controversial. People complain that they scraped data and that's there's a privacy problem and blah blah blah. But it works really well. It works really well. Just trust me it works well.

So apparently the Ukrainians are using it to tell who the Russians are so that they don't have any spies or people pretending to be Ukrainians. Do you know how valuable that is in a war between Ukrainians and Russians? An app where you can tell which side they're on by their face. Think about that. I mean think about that. Imagine if they couldn't tell. All the things that Russia could do to them if they could just slip their Russians in as Ukrainians and get behind the lines. But now they can just hold the phone up and they know if you're a Russian defector or a spy. That's kind of an amazing technology.

Then the other thing is the Turkish armed drones that I guess the Ukrainians are using have been devastating to Russian targets. And then also the cheap commercial drones. So it looks like it's going to be a stalemate forever because the Ukrainians have better stuff and maybe better training and they're more motivated. The Russians have the ability to throw unlimited bodies into any situation. So it looks like it's just going to be a tie for a long time. You know little one town going back and forth but totally destroyed whenever it happens. Nobody wants to live there anymore.

So eventually I guess it has to be negotiated but not until everybody's in enough pain but that'll come. Ukrainians manpower is decreasing true at the same time that their precision missiles are increasing. So if their precision missiles increase they can lose a lot of people and still be okay. You just said whoever has the most precise rockets wins. Yeah all things being equal. So if you have the same amount of people the precise rockets would win but if you had unlimited people that you're willing to kill then that can be an equalizer. But yes I was unclear about that.

Don't you think Sean Penn hopes he gets assassinated so he can die like a dictator martyr? I wonder about that sometimes. Carpet bombing yeah that would work. Russian mothers will decide the war. Well apparently the Russians the Russian public is completely uninterested. You know what would make a Russian citizen uninterested in the war? Telling them that only the dangerous prisoners are fighting. Oh don't worry about it we're just sending prisoners. I think if this country fought a war and you believed incorrectly but if you believed that the fighters were mostly prisoners from who had done serious crimes you probably wouldn't even care honestly. You probably wouldn't. You should but I bet you wouldn't.

All right. Is there any topic that I didn't talk about that's worth talking about? So I don't do the earthquakes and the shootings. I ignore those because you got plenty of that. You don't need to hear.

All right does it feel like there's some big news coming? Do you feel like that? I feel like there's something coming. I guess there always is so that's like a generic thing to say but maybe even if there's nothing important coming it will look like it's important.

World War III. I would say the odds of nuclear war are vanishingly small because Putin doesn't need it. He doesn't need it. I think keeping Putin in office pretty much guarantees no nuclear war because I think he would settle for a stalemate at the moment. Putin is not bothered by his domestic unhappiness. All right so Putin has no domestic problem at home right? He doesn't have a domestic problem. He's not running out of money because apparently they can sell their energy to other places so he has money. He has domestic support and he has a strategy which will end up with him controlling probably some percentage of important strategic land that he can call a success. Why would he nuke us? There's no upside to that. He basically his worst case scenario at this point looks like he stays in office. Russia stays stable. The domestic people and he gets a little extra land and you know he gets to keep Crimea or something. Whatever we negotiate. We meaning the world and Ukraine.

So no we're not even close to nuclear war. We're probably further from nuclear war than you know well I won't say we're further but now as far as China why in the world would China want to nuke us? You realize that would be insane right? That would be like nuking themselves. I mean they would end up getting nuked but China still requires us to exist for them to exist at the moment. China can't exist successfully without the United States also existing because right now they depend on our technology and our markets. If they nuke us how are they better off? There's no scenario in which Russia or China could even conceivably imagine that launching a nuclear weapon would be in their best interest.

Now the thing that protects us is that although Xi and Putin are both evil bastards nobody suggests that they're unstable minds right? Everybody knows that they're working for the best interests of themselves and their countries. Maybe the country's second but as long as there's stable logical smart capable people and they seem to be how evil they are probably won't matter becau