of all men because only 14.5 are above that right now if you go up to six six foot one do you know how fast that drops you get down to one percent really quickly you know at around six three six four it's down to like one percent but let's say let's start with 14.5 so that's your story now most women want a guy who can provide right no matter how modern the woman is they still like the guy to have a job that that's serious so how many how many men of any height just men in general American men how many uh have an income over a hundred thousand a year how many men this is married unmarried just men the answer is 13 13 percent so if you were just simply going to find somebody who is tall and made over 100k a year the the math of it is you would multiply the two percentages together so if you multiply 14.5 percent times 13 percent it starts getting really small really fast and that's just two filters here's some more suppose you wanted a guy who was going to be faithful you know basic right you want a guy who's not going to cheat on you but he's also over six feet tall and he has a good income what are the odds of somebody who is tall and has a good income meaning the most desirable man what are the odds that he will be faithful to one woman over a relationship let's say let's say charitably 50 percent charitably right just so it doesn't sound too terrible I'll say 50 percent so that you would also multiply that by the percentages how many women how many women would prefer a beta male over an alpha male almost none right so women would also want somebody who's projects at least an alpha male how many men project an alpha male persona percentage-wise I'm gonna I'm gonna charitably say half would you accept it charitably half most of you think way less than half but let's say charitably half right so that cuts in half again the number of possibilities for the women uh do you think the women care if the if the man is has an addiction to drugs or alcohol or a mental illness what percent of men don't have an addiction or a mental illness again I don't know maybe half would you say half just say half just so we can do the math right so again you take what you've cut down to already and cut that in half again how about uh would women want a guy who's in reasonably good shape now not necessarily running marathons but just somebody who's in the the better the better quadrant so maybe let's say 25 percent of men would you say 25 percent of matter and reasonably good shape you know they don't have to run marathons let's say 25 so now take while you're down to and you know take 25 percent about the right religion the right age a guy who will treat you right he's also available so he has to be he has to be available otherwise it's useless and he has to like you and you have to like him so if you do the math the the available number of people that's right If you eliminate all of the people on all of those things do you know what's left Andrew Tate Andrew Tate that's all and um I don't know how many he can handle uh according to him that's his word I'm usually his word I would never call women that never what Andrew does so let me tell you but he has he can only handle uh I don't know maybe 100 or 200 per year like maximum because he's busy he's got some businesses to run he has to exercise needs to needs one hand to smoke his cigar so like he can't handle thousands of women now he does have a brother and his brother can handle maybe a few hundred extra but the Tates alone can only handle at most a thousand women out of all the billions in the world so you really can't depend on him to do it all right so do you know why AI is going to be a problem it seems like I changed the subject but I didn't do you know why AI is going to be a problem because it might tell you the truth hey AI should I get married what's AI going to say or if you say what are my odds of being happily married or finding a man that I want to be married to and AI will say well uh what what is your Criterion you know get tell me what you're looking for and you'd say well you're just tall and blah blah blah and you say and then a I would say all right your odds of finding what you ABS the minimum that you need to be happy are point zero zero zero zero zero one and it will be correct that will be the actual right calculation who would get married is the end of civilization you do understand the civilization absolutely requires us to be deluded all the time because the moment you actually understood the odds of things you you change your behavior it would be the end of civilization speaking of Tate uh he uh tweeted at Greta tunberg today he's very good at being provocative and he tweeted uh hello Greta tonberg I have 33 cars my Bugatti has a big quad turbo engine my two Ferraris have giant engines he goes this is just the start please provide your email address so I can set the complete list of my car collection and the respective enormous emissions so he tweeted that at Greta Greta answered him back and she said yes please do enlighten me you can email me at small dick energy at getalife.com so I'm glad the two of them are getting along so I don't know I I don't want to like Greta because because I don't agree with her climate Hysteria but I realized today that I have to delete my Instagram app did anybody else have this problem I made the mistake of looking at some Andrew Tate videos and now that's all that feeds me is nothing but Andrew Tay videos it's like eighty percent of Andrew T videos so that the entire the entire thing is useless now like I have to delete Instagram because he actually polluted it and by the way I don't have I'm not complaining about his content I'm not I'm not saying you know we shouldn't be there I'm not saying it has no value I'm just saying there's so much of it that you can't even use the app he actually overwhelmed uh Instagram has anybody else had that experience because you only have to look at a few of them and the the algorithm does the rest so I have to search for other things until it overwhelms them right yeah all right look at more Pat videos yeah I think he overwhelmed the pet videos too all right uh why is it that uh why is it that we never blame the brainwashers have you noticed that so the January 6th thing we I guess Trump was blamed for quote inciting violence you know arguably that's it's a debatable point but is inciting the same as brainwashing not really we use them differently right somebody incited to do something you think has not necessarily been brainwashed you know maybe they're not thinking clearly but not brainwashed per se was there anybody who did brainwash the January six people was there any any actual source of brainwashing of course it was yeah all of the media that they were consuming yeah maybe yeah maybe the FBI but certainly the news they were watching brainwashed them to think that the election had been stolen and then brainwashed them into thinking that their actions would be productive now you might say to me but Scott they had free will to which I say well they had Free Will as long as physics stopped working inside their skull but if physics actually works everywhere like inside your skull outside your skull that is just causing the fact that they were going to do what they were going to do but the brainwashers caused January 6.

right even even if you imagine that Trump did something extra to get them whipped up that's very debatable they were there for a particular reason they had already been brainwashed now does that mean that they're wrong no I'm not saying they're wrong I'm saying that they were not there based on reasons and facts and logic they were there because they're brainwashed do you know why the people who uh who observed it believe it was an Insurrection instead of a protest why do the Democrats think they saw an Insurrection an unarmed Insurrection why would they think such a ridiculous thing because they're brainwashed they're brainwashed right there's no that's obviously no critical thinking going on there it would take like this much critical thinking like a a dollop to know that and that unarmed Republicans are not trying to take over a country like you don't have to do deep thinking to figure that out but still but still half of the country believes is true and it would be the most obviously untrue thing of all time so but you know why we can't blame the brainwashers right there's a reason besides just political it's because the entire Justice System depends on the illusion of free will if you take away the illusion of free will you can't punish anybody if you get if you can't punish anybody then there's no legal system as there's no legal system civilization falls apart so the illusion that people have this thing called Free Will as opposed to being hypnotized by obvious obvious brainwashers you have to put the responsibility on the person who does the act because it's the only way civilization works but it's not rational it's completely irrational well except that it works right but the the logic of it doesn't hold up I know it makes people's score of you when I say Free Will is an illusion but usually it's just people are defining it differently if they that they just say I can observe that somebody could choose this way or choose this way so therefore that free will to which I say you can't observe that you can't see the physics happening inside their brain I say whatever they did was the only thing they could have done because physics only worked one way in that case all right um what presented this is a Rasmussen poll what percentage of the country in June of this year believed that Russia was winning the war in June 25 percent that's right pretty close yep 25 actually uh 24.

and so in June 24 of the country thought Russia was winning now it's 14 percent 14 of likely voters in America think Russia is winning now about I think about half of the people think that it looks like a stalemate and the rest think that Ukraine is winning now how many of you think Russia is winning are you in the 14 14 percent how many of you think Russia is winning yeah you know it's hard to it's hard to separate Russia will win in the long run from Russia is winning so the question is a little unclear I'll give you that already won somebody says yeah well um have I ever mentioned to you that things tend to go my way and and you remember I I keep reminding you that although I was a hundred percent wrong when I said that Putin wouldn't uh actually invade Ukraine the reason I said it was wrong is because he he couldn't win and that it was almost immediately obvious he was going to get he was going to get waxed his army was now when I said that at the time that he invaded would you say that close to 90 percent of the public would have said Russia is totally winning and going to win would you agree that at the point that I was saying that Russia couldn't win 90 of the people were get were on the other side now is completely reversed that the vast majority of America believes what I believed would happen from the start the Ukraine would surprise everybody with a with better performance than anybody thought so I'm only going to point out that things tend to go the way I want them to and I don't know why I don't I honestly don't know why to me it feels like I'm in a simulation and I'm either Imagining the things are going my way or you know I'm influencing it somehow or I'm the world's best predictor you know even getting notable ones wrong I'd still be the world's best predictor I I don't understand it I honestly don't but it's so consistent you it's hard to find any major topic that isn't going the direction that I thought it would publicly I don't know why all right um let's see there's a new study out that we don't believe because we don't believe studies but it says that metformin I think it's an over-the-counter um diabetes drug that lowers your blood sugar levels and it allegedly helps with long covet with long covet like fairly substantially first question how many of you believe long covert exists because I I had to uh do a Google search today because you know in the beginning people were saying there'd be this long covet and then there was a period where we weren't sure if it was real and I didn't know where that ended up so if you if you do a Google search on is long coveted real Google will I'll only just tell you what the search reveals I don't know it's true but the search reveals that most most of the media is saying long covet is real the studies say is real but at the same time there are uh there are studies saying it's not real in the in the same time same time period in April May of this year so there's a little bit of a difference but but overwhelmingly Google will say it's real doesn't mean it's real just Google will say that now is it interesting that metformin lowers blood sugar levels because we knew that the diabetics were having the worst time with the covid right wasn't diabetes the number one comorbidity you know sort of co-co-morbidity with obesity at the same time I imagine so is sugar the villain in everything like I I saw some experts saying that it wasn't the lower blood sugar that makes the metformin work if in fact it works there was some other mechanism but I'm not sure I believe that because because the thing that we keep seeing over and over again is that having too much sugar in you is just always bad for everything am I wrong about that there's like almost no exception right did you put sugar in your body yes it's bad for you I mean except for normal carbs and stuff of course so I don't know that would be my guess without any medical training that if everything that's add sugar is bad for you in every possible way and everything that decreases sugar in your body is good for you in every possible way I would think metformin would work so I guess I'll believe this one because it matches my presumption that's as good as you can do um so I heard Dr.

Robert Malone famous uh co-inventor of the MRNA technology and a famous famous critic of the lockdown and vaccination kind of regimen and he told his reasons for getting vaccinated because if you didn't now he's vaccinated he gave two reasons one concern about long covet as opposed to concern about dying and he believed he actually had long covered and at the time it looked like a vaccination would reduce your long-coveted symptoms even after you had the long covet now he's not so sure that's true anymore but a Google search suggests that Google is telling you it is still true a little bit it's a little unclear um but so Dr.

Malone said you got the vaccination because he wanted to do international travel it was the only way he could do it practically and he wanted to reduce his risk for long covet does that sound familiar is there anybody else you know who made a decision exactly the same exactly the same and about the same time yeah I did I did so for those of you who are here to tell me I made the wrong decision you could be right but I need you to know I made exactly the same decision as the world expert critic of the vaccinations so the smartest person in the whole world on this topic made the same decision I did because he was working with the same data as we all were so so somebody says copium Kyle Kyle says that agreeing with the person that you believe is the best source that agreeing with your expert is is a bad decision that's your point of view is it is it a cope is it a cope or is it just a fact that the person you believe is the most qualified agrees with me is that a problem that you are expert agrees with me I'm just rubbing it in I just like feeling right so that's just for me now um I'll tell you my current opinion my current opinion is I doubt the vaccinations help with long covet I doubt it oh did did Dr.

Mc.

Auliffe get vaccinated does anybody know because I was wondering if the loan was the only uh sort of I don't know if I call him anti-vaccination but a vaccination program critic anyway I would call okay so I'm gonna call it mcculloughton and did he get he got covered though right did Mc.

Cullough get covered I assume everybody did at this point don't know don't care all right we'll look into that or I will well ladies and gentlemen we're still in the slow week of news um somebody says yes he's vaccinated but I don't know Steve Kersh is crushing the provax peeps let me ask you this are the anti-vaxx doctors the balloons and the Mc.

Auliffe's uh I I don't want to call them anti-vaxx because that's that's my labeling I shouldn't do that but are those doctors that are prominent critics of at least some parts of the vaccination issue um do they think that the vaccinations are still a good idea for older Americans does anybody know that is there anybody who says the vaccinations are a mistake for old people well I asked the question wrong so now I don't know what your answers mean is there a general agreement that over 65 it still saves lives or is even that up that's up in the air as well so Malone thinks older people should get it they'll even kildorf and bought a car I think it's okay above 65 okay so so you're saying that even the even the biggest critics would agree that I should have gotten vaccinated is it is that true is it true that the biggest critics of vaccinations that were the most expert people believe I made the right choice so the only people who don't believe that I made the right choice for myself are the people who don't believe their own best experts so the people who believe they're experts believe I made the right choice but the people who believe that the people that they trust the most are not credible would think I made a mistake and by the way I don't know if I made a mistake or not how would I know sky has other comorbidities not really I thought I had asthma but it turns on I don't foreign so as long as you all agree that I made the smartest decision that anybody could have made in my situation and I think now that you all agree with that I remember that a lot of people were mocking me until they found out that I made that I made the the choice that their experts would recommend not me I I only did what my critics uh Godlike experts recommended so that's all I did um yeah I thought I had asthma at the time and I was concerned about it and that you know so under my bad information for my own medical people uh I was misinformed I didn't do it just for vacation but that was that was the the vacation was the reason I did it when I did it but the decision to do it was also largely because of I didn't want a long covet problem but probably you know I'm not sure it makes any difference yeah all right you were misinformed on everything covet was I did you just miss the entire last five minutes was I misinformed on everything covid when we all just agreed that all of the experts including the critics say people in my category should have been vaccinated so like some of you I I have no idea what planet you're coming from it's like it's like I don't even know I don't even understand your comments at some point it doesn't make sense at all right you got a lot quieter didn't you you know if you told me that I was gonna that at the end of this year I would be arguing that Dr uh Dr.

Malone should be totally uh totally believed because he agrees completely with me oh you didn't see that coming did you I didn't see it coming I thought I was all on my own here honestly I thought I was just on my own here all right there's nothing else to talk about in the news unless you know something so I'm going to go talk to the locals people so uh You.

Tube I'll talk to you later thanks for joining

good morning everybody

and welcome to the highlight of

civilization it's called coffee with

Scott Adams

and uh there's never been a finer

situation yeah and you either lucked

into it some of you

others have been strategically planning

for this moment for I don't know how

long but thank goodness you made it and

we're going to kick off

the Lesser swearing version of the of

the live stream

everybody on board with that

I might say fudge

or frickin that's as far as I'll go

I'll go all the way to frickin but then

I'm pulling back pulling back

well if you'd like to take your

experience up a notch and I think you

would I think you would all you need is

a copper amug or a glass of tanker

Chelsea's dinette candy juggar flask a

vessel of any kind fill it with your

favorite liquid

I like coffee

and join me now

for the unparalleled pleasure the

dopamine here the day the thing that

makes

everything better it's called the

simultaneous but it happens now go

ah

well which of the f word substitutes do

you like best fudge friggin freaking or

fracking

we can throw a little uh fracking in

there

well you've got lots of opinions on this

one wow

uh looks like well it's it's all over

the place the Battle Star Galactica

fracking seems to be

doing well

all right well maybe I'll uh

I might you know

try some of those I'll take some of

those for a spin today

okay

well the first freaking story

no no

I'll work on that

all right I have a uh a media

recommendation

have you all been wondering

Scott can you please tell us what you

would personally like to watch on the

television set and then maybe I would

like to watch it too

don't laugh

don't laugh

Glass Onion on Netflix

so I guess it's a movie Glass Onion

now here's why I recommend it

I've been railing for years about

everything that's wrong with movies this

one didn't do anything wrong no hold on

I've only watched the first third of it

I've only watched the first third

already I recommend it right I'll watch

the rest of it sometime but here's why I

recommend it number one probably is not

really the best show for the younger set

I think maybe this would appeal to

people who are used to a certain kind of

movie

here's what I liked about it

they took what was good about movies in

the past and then they just made one of

those

and I thought to myself nobody thought

of that before

just take all the things that were good

about you know movies when we grew up

and just make one of those

so here's what they don't do

nobody is tied to a chair to be tortured

nobody

I know is that weird I don't believe

there's going to be a chase scene I I've

only seen a third of it I don't believe

there'll be a chase scene

the entire first part of the movie

where usually the first third of a movie

is where something terrible happens to

the hero

you know the hero gets divorced or his

family is wiped out or you know there's

a hurricane or something

but this was just fun

and there's like some mystery because

it's about a little murder mystery and

it's just fun and it's about characters

and actors that you've seen and a lot of

the actors are

ones you're familiar with so it's just

sort of fun to see them all in the same

place and stuff

and

it's sort of the perfect

um empty calories

now here's what will will never be true

it's not going to win any awards

no Awards will be won

all they did all they did was make it

incredibly

um

consumer right

they made something for the customer

so therefore it cannot win any awards

because the awards are won by people who

make movies for other people in the

movie industry so people could say my

God you're acting uh in that role that

made me feel terrible the entire time I

watched the movie but wow did you act

well you acted so well that I I have a

stomachache when I left I felt so bad

for you

but this movie just doesn't have any any

parts in it that I don't think you know

I haven't seen it but it looks like

that's their theme there won't be any

unpleasant parts

now you're not going to remember it

forever it's not going to be your

favorite movie but it really is giving

me hope

that somebody paid attention and figured

out how to make a movie you know finally

so give it a chance

all right here's something I learned

today that apparently everybody knew

about me

at least everybody in the local

subscription site

um

so Elon Musk tweeted today or yesterday

maybe almost no one seems to realize

that the head of bioethics at NIH

National Institute of Health the person

who is supposed to make sure that fauci

behaves ethically

is his wife

now how many of you who didn't know that

like me until today

how many of you also didn't know that

until today

now

it sounds like a joke doesn't it

it literally sounds like a joke

I heard uh Elon Musk say the other day

on some podcast or something he said

that every conspiracy theory about

Twitter turned out to be true

and he laughed because he couldn't think

of any any conspiracy theories about

Twitter that weren't actually

demonstrated to be true

and and this one this one is crazy

it's crazy now I don't think it

necessarily made any difference

like I'm not going to say that you know

if that had been different you know we

would have seen fauci in a different

light I doubt it but just the just the

fact that

that that person his wife was in that

job that's just too

to everything isn't it that's just too

much of everything

how could that possibly be true

I don't know how many times I've been

saying this lately I'll just look at

something that's definitely true

and I'll just say how could that

possibly be true how could it possibly

be true that the number one person who's

being questions on ethics his wife is in

charge of his ethics

like it yeah there are seven what eight

billion people in the world

the odds of that were low

but maybe they were high you know given

the way things work out

all right

um and then Musk

seems to be

um no it seems to be he's directly

accusing uh fauci of a gain of function

research which is another way Elon Musk

says is another way of saying bio weapon

and

and then he notes that fauci authored

the 2012 paper arguing for a gain of

function research

and that now this is all what musk is

tweeting I I can't

I'm not saying all this is true

I'm just going to say musk is tweeting

it right and it must said that Obama

wisely put this on pause meaning the

gain of function research but fauci

restarted it now again I don't know if

that's true

like I think that you would argue it's

not yes there's some indirect thing but

not a direct thing I don't know

uh and despite these glaring issues

uh Twitter nonetheless so at Twitter

there was an internal slack Channel

where they communicate with each other

on this little Channel

uh unironically called the fauci fan

club

So within Twitter there was there was

quote a fauci fan club and they had

their own slack group

and Elon Musk just just basically thinks

is funny

he just laughs at his own company that

he bought

all right

I don't know if this is the favorite

story of the day

but you all know the congressman Santos

the Republican who got who just got

elected and then apparently we find out

they didn't have the education he said

he didn't have a college degree

I think he didn't have one ah he said he

did didn't work at two prestigious

places that he said he did and I think

there were a bunch of other lies so

basically he just totally lied and got

elected anyway

now

there's a few things a few ways to go on

this story

number one

the question is should Republicans

try to take the high road

and even though the Democrats are full

of liars should they say no we cannot

have a liar in our midst

so we've got to get gotta get rid of

them or do they say no things are so

tight we need every vote we can get and

everybody's a liar so

you know what's the difference and I and

I have to admit I was sort of going back

and forth this morning trying to decide

which one made sense I like I was

thinking well

I do like

I I do like making a point of it because

it'd be a good way to establish

you know Republicans as at least trying

to be more

more honest

but on the other hand I can certainly

see the raw power argument and and

Congress is mostly a raw power situation

so you know playing within the rules

everybody lies he lied no big deal but

here's how I decided I made my final

decision on this

I think he should keep his job

as opposed to resigning

and here's why

do you know how entertaining it would be

to hear the other members of Congress

argue that they just can't have a liar

in their midst

you tell me that wouldn't be funny every

time

I don't care who says it I don't care if

the Republicans say it I don't care if

the Democrats that as long as they're

members of Congress

I want them on video saying we have to

get rid of rid of the Liars in Congress

I I just want to see that

that's all I I would personally find

that very entertaining no matter how

many times I saw it and I don't need to

point out

the hypocrisy right

so so we don't need to point that out

you know I could always tell the people

who believe what they read on Reddit

they come over here with some rumors

about me that are almost always out of

context or untrue it's always a Reddit

people

like I think anybody who actually

got their information anywhere else

doesn't have any yeah

so that so somebody's coming over here

just to say vaccine passports because

they actually believe that I was in

favor of them

so we'll get rid of the dumb people the

disinformed people

but they like to keep me busy

all right

um

so I thought it was interesting that

musk is directly accusing fauci of these

things because isn't there doesn't he

have any defense to that

he's got some defense does he

I don't know who's telling the truth or

but uh oh I guess we were talking about

Santos and then the other thing that

Santo said in his uh not quite truthful

way

was that he's a Catholic guy

but at one point he said that

he wasn't Jewish but that he was Jew

Dash ish

so your emphasis on the ish part so not

really not really a Jewish person

but he claimed that because he had some

family connection to Judaism that's

unclear that he was a Jewish ish

and then I saw the number of people who

are criticizing him and I thought

I'm a little uncomfortable with that

because while he's not Jewish he's only

Jewish

if you criticize him

you wouldn't be anti-semitic but

wouldn't you be a little

anti-semitic-ish

just a little bit so I don't want to

criticize them because

I don't know where that line is I I

don't want to be anti-semitic ish

about a guy who's not Jewish but he's

Jewish

so I mean

it's a dangerous it's dangerous out

there there's a landmine everywhere

would you take that chance no no don't

take a chance

so I'll just stay away from that

well there's a new book out called uh

from somebody named Thompson

escape from model land in this case it's

not

Victoria Secret models it is

um mathematical models

and these models being used to predict

the future

this will come as a big surprise to you

but did you know

that complex models that are used to

predict the future

I know this is going to be a real

surprise

not reliable

I know I know I was as shocked as you

were yeah so there's a book now to teach

people that Financial that complex

mathematical models don't actually

predict the future

amazing amazing

huh

well this brings me to my next topic

which is

I believe that doctors are learning the

hard way

how to analyze data

and by that I mean they're learning by

doing it wrong in public and having

people say that's not how you do that

and I think that I'm seeing at least in

my Twitter feed a lot of doctors who are

clearly now way more informed about how

to consume data

and here's here's what I would suggest

for doctors who didn't have any training

in this field I think you could simplify

it

to Simply a checklist

quiz to ask ask a doctor which of these

sources are reliable

and maybe a little bit about why it'd be

a really simple one-page test for

example

if you ask doctors to rate the

credibility of the following things I

don't know what they would say but let's

say you said

um

a study is published there's one study

it's not a randomized controlled trial

but it's just one one study in a

publication and it's published as

peer-reviewed

what level of confidence should you put

on one study

not a randomized controlled trial but

it's peer-reviewed and it's published

well the right answer is less than 50

because about half of them get retracted

but of the ones that don't get retracted

how many of those are too

nobody knows because they didn't get

retracted but it's not zero

right so it could be that something in

an order of

25 to 50 percent of studies that are

peer-reviewed and published turn out to

be true or useful

so would a doctor know that

and we're somewhat of course but how

many doctors would know

that being published means is usually

untrue

about I bet most would say well it might

be false but if it got published and

it's peer-reviewed is probably true

but actually it's the opposite it's

probably untrue

so would they even know which way it

goes would they know it's probably

untrue

or would they just assume it went

through the steps to you know validate

it a little bit so that is probably true

but maybe not it's a big difference

because that might be the difference

between

an off-label

you know

um treatment or not

how about this

how about a retrospective study a

retrospective study would somebody be

able to

know the value of a retrospective study

now that's where you you didn't do a

study in advance so you have to look at

it after the fact and so you say okay

yeah these people did take this and they

had these outcomes so it must have been

because they did the thing

now that's different than saying in

advance

if you say in advance we're going to

test this thing and we think it's going

to have this outcome

that's a that's a far more reliable way

to go but if you only did it once

and nobody reproduced it you're still

not where you want to be

right looking backwards is is going to

be less reliable

right would you all agree

looking backwards as opposed to

establishing a test where you can look

forward and find out if your guesses

were right so there's a big difference

all right how about this one

um

a 10-year projection

or even a three year or five year how

about just projections that are based on

good solid data and experts making yeah

the projections are usually ridiculous

usually ridiculous

how about the vares report

if the vares report is sending a really

strong signal

what's that telling doctors

well I know that many of you disagree

many of you would say whoa there's so

many on there about covet in particular

you would say well I realize it's

anecdotal but there's just so many on

there that that's telling you something

but not really

it isn't it is telling you you might

want to look into it

so so you know it's not to be ignored

that's why it's there it's not there to

be ignored

but you don't know for sure just from

the various report

how about uh a really good randomized

controlled trial

how much should you put how much should

you trust it a really good randomized

controlled you know blind trial

do you know what's missing

who funded it

who funded it right yes the only thing I

told you is there was a randomized

controlled trial the amount of

credibility you put in it is none

literally none

would you agree

the the gold standard in science is a

randomized controlled trial if the only

thing you know is that one happened

The credibility should be zero

now that's not something I don't think

doctors would agree with

I think doctors would say that's

actually our best evidence we do

everything based on that that should be

the best evidence

now

if you don't know who funded the trial

you don't know anything that's something

we learned right

now suppose you knew that it wasn't

funded by the pharmacistical companies

what then

you don't really know that

see it's a trick

I tried to trick you well what if you

don't what if you know it was not funded

by the pharmaceutical companies you'll

never know that it's unknowable because

they may have gotten to the person who

ran the trial

so they may not have funded the trial

but they might be the source of lots of

speaking agreements

for the project manager

you know what I mean would your doctor

know that

would your doctor know that yes it was

funded by this maybe the government but

would they know that the project manager

makes 40 more than his normal income by

doing speeches for that pharmaceutical

company

you would have no way of knowing that

so what we used to think was the gold

standard of science is closer to a coin

flip

you don't really know much of anything

unless you know who funded it or how

everybody's making their money

and if you only have one of them you

wish you had two

right

so if you only have one you're

automatically shaky compared to at least

two how about uh

yeah anything about any study that the

Pharma big Pharma does itself

should you believe it

because that would be the basis of all

vaccinations childhood vaccinations

right

aren't pretty much all childhood

vaccinations based on big Pharma Zone

studies

I'm just guessing I don't know if that's

true now presumably there would also be

other Studies by now but mostly they

were approved based on big Pharma Zone

studies right

I guess that's more of a question than a

statement I mean I assume that's the

case

so

uh and then what about meta metadata

studies or meta studies what about a

meta-analysis

should doctors

trust them because the meta-analysis

looks at all the studies or all the

relevant studies

so yeah they could be the best or they

could be the worst

but you don't know in advance

hahaha

so the weird the weird thing about a

medicine meta-analysis is it could be

exactly right

but you would have no no way of knowing

just because you did it or you do some

details you wouldn't know

but it could be so that so it doesn't

matter what it says you don't know which

one is the right one and and who who

cheated on what's in the analysis and

what's not in the L analysis so

meta-analysis is pretty low credibility

all right

question

how many uh Young Americans do you think

would be the fitness and health

requirements to join the American

Military what percentage

what percentage of

I I wasn't even doing it this time and

you still got the right answer

it's 23 about a quarter that I always do

the uh asking people to guess what the

poll results are because the the running

joke is that 25 of the public will get

every question wrong

every poll question the 25 will have the

dumb answer you know when there's one

that's like clearly the dumb answer 25

percent

well this has nothing to do with this

this is Health and Fitness

but only 23 percent of Young Americans

meet the fed this requirement of the

military

now allow me to do an old man thing I'm

going to do a grandpa thing

in my day

I feel like it would have been 75

percent of the kids I went to school

with

now I'm talking about the boys

wouldn't you agree

things have things have gone downhill

that much that only 23 percent could

pass the physical

and maybe do you think I'm remembering

wrong

could be false memory

because there weren't that many kids in

my class so it wasn't it wasn't a good

but 23 really that's all

yeah

um I'm going to shock you a little bit

more in a minute here

uh so obviously the military is having

trouble recruiting but one of the one of

the things that the military has decided

to do

is to reduce their standards for mental

health

so before they were you know pretty

tight you couldn't have any uh at least

a recent medical health problems

but now they're going to loosen that and

I think

ADHD is now going to be considered not a

problem

if if it hasn't been a problem recently

and I guess if if you're treating it

medically

I wonder if there could be any risks

to having more

more people with mental problems in the

military

what could go wrong what could go wrong

all right

um have you ever heard of

there's a movement called

Trad wives

I just read about this on CNN like a

minute before I went live

have you ever heard of Trad wives is

supposedly a growing theme the Trad is

short for traditional

and they're modeling after the 50s you

know stay-at-home housewife kind of

thing and there there's some number of

people who like the aesthetic

so they like the way they dressed and

sort of the way they

treated their husband as the boss of the

house I guess

and so some kind of a growing thing now

related to that was separate

I've told you there's a whole bunch of

relationship experts talking about what

doesn't doesn't work these days

but uh I've watched a number of these

relationship experts who have the same

line of thinking

and I don't know what's wrong with it

so I'm going to test it out of you

and it goes like this

if you're a woman and you're looking for

a guy

uh correctly if I'm wrong these are the

standard things that women are looking

for

now and these are the things that they

say most often now every woman is

different right every man is different

so this isn't all people it's just sort

of a you know generality

but here are the things all right uh and

this will be a little quiz for you uh

women usually like uh taller men over

six feet tall

what percentage of American men are over

six feet tall go

what percentage of American men are over

six feet tall

your guesses are unusually bad

not usually bad if I average your

guesses I think they'd be right the

answer is uh 14.5 percent

right so if you're a woman

on your first filter your first sort

you've eliminated 85 percent of all men

because only 14.5 are above that right

now if you go up to six six foot one

do you know how fast that drops

you get down to one percent really

quickly you know at around six three six

four it's down to like one percent

but let's say let's start with 14.5 so

that's your story now most women want a

guy who can provide

right no matter how modern the woman is

they still like the guy to have a job

that that's serious so how many how many

men of any height just men in general

American men how many uh have an income

over a hundred thousand a year

how many men this is married unmarried

just men

the answer is 13 13 percent

so if you were just simply going to find

somebody who is tall

and made over 100k a year

the the math of it is you would multiply

the two percentages together

so if you multiply 14.5 percent times 13

percent

it starts getting really small really

fast and that's just two filters here's

some more

suppose you wanted a guy who was going

to be faithful

you know basic right you want a guy

who's not going to cheat on you

but he's also over six feet tall and he

has a good income

what are the odds of somebody who is

tall and has a good income meaning the

most desirable man

what are the odds that he will be

faithful to one woman over a

relationship

let's say let's say charitably 50

percent

charitably right just so it doesn't

sound too terrible I'll say 50 percent

so that you would also multiply that by

the percentages

how many women how many women would

prefer a beta male over an alpha male

almost none right so women would also

want somebody who's projects at least an

alpha male how many men

project an alpha male

persona percentage-wise

I'm gonna I'm gonna charitably say half

would you accept it charitably half most

of you think way less than half but

let's say charitably half

right so that cuts in half again the

number of possibilities for the women

uh do you think the women care if the if

the man is has an addiction to drugs or

alcohol or a mental illness

what percent of men don't have an

addiction or a mental illness

again I don't know

maybe half

would you say half

just say half just so we can do the math

right so again you take what you've cut

down to already and cut that in half

again

how about

uh would women want a guy who's in

reasonably good shape now not

necessarily running marathons but just

somebody who's in the the better

the better quadrant

so maybe let's say 25 percent of men

would you say

25 percent of matter and reasonably good

shape you know they don't have to run

marathons let's say 25 so now take while

you're down to and you know take 25

percent

about the right religion the right age a

guy who will treat you right he's also

available so he has to be he has to be

available otherwise it's useless

and he has to like you and you have to

like him

so if you do the math

the the available number of people

that's right

If you eliminate all of the people on

all of those things do you know what's

left

Andrew Tate

Andrew Tate

that's all

and

um I don't know how many he can

handle uh according to him that's his

word I'm usually his word I would never

call women that never

what Andrew does so let me tell you

but he has he can only handle uh I don't

know maybe 100 or 200 per year

like maximum because he's busy he's got

some businesses to run he has to

exercise

needs to needs one hand to smoke his

cigar so like he can't handle thousands

of women now he does have a brother

and his brother can handle maybe a few

hundred extra but the Tates alone

can only handle

at most a thousand women out of all the

billions in the world

so you really can't depend on him to do

it all

right

so

do you know why AI is going to be a

problem it seems like I changed the

subject but I didn't

do you know why AI is going to be a

problem

because it might tell you the truth

hey AI

should I get married

what's AI going to say

or if you say what are my odds of being

happily married or finding a man that I

want to be married to and AI will say

well uh what what is your Criterion you

know get tell me what you're looking for

and you'd say well you're just tall and

blah blah blah and you say and then a I

would say all right your odds of finding

what you ABS the minimum that you need

to be happy are point zero zero zero

zero zero one

and it will be correct that will be the

actual right calculation

who would get married

is the end of civilization

you do understand

the civilization absolutely requires us

to be deluded all the time

because the moment you actually

understood the odds of things

you you change your behavior it would be

the end of civilization

speaking of Tate uh he uh tweeted at

Greta tunberg today he's very good at

being provocative and he tweeted uh

hello Greta tonberg I have 33 cars my

Bugatti has a big quad turbo engine my

two Ferraris have giant engines he goes

this is just the start

please provide your email address so I

can set the complete list of my car

collection and the respective enormous

emissions

so he tweeted that at Greta

Greta answered him back and she said yes

please do enlighten me you can email me

at small dick energy at getalife.com

so I'm glad the two of them are getting

along

so

I don't know I I don't want to like

Greta

because because I don't agree with her

climate Hysteria

but

I realized today that I have to delete

my Instagram app

did anybody else have this problem I

made the mistake of looking at some

Andrew Tate videos and now that's all

that feeds me

is nothing but Andrew Tay videos it's

like eighty percent of Andrew T videos

so that the entire the entire thing is

useless now

like I have to delete Instagram because

he actually polluted it and by the way I

don't have I'm not complaining about his

content

I'm not I'm not saying you know we

shouldn't be there I'm not saying it has

no value I'm just saying there's so much

of it

that you can't even use the app he

actually overwhelmed uh Instagram has

anybody else had that experience because

you only have to look at a few of them

and the the algorithm does the rest

so I have to search for other things

until it overwhelms them right

yeah

all right look at more Pat videos yeah I

think he overwhelmed the pet videos too

all right uh why is it that uh

why is it that we never blame the

brainwashers have you noticed that

so

the January 6th thing

we I guess Trump was blamed for quote

inciting violence

you know arguably that's it's a

debatable point

but is inciting the same as brainwashing

not really we use them differently right

somebody incited to do something you

think has not necessarily been

brainwashed you know maybe they're not

thinking clearly but not brainwashed per

se

was there anybody who did brainwash the

January six people

was there any any actual source of

brainwashing

of course it was yeah all of the media

that they were consuming

yeah maybe yeah maybe the FBI but

certainly the news they were watching

brainwashed them to think that the

election had been stolen and then

brainwashed them into thinking that

their actions would be productive

now you might say to me but Scott they

had free will

to which I say well they had Free Will

as long as physics stopped working

inside their skull

but if physics actually works everywhere

like inside your skull outside your

skull that is just causing the fact that

they were going to do what they were

going to do

but the brainwashers caused January 6.

right

even even if you imagine that Trump

did something extra to get them whipped

up that's very debatable

they were there for a particular reason

they had already been brainwashed

now does that mean that they're wrong no

I'm not saying they're wrong I'm saying

that they were not there based on

reasons and facts and logic they were

there

because they're brainwashed do you know

why the people who uh who observed it

believe it was an Insurrection instead

of a protest

why do the Democrats think they saw an

Insurrection an unarmed Insurrection why

would they think such a ridiculous thing

because they're brainwashed they're

brainwashed right there's no that's

obviously no critical thinking going on

there

it would take like this much critical

thinking like a a dollop to know that

and that unarmed Republicans are not

trying to take over a country like you

don't have to do deep thinking to figure

that out but still but still half of the

country believes is true and it would be

the most obviously untrue thing of all

time

so

but you know why we can't blame the

brainwashers right

there's a reason besides just political

it's because the entire Justice System

depends on the illusion of free will

if you take away the illusion of free

will you can't punish anybody if you get

if you can't punish anybody

then there's no legal system

as there's no legal system civilization

falls apart so the illusion that people

have this thing called Free Will as

opposed to being hypnotized by obvious

obvious brainwashers

you have to put the responsibility on

the person who does the act because it's

the only way civilization works

but it's not rational

it's completely irrational well except

that it works right but the the logic of

it doesn't hold up

I know it makes people's score of you

when I say Free Will is an illusion but

usually it's just people are defining it

differently if they that they just say

I can observe that somebody could choose

this way or choose this way so therefore

that free will to which I say you can't

observe that

you can't see the physics happening

inside their brain I say whatever they

did was the only thing they could have

done because physics only worked one way

in that case

all right

um

what presented this is a Rasmussen poll

what percentage of the country in June

of this year believed that Russia was

winning the war in June

25 percent that's right pretty close yep

25 actually uh 24. and so in June 24 of

the country thought Russia was winning

now it's 14 percent

14 of likely voters in America think

Russia is winning now about I think

about half of the people think that it

looks like a stalemate and the rest

think that Ukraine is winning

now

how many of you think Russia is winning

are you in the 14 14 percent

how many of you think Russia is winning

yeah you know it's hard to it's hard to

separate

Russia will win in the long run from

Russia is winning so the question is a

little unclear I'll give you that

already won somebody says

yeah well

um

have I ever mentioned to you

that things tend to go my way

and and you remember I I keep reminding

you that although I was a hundred

percent wrong

when I said that Putin wouldn't uh

actually invade Ukraine

the reason I said it was wrong is

because he he couldn't win

and that it was almost immediately

obvious he was going to get he was going

to get waxed

his army was

now when I said that at the time that he

invaded would you say that close to 90

percent of the public would have said

Russia is totally winning and going to

win would you agree

that at the point that I was saying that

Russia couldn't win 90 of the people

were get were on the other side now

is completely reversed

that the vast majority of America

believes what I believed would happen

from the start the Ukraine would

surprise everybody with a with better

performance than anybody thought

so I'm only going to point out

that things tend to go the way

I want them to

and I don't know why

I don't I honestly don't know why to me

it feels like I'm in a simulation and

I'm either

Imagining the things are going my way or

you know I'm influencing it somehow

or I'm the world's best predictor

you know even getting notable ones wrong

I'd still be the world's best predictor

I I don't understand it I honestly don't

but it's so consistent

you it's hard to find any major topic

that isn't going the direction

that I thought it would publicly I don't

know why

all right

um

let's see there's a new study out that

we don't believe because we don't

believe studies but it says that

metformin I think it's an

over-the-counter

um

diabetes drug that lowers your blood

sugar levels and it allegedly helps with

long covet

with long covet

like fairly substantially

first question how many of you believe

long covert exists

because I I had to uh do a Google search

today

because you know in the beginning people

were saying there'd be this long covet

and then there was a period where we

weren't sure if it was real

and I didn't know where that ended up so

if you if you do a Google search on is

long coveted real

Google will I'll only just tell you what

the search reveals I don't know it's

true but the search reveals

that most most of the media is saying

long covet is real the studies say is

real

but at the same time there are uh there

are studies saying it's not real in the

in the same time same time period in

April May of this year so there's a

little bit of a difference but but

overwhelmingly Google will say it's real

doesn't mean it's real just Google will

say that

now

is it interesting that metformin lowers

blood sugar levels because we knew that

the diabetics were having the worst time

with the covid right wasn't diabetes the

number one comorbidity you know sort of

co-co-morbidity with obesity at the same

time I imagine

so is sugar the villain in everything

like I I saw some experts saying that it

wasn't the lower blood sugar that makes

the metformin work if in fact it works

there was some other mechanism but I'm

not sure I believe that

because because the thing that we keep

seeing over and over again is that

having too much sugar in you is just

always bad for everything

am I wrong about that

there's like almost no exception right

did you put sugar in your body yes it's

bad for you I mean except for normal

carbs and stuff of course

so I don't know that would be my guess

without any medical training that if

everything that's add sugar is bad for

you in every possible way and everything

that decreases sugar in your body is

good for you in every possible way

I would think metformin would work

so I guess I'll believe this one because

it matches my

presumption

that's as good as you can do

um

so I heard Dr Robert Malone

famous uh co-inventor of the MRNA

technology and a famous famous critic of

the

lockdown and vaccination kind of regimen

and he told his reasons for getting

vaccinated

because if you didn't now he's

vaccinated he gave two reasons one

concern about long covet as opposed to

concern about dying

and he believed he actually had long

covered

and at the time it looked like a

vaccination would reduce your

long-coveted symptoms even after you had

the long covet

now he's not so sure that's true anymore

but a Google search

suggests that Google is telling you it

is still true a little bit it's a little

unclear

um but so Dr Malone said you got the

vaccination because he wanted to do

international travel it was the only way

he could do it practically and he wanted

to reduce his risk for long covet

does that sound familiar

is there anybody else you know

who made a decision

exactly the same exactly the same and

about the same time

yeah I did I did

so

for those of you who are here to tell me

I made the wrong decision

you could be right but I need you to

know I made exactly the same decision as

the world expert critic of the

vaccinations

so the smartest person in the whole

world

on this topic

made the same decision I did

because he was working with the same

data as we all were

so so somebody says copium Kyle Kyle

says that agreeing with the person that

you believe is the best source

that agreeing with your expert is is a

bad decision

that's your point of view

is it is it a cope

is it a cope or is it just a fact

that the person you believe is the most

qualified

agrees with me

is that a problem that you are expert

agrees with me

I'm just rubbing it in I just like

feeling right

so that's just for me

now

um

I'll tell you my current opinion my

current opinion is I doubt the

vaccinations help with long covet

I doubt it oh did did Dr McAuliffe get

vaccinated does anybody know

because I was wondering if the loan was

the only uh sort of I don't know if I

call him anti-vaccination but a

vaccination

program critic anyway I would call

okay so I'm gonna call it mcculloughton

and did he get he got covered though

right

did McCullough get covered I assume

everybody did at this point

don't know don't care

all right we'll look into that or I will

[Applause]

well ladies and gentlemen we're still in

the slow week of news

um somebody says yes he's vaccinated

but I don't know

Steve Kersh is crushing the provax peeps

let me ask you this are the anti-vaxx

doctors

the balloons and the McAuliffe's uh I I

don't want to call them anti-vaxx

because that's that's my labeling I

shouldn't do that but are those doctors

that are prominent critics of at least

some parts of the vaccination issue

um

do they think that the vaccinations are

still a good idea for older Americans

does anybody know that

is there anybody who says the

vaccinations are a mistake for old

people

well I asked the question wrong so now I

don't know what your answers mean

is there a general agreement that over

65

it still saves lives or is even that up

that's up in the air as well

so Malone thinks older people should get

it

they'll even kildorf and bought a car I

think it's okay above 65 okay so

so you're saying that even the even the

biggest critics would agree that I

should have gotten vaccinated is it is

that true

is it true that the biggest critics of

vaccinations that were the most expert

people

believe I made the right choice

so the only people who don't

believe that I made the right choice for

myself

are the people who don't believe their

own best experts

so the people who believe they're

experts

believe I made the right choice but the

people who believe that the people that

they trust the most are not credible

would think I made a mistake

and by the way I don't know if I made a

mistake or not

how would I know

sky has other comorbidities not really

I thought I had asthma but it turns on I

don't

foreign

so as long as you all agree that I made

the smartest decision

that anybody could have made in my

situation

and I think now that you all agree with

that I remember that a lot of people

were mocking me until they found out

that I made that I made the the choice

that their experts would recommend not

me

I I only did what my critics uh Godlike

experts recommended

so that's all I did

um

yeah I thought I had asthma at the time

and I was concerned about it and that

you know so under my bad information for

my own medical people

uh I was misinformed

I didn't do it just for vacation but

that was that was the the vacation was

the reason I did it when I did it

but the decision to do it was also

largely because of

I didn't want a long covet problem

but probably you know I'm not sure it

makes any difference

yeah all right

you were misinformed on everything covet

was I

did you just miss the entire last five

minutes

was I misinformed on everything covid

when we all just agreed that all of the

experts including the critics say people

in my category should have been

vaccinated

so

like some of you I I have no idea what

planet you're coming from

it's like it's like I don't even know I

don't even understand your comments at

some point it doesn't make sense at all

right

you got a lot quieter didn't you

you know if you told me that I was gonna

that at the end of this year I would be

arguing that Dr uh Dr Malone should be

totally uh totally believed because he

agrees completely with me

oh you didn't see that coming did you I

didn't see it coming I thought I was all

on my own here honestly I thought I was

just on my own here

all right there's nothing else to talk

about in the news unless you know

something so I'm going to go talk to the

locals people so uh

YouTube I'll talk to you later thanks

for joining