Episode 1971 Scott Adams - Today I Will Separate The Liars From The Brainwashers And Regular Idiots
Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Fauci's wife, NIH Head of Bioethics - George Santos, a liar in...congress - Doctors learning to analyze data - Military physical & mental fitness standards - TradWives trend - The brainwashers caused J6 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and there's never been a finer situation. Yeah, and you either lucked into it, some of you. Others have been strategically planning for this moment for I don't know how long, but thank goodness…
View segment →k. Well, if you'd like to take your experience up a notch, and I think you would, I think you would, all you need is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard or a chalice or a jug or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pl…
View segment →he simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go. Which of the F-word substitutes do you like best? Fudge, friggin, freaking or fracking? We can throw a little fracking in there. Well, you've got lots of opinions on this one. Wow. Looks like it's all over the place. The Battlestar Galactica fracking see…
View segment →to be doing well. All right, well maybe I'll try some of those. I'll take some of those for a spin today. Okay, well the first freaking story... no, no, I'll work on that. All right. I have a media recommendation. Have you all been wondering, Scott, can you please tell us what you would personally…
View segment →consumer right. They made something for the customer, so therefore it cannot win any awards because the awards are won by people who make movies for other people in the movie industry. So people could say, my God, your acting in that role made me feel terrible the entire time I watched the movie, bu…
View segment →day on some podcast or something, he said that every conspiracy theory about Twitter turned out to be true. And he laughed because he couldn't think of any conspiracy theories about Twitter that weren't actually demonstrated to be true. And this one is crazy. It's crazy. Now I don't think it necess…
View segment →ke I think that you would argue it's not. Yes, there's some indirect thing but not a direct thing. I don't know. And despite these glaring issues, Twitter nonetheless, so at Twitter there was an internal Slack channel where they communicate with each other on this little channel unironically called…
View segment →st basically thinks it's funny. He just laughs at his own company that he bought. All right. I don't know if this is the favorite story of the day, but you all know the congressman Santos, the Republican who just got elected and then apparently we find out he didn't have the education he said he di…
View segment →our guesses were right. So there's a big difference. All right. How about this one? A 10-year projection or even a three-year or five-year. How about just projections that are based on good solid data and experts making them? Yeah, the projections are usually ridiculous. Usually ridiculous. How ab…
View segment →same line of thinking and I don't know what's wrong with it. So I'm going to test it out on you and it goes like this. If you're a woman and you're looking for a guy, correctly if I'm wrong, these are the standard things that women are looking for now and these are the things that they say most oft…
View segment →mall really fast. And that's just two filters. Here's some more. Suppose you wanted a guy who was going to be faithful. You know, basic, right? You want a guy who's not going to cheat on you but he's also over six feet tall and he has a good income. What are the odds of somebody who is tall and has…
View segment →ually polluted it. And by the way I don't have, I'm not complaining about his content. I'm not saying we shouldn't be there. I'm not saying it has no value. I'm just saying there's so much of it that you can't even use the app. He actually overwhelmed Instagram. Has anybody else had that experience?…
View segment →insurrection? An unarmed insurrection. Why would they think such a ridiculous thing? Because they're brainwashed. They're brainwashed, right? There's no, that's obviously no critical thinking going on there. It would take like this much critical thinking, like a dollop, to know that an unarmed Repub…
View segment →d have been vaccinated? So like some of you I have no idea what planet you're coming from. It's like I don't even know. I don't even understand your comments at some point. It doesn't make sense at all, right? You got a lot quieter, didn't you? You know if you told me that I was gonna that at the e…
View segment →Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and there's never been a finer situation. Yeah, and you either lucked into it, some of you. Others have been strategically planning for this moment for I don't know how long, but thank goodness you made it.
We're going to kick off the lesser swearing version of the live stream. Everybody on board with that? I might say fudge or frickin. That's as far as I'll go. I'll go all the way to frickin but then I'm pulling back. Pulling back.
Well, if you'd like to take your experience up a notch, and I think you would, I think you would, all you need is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard or a chalice or a jug or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go.
Which of the F-word substitutes do you like best? Fudge, friggin, freaking or fracking? We can throw a little fracking in there. Well, you've got lots of opinions on this one. Wow. Looks like it's all over the place. The Battlestar Galactica fracking seems to be doing well. All right, well maybe I'll try some of those. I'll take some of those for a spin today.
Okay, well the first freaking story... no, no, I'll work on that. All right. I have a media recommendation. Have you all been wondering, Scott, can you please tell us what you would personally like to watch on the television set and then maybe I would like to watch it too? Don't laugh. Don't laugh. Glass Onion on Netflix. So I guess it's a movie. Glass Onion.
Now here's why I recommend it. I've been railing for years about everything that's wrong with movies. This one didn't do anything wrong. No, hold on. I've only watched the first third of it. I've only watched the first third. Already I recommend it, right? I'll watch the rest of it sometime. But here's why I recommend it.
Number one, probably is not really the best show for the younger set. I think maybe this would appeal to people who are used to a certain kind of movie. Here's what I liked about it. They took what was good about movies in the past and then they just made one of those. And I thought to myself, nobody thought of that before. Just take all the things that were good about movies when we grew up and just make one of those.
So here's what they don't do. Nobody is tied to a chair to be tortured. Nobody. I know, is that weird? I don't believe there's going to be a chase scene. I've only seen a third of it. I don't believe there'll be a chase scene. The entire first part of the movie, where usually the first third of a movie is where something terrible happens to the hero, you know, the hero gets divorced or his family is wiped out or there's a hurricane or something, but this was just fun. And there's some mystery because it's about a little murder mystery and it's just fun and it's about characters and actors that you've seen. And a lot of the actors are ones you're familiar with, so it's just sort of fun to see them all in the same place and stuff. And it's sort of the perfect empty calories.
Now here's what will never be true. It's not going to win any awards. No awards will be won. All they did was make it incredibly consumer right. They made something for the customer, so therefore it cannot win any awards because the awards are won by people who make movies for other people in the movie industry. So people could say, my God, your acting in that role made me feel terrible the entire time I watched the movie, but wow did you act well. You acted so well that I have a stomachache when I left. I felt so bad for you. But this movie just doesn't have any parts in it that I don't think, you know, I haven't seen it but it looks like that's their theme. There won't be any unpleasant parts.
Now you're not going to remember it forever. It's not going to be your favorite movie. But it really is giving me hope that somebody paid attention and figured out how to make a movie finally. So give it a chance.
All right, here's something I learned today that apparently everybody knew about me. At least everybody in the local subscription site. So Elon Musk tweeted today or yesterday maybe. Almost no one seems to realize that the head of bioethics at NIH, National Institutes of Health, the person who is supposed to make sure that Fauci behaves ethically, is his wife.
Now how many of you who didn't know that, like me until today, how many of you also didn't know that until today? Now it sounds like a joke, doesn't it? It literally sounds like a joke. I heard Elon Musk say the other day on some podcast or something, he said that every conspiracy theory about Twitter turned out to be true. And he laughed because he couldn't think of any conspiracy theories about Twitter that weren't actually demonstrated to be true. And this one is crazy. It's crazy.
Now I don't think it necessarily made any difference. Like I'm not going to say that if that had been different we would have seen Fauci in a different light. I doubt it. But just the fact that that person, his wife, was in that job, that's just too much of everything, isn't it? That's just too much of everything. How could that possibly be true? I don't know how many times I've been saying this lately. I'll just look at something that's definitely true and I'll just say, how could that possibly be true? How could it possibly be true that the number one person who's being questioned on ethics, his wife is in charge of his ethics? Like yeah, there are seven, what, eight billion people in the world. The odds of that were low, but maybe they were high, you know, given the way things work out.
All right. And then Musk seems to be directly accusing Fauci of gain of function research, which is another way, Elon Musk says, is another way of saying bioweapon. And then he notes that Fauci authored the 2012 paper arguing for gain of function research. And that now, this is all what Musk is tweeting. I can't, I'm not saying all this is true. I'm just going to say Musk is tweeting it, right? And Musk said that Obama wisely put this on pause, meaning the gain of function research, but Fauci restarted it. Now again, I don't know if that's true. Like I think that you would argue it's not. Yes, there's some indirect thing but not a direct thing. I don't know.
And despite these glaring issues, Twitter nonetheless, so at Twitter there was an internal Slack channel where they communicate with each other on this little channel unironically called the Fauci Fan Club. So within Twitter there was a Fauci fan club and they had their own Slack group. And Elon Musk just basically thinks it's funny. He just laughs at his own company that he bought.
All right. I don't know if this is the favorite story of the day, but you all know the congressman Santos, the Republican who just got elected and then apparently we find out he didn't have the education he said he did. He didn't have a college degree, I think he didn't have one. He said he did. Didn't work at two prestigious places that he said he did. And I think there were a bunch of other lies. So basically he just totally lied and got elected anyway.
Now there's a few things, a few ways to go on this story. Number one, the question is should Republicans try to take the high road and even though the Democrats are full of liars, should they say no, we cannot have a liar in our midst so we've got to get rid of them? Or do they say no, things are so tight we need every vote we can get and everybody's a liar so you know, what's the difference?
And I have to admit I was sort of going back and forth this morning trying to decide which one made sense. I was thinking, well I do like making a point of it because it'd be a good way to establish Republicans as at least trying to be more honest. But on the other hand I can certainly see the raw power argument. And Congress is mostly a raw power situation. So playing within the rules, everybody lies, he lied, no big deal.
But here's how I decided. I made my final decision on this. I think he should keep his job as opposed to resigning. And here's why. Do you know how entertaining it would be to hear the other members of Congress argue that they just can't have a liar in their midst? You tell me that wouldn't be funny. Every time, I don't care who says it. I don't care if the Republicans say it. I don't care if the Democrats say it. As long as they're members of Congress, I want them on video saying we have to get rid of the liars in Congress. I just want to see that. That's all. I would personally find that very entertaining no matter how many times I saw it. And I don't need to point out the hypocrisy, right? So we don't need to point that out.
You know I could always tell the people who believe what they read on Reddit. They come over here with some rumors about me that are almost always out of context or untrue. It's always the Reddit people. Like I think anybody who actually got their information anywhere else doesn't have any. So somebody's coming over here just to say vaccine passports because they actually believe that I was in favor of them. So we'll get rid of the dumb people, the disinformed people, but they like to keep me busy.
All right. So I thought it was interesting that Musk is directly accusing Fauci of these things because doesn't he have any defense to that? He's got some defense, does he? I don't know who's telling the truth. But oh, I guess we were talking about Santos. And then the other thing that Santos said in his not quite truthful way was that he's a Catholic guy. But at one point he said that he wasn't Jewish but that he was Jew-ish. So your emphasis on the ish part. So not really a Jewish person, but he claimed that because he had some family connection to Judaism that's unclear that he was a Jewish-ish.
And then I saw the number of people who are criticizing him and I thought I'm a little uncomfortable with that because while he's not Jewish, if you criticize him you wouldn't be anti-semitic. But wouldn't you be a little anti-semitic-ish? Just a little bit? So I don't want to criticize him because I don't know where that line is. I don't want to be anti-semitic-ish about a guy who's not Jewish but he's Jewish-ish. So I mean it's dangerous. It's dangerous out there. There's a landmine everywhere. Would you take that chance? No, no, don't take a chance. So I'll just stay away from that.
Well there's a new book out from somebody named Thompson, Escape from Model Land. In this case it's not Victoria's Secret models. It is mathematical models. And these models being used to predict the future. This will come as a big surprise to you but did you know that complex models that are used to predict the future, I know this is going to be a real surprise, not reliable? I know, I know. I was as shocked as you were. Yeah. So there's a book now to teach people that complex mathematical models don't actually predict the future. Amazing. Amazing, huh?
Well this brings me to my next topic, which is I believe that doctors are learning the hard way how to analyze data. And by that I mean they're learning by doing it wrong in public and having people say that's not how you do that. And I think that I'm seeing at least in my Twitter feed a lot of doctors who are clearly now way more informed about how to consume data.
And here's what I would suggest for doctors who didn't have any training in this field. I think you could simplify it to simply a checklist quiz to ask a doctor which of these sources are reliable and maybe a little bit about why. It'd be a really simple one-page test. For example, if you ask doctors to rate the credibility of the following things, I don't know what they would say, but let's say you said a study is published. There's one study. It's not a randomized controlled trial but it's just one study in a publication and it's published as peer-reviewed. What level of confidence should you put on one study, not a randomized controlled trial, but it's peer-reviewed and it's published? Well the right answer is less than 50 percent because about half of them get retracted. But of the ones that don't get retracted, how many of those are true? Nobody knows because they didn't get retracted. But it's not zero, right?
So it could be that something in the order of 25 to 50 percent of studies that are peer-reviewed and published turn out to be true or useful. So would a doctor know that? And we're somewhat of course, but how many doctors would know that being published means it's usually untrue? I bet most would say well it might be false but if it got published and it's peer-reviewed it's probably true. But actually it's the opposite. It's probably untrue. So would they even know which way it goes? Would they know it's probably untrue or would they just assume it went through the steps to validate it a little bit so that is probably true? But maybe not. It's a big difference because that might be the difference between an off-label treatment or not.
How about this? How about a retrospective study? A retrospective study, would somebody be able to know the value of a retrospective study? Now that's where you didn't do a study in advance so you have to look at it after the fact. And so you say okay, these people did take this and they had these outcomes so it must have been because they did the thing. Now that's different than saying in advance. If you say in advance we're going to test this thing and we think it's going to have this outcome, that's a far more reliable way to go. But if you only did it once and nobody reproduced it, you're still not where you want to be, right? Looking backwards is going to be less reliable, right? Would you all agree? Looking backwards as opposed to establishing a test where you can look forward and find out if your guesses were right. So there's a big difference.
All right. How about this one? A 10-year projection or even a three-year or five-year. How about just projections that are based on good solid data and experts making them? Yeah, the projections are usually ridiculous. Usually ridiculous.
How about the VAERS report? If the VAERS report is sending a really strong signal, what's that telling doctors? Well I know that many of you disagree. Many of you would say whoa, there's so many on there about COVID in particular. You would say well I realize it's anecdotal but there's just so many on there that that's telling you something. But not really. It isn't. It is telling you you might want to look into it. So you know it's not to be ignored. That's why it's there. It's not there to be ignored. But you don't know for sure just from the VAERS report.
How about a really good randomized controlled trial? How much should you trust it? A really good randomized controlled blind trial. Do you know what's missing? Who funded it? Who funded it, right? Yes, the only thing I told you is there was a randomized controlled trial. The amount of credibility you put in it is none. Literally none. Would you agree? The gold standard in science is a randomized controlled trial. If the only thing you know is that one happened, the credibility should be zero.
Now that's not something I don't think doctors would agree with. I think doctors would say that's actually our best evidence. We do everything based on that. That should be the best evidence. Now if you don't know who funded the trial you don't know anything. That's something we learned, right?
Now suppose you knew that it wasn't funded by the pharmaceutical companies. What then? You don't really know that. See it's a trick. I tried to trick you. Well what if you know it was not funded by the pharmaceutical companies? You'll never know that. It's unknowable because they may have gotten to the person who ran the trial. So they may not have funded the trial but they might be the source of lots of speaking agreements for the project manager. You know what I mean? Would your doctor know that? Would your doctor know that yes it was funded by this, maybe the government, but would they know that the project manager makes 40 percent more than his normal income by doing speeches for that pharmaceutical company? You would have no way of knowing that.
So what we used to think was the gold standard of science is closer to a coin flip. You don't really know much of anything unless you know who funded it or how everybody's making their money. And if you only have one of them you wish you had two, right? So if you only have one you're automatically shaky compared to at least two.
How about anything about any study that big Pharma does itself? Should you believe it? Because that would be the basis of all vaccinations, childhood vaccinations, right? Aren't pretty much all childhood vaccinations based on big Pharma's own studies? I'm just guessing. I don't know if that's true. Now presumably there would also be other studies by now but mostly they were approved based on big Pharma's own studies, right? I guess that's more of a question than a statement. I mean I assume that's the case.
And then what about meta studies or meta-analysis? Should doctors trust them? Because the meta-analysis looks at all the studies or all the relevant studies. So yeah they could be the best or they could be the worst but you don't know in advance. Hahaha. So the weird thing about a meta-analysis is it could be exactly right but you would have no way of knowing just because you did it or you do some details. You wouldn't know. But it could be. So it doesn't matter what it says. You don't know which one is the right one and who cheated on what's in the analysis and what's not in the analysis. So meta-analysis is pretty low credibility.
All right. Question. How many young Americans do you think would meet the fitness and health requirements to join the American military? What percentage? What percentage? I wasn't even doing it this time and you still got the right answer. It's 23 percent. About a quarter.
That I always do the asking people to guess what the poll results are because the running joke is that 25 percent of the public will get every question wrong. Every poll question, the 25 percent will have the dumb answer, you know, when there's one that's like clearly the dumb answer, 25 percent. Well this has nothing to do with this. This is health and fitness. But only 23 percent of young Americans meet the fitness requirement of the military.
Now allow me to do an old man thing. I'm going to do a grandpa thing. In my day I feel like it would have been 75 percent of the kids I went to school with. Now I'm talking about the boys. Wouldn't you agree things have gone downhill that much? That only 23 percent could pass the physical? And maybe do you think I'm remembering wrong? Could be false memory because there weren't that many kids in my class so it wasn't a good sample. But 23 percent really? That's all? Yeah.
I'm going to shock you a little bit more in a minute here. So obviously the military is having trouble recruiting. But one of the things that the military has decided to do is to reduce their standards for mental health. So before they were pretty tight. You couldn't have any at least a recent mental health problems. But now they're going to loosen that. And I think ADHD is now going to be considered not a problem if it hasn't been a problem recently. And I guess if you're treating it medically. I wonder if there could be any risks to having more people with mental problems in the military. What could go wrong? What could go wrong?
All right. Have you ever heard of, there's a movement called trad wives. I just read about this on CNN like a minute before I went live. Have you ever heard of trad wives? It's supposedly a growing theme. The trad is short for traditional and they're modeling after the 50s, you know, stay-at-home housewife kind of thing. And there's some number of people who like the aesthetic. So they like the way they dressed and sort of the way they treated their husband as the boss of the house I guess. And so some kind of a growing thing.
Now related to that, separately, I've told you there's a whole bunch of relationship experts talking about what doesn't work these days. But I've watched a number of these relationship experts who have the same line of thinking and I don't know what's wrong with it. So I'm going to test it out on you and it goes like this.
If you're a woman and you're looking for a guy, correctly if I'm wrong, these are the standard things that women are looking for now and these are the things that they say most often. Now every woman is different, right? Every man is different. So this isn't all people. It's just sort of a generality. But here are the things. All right. And this will be a little quiz for you.
Women usually like taller men, over six feet tall. What percentage of American men are over six feet tall? Go. What percentage of American men are over six feet tall? Your guesses are unusually bad. Not usually bad. If I average your guesses I think they'd be right. The answer is 14.5 percent, right? So if you're a woman on your first filter, your first sort, you've eliminated 85 percent of all men because only 14.5 are above that.
Right now if you go up to six foot one, do you know how fast that drops? You get down to one percent really quickly. You know at around six three, six four it's down to like one percent. But let's say let's start with 14.5. So that's your story.
Now most women want a guy who can provide, right? No matter how modern the woman is they still like the guy to have a job that's serious. So how many men of any height, just men in general, American men, how many have an income over a hundred thousand a year? How many men? This is married, unmarried, just men. The answer is 13 percent. So if you were just simply going to find somebody who is tall and made over 100k a year, the math of it is you would multiply the two percentages together. So if you multiply 14.5 percent times 13 percent it starts getting really small really fast. And that's just two filters.
Here's some more. Suppose you wanted a guy who was going to be faithful. You know, basic, right? You want a guy who's not going to cheat on you but he's also over six feet tall and he has a good income. What are the odds of somebody who is tall and has a good income, meaning the most desirable man, what are the odds that he will be faithful to one woman over a relationship? Let's say charitably 50 percent. Charitably, right? Just so it doesn't sound too terrible I'll say 50 percent. So that you would also multiply that by the percentages.
How many women would prefer a beta male over an alpha male? Almost none, right? So women would also want somebody who projects at least an alpha male. How many men project an alpha male persona percentage-wise? I'm gonna charitably say half. Would you accept it? Charitably half. Most of you think way less than half but let's say charitably half, right? So that cuts in half again the number of possibilities for the women.
Do you think the women care if the man has an addiction to drugs or alcohol or a mental illness? What percent of men don't have an addiction or a mental illness? Again I don't know. Maybe half. Would you say half? Just say half just so we can do the math, right? So again you take what you've cut down to already and cut that in half again.
How about would women want a guy who's in reasonably good shape? Now not necessarily running marathons but just somebody who's in the better quadrant. So maybe let's say 25 percent of men. Would you say 25 percent of men are in reasonably good shape? You know they don't have to run marathons. Let's say 25. So now take what you're down to and you know take 25 percent.
About the right religion, the right age, a guy who will treat you right. He's also available so he has to be available otherwise it's useless. And he has to like you and you have to like him. So if you do the math the available number of people, that's right. If you eliminate all of the people on all of those things do you know what's left? Andrew Tate. Andrew Tate. That's all.
And I don't know how many he can handle according to him. That's his word. I'm using his word. I would never call women that. Never what Andrew does. So let me tell you. But he can only handle I don't know maybe 100 or 200 per year like maximum because he's busy. He's got some businesses to run. He has to exercise. He needs one hand to smoke his cigar. So like he can't handle thousands of women. Now he does have a brother and his brother can handle maybe a few hundred extra but the Tates alone can only handle at most a thousand women out of all the billions in the world. So you really can't depend on him to do it all.
So do you know why AI is going to be a problem? It seems like I changed the subject but I didn't. Do you know why AI is going to be a problem? Because it might tell you the truth. Hey AI, should I get married? What's AI going to say? Or if you say what are my odds of being happily married or finding a man that I want to be married to? And AI will say well what is your criterion? You know, tell me what you're looking for. And you'd say well you're just tall and blah blah blah. And then AI would say all right, your odds of finding what you need, the minimum that you need to be happy, are point zero zero zero zero zero one. And it will be correct. That will be the actual right calculation.
Who would get married? It's the end of civilization. You do understand the civilization absolutely requires us to be deluded all the time because the moment you actually understood the odds of things you change your behavior. It would be the end of civilization.
Speaking of Tate, he tweeted at Greta Thunberg today. He's very good at being provocative. And he tweeted, hello Greta Thunberg, I have 33 cars. My Bugatti has a big quad turbo engine. My two Ferraris have giant engines. He goes this is just the start. Please provide your email address so I can send the complete list of my car collection and the respective enormous emissions. So he tweeted that at Greta. Greta answered him back and she said yes please do enlighten me. You can email me at smalldickenergy at getalife.com. So I'm glad the two of them are getting along.
So I don't know. I don't want to like Greta because I don't agree with her climate hysteria. But I realized today that I have to delete my Instagram app. Did anybody else have this problem? I made the mistake of looking at some Andrew Tate videos and now that's all that feeds me is nothing but Andrew Tate videos. It's like 80 percent of Andrew Tate videos. So the entire thing is useless now. Like I have to delete Instagram because he actually polluted it. And by the way I don't have, I'm not complaining about his content. I'm not saying we shouldn't be there. I'm not saying it has no value. I'm just saying there's so much of it that you can't even use the app. He actually overwhelmed Instagram. Has anybody else had that experience? Because you only have to look at a few of them and the algorithm does the rest. So I have to search for other things until it overwhelms them, right? Yeah. All right. Look at more pet videos. Yeah I think he overwhelmed the pet videos too.
All right. Why is it that we never blame the brainwashers? Have you noticed that? So the January 6th thing, I guess Trump was blamed for quote inciting violence. You know arguably that's a debatable point. But is inciting the same as brainwashing? Not really. We use them differently, right? Somebody incited to do something you think has not necessarily been brainwashed. You know maybe they're not thinking clearly but not brainwashed per se.
Was there anybody who did brainwash the January 6 people? Was there any actual source of brainwashing? Of course it was. Yeah, all of the media that they were consuming. Yeah, maybe the FBI but certainly the news they were watching brainwashed them to think that the election had been stolen and then brainwashed them into thinking that their actions would be productive.
Now you might say to me but Scott they had free will. To which I say well they had free will as long as physics stopped working inside their skull. But if physics actually works everywhere like inside your skull, outside your skull, that is just causing the fact that they were going to do what they were going to do. But the brainwashers caused January 6th.
Right? Even if you imagine that Trump did something extra to get them whipped up, that's very debatable. They were there for a particular reason. They had already been brainwashed. Now does that mean that they're wrong? No I'm not saying they're wrong. I'm saying that they were not there based on reasons and facts and logic. They were there because they're brainwashed.
Do you know why the people who observed it believe it was an insurrection instead of a protest? Why do the Democrats think they saw an insurrection? An unarmed insurrection. Why would they think such a ridiculous thing? Because they're brainwashed. They're brainwashed, right? There's no, that's obviously no critical thinking going on there. It would take like this much critical thinking, like a dollop, to know that an unarmed Republicans are not trying to take over a country. Like you don't have to do deep thinking to figure that out. But still, but still half of the country believes it's true and it would be the most obviously untrue thing of all time.
So but you know why we can't blame the brainwashers, right? There's a reason besides just political. It's because the entire justice system depends on the illusion of free will. If you take away the illusion of free will you can't punish anybody. If you can't punish anybody then there's no legal system. As there's no legal system civilization falls apart. So the illusion that people have this thing called free will as opposed to being hypnotized by obvious brainwashers, you have to put the responsibility on the person who does the act because it's the only way civilization works. But it's not rational. It's completely irrational. Well except that it works, right? But the logic of it doesn't hold up.
I know it makes people score you when I say free will is an illusion but usually it's just people are defining it differently. If they just say I can observe that somebody could choose this way or choose this way so therefore that's free will. To which I say you can't observe that. You can't see the physics happening inside their brain. I say whatever they did was the only thing they could have done because physics only worked one way in that case.
All right. What presented this is a Rasmussen poll. What percentage of the country in June of this year believed that Russia was winning the war? In June, 25 percent. That's right, pretty close. Yep, 25 actually, 24. And so in June 24 percent of the country thought Russia was winning. Now it's 14 percent. 14 percent of likely voters in America think Russia is winning. Now about I think about half of the people think that it looks like a stalemate and the rest think that Ukraine is winning.
Now how many of you think Russia is winning? Are you in the 14 percent? How many of you think Russia is winning? Yeah you know it's hard to separate Russia will win in the long run from Russia is winning. So the question is a little unclear. I'll give you that. Already won somebody says. Yeah.
Well have I ever mentioned to you that things tend to go my way? And you remember I keep reminding you that although I was a hundred percent wrong when I said that Putin wouldn't actually invade Ukraine, the reason I said it was wrong is because he couldn't win and that it was almost immediately obvious he was going to get waxed. His army was. Now when I said that at the time that he invaded, would you say that close to 90 percent of the public would have said Russia is totally winning and going to win? Would you agree that at the point that I was saying that Russia couldn't win, 90 percent of the people were on the other side? Now it's completely reversed. That the vast majority of America believes what I believed would happen from the start. That Ukraine would surprise everybody with a better performance than anybody thought.
So I'm only going to point out that things tend to go the way I want them to and I don't know why. I don't. I honestly don't know why. To me it feels like I'm in a simulation and I'm either imagining the things are going my way or you know I'm influencing it somehow or I'm the world's best predictor. You know even getting notable ones wrong I'd still be the world's best predictor. I don't understand it. I honestly don't. But it's so consistent. It's hard to find any major topic that isn't going the direction that I thought it would publicly. I don't know why.
All right. Let's see. There's a new study out that we don't believe because we don't believe studies but it says that metformin, I think it's an over-the-counter diabetes drug that lowers your blood sugar levels, and it allegedly helps with long COVID. With long COVID like fairly substantially.
First question, how many of you believe long COVID exists? Because I had to do a Google search today because you know in the beginning people were saying there'd be this long COVID and then there was a period where we weren't sure if it was real and I didn't know where that ended up. So if you do a Google search on is long COVID real, Google will, I'll only just tell you what the search reveals. I don't know if it's true but the search reveals that most of the media is saying long COVID is real. The studies say it's real. But at the same time there are studies saying it's not real in the same time period in April, May of this year. So there's a little bit of a difference but overwhelmingly Google will say it's real. Doesn't mean it's real. Just Google will say that.
Now is it interesting that metformin lowers blood sugar levels? Because we knew that the diabetics were having the worst time with the COVID, right? Wasn't diabetes the number one comorbidity? You know sort of co-morbidity with obesity at the same time I imagine. So is sugar the villain in everything? Like I saw some experts saying that it wasn't the lower blood sugar that makes the metformin work if in fact it works. There was some other mechanism. But I'm not sure I believe that because the thing that we keep seeing over and over again is that having too much sugar in you is just always bad for everything. Am I wrong about that? There's like almost no exception, right? Did you put sugar in your body? Yes it's bad for you. I mean except for normal carbs and stuff of course. So I don't know. That would be my guess without any medical training that if everything that adds sugar is bad for you in every possible way and everything that decreases sugar in your body is good for you in every possible way, I would think metformin would work. So I guess I'll believe this one because it matches my presumption. That's as good as you can do.
So I heard Dr. Robert Malone, famous co-inventor of the mRNA technology and a famous critic of the lockdown and vaccination kind of regimen, and he told his reasons for getting vaccinated. Because if you didn't know now he's vaccinated. He gave two reasons. One, concern about long COVID as opposed to concern about dying. And he believed he actually had long COVID. And at the time it looked like a vaccination would reduce your long COVID symptoms even after you had the long COVID. Now he's not so sure that's true anymore but a Google search suggests that Google is telling you it is still true a little bit. It's a little unclear.
But so Dr. Malone said he got the vaccination because he wanted to do international travel. It was the only way he could do it practically. And he wanted to reduce his risk for long COVID. Does that sound familiar? Is there anybody else you know who made a decision exactly the same? Exactly the same and about the same time? Yeah I did. I did.
So for those of you who are here to tell me I made the wrong decision, you could be right but I need you to know I made exactly the same decision as the world expert critic of the vaccinations. So the smartest person in the whole world on this topic made the same decision I did because he was working with the same data as we all were.
So somebody says copium. Kyle says that agreeing with the person that you believe is the best source, that agreeing with your expert is a bad decision. That's your point of view. Is it a cope or is it just a fact that the person you believe is the most qualified agrees with me? Is that a problem that your expert agrees with me? I'm just rubbing it in. I just like feeling right. So that's just for me now.
I'll tell you my current opinion. My current opinion is I doubt the vaccinations help with long COVID. I doubt it. Oh did Dr. McCullough get vaccinated? Does anybody know? Because I was wondering if Malone was the only sort of, I don't know if I call him anti-vaccination but a vaccination program critic anyway. I would call, okay so I'm gonna call it McCullough. And did he get it? He got COVID though, right? Did McCullough get COVID? I assume everybody did at this point. Don't know, don't care. All right we'll look into that or I will.
Well ladies and gentlemen we're still in the slow week of news. Somebody says yes he's vaccinated but I don't know. Steve Kirsch is crushing the pro-vax peeps. Let me ask you this. Are the anti-vax doctors, the Malone's and the McCullough's, I don't want to call them anti-vax because that's my labeling. I shouldn't do that. But are those doctors that are prominent critics of at least some parts of the vaccination issue, do they think that the vaccinations are still a good idea for older Americans? Does anybody know that? Is there anybody who says the vaccinations are a mistake for old people?
Well I asked the question wrong so now I don't know what your answers mean. Is there a general agreement that over 65 it still saves lives or is even that up in the air as well? So Malone thinks older people should get it. Even Kory and Bhattacharya I think it's okay above 65. Okay so you're saying that even the biggest critics would agree that I should have gotten vaccinated. Is that true? Is it true that the biggest critics of vaccinations that were the most expert people believe I made the right choice? So the only people who don't believe that I made the right choice for myself are the people who don't believe their own best experts. So the people who believe their experts believe I made the right choice but the people who believe that the people that they trust the most are not credible would think I made a mistake.
And by the way I don't know if I made a mistake or not. How would I know? Scott has other comorbidities. Not really. I thought I had asthma but it turns out I don't. So as long as you all agree that I made the smartest decision that anybody could have made in my situation and I think now that you all agree with that. I remember that a lot of people were mocking me until they found out that I made the choice that their experts would recommend. Not me. I only did what my critics' godlike experts recommended. So that's all I did.
Yeah I thought I had asthma at the time and I was concerned about it and that you know so under my bad information from my own medical people I was misinformed. I didn't do it just for vacation but that was the reason I did it when I did it. But the decision to do it was also largely because of I didn't want a long COVID problem. But probably you know I'm not sure it makes any difference.
Yeah all right. You were misinformed on everything COVID. Was I? Did you just miss the entire last five minutes? Was I misinformed on everything COVID when we all just agreed that all of the experts including the critics say people in my category should have been vaccinated? So like some of you I have no idea what planet you're coming from. It's like I don't even know. I don't even understand your comments at some point. It doesn't make sense at all, right? You got a lot quieter, didn't you?
You know if you told me that I was gonna that at the end of this year I would be arguing that Dr. Malone should be totally believed because he agrees completely with me. Oh you didn't see that coming did you? I didn't see it coming. I thought I was all on my own here. Honestly I thought I was just on my own here.
All right there's nothing else to talk about in the news unless you know something. So I'm going to go talk to the locals people. So YouTube I'll talk to you later. Thanks for joining.
good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams and uh there's never been a finer situation yeah and you either lucked into it some of you others have been strategically planning for this moment for I don't know how long but thank goodness you made it and we're going to kick off the Lesser swearing version of the of the live stream everybody on board with that I might say fudge or frickin that's as far as I'll go I'll go all the way to frickin but then I'm pulling back pulling back well if you'd like to take your experience up a notch and I think you would I think you would all you need is a copper amug or a glass of tanker Chelsea's dinette candy juggar flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine here the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous but it happens now go ah well which of the f word substitutes do you like best fudge friggin freaking or fracking we can throw a little uh fracking in there well you've got lots of opinions on this one wow uh looks like well it's it's all over the place the Battle Star Galactica fracking seems to be doing well all right well maybe I'll uh I might you know try some of those I'll take some of those for a spin today okay well the first freaking story no no I'll work on that all right I have a uh a media recommendation have you all been wondering Scott can you please tell us what you would personally like to watch on the television set and then maybe I would like to watch it too don't laugh don't laugh Glass Onion on Netflix so I guess it's a movie Glass Onion now here's why I recommend it I've been railing for years about everything that's wrong with movies this one didn't do anything wrong no hold on I've only watched the first third of it I've only watched the first third already I recommend it right I'll watch the rest of it sometime but here's why I recommend it number one probably is not really the best show for the younger set I think maybe this would appeal to people who are used to a certain kind of movie here's what I liked about it they took what was good about movies in the past and then they just made one of those and I thought to myself nobody thought of that before just take all the things that were good about you know movies when we grew up and just make one of those so here's what they don't do nobody is tied to a chair to be tortured nobody I know is that weird I don't believe there's going to be a chase scene I I've only seen a third of it I don't believe there'll be a chase scene the entire first part of the movie where usually the first third of a movie is where something terrible happens to the hero you know the hero gets divorced or his family is wiped out or you know there's a hurricane or something but this was just fun and there's like some mystery because it's about a little murder mystery and it's just fun and it's about characters and actors that you've seen and a lot of the actors are ones you're familiar with so it's just sort of fun to see them all in the same place and stuff and it's sort of the perfect um empty calories now here's what will will never be true it's not going to win any awards no Awards will be won all they did all they did was make it incredibly um consumer right they made something for the customer so therefore it cannot win any awards because the awards are won by people who make movies for other people in the movie industry so people could say my God you're acting uh in that role that made me feel terrible the entire time I watched the movie but wow did you act well you acted so well that I I have a stomachache when I left I felt so bad for you but this movie just doesn't have any any parts in it that I don't think you know I haven't seen it but it looks like that's their theme there won't be any unpleasant parts now you're not going to remember it forever it's not going to be your favorite movie but it really is giving me hope that somebody paid attention and figured out how to make a movie you know finally so give it a chance all right here's something I learned today that apparently everybody knew about me at least everybody in the local subscription site um so Elon Musk tweeted today or yesterday maybe almost no one seems to realize that the head of bioethics at NIH National Institute of Health the person who is supposed to make sure that fauci behaves ethically is his wife now how many of you who didn't know that like me until today how many of you also didn't know that until today now it sounds like a joke doesn't it it literally sounds like a joke I heard uh Elon Musk say the other day on some podcast or something he said that every conspiracy theory about Twitter turned out to be true and he laughed because he couldn't think of any any conspiracy theories about Twitter that weren't actually demonstrated to be true and and this one this one is crazy it's crazy now I don't think it necessarily made any difference like I'm not going to say that you know if that had been different you know we would have seen fauci in a different light I doubt it but just the just the fact that that that person his wife was in that job that's just too to everything isn't it that's just too much of everything how could that possibly be true I don't know how many times I've been saying this lately I'll just look at something that's definitely true and I'll just say how could that possibly be true how could it possibly be true that the number one person who's being questions on ethics his wife is in charge of his ethics like it yeah there are seven what eight billion people in the world the odds of that were low but maybe they were high you know given the way things work out all right um and then Musk seems to be um no it seems to be he's directly accusing uh fauci of a gain of function research which is another way Elon Musk says is another way of saying bio weapon and and then he notes that fauci authored the 2012 paper arguing for a gain of function research and that now this is all what musk is tweeting I I can't I'm not saying all this is true I'm just going to say musk is tweeting it right and it must said that Obama wisely put this on pause meaning the gain of function research but fauci restarted it now again I don't know if that's true like I think that you would argue it's not yes there's some indirect thing but not a direct thing I don't know uh and despite these glaring issues uh Twitter nonetheless so at Twitter there was an internal slack Channel where they communicate with each other on this little Channel uh unironically called the fauci fan club So within Twitter there was there was quote a fauci fan club and they had their own slack group and Elon Musk just just basically thinks is funny he just laughs at his own company that he bought all right I don't know if this is the favorite story of the day but you all know the congressman Santos the Republican who got who just got elected and then apparently we find out they didn't have the education he said he didn't have a college degree I think he didn't have one ah he said he did didn't work at two prestigious places that he said he did and I think there were a bunch of other lies so basically he just totally lied and got elected anyway now there's a few things a few ways to go on this story number one the question is should Republicans try to take the high road and even though the Democrats are full of liars should they say no we cannot have a liar in our midst so we've got to get gotta get rid of them or do they say no things are so tight we need every vote we can get and everybody's a liar so you know what's the difference and I and I have to admit I was sort of going back and forth this morning trying to decide which one made sense I like I was thinking well I do like I I do like making a point of it because it'd be a good way to establish you know Republicans as at least trying to be more more honest but on the other hand I can certainly see the raw power argument and and Congress is mostly a raw power situation so you know playing within the rules everybody lies he lied no big deal but here's how I decided I made my final decision on this I think he should keep his job as opposed to resigning and here's why do you know how entertaining it would be to hear the other members of Congress argue that they just can't have a liar in their midst you tell me that wouldn't be funny every time I don't care who says it I don't care if the Republicans say it I don't care if the Democrats that as long as they're members of Congress I want them on video saying we have to get rid of rid of the Liars in Congress I I just want to see that that's all I I would personally find that very entertaining no matter how many times I saw it and I don't need to point out the hypocrisy right so so we don't need to point that out you know I could always tell the people who believe what they read on Reddit they come over here with some rumors about me that are almost always out of context or untrue it's always a Reddit people like I think anybody who actually got their information anywhere else doesn't have any yeah so that so somebody's coming over here just to say vaccine passports because they actually believe that I was in favor of them so we'll get rid of the dumb people the disinformed people but they like to keep me busy all right um so I thought it was interesting that musk is directly accusing fauci of these things because isn't there doesn't he have any defense to that he's got some defense does he I don't know who's telling the truth or but uh oh I guess we were talking about Santos and then the other thing that Santo said in his uh not quite truthful way was that he's a Catholic guy but at one point he said that he wasn't Jewish but that he was Jew Dash ish so your emphasis on the ish part so not really not really a Jewish person but he claimed that because he had some family connection to Judaism that's unclear that he was a Jewish ish and then I saw the number of people who are criticizing him and I thought I'm a little uncomfortable with that because while he's not Jewish he's only Jewish if you criticize him you wouldn't be anti-semitic but wouldn't you be a little anti-semitic-ish just a little bit so I don't want to criticize them because I don't know where that line is I I don't want to be anti-semitic ish about a guy who's not Jewish but he's Jewish so I mean it's a dangerous it's dangerous out there there's a landmine everywhere would you take that chance no no don't take a chance so I'll just stay away from that well there's a new book out called uh from somebody named Thompson escape from model land in this case it's not Victoria Secret models it is um mathematical models and these models being used to predict the future this will come as a big surprise to you but did you know that complex models that are used to predict the future I know this is going to be a real surprise not reliable I know I know I was as shocked as you were yeah so there's a book now to teach people that Financial that complex mathematical models don't actually predict the future amazing amazing huh well this brings me to my next topic which is I believe that doctors are learning the hard way how to analyze data and by that I mean they're learning by doing it wrong in public and having people say that's not how you do that and I think that I'm seeing at least in my Twitter feed a lot of doctors who are clearly now way more informed about how to consume data and here's here's what I would suggest for doctors who didn't have any training in this field I think you could simplify it to Simply a checklist quiz to ask ask a doctor which of these sources are reliable and maybe a little bit about why it'd be a really simple one-page test for example if you ask doctors to rate the credibility of the following things I don't know what they would say but let's say you said um a study is published there's one study it's not a randomized controlled trial but it's just one one study in a publication and it's published as peer-reviewed what level of confidence should you put on one study not a randomized controlled trial but it's peer-reviewed and it's published well the right answer is less than 50 because about half of them get retracted but of the ones that don't get retracted how many of those are too nobody knows because they didn't get retracted but it's not zero right so it could be that something in an order of 25 to 50 percent of studies that are peer-reviewed and published turn out to be true or useful so would a doctor know that and we're somewhat of course but how many doctors would know that being published means is usually untrue about I bet most would say well it might be false but if it got published and it's peer-reviewed is probably true but actually it's the opposite it's probably untrue so would they even know which way it goes would they know it's probably untrue or would they just assume it went through the steps to you know validate it a little bit so that is probably true but maybe not it's a big difference because that might be the difference between an off-label you know um treatment or not how about this how about a retrospective study a retrospective study would somebody be able to know the value of a retrospective study now that's where you you didn't do a study in advance so you have to look at it after the fact and so you say okay yeah these people did take this and they had these outcomes so it must have been because they did the thing now that's different than saying in advance if you say in advance we're going to test this thing and we think it's going to have this outcome that's a that's a far more reliable way to go but if you only did it once and nobody reproduced it you're still not where you want to be right looking backwards is is going to be less reliable right would you all agree looking backwards as opposed to establishing a test where you can look forward and find out if your guesses were right so there's a big difference all right how about this one um a 10-year projection or even a three year or five year how about just projections that are based on good solid data and experts making yeah the projections are usually ridiculous usually ridiculous how about the vares report if the vares report is sending a really strong signal what's that telling doctors well I know that many of you disagree many of you would say whoa there's so many on there about covet in particular you would say well I realize it's anecdotal but there's just so many on there that that's telling you something but not really it isn't it is telling you you might want to look into it so so you know it's not to be ignored that's why it's there it's not there to be ignored but you don't know for sure just from the various report how about uh a really good randomized controlled trial how much should you put how much should you trust it a really good randomized controlled you know blind trial do you know what's missing who funded it who funded it right yes the only thing I told you is there was a randomized controlled trial the amount of credibility you put in it is none literally none would you agree the the gold standard in science is a randomized controlled trial if the only thing you know is that one happened The credibility should be zero now that's not something I don't think doctors would agree with I think doctors would say that's actually our best evidence we do everything based on that that should be the best evidence now if you don't know who funded the trial you don't know anything that's something we learned right now suppose you knew that it wasn't funded by the pharmacistical companies what then you don't really know that see it's a trick I tried to trick you well what if you don't what if you know it was not funded by the pharmaceutical companies you'll never know that it's unknowable because they may have gotten to the person who ran the trial so they may not have funded the trial but they might be the source of lots of speaking agreements for the project manager you know what I mean would your doctor know that would your doctor know that yes it was funded by this maybe the government but would they know that the project manager makes 40 more than his normal income by doing speeches for that pharmaceutical company you would have no way of knowing that so what we used to think was the gold standard of science is closer to a coin flip you don't really know much of anything unless you know who funded it or how everybody's making their money and if you only have one of them you wish you had two right so if you only have one you're automatically shaky compared to at least two how about uh yeah anything about any study that the Pharma big Pharma does itself should you believe it because that would be the basis of all vaccinations childhood vaccinations right aren't pretty much all childhood vaccinations based on big Pharma Zone studies I'm just guessing I don't know if that's true now presumably there would also be other Studies by now but mostly they were approved based on big Pharma Zone studies right I guess that's more of a question than a statement I mean I assume that's the case so uh and then what about meta metadata studies or meta studies what about a meta-analysis should doctors trust them because the meta-analysis looks at all the studies or all the relevant studies so yeah they could be the best or they could be the worst but you don't know in advance hahaha so the weird the weird thing about a medicine meta-analysis is it could be exactly right but you would have no no way of knowing just because you did it or you do some details you wouldn't know but it could be so that so it doesn't matter what it says you don't know which one is the right one and and who who cheated on what's in the analysis and what's not in the L analysis so meta-analysis is pretty low credibility all right question how many uh Young Americans do you think would be the fitness and health requirements to join the American Military what percentage what percentage of I I wasn't even doing it this time and you still got the right answer it's 23 about a quarter that I always do the uh asking people to guess what the poll results are because the the running joke is that 25 of the public will get every question wrong every poll question the 25 will have the dumb answer you know when there's one that's like clearly the dumb answer 25 percent well this has nothing to do with this this is Health and Fitness but only 23 percent of Young Americans meet the fed this requirement of the military now allow me to do an old man thing I'm going to do a grandpa thing in my day I feel like it would have been 75 percent of the kids I went to school with now I'm talking about the boys wouldn't you agree things have things have gone downhill that much that only 23 percent could pass the physical and maybe do you think I'm remembering wrong could be false memory because there weren't that many kids in my class so it wasn't it wasn't a good but 23 really that's all yeah um I'm going to shock you a little bit more in a minute here uh so obviously the military is having trouble recruiting but one of the one of the things that the military has decided to do is to reduce their standards for mental health so before they were you know pretty tight you couldn't have any uh at least a recent medical health problems but now they're going to loosen that and I think ADHD is now going to be considered not a problem if if it hasn't been a problem recently and I guess if if you're treating it medically I wonder if there could be any risks to having more more people with mental problems in the military what could go wrong what could go wrong all right um have you ever heard of there's a movement called Trad wives I just read about this on CNN like a minute before I went live have you ever heard of Trad wives is supposedly a growing theme the Trad is short for traditional and they're modeling after the 50s you know stay-at-home housewife kind of thing and there there's some number of people who like the aesthetic so they like the way they dressed and sort of the way they treated their husband as the boss of the house I guess and so some kind of a growing thing now related to that was separate I've told you there's a whole bunch of relationship experts talking about what doesn't doesn't work these days but uh I've watched a number of these relationship experts who have the same line of thinking and I don't know what's wrong with it so I'm going to test it out of you and it goes like this if you're a woman and you're looking for a guy uh correctly if I'm wrong these are the standard things that women are looking for now and these are the things that they say most often now every woman is different right every man is different so this isn't all people it's just sort of a you know generality but here are the things all right uh and this will be a little quiz for you uh women usually like uh taller men over six feet tall what percentage of American men are over six feet tall go what percentage of American men are over six feet tall your guesses are unusually bad not usually bad if I average your guesses I think they'd be right the answer is uh 14.5 percent right so if you're a woman on your first filter your first sort you've eliminated 85 percent of all men because only 14.5 are above that right now if you go up to six six foot one do you know how fast that drops you get down to one percent really quickly you know at around six three six four it's down to like one percent but let's say let's start with 14.5 so that's your story now most women want a guy who can provide right no matter how modern the woman is they still like the guy to have a job that that's serious so how many how many men of any height just men in general American men how many uh have an income over a hundred thousand a year how many men this is married unmarried just men the answer is 13 13 percent so if you were just simply going to find somebody who is tall and made over 100k a year the the math of it is you would multiply the two percentages together so if you multiply 14.5 percent times 13 percent it starts getting really small really fast and that's just two filters here's some more suppose you wanted a guy who was going to be faithful you know basic right you want a guy who's not going to cheat on you but he's also over six feet tall and he has a good income what are the odds of somebody who is tall and has a good income meaning the most desirable man what are the odds that he will be faithful to one woman over a relationship let's say let's say charitably 50 percent charitably right just so it doesn't sound too terrible I'll say 50 percent so that you would also multiply that by the percentages how many women how many women would prefer a beta male over an alpha male almost none right so women would also want somebody who's projects at least an alpha male how many men project an alpha male persona percentage-wise I'm gonna I'm gonna charitably say half would you accept it charitably half most of you think way less than half but let's say charitably half right so that cuts in half again the number of possibilities for the women uh do you think the women care if the if the man is has an addiction to drugs or alcohol or a mental illness what percent of men don't have an addiction or a mental illness again I don't know maybe half would you say half just say half just so we can do the math right so again you take what you've cut down to already and cut that in half again how about uh would women want a guy who's in reasonably good shape now not necessarily running marathons but just somebody who's in the the better the better quadrant so maybe let's say 25 percent of men would you say 25 percent of matter and reasonably good shape you know they don't have to run marathons let's say 25 so now take while you're down to and you know take 25 percent about the right religion the right age a guy who will treat you right he's also available so he has to be he has to be available otherwise it's useless and he has to like you and you have to like him so if you do the math the the available number of people that's right If you eliminate all of the people on all of those things do you know what's left Andrew Tate Andrew Tate that's all and um I don't know how many he can handle uh according to him that's his word I'm usually his word I would never call women that never what Andrew does so let me tell you but he has he can only handle uh I don't know maybe 100 or 200 per year like maximum because he's busy he's got some businesses to run he has to exercise needs to needs one hand to smoke his cigar so like he can't handle thousands of women now he does have a brother and his brother can handle maybe a few hundred extra but the Tates alone can only handle at most a thousand women out of all the billions in the world so you really can't depend on him to do it all right so do you know why AI is going to be a problem it seems like I changed the subject but I didn't do you know why AI is going to be a problem because it might tell you the truth hey AI should I get married what's AI going to say or if you say what are my odds of being happily married or finding a man that I want to be married to and AI will say well uh what what is your Criterion you know get tell me what you're looking for and you'd say well you're just tall and blah blah blah and you say and then a I would say all right your odds of finding what you ABS the minimum that you need to be happy are point zero zero zero zero zero one and it will be correct that will be the actual right calculation who would get married is the end of civilization you do understand the civilization absolutely requires us to be deluded all the time because the moment you actually understood the odds of things you you change your behavior it would be the end of civilization speaking of Tate uh he uh tweeted at Greta tunberg today he's very good at being provocative and he tweeted uh hello Greta tonberg I have 33 cars my Bugatti has a big quad turbo engine my two Ferraris have giant engines he goes this is just the start please provide your email address so I can set the complete list of my car collection and the respective enormous emissions so he tweeted that at Greta Greta answered him back and she said yes please do enlighten me you can email me at small dick energy at getalife.com so I'm glad the two of them are getting along so I don't know I I don't want to like Greta because because I don't agree with her climate Hysteria but I realized today that I have to delete my Instagram app did anybody else have this problem I made the mistake of looking at some Andrew Tate videos and now that's all that feeds me is nothing but Andrew Tay videos it's like eighty percent of Andrew T videos so that the entire the entire thing is useless now like I have to delete Instagram because he actually polluted it and by the way I don't have I'm not complaining about his content I'm not I'm not saying you know we shouldn't be there I'm not saying it has no value I'm just saying there's so much of it that you can't even use the app he actually overwhelmed uh Instagram has anybody else had that experience because you only have to look at a few of them and the the algorithm does the rest so I have to search for other things until it overwhelms them right yeah all right look at more Pat videos yeah I think he overwhelmed the pet videos too all right uh why is it that uh why is it that we never blame the brainwashers have you noticed that so the January 6th thing we I guess Trump was blamed for quote inciting violence you know arguably that's it's a debatable point but is inciting the same as brainwashing not really we use them differently right somebody incited to do something you think has not necessarily been brainwashed you know maybe they're not thinking clearly but not brainwashed per se was there anybody who did brainwash the January six people was there any any actual source of brainwashing of course it was yeah all of the media that they were consuming yeah maybe yeah maybe the FBI but certainly the news they were watching brainwashed them to think that the election had been stolen and then brainwashed them into thinking that their actions would be productive now you might say to me but Scott they had free will to which I say well they had Free Will as long as physics stopped working inside their skull but if physics actually works everywhere like inside your skull outside your skull that is just causing the fact that they were going to do what they were going to do but the brainwashers caused January 6.
right even even if you imagine that Trump did something extra to get them whipped up that's very debatable they were there for a particular reason they had already been brainwashed now does that mean that they're wrong no I'm not saying they're wrong I'm saying that they were not there based on reasons and facts and logic they were there because they're brainwashed do you know why the people who uh who observed it believe it was an Insurrection instead of a protest why do the Democrats think they saw an Insurrection an unarmed Insurrection why would they think such a ridiculous thing because they're brainwashed they're brainwashed right there's no that's obviously no critical thinking going on there it would take like this much critical thinking like a a dollop to know that and that unarmed Republicans are not trying to take over a country like you don't have to do deep thinking to figure that out but still but still half of the country believes is true and it would be the most obviously untrue thing of all time so but you know why we can't blame the brainwashers right there's a reason besides just political it's because the entire Justice System depends on the illusion of free will if you take away the illusion of free will you can't punish anybody if you get if you can't punish anybody then there's no legal system as there's no legal system civilization falls apart so the illusion that people have this thing called Free Will as opposed to being hypnotized by obvious obvious brainwashers you have to put the responsibility on the person who does the act because it's the only way civilization works but it's not rational it's completely irrational well except that it works right but the the logic of it doesn't hold up I know it makes people's score of you when I say Free Will is an illusion but usually it's just people are defining it differently if they that they just say I can observe that somebody could choose this way or choose this way so therefore that free will to which I say you can't observe that you can't see the physics happening inside their brain I say whatever they did was the only thing they could have done because physics only worked one way in that case all right um what presented this is a Rasmussen poll what percentage of the country in June of this year believed that Russia was winning the war in June 25 percent that's right pretty close yep 25 actually uh 24.
and so in June 24 of the country thought Russia was winning now it's 14 percent 14 of likely voters in America think Russia is winning now about I think about half of the people think that it looks like a stalemate and the rest think that Ukraine is winning now how many of you think Russia is winning are you in the 14 14 percent how many of you think Russia is winning yeah you know it's hard to it's hard to separate Russia will win in the long run from Russia is winning so the question is a little unclear I'll give you that already won somebody says yeah well um have I ever mentioned to you that things tend to go my way and and you remember I I keep reminding you that although I was a hundred percent wrong when I said that Putin wouldn't uh actually invade Ukraine the reason I said it was wrong is because he he couldn't win and that it was almost immediately obvious he was going to get he was going to get waxed his army was now when I said that at the time that he invaded would you say that close to 90 percent of the public would have said Russia is totally winning and going to win would you agree that at the point that I was saying that Russia couldn't win 90 of the people were get were on the other side now is completely reversed that the vast majority of America believes what I believed would happen from the start the Ukraine would surprise everybody with a with better performance than anybody thought so I'm only going to point out that things tend to go the way I want them to and I don't know why I don't I honestly don't know why to me it feels like I'm in a simulation and I'm either Imagining the things are going my way or you know I'm influencing it somehow or I'm the world's best predictor you know even getting notable ones wrong I'd still be the world's best predictor I I don't understand it I honestly don't but it's so consistent you it's hard to find any major topic that isn't going the direction that I thought it would publicly I don't know why all right um let's see there's a new study out that we don't believe because we don't believe studies but it says that metformin I think it's an over-the-counter um diabetes drug that lowers your blood sugar levels and it allegedly helps with long covet with long covet like fairly substantially first question how many of you believe long covert exists because I I had to uh do a Google search today because you know in the beginning people were saying there'd be this long covet and then there was a period where we weren't sure if it was real and I didn't know where that ended up so if you if you do a Google search on is long coveted real Google will I'll only just tell you what the search reveals I don't know it's true but the search reveals that most most of the media is saying long covet is real the studies say is real but at the same time there are uh there are studies saying it's not real in the in the same time same time period in April May of this year so there's a little bit of a difference but but overwhelmingly Google will say it's real doesn't mean it's real just Google will say that now is it interesting that metformin lowers blood sugar levels because we knew that the diabetics were having the worst time with the covid right wasn't diabetes the number one comorbidity you know sort of co-co-morbidity with obesity at the same time I imagine so is sugar the villain in everything like I I saw some experts saying that it wasn't the lower blood sugar that makes the metformin work if in fact it works there was some other mechanism but I'm not sure I believe that because because the thing that we keep seeing over and over again is that having too much sugar in you is just always bad for everything am I wrong about that there's like almost no exception right did you put sugar in your body yes it's bad for you I mean except for normal carbs and stuff of course so I don't know that would be my guess without any medical training that if everything that's add sugar is bad for you in every possible way and everything that decreases sugar in your body is good for you in every possible way I would think metformin would work so I guess I'll believe this one because it matches my presumption that's as good as you can do um so I heard Dr.
Robert Malone famous uh co-inventor of the MRNA technology and a famous famous critic of the lockdown and vaccination kind of regimen and he told his reasons for getting vaccinated because if you didn't now he's vaccinated he gave two reasons one concern about long covet as opposed to concern about dying and he believed he actually had long covered and at the time it looked like a vaccination would reduce your long-coveted symptoms even after you had the long covet now he's not so sure that's true anymore but a Google search suggests that Google is telling you it is still true a little bit it's a little unclear um but so Dr.
Malone said you got the vaccination because he wanted to do international travel it was the only way he could do it practically and he wanted to reduce his risk for long covet does that sound familiar is there anybody else you know who made a decision exactly the same exactly the same and about the same time yeah I did I did so for those of you who are here to tell me I made the wrong decision you could be right but I need you to know I made exactly the same decision as the world expert critic of the vaccinations so the smartest person in the whole world on this topic made the same decision I did because he was working with the same data as we all were so so somebody says copium Kyle Kyle says that agreeing with the person that you believe is the best source that agreeing with your expert is is a bad decision that's your point of view is it is it a cope is it a cope or is it just a fact that the person you believe is the most qualified agrees with me is that a problem that you are expert agrees with me I'm just rubbing it in I just like feeling right so that's just for me now um I'll tell you my current opinion my current opinion is I doubt the vaccinations help with long covet I doubt it oh did did Dr.
Mc.
Auliffe get vaccinated does anybody know because I was wondering if the loan was the only uh sort of I don't know if I call him anti-vaccination but a vaccination program critic anyway I would call okay so I'm gonna call it mcculloughton and did he get he got covered though right did Mc.
Cullough get covered I assume everybody did at this point don't know don't care all right we'll look into that or I will well ladies and gentlemen we're still in the slow week of news um somebody says yes he's vaccinated but I don't know Steve Kersh is crushing the provax peeps let me ask you this are the anti-vaxx doctors the balloons and the Mc.
Auliffe's uh I I don't want to call them anti-vaxx because that's that's my labeling I shouldn't do that but are those doctors that are prominent critics of at least some parts of the vaccination issue um do they think that the vaccinations are still a good idea for older Americans does anybody know that is there anybody who says the vaccinations are a mistake for old people well I asked the question wrong so now I don't know what your answers mean is there a general agreement that over 65 it still saves lives or is even that up that's up in the air as well so Malone thinks older people should get it they'll even kildorf and bought a car I think it's okay above 65 okay so so you're saying that even the even the biggest critics would agree that I should have gotten vaccinated is it is that true is it true that the biggest critics of vaccinations that were the most expert people believe I made the right choice so the only people who don't believe that I made the right choice for myself are the people who don't believe their own best experts so the people who believe they're experts believe I made the right choice but the people who believe that the people that they trust the most are not credible would think I made a mistake and by the way I don't know if I made a mistake or not how would I know sky has other comorbidities not really I thought I had asthma but it turns on I don't foreign so as long as you all agree that I made the smartest decision that anybody could have made in my situation and I think now that you all agree with that I remember that a lot of people were mocking me until they found out that I made that I made the the choice that their experts would recommend not me I I only did what my critics uh Godlike experts recommended so that's all I did um yeah I thought I had asthma at the time and I was concerned about it and that you know so under my bad information for my own medical people uh I was misinformed I didn't do it just for vacation but that was that was the the vacation was the reason I did it when I did it but the decision to do it was also largely because of I didn't want a long covet problem but probably you know I'm not sure it makes any difference yeah all right you were misinformed on everything covet was I did you just miss the entire last five minutes was I misinformed on everything covid when we all just agreed that all of the experts including the critics say people in my category should have been vaccinated so like some of you I I have no idea what planet you're coming from it's like it's like I don't even know I don't even understand your comments at some point it doesn't make sense at all right you got a lot quieter didn't you you know if you told me that I was gonna that at the end of this year I would be arguing that Dr uh Dr.
Malone should be totally uh totally believed because he agrees completely with me oh you didn't see that coming did you I didn't see it coming I thought I was all on my own here honestly I thought I was just on my own here all right there's nothing else to talk about in the news unless you know something so I'm going to go talk to the locals people so uh You.
Tube I'll talk to you later thanks for joining
good morning everybody
and welcome to the highlight of
civilization it's called coffee with
Scott Adams
and uh there's never been a finer
situation yeah and you either lucked
into it some of you
others have been strategically planning
for this moment for I don't know how
long but thank goodness you made it and
we're going to kick off
the Lesser swearing version of the of
the live stream
everybody on board with that
I might say fudge
or frickin that's as far as I'll go
I'll go all the way to frickin but then
I'm pulling back pulling back
well if you'd like to take your
experience up a notch and I think you
would I think you would all you need is
a copper amug or a glass of tanker
Chelsea's dinette candy juggar flask a
vessel of any kind fill it with your
favorite liquid
I like coffee
and join me now
for the unparalleled pleasure the
dopamine here the day the thing that
makes
everything better it's called the
simultaneous but it happens now go
ah
well which of the f word substitutes do
you like best fudge friggin freaking or
fracking
we can throw a little uh fracking in
there
well you've got lots of opinions on this
one wow
uh looks like well it's it's all over
the place the Battle Star Galactica
fracking seems to be
doing well
all right well maybe I'll uh
I might you know
try some of those I'll take some of
those for a spin today
okay
well the first freaking story
no no
I'll work on that
all right I have a uh a media
recommendation
have you all been wondering
Scott can you please tell us what you
would personally like to watch on the
television set and then maybe I would
like to watch it too
don't laugh
don't laugh
Glass Onion on Netflix
so I guess it's a movie Glass Onion
now here's why I recommend it
I've been railing for years about
everything that's wrong with movies this
one didn't do anything wrong no hold on
I've only watched the first third of it
I've only watched the first third
already I recommend it right I'll watch
the rest of it sometime but here's why I
recommend it number one probably is not
really the best show for the younger set
I think maybe this would appeal to
people who are used to a certain kind of
movie
here's what I liked about it
they took what was good about movies in
the past and then they just made one of
those
and I thought to myself nobody thought
of that before
just take all the things that were good
about you know movies when we grew up
and just make one of those
so here's what they don't do
nobody is tied to a chair to be tortured
nobody
I know is that weird I don't believe
there's going to be a chase scene I I've
only seen a third of it I don't believe
there'll be a chase scene
the entire first part of the movie
where usually the first third of a movie
is where something terrible happens to
the hero
you know the hero gets divorced or his
family is wiped out or you know there's
a hurricane or something
but this was just fun
and there's like some mystery because
it's about a little murder mystery and
it's just fun and it's about characters
and actors that you've seen and a lot of
the actors are
ones you're familiar with so it's just
sort of fun to see them all in the same
place and stuff
and
it's sort of the perfect
um empty calories
now here's what will will never be true
it's not going to win any awards
no Awards will be won
all they did all they did was make it
incredibly
um
consumer right
they made something for the customer
so therefore it cannot win any awards
because the awards are won by people who
make movies for other people in the
movie industry so people could say my
God you're acting uh in that role that
made me feel terrible the entire time I
watched the movie but wow did you act
well you acted so well that I I have a
stomachache when I left I felt so bad
for you
but this movie just doesn't have any any
parts in it that I don't think you know
I haven't seen it but it looks like
that's their theme there won't be any
unpleasant parts
now you're not going to remember it
forever it's not going to be your
favorite movie but it really is giving
me hope
that somebody paid attention and figured
out how to make a movie you know finally
so give it a chance
all right here's something I learned
today that apparently everybody knew
about me
at least everybody in the local
subscription site
um
so Elon Musk tweeted today or yesterday
maybe almost no one seems to realize
that the head of bioethics at NIH
National Institute of Health the person
who is supposed to make sure that fauci
behaves ethically
is his wife
now how many of you who didn't know that
like me until today
how many of you also didn't know that
until today
now
it sounds like a joke doesn't it
it literally sounds like a joke
I heard uh Elon Musk say the other day
on some podcast or something he said
that every conspiracy theory about
Twitter turned out to be true
and he laughed because he couldn't think
of any any conspiracy theories about
Twitter that weren't actually
demonstrated to be true
and and this one this one is crazy
it's crazy now I don't think it
necessarily made any difference
like I'm not going to say that you know
if that had been different you know we
would have seen fauci in a different
light I doubt it but just the just the
fact that
that that person his wife was in that
job that's just too
to everything isn't it that's just too
much of everything
how could that possibly be true
I don't know how many times I've been
saying this lately I'll just look at
something that's definitely true
and I'll just say how could that
possibly be true how could it possibly
be true that the number one person who's
being questions on ethics his wife is in
charge of his ethics
like it yeah there are seven what eight
billion people in the world
the odds of that were low
but maybe they were high you know given
the way things work out
all right
um and then Musk
seems to be
um no it seems to be he's directly
accusing uh fauci of a gain of function
research which is another way Elon Musk
says is another way of saying bio weapon
and
and then he notes that fauci authored
the 2012 paper arguing for a gain of
function research
and that now this is all what musk is
tweeting I I can't
I'm not saying all this is true
I'm just going to say musk is tweeting
it right and it must said that Obama
wisely put this on pause meaning the
gain of function research but fauci
restarted it now again I don't know if
that's true
like I think that you would argue it's
not yes there's some indirect thing but
not a direct thing I don't know
uh and despite these glaring issues
uh Twitter nonetheless so at Twitter
there was an internal slack Channel
where they communicate with each other
on this little Channel
uh unironically called the fauci fan
club
So within Twitter there was there was
quote a fauci fan club and they had
their own slack group
and Elon Musk just just basically thinks
is funny
he just laughs at his own company that
he bought
all right
I don't know if this is the favorite
story of the day
but you all know the congressman Santos
the Republican who got who just got
elected and then apparently we find out
they didn't have the education he said
he didn't have a college degree
I think he didn't have one ah he said he
did didn't work at two prestigious
places that he said he did and I think
there were a bunch of other lies so
basically he just totally lied and got
elected anyway
now
there's a few things a few ways to go on
this story
number one
the question is should Republicans
try to take the high road
and even though the Democrats are full
of liars should they say no we cannot
have a liar in our midst
so we've got to get gotta get rid of
them or do they say no things are so
tight we need every vote we can get and
everybody's a liar so
you know what's the difference and I and
I have to admit I was sort of going back
and forth this morning trying to decide
which one made sense I like I was
thinking well
I do like
I I do like making a point of it because
it'd be a good way to establish
you know Republicans as at least trying
to be more
more honest
but on the other hand I can certainly
see the raw power argument and and
Congress is mostly a raw power situation
so you know playing within the rules
everybody lies he lied no big deal but
here's how I decided I made my final
decision on this
I think he should keep his job
as opposed to resigning
and here's why
do you know how entertaining it would be
to hear the other members of Congress
argue that they just can't have a liar
in their midst
you tell me that wouldn't be funny every
time
I don't care who says it I don't care if
the Republicans say it I don't care if
the Democrats that as long as they're
members of Congress
I want them on video saying we have to
get rid of rid of the Liars in Congress
I I just want to see that
that's all I I would personally find
that very entertaining no matter how
many times I saw it and I don't need to
point out
the hypocrisy right
so so we don't need to point that out
you know I could always tell the people
who believe what they read on Reddit
they come over here with some rumors
about me that are almost always out of
context or untrue it's always a Reddit
people
like I think anybody who actually
got their information anywhere else
doesn't have any yeah
so that so somebody's coming over here
just to say vaccine passports because
they actually believe that I was in
favor of them
so we'll get rid of the dumb people the
disinformed people
but they like to keep me busy
all right
um
so I thought it was interesting that
musk is directly accusing fauci of these
things because isn't there doesn't he
have any defense to that
he's got some defense does he
I don't know who's telling the truth or
but uh oh I guess we were talking about
Santos and then the other thing that
Santo said in his uh not quite truthful
way
was that he's a Catholic guy
but at one point he said that
he wasn't Jewish but that he was Jew
Dash ish
so your emphasis on the ish part so not
really not really a Jewish person
but he claimed that because he had some
family connection to Judaism that's
unclear that he was a Jewish ish
and then I saw the number of people who
are criticizing him and I thought
I'm a little uncomfortable with that
because while he's not Jewish he's only
Jewish
if you criticize him
you wouldn't be anti-semitic but
wouldn't you be a little
anti-semitic-ish
just a little bit so I don't want to
criticize them because
I don't know where that line is I I
don't want to be anti-semitic ish
about a guy who's not Jewish but he's
Jewish
so I mean
it's a dangerous it's dangerous out
there there's a landmine everywhere
would you take that chance no no don't
take a chance
so I'll just stay away from that
well there's a new book out called uh
from somebody named Thompson
escape from model land in this case it's
not
Victoria Secret models it is
um mathematical models
and these models being used to predict
the future
this will come as a big surprise to you
but did you know
that complex models that are used to
predict the future
I know this is going to be a real
surprise
not reliable
I know I know I was as shocked as you
were yeah so there's a book now to teach
people that Financial that complex
mathematical models don't actually
predict the future
amazing amazing
huh
well this brings me to my next topic
which is
I believe that doctors are learning the
hard way
how to analyze data
and by that I mean they're learning by
doing it wrong in public and having
people say that's not how you do that
and I think that I'm seeing at least in
my Twitter feed a lot of doctors who are
clearly now way more informed about how
to consume data
and here's here's what I would suggest
for doctors who didn't have any training
in this field I think you could simplify
it
to Simply a checklist
quiz to ask ask a doctor which of these
sources are reliable
and maybe a little bit about why it'd be
a really simple one-page test for
example
if you ask doctors to rate the
credibility of the following things I
don't know what they would say but let's
say you said
um
a study is published there's one study
it's not a randomized controlled trial
but it's just one one study in a
publication and it's published as
peer-reviewed
what level of confidence should you put
on one study
not a randomized controlled trial but
it's peer-reviewed and it's published
well the right answer is less than 50
because about half of them get retracted
but of the ones that don't get retracted
how many of those are too
nobody knows because they didn't get
retracted but it's not zero
right so it could be that something in
an order of
25 to 50 percent of studies that are
peer-reviewed and published turn out to
be true or useful
so would a doctor know that
and we're somewhat of course but how
many doctors would know
that being published means is usually
untrue
about I bet most would say well it might
be false but if it got published and
it's peer-reviewed is probably true
but actually it's the opposite it's
probably untrue
so would they even know which way it
goes would they know it's probably
untrue
or would they just assume it went
through the steps to you know validate
it a little bit so that is probably true
but maybe not it's a big difference
because that might be the difference
between
an off-label
you know
um treatment or not
how about this
how about a retrospective study a
retrospective study would somebody be
able to
know the value of a retrospective study
now that's where you you didn't do a
study in advance so you have to look at
it after the fact and so you say okay
yeah these people did take this and they
had these outcomes so it must have been
because they did the thing
now that's different than saying in
advance
if you say in advance we're going to
test this thing and we think it's going
to have this outcome
that's a that's a far more reliable way
to go but if you only did it once
and nobody reproduced it you're still
not where you want to be
right looking backwards is is going to
be less reliable
right would you all agree
looking backwards as opposed to
establishing a test where you can look
forward and find out if your guesses
were right so there's a big difference
all right how about this one
um
a 10-year projection
or even a three year or five year how
about just projections that are based on
good solid data and experts making yeah
the projections are usually ridiculous
usually ridiculous
how about the vares report
if the vares report is sending a really
strong signal
what's that telling doctors
well I know that many of you disagree
many of you would say whoa there's so
many on there about covet in particular
you would say well I realize it's
anecdotal but there's just so many on
there that that's telling you something
but not really
it isn't it is telling you you might
want to look into it
so so you know it's not to be ignored
that's why it's there it's not there to
be ignored
but you don't know for sure just from
the various report
how about uh a really good randomized
controlled trial
how much should you put how much should
you trust it a really good randomized
controlled you know blind trial
do you know what's missing
who funded it
who funded it right yes the only thing I
told you is there was a randomized
controlled trial the amount of
credibility you put in it is none
literally none
would you agree
the the gold standard in science is a
randomized controlled trial if the only
thing you know is that one happened
The credibility should be zero
now that's not something I don't think
doctors would agree with
I think doctors would say that's
actually our best evidence we do
everything based on that that should be
the best evidence
now
if you don't know who funded the trial
you don't know anything that's something
we learned right
now suppose you knew that it wasn't
funded by the pharmacistical companies
what then
you don't really know that
see it's a trick
I tried to trick you well what if you
don't what if you know it was not funded
by the pharmaceutical companies you'll
never know that it's unknowable because
they may have gotten to the person who
ran the trial
so they may not have funded the trial
but they might be the source of lots of
speaking agreements
for the project manager
you know what I mean would your doctor
know that
would your doctor know that yes it was
funded by this maybe the government but
would they know that the project manager
makes 40 more than his normal income by
doing speeches for that pharmaceutical
company
you would have no way of knowing that
so what we used to think was the gold
standard of science is closer to a coin
flip
you don't really know much of anything
unless you know who funded it or how
everybody's making their money
and if you only have one of them you
wish you had two
right
so if you only have one you're
automatically shaky compared to at least
two how about uh
yeah anything about any study that the
Pharma big Pharma does itself
should you believe it
because that would be the basis of all
vaccinations childhood vaccinations
right
aren't pretty much all childhood
vaccinations based on big Pharma Zone
studies
I'm just guessing I don't know if that's
true now presumably there would also be
other Studies by now but mostly they
were approved based on big Pharma Zone
studies right
I guess that's more of a question than a
statement I mean I assume that's the
case
so
uh and then what about meta metadata
studies or meta studies what about a
meta-analysis
should doctors
trust them because the meta-analysis
looks at all the studies or all the
relevant studies
so yeah they could be the best or they
could be the worst
but you don't know in advance
hahaha
so the weird the weird thing about a
medicine meta-analysis is it could be
exactly right
but you would have no no way of knowing
just because you did it or you do some
details you wouldn't know
but it could be so that so it doesn't
matter what it says you don't know which
one is the right one and and who who
cheated on what's in the analysis and
what's not in the L analysis so
meta-analysis is pretty low credibility
all right
question
how many uh Young Americans do you think
would be the fitness and health
requirements to join the American
Military what percentage
what percentage of
I I wasn't even doing it this time and
you still got the right answer
it's 23 about a quarter that I always do
the uh asking people to guess what the
poll results are because the the running
joke is that 25 of the public will get
every question wrong
every poll question the 25 will have the
dumb answer you know when there's one
that's like clearly the dumb answer 25
percent
well this has nothing to do with this
this is Health and Fitness
but only 23 percent of Young Americans
meet the fed this requirement of the
military
now allow me to do an old man thing I'm
going to do a grandpa thing
in my day
I feel like it would have been 75
percent of the kids I went to school
with
now I'm talking about the boys
wouldn't you agree
things have things have gone downhill
that much that only 23 percent could
pass the physical
and maybe do you think I'm remembering
wrong
could be false memory
because there weren't that many kids in
my class so it wasn't it wasn't a good
but 23 really that's all
yeah
um I'm going to shock you a little bit
more in a minute here
uh so obviously the military is having
trouble recruiting but one of the one of
the things that the military has decided
to do
is to reduce their standards for mental
health
so before they were you know pretty
tight you couldn't have any uh at least
a recent medical health problems
but now they're going to loosen that and
I think
ADHD is now going to be considered not a
problem
if if it hasn't been a problem recently
and I guess if if you're treating it
medically
I wonder if there could be any risks
to having more
more people with mental problems in the
military
what could go wrong what could go wrong
all right
um have you ever heard of
there's a movement called
Trad wives
I just read about this on CNN like a
minute before I went live
have you ever heard of Trad wives is
supposedly a growing theme the Trad is
short for traditional
and they're modeling after the 50s you
know stay-at-home housewife kind of
thing and there there's some number of
people who like the aesthetic
so they like the way they dressed and
sort of the way they
treated their husband as the boss of the
house I guess
and so some kind of a growing thing now
related to that was separate
I've told you there's a whole bunch of
relationship experts talking about what
doesn't doesn't work these days
but uh I've watched a number of these
relationship experts who have the same
line of thinking
and I don't know what's wrong with it
so I'm going to test it out of you
and it goes like this
if you're a woman and you're looking for
a guy
uh correctly if I'm wrong these are the
standard things that women are looking
for
now and these are the things that they
say most often now every woman is
different right every man is different
so this isn't all people it's just sort
of a you know generality
but here are the things all right uh and
this will be a little quiz for you uh
women usually like uh taller men over
six feet tall
what percentage of American men are over
six feet tall go
what percentage of American men are over
six feet tall
your guesses are unusually bad
not usually bad if I average your
guesses I think they'd be right the
answer is uh 14.5 percent
right so if you're a woman
on your first filter your first sort
you've eliminated 85 percent of all men
because only 14.5 are above that right
now if you go up to six six foot one
do you know how fast that drops
you get down to one percent really
quickly you know at around six three six
four it's down to like one percent
but let's say let's start with 14.5 so
that's your story now most women want a
guy who can provide
right no matter how modern the woman is
they still like the guy to have a job
that that's serious so how many how many
men of any height just men in general
American men how many uh have an income
over a hundred thousand a year
how many men this is married unmarried
just men
the answer is 13 13 percent
so if you were just simply going to find
somebody who is tall
and made over 100k a year
the the math of it is you would multiply
the two percentages together
so if you multiply 14.5 percent times 13
percent
it starts getting really small really
fast and that's just two filters here's
some more
suppose you wanted a guy who was going
to be faithful
you know basic right you want a guy
who's not going to cheat on you
but he's also over six feet tall and he
has a good income
what are the odds of somebody who is
tall and has a good income meaning the
most desirable man
what are the odds that he will be
faithful to one woman over a
relationship
let's say let's say charitably 50
percent
charitably right just so it doesn't
sound too terrible I'll say 50 percent
so that you would also multiply that by
the percentages
how many women how many women would
prefer a beta male over an alpha male
almost none right so women would also
want somebody who's projects at least an
alpha male how many men
project an alpha male
persona percentage-wise
I'm gonna I'm gonna charitably say half
would you accept it charitably half most
of you think way less than half but
let's say charitably half
right so that cuts in half again the
number of possibilities for the women
uh do you think the women care if the if
the man is has an addiction to drugs or
alcohol or a mental illness
what percent of men don't have an
addiction or a mental illness
again I don't know
maybe half
would you say half
just say half just so we can do the math
right so again you take what you've cut
down to already and cut that in half
again
how about
uh would women want a guy who's in
reasonably good shape now not
necessarily running marathons but just
somebody who's in the the better
the better quadrant
so maybe let's say 25 percent of men
would you say
25 percent of matter and reasonably good
shape you know they don't have to run
marathons let's say 25 so now take while
you're down to and you know take 25
percent
about the right religion the right age a
guy who will treat you right he's also
available so he has to be he has to be
available otherwise it's useless
and he has to like you and you have to
like him
so if you do the math
the the available number of people
that's right
If you eliminate all of the people on
all of those things do you know what's
left
Andrew Tate
Andrew Tate
that's all
and
um I don't know how many he can
handle uh according to him that's his
word I'm usually his word I would never
call women that never
what Andrew does so let me tell you
but he has he can only handle uh I don't
know maybe 100 or 200 per year
like maximum because he's busy he's got
some businesses to run he has to
exercise
needs to needs one hand to smoke his
cigar so like he can't handle thousands
of women now he does have a brother
and his brother can handle maybe a few
hundred extra but the Tates alone
can only handle
at most a thousand women out of all the
billions in the world
so you really can't depend on him to do
it all
right
so
do you know why AI is going to be a
problem it seems like I changed the
subject but I didn't
do you know why AI is going to be a
problem
because it might tell you the truth
hey AI
should I get married
what's AI going to say
or if you say what are my odds of being
happily married or finding a man that I
want to be married to and AI will say
well uh what what is your Criterion you
know get tell me what you're looking for
and you'd say well you're just tall and
blah blah blah and you say and then a I
would say all right your odds of finding
what you ABS the minimum that you need
to be happy are point zero zero zero
zero zero one
and it will be correct that will be the
actual right calculation
who would get married
is the end of civilization
you do understand
the civilization absolutely requires us
to be deluded all the time
because the moment you actually
understood the odds of things
you you change your behavior it would be
the end of civilization
speaking of Tate uh he uh tweeted at
Greta tunberg today he's very good at
being provocative and he tweeted uh
hello Greta tonberg I have 33 cars my
Bugatti has a big quad turbo engine my
two Ferraris have giant engines he goes
this is just the start
please provide your email address so I
can set the complete list of my car
collection and the respective enormous
emissions
so he tweeted that at Greta
Greta answered him back and she said yes
please do enlighten me you can email me
at small dick energy at getalife.com
so I'm glad the two of them are getting
along
so
I don't know I I don't want to like
Greta
because because I don't agree with her
climate Hysteria
but
I realized today that I have to delete
my Instagram app
did anybody else have this problem I
made the mistake of looking at some
Andrew Tate videos and now that's all
that feeds me
is nothing but Andrew Tay videos it's
like eighty percent of Andrew T videos
so that the entire the entire thing is
useless now
like I have to delete Instagram because
he actually polluted it and by the way I
don't have I'm not complaining about his
content
I'm not I'm not saying you know we
shouldn't be there I'm not saying it has
no value I'm just saying there's so much
of it
that you can't even use the app he
actually overwhelmed uh Instagram has
anybody else had that experience because
you only have to look at a few of them
and the the algorithm does the rest
so I have to search for other things
until it overwhelms them right
yeah
all right look at more Pat videos yeah I
think he overwhelmed the pet videos too
all right uh why is it that uh
why is it that we never blame the
brainwashers have you noticed that
so
the January 6th thing
we I guess Trump was blamed for quote
inciting violence
you know arguably that's it's a
debatable point
but is inciting the same as brainwashing
not really we use them differently right
somebody incited to do something you
think has not necessarily been
brainwashed you know maybe they're not
thinking clearly but not brainwashed per
se
was there anybody who did brainwash the
January six people
was there any any actual source of
brainwashing
of course it was yeah all of the media
that they were consuming
yeah maybe yeah maybe the FBI but
certainly the news they were watching
brainwashed them to think that the
election had been stolen and then
brainwashed them into thinking that
their actions would be productive
now you might say to me but Scott they
had free will
to which I say well they had Free Will
as long as physics stopped working
inside their skull
but if physics actually works everywhere
like inside your skull outside your
skull that is just causing the fact that
they were going to do what they were
going to do
but the brainwashers caused January 6.
right
even even if you imagine that Trump
did something extra to get them whipped
up that's very debatable
they were there for a particular reason
they had already been brainwashed
now does that mean that they're wrong no
I'm not saying they're wrong I'm saying
that they were not there based on
reasons and facts and logic they were
there
because they're brainwashed do you know
why the people who uh who observed it
believe it was an Insurrection instead
of a protest
why do the Democrats think they saw an
Insurrection an unarmed Insurrection why
would they think such a ridiculous thing
because they're brainwashed they're
brainwashed right there's no that's
obviously no critical thinking going on
there
it would take like this much critical
thinking like a a dollop to know that
and that unarmed Republicans are not
trying to take over a country like you
don't have to do deep thinking to figure
that out but still but still half of the
country believes is true and it would be
the most obviously untrue thing of all
time
so
but you know why we can't blame the
brainwashers right
there's a reason besides just political
it's because the entire Justice System
depends on the illusion of free will
if you take away the illusion of free
will you can't punish anybody if you get
if you can't punish anybody
then there's no legal system
as there's no legal system civilization
falls apart so the illusion that people
have this thing called Free Will as
opposed to being hypnotized by obvious
obvious brainwashers
you have to put the responsibility on
the person who does the act because it's
the only way civilization works
but it's not rational
it's completely irrational well except
that it works right but the the logic of
it doesn't hold up
I know it makes people's score of you
when I say Free Will is an illusion but
usually it's just people are defining it
differently if they that they just say
I can observe that somebody could choose
this way or choose this way so therefore
that free will to which I say you can't
observe that
you can't see the physics happening
inside their brain I say whatever they
did was the only thing they could have
done because physics only worked one way
in that case
all right
um
what presented this is a Rasmussen poll
what percentage of the country in June
of this year believed that Russia was
winning the war in June
25 percent that's right pretty close yep
25 actually uh 24. and so in June 24 of
the country thought Russia was winning
now it's 14 percent
14 of likely voters in America think
Russia is winning now about I think
about half of the people think that it
looks like a stalemate and the rest
think that Ukraine is winning
now
how many of you think Russia is winning
are you in the 14 14 percent
how many of you think Russia is winning
yeah you know it's hard to it's hard to
separate
Russia will win in the long run from
Russia is winning so the question is a
little unclear I'll give you that
already won somebody says
yeah well
um
have I ever mentioned to you
that things tend to go my way
and and you remember I I keep reminding
you that although I was a hundred
percent wrong
when I said that Putin wouldn't uh
actually invade Ukraine
the reason I said it was wrong is
because he he couldn't win
and that it was almost immediately
obvious he was going to get he was going
to get waxed
his army was
now when I said that at the time that he
invaded would you say that close to 90
percent of the public would have said
Russia is totally winning and going to
win would you agree
that at the point that I was saying that
Russia couldn't win 90 of the people
were get were on the other side now
is completely reversed
that the vast majority of America
believes what I believed would happen
from the start the Ukraine would
surprise everybody with a with better
performance than anybody thought
so I'm only going to point out
that things tend to go the way
I want them to
and I don't know why
I don't I honestly don't know why to me
it feels like I'm in a simulation and
I'm either
Imagining the things are going my way or
you know I'm influencing it somehow
or I'm the world's best predictor
you know even getting notable ones wrong
I'd still be the world's best predictor
I I don't understand it I honestly don't
but it's so consistent
you it's hard to find any major topic
that isn't going the direction
that I thought it would publicly I don't
know why
all right
um
let's see there's a new study out that
we don't believe because we don't
believe studies but it says that
metformin I think it's an
over-the-counter
um
diabetes drug that lowers your blood
sugar levels and it allegedly helps with
long covet
with long covet
like fairly substantially
first question how many of you believe
long covert exists
because I I had to uh do a Google search
today
because you know in the beginning people
were saying there'd be this long covet
and then there was a period where we
weren't sure if it was real
and I didn't know where that ended up so
if you if you do a Google search on is
long coveted real
Google will I'll only just tell you what
the search reveals I don't know it's
true but the search reveals
that most most of the media is saying
long covet is real the studies say is
real
but at the same time there are uh there
are studies saying it's not real in the
in the same time same time period in
April May of this year so there's a
little bit of a difference but but
overwhelmingly Google will say it's real
doesn't mean it's real just Google will
say that
now
is it interesting that metformin lowers
blood sugar levels because we knew that
the diabetics were having the worst time
with the covid right wasn't diabetes the
number one comorbidity you know sort of
co-co-morbidity with obesity at the same
time I imagine
so is sugar the villain in everything
like I I saw some experts saying that it
wasn't the lower blood sugar that makes
the metformin work if in fact it works
there was some other mechanism but I'm
not sure I believe that
because because the thing that we keep
seeing over and over again is that
having too much sugar in you is just
always bad for everything
am I wrong about that
there's like almost no exception right
did you put sugar in your body yes it's
bad for you I mean except for normal
carbs and stuff of course
so I don't know that would be my guess
without any medical training that if
everything that's add sugar is bad for
you in every possible way and everything
that decreases sugar in your body is
good for you in every possible way
I would think metformin would work
so I guess I'll believe this one because
it matches my
presumption
that's as good as you can do
um
so I heard Dr Robert Malone
famous uh co-inventor of the MRNA
technology and a famous famous critic of
the
lockdown and vaccination kind of regimen
and he told his reasons for getting
vaccinated
because if you didn't now he's
vaccinated he gave two reasons one
concern about long covet as opposed to
concern about dying
and he believed he actually had long
covered
and at the time it looked like a
vaccination would reduce your
long-coveted symptoms even after you had
the long covet
now he's not so sure that's true anymore
but a Google search
suggests that Google is telling you it
is still true a little bit it's a little
unclear
um but so Dr Malone said you got the
vaccination because he wanted to do
international travel it was the only way
he could do it practically and he wanted
to reduce his risk for long covet
does that sound familiar
is there anybody else you know
who made a decision
exactly the same exactly the same and
about the same time
yeah I did I did
so
for those of you who are here to tell me
I made the wrong decision
you could be right but I need you to
know I made exactly the same decision as
the world expert critic of the
vaccinations
so the smartest person in the whole
world
on this topic
made the same decision I did
because he was working with the same
data as we all were
so so somebody says copium Kyle Kyle
says that agreeing with the person that
you believe is the best source
that agreeing with your expert is is a
bad decision
that's your point of view
is it is it a cope
is it a cope or is it just a fact
that the person you believe is the most
qualified
agrees with me
is that a problem that you are expert
agrees with me
I'm just rubbing it in I just like
feeling right
so that's just for me
now
um
I'll tell you my current opinion my
current opinion is I doubt the
vaccinations help with long covet
I doubt it oh did did Dr McAuliffe get
vaccinated does anybody know
because I was wondering if the loan was
the only uh sort of I don't know if I
call him anti-vaccination but a
vaccination
program critic anyway I would call
okay so I'm gonna call it mcculloughton
and did he get he got covered though
right
did McCullough get covered I assume
everybody did at this point
don't know don't care
all right we'll look into that or I will
[Applause]
well ladies and gentlemen we're still in
the slow week of news
um somebody says yes he's vaccinated
but I don't know
Steve Kersh is crushing the provax peeps
let me ask you this are the anti-vaxx
doctors
the balloons and the McAuliffe's uh I I
don't want to call them anti-vaxx
because that's that's my labeling I
shouldn't do that but are those doctors
that are prominent critics of at least
some parts of the vaccination issue
um
do they think that the vaccinations are
still a good idea for older Americans
does anybody know that
is there anybody who says the
vaccinations are a mistake for old
people
well I asked the question wrong so now I
don't know what your answers mean
is there a general agreement that over
65
it still saves lives or is even that up
that's up in the air as well
so Malone thinks older people should get
it
they'll even kildorf and bought a car I
think it's okay above 65 okay so
so you're saying that even the even the
biggest critics would agree that I
should have gotten vaccinated is it is
that true
is it true that the biggest critics of
vaccinations that were the most expert
people
believe I made the right choice
so the only people who don't
believe that I made the right choice for
myself
are the people who don't believe their
own best experts
so the people who believe they're
experts
believe I made the right choice but the
people who believe that the people that
they trust the most are not credible
would think I made a mistake
and by the way I don't know if I made a
mistake or not
how would I know
sky has other comorbidities not really
I thought I had asthma but it turns on I
don't
foreign
so as long as you all agree that I made
the smartest decision
that anybody could have made in my
situation
and I think now that you all agree with
that I remember that a lot of people
were mocking me until they found out
that I made that I made the the choice
that their experts would recommend not
me
I I only did what my critics uh Godlike
experts recommended
so that's all I did
um
yeah I thought I had asthma at the time
and I was concerned about it and that
you know so under my bad information for
my own medical people
uh I was misinformed
I didn't do it just for vacation but
that was that was the the vacation was
the reason I did it when I did it
but the decision to do it was also
largely because of
I didn't want a long covet problem
but probably you know I'm not sure it
makes any difference
yeah all right
you were misinformed on everything covet
was I
did you just miss the entire last five
minutes
was I misinformed on everything covid
when we all just agreed that all of the
experts including the critics say people
in my category should have been
vaccinated
so
like some of you I I have no idea what
planet you're coming from
it's like it's like I don't even know I
don't even understand your comments at
some point it doesn't make sense at all
right
you got a lot quieter didn't you
you know if you told me that I was gonna
that at the end of this year I would be
arguing that Dr uh Dr Malone should be
totally uh totally believed because he
agrees completely with me
oh you didn't see that coming did you I
didn't see it coming I thought I was all
on my own here honestly I thought I was
just on my own here
all right there's nothing else to talk
about in the news unless you know
something so I'm going to go talk to the
locals people so uh
YouTube I'll talk to you later thanks
for joining