Episode 2020 Scott Adams - Nikki Haley Bores Us, Wokesters Are A Common Enemy, And Some Fun Stories

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Tube people good morning and welcome to the highlight of civilization itself it's called coffee with Scott Adams there's never been a finer moment it's why everybody's talking about it probably everywhere you go to your people blah blah blah coffee with Scott Adams yeah it's like that everywhere and if you would like to enjoy this experience in a way that nobody ever ever has enjoyed it well all you need is a copper mugger a glass of tanker chalices dying a canteen Joker flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine here the day the thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go oh sip sip Surrey yeah no sip sip sorry now that doesn't work all right well the news is funny and unimportant today mostly funny and unimportant and that's the best kind the best kind of news is the stuff you can be entertained by and not worry about too much so number one in the news that isn't very important at all but it's funny uh White House spokesperson Jean-Pierre uh she said quote the president is the best Communicator that we have in the White House I will pause while you enjoy the Deep hearty laugh that you're having at home ha ha and as you might imagine the Wags the critics the people who just can't handle a happy thought they waited and they said things like well that explains a lot oh you're reminding me of the cruelest thing that a teacher ever said to a child it happened in a science class my science class I was in it when I was I don't know 14 or 15 or something and I've been inside this class and our science teacher was a very well-known badass in the town so he was a teacher but he was a badass and one day he was telling us that you know you can't look at the sun because it would you know burn your redness or something and there was a kid in the first row who raised his hand and you'd have to know that the kid in the first row uh he had been promoted since kindergarten without passing any classes now that was how they did it in the old days I think he passed zero classes but he'd already gotten into high school so they didn't really have like a special class for the people who couldn't pass any class he had you know serious learning disability problems and so this kid who was famous as being the one kid who probably had never literally never passed a class he's sitting there and the professor says you know you can't look at the sun you know don't look at the Sun and the kidney front row raises the hand he goes I look at the sun all the time and the professor looks at him they're not Professor but the the science teacher the science teacher looks at him and in front of the entire class he goes well that explains a lot that actually happened if you could imagine that the rest of us were crying because it was so cruel and funny at the same time it was really cruel but it was very funny true story so uh yes the the Biden is the best Communicator in the White House and uh maybe that does explain a lot maybe he does well Wall Street Journal is reporting that speed dating is making a comeback if you don't know what that is it's where a bunch of single people get together and they uh they quickly spend like a minute with each other I don't know how fast the speed is but it's really fast so something like a minute or two you spend with each person you sit down and say how you doing for about a minute it's about five minutes somebody says a few a few minutes I guess and you use the power of First Impressions basically because first impressions are weirdly reliable in terms of attraction so here's my prediction I don't think that online dating can be a viable long-term solution and you know that's been well discussed you know that the the most attractive guys get 100 of the female interest and that leaves everybody you know scrambling for the the scraps I guess but on top of that um is there anybody here who uses online dating is this even a like a category that anybody watching this cares about some of you all right I want I want to see if I can get a confirmation of this everybody's lying right or are the men not lying about their height and their income and showing old pictures and are the women not lying about their appearance and taking the one photograph that makes them look like a different person or using the photograph from 15 years ago and so I wouldn't believe anything I saw on an online dating profile so it the the whole point of the whole point of online dating is that you get more and better information about Alternatives and you can contact them right the whole point is more and better information about your Alternatives and the ability to contact them but once you remove any honesty there is no information all it is is you contacting a random person who may or may not have something in common with that that online profile so it's basically just turned into the phone book online dating is just the phone book from the 70s if you had a phone book in the 70s you can flip through and randomly dial a number and ask for somebody for a date the problem with that is you would have no idea who you were calling just like online dating in 2023 just because the profile says they're a certain thing it doesn't mean anything it doesn't have any any informational value whatsoever you have no idea who you're getting it's just a phone book so I'm not surprised that online or I'm sorry in-person dating would have a comeback I feel like that has to happen because people don't give up on mating you know young people aren't going to say well online dating doesn't work so we just won't do it anymore I think it has to move back to in person wouldn't you say what do you think is it not um is it not inevitable that online all the online stuff is broken so it will become less important now we'll see well there's a Harvard study or study of Harvard people I guess they've been studying uh 260 Harvard sophomores they started studying them in 1938 you know trying to find out various things about their lifestyle and health and happiness and they basically just track this little group what they believe they found and I believe that they of course did not find it but what they believe they found is that the people who had the best social lives were the happiest by the time they reached 80.

the people with the best social experiences you know the best satisfying social lives were the happiest at age 80.

what's wrong with that study it's the whole correlation causation problem every time every time because I have a feeling that the people who are able to have satisfying social lives are probably different kinds of people does somebody who weighs 400 pounds have the same access to a happy social life as someone who doesn't what do you think if you weighed 400 pounds would your social life just be rated I don't think so if you had you know some serious health problem would your dating life be as good as if you didn't I mean to me it looks like healthy people are happier that's all it is and are you surprised that healthier people are happier that that feels like you haven't learned anything I mean there's nothing in the information that's telling you or anything so I feel like this study first of all it's not that many people secondly they came from Harvard so that's a weird sample but to me it's obvious that good relationships make people happier you know no question about that but I don't think I don't think you know the 400 pound person can say oh I know how to be happy now I'll just go have a good relationships now there's something about the 400 pounder that they need to change before the good relationships are going to be coming in quantity so I think it's basically just a health a health impact that they confuse with causation again well Alex Berenson is catching up to me finally finally so he's got a pretty provocative and interesting um peace in sub stack and he he allowed everybody to see this one so it's not behind the paywall and I recommend it looks like it's well written and interesting and he starts out by saying that the regular seasonal flu shots are closer to a placebo than an actual useful thing who who told you that first who's the first person who told you that the regular annual flu shot was well I've been saying it I've been saying it since the beginning of the pandemic because I never I never believed that people were dying from regular flu at least in 50 000 a year yeah whoever believed that 30 000 people a year were dying from the regular flu and then therefore you needed to get a shot so you maybe you wouldn't die I never believed that to me that was that just always looked like obviously so I I have not taken the regular annual flu shot for some years I don't know how many all right so it's good to see that Alex Berenson has caught up to me on the regular flu shots being completely useless but in his article um he had this statement that I thought perfectly captures my point of view uh so this is from Alex Berenson well one of the most famous Skeptics of the uh covid shots he says in his peace today quote we now have two years of real world data on the MRNA the MRNA shots based on billions of doses putting side effects aside so he and I both accept that the MRNA stuff would have higher side effects than traditional things so he and I have always been on the same side that the new technology is riskier all right so we always agreed on that um and uh he says putting aside the side effects that he and I agree on they work extremely well against covid for about four months after the second shot so the the vaccinations only work but well for about four months so by complete luck complete luck I got my second dose right before the Delta phase which turned out to be the perfect time to do it because if Alex Berenson is right that it was very protective but only for about four months I hit the four months perfectly the four months that I was most protected was during Delta now I didn't I didn't plan that but I had you know the I had the best accidental timing now you would argue that it would be better not to have any of it in you at this point and I agree do we agree on that as of today if you don't you know if you didn't get any Delta or Alpha you're way better off if you just didn't get vaccinated I think you know with below a certain age for sure so I think Alex and I are in exactly the same page on all of this stuff I would agree with them completely that uh getting vaccinated for Omicron would be a sketchy situation I'm not sure why I would I would agree with them and always have that I didn't understand why young people were getting vaccinated but apparently for older people and people have comorbidities and uh people who got the shot at exactly the right time it might have been a good insurance policy and I did some research to see if the current thinking is if the vaccinations uh so-called not really vaccinations but if the shots actually had protective effect against long covet and the current thinking is yes not complete production but it would reduce it so it looks like I hit it exactly by luck all right let's talk about retail sales jump three percent the news is crowing uh what would cause retail sales to go up three percent in January what uh is there any macro large economic influence that's been happening lately called in Flay in Flay inflation inflation I believe is the word yeah can you believe that the news reported three percent higher retail sales without mentioning that that's sort of the rate of inflation at least for a lot of items it depends on the item but okay all right and this caused me to ask the following question what happened to that supply chain emergency are are docs still uh to have ships like waiting for days did that just stop how did the news just sort of is sort of Peter down right what happened why why is the news never reported about all those ships that used to be waiting to be unloaded but weren't unloaded how in the world does a story that big just disappear do you have I mean seriously I don't know I don't know how that could happen like what is happening there there's something terrible happening that this could even be Florida took up the slack but there must have been something that happened what was it that we slowly adjusted and moved back to normal as as I see the comment there or was it that we did something clever and that made a difference or was it never real I have no idea isn't that weird uh did you even notice that in my opinion that was the biggest story in the world because the supply chain problem could have crashed a lot of stuff and might still might still so I asked people you know and so I tweeted that and a number of people said no we still have big problems getting stuff it takes a long time and a lot of stuff they're getting seems to be important for you know the infrastructure and the power grid and and all that stuff now I've also noticed that if I'm buying something sometimes it takes longer to get here but I haven't really hasn't been a big deal in my life um yeah I I haven't really noticed any big deal and I've bought you know a reasonable number of things recently they all seem to come maybe assist I got used to waiting for two months because there's a lot of stuff that I buy now that I wait two months for and that no longer seems like a long time to me specific Firearms or six day months I can see that but you know it was always the case it was always the case there's some things took months even in the best of times you know if you buy a high-end car and let's say a BMW with certain features you're going to wait months for that because they have to build it for you and ship it over here you've been waiting a month and a half for some bowling shirts from China yeah I did have one you know small item that took a few months but I feel as if maybe just we all got used to it and it was never you're never going to kill us I know the FDA is considering whether to make Narcan easier to purchase and I guess if they if they do this you won't need a prescription you can just buy it from Amazon or anywhere else I guess um now I love this I think this is the right thing to do but I can't not notice that the only time we do something that looks right is if a pharmaceutical company can make more money why is that always the case oh there's only one thing you can do about Fentanyl there's only one thing just one thing you can do coincidentally it requires giving a lot more money to a pharmaceutical company that makes the Narcan why is that is that a coincidence it doesn't feel like a coincidence does it it feels like unless somebody who is a big corporate entity can make money the government won't do a damn thing it's just like oh this drug company can make money let's do this now I'm in favor of it so I don't want to poo-poo it we should all have Narcan handy and it does work it does work well the EU is effectively Banning gas cars by 20 to 35.

so the emission requirements have been lowered to the point where no gas car could ever meet the requirement so 2035 you think that's too far away too soon so I think it's all going to be electric cars or something now of course they could always revise that in five years if it looks like it's not going to happen but I don't know I guess my biggest concern would be that they wouldn't have enough electricity I I'm not I don't hate the fact that we're moving probably to Electric yeah oh they consulted whatever they want but has to pass inside each oh okay there's a I'm seeing a uh clarification that I was not aware of that if the EU votes for it it doesn't mean anything unless the individual countries say yes that makes sense is that is that right the individual countries still have to say yes or what happens if most of them say yes and some say no they still get to do their own thing or does the EU have some kind of control over individual Nations I don't know the answer to that question all right well anyway that's developing let's talk about that Ohio explosion um how many of you believe that there are dead fish and dead birds all over the place in Palestine Ohio and that that's caused by the chemical leak yeah I've I've seen news reports both ways uh I've seen news reports that they were coincidentally dead fish and probably wasn't caused by that um I would say I don't believe those stories I'm not I'm not saying they're false but they don't feel believable to me could be yeah it's a distinct possibility but it doesn't feel and here's the part I'm trying to understand why would anybody in the government any any government local or any other why would any government official want people to go back to their homes prematurely because remember government officials they're not the ones suffering yeah they're the ones who give you mandates I think I feel like the government would be very conservative because there's nothing for them to gain to go back early but there's plenty to lose if people go back early and they have diseases from it so I I feel like the information coming out of that area is all bad it's hard to form a clear opinion on this because I just think everybody's lying about everything so I guess that's my bottom line everybody's lying about everything well the government says they still don't know what those three unidentified objects were that they shot down as of this morning do you believe that do you believe that our government does not know what those three objects are that they shot down no those are lies yeah that definitely lies do you believe that we got to today and nobody nobody in the major media neither left nor right media nobody in the major media has either mocked me for saying that here's a picture of the weather balloon with the octagonal bottom it's clearly that's what they shot down at least one of them because they said it was octagonal um nobody has either debunked me or agreed with me they've just ignored it what did I predict I predicted it would be ignored didn't I and and it's almost impossible to imagine that that could be ignored because like I said my Twitter feed hits every major news entity there's at least a producer for every news entity that follows me on Twitter they've all seen me show the picture it's an American company they can verify it by just going to the website like I it is right on the front page it's on the front page of their website big picture of an octagonal payload on a balloon now if you report that there's a UFO with an octagonal shape that's exactly like what that balloon has and you ignore the fact that a cartoonist found a picture of it on a website from the company that makes lots of them and by the way there should be a fair number of those octagonal things above our skies right now because it's a weather balloon company and they're doing well they make a lot of they make a lot of weather balloons people buy them they're in the air they're above you they're octagonal now how in the world could that be ignored by the entire media at the very least somebody should be debunking me am I right somebody should say haha cartoonist You couldn't possibly be right here's why you know that company went out of business 10 years ago their website's still up something you know that's not the case but something just anything because when was the last time I I put anything on Twitter that wasn't debunked anything no matter how right or wrong you are when you put something on Twitter somebody tries to debunk it but I put this on here and they just sort of people go nobody knows what to do with it Mike says you're wrong about facts Mike doesn't know who I am Mike I'm uh Scott Adams I'm a cartoonist uh you should learn something about me because obviously you don't know anything about me yes I did do a husband apology where I apologized for not knowing what I had done wrong and people were nice enough to accept my apology and I appreciated that all right but um does Mike did you think that I told other people what to do with the fact the so-called vaccination I'm just curious is there somebody on You.

Tube who believes I recommended somebody else get Medical Treatments do you actually believe that do you actually believe that I recommended medical treatments for people I'm pretty sure I only recommended my own situation pretty sure and why would you why would you fact check my personal medical decisions why would you do that Mike Mike why would you do that all right I'll let you go um Nikki Haley has decided to be boring um here's her uh they're talking about what her approach will be or what her slogan will be and she's working with not enough Americans feel proud of their country and it's time for a new generation of leadership and in her announcement speech she will quote lean into that idea that America America is not racist and we should be proud of who we are as Americans and generations are being taught to hate America and we need to renew our American Pride and stop I'm sorry what was I doing oh I was reading something about Nikki Haley's political uh positioning um I'm bored to death by that no I like it I like it the the things that I just said I agree with and I like but I'm not really inspired by it I mean it doesn't come close to make America great again as provocative as that is and good and both both bad ways it's just not I don't know it's just a nothing like what what exactly is Nikki Haley going to be doing about any of that something a president complained about but presidents don't have any control over the school boards and the school boards decide what the schools teach at the teachers unions will say teachers unions decide what gets taught directly or indirectly and then the children get brainwashed to you know feel bad about racism and themselves and everything else uh what is Nikki Haley going to do about any of that it's a state problem so she's running for president like she's running for governor like none of it it's just like a little bit off am I wrong and again I agree with her that America you know we should learn to think of ourselves as a non-racist country as best we can while we're still working on you know making it that I mean I think I think it makes sense to be aspirationally non-racist but what is she going to do about it what did anybody ever do about it it's just not something that the president works on so if Nikki Haley can't even come up with a like a major theme that's something a president even works on I mean yeah what's she gonna do about wars and inflation and borders and stuff like that those are interesting but the other stuff feels just like talk all right Rasmussen has a new poll that um is frightening for two different reasons I'll tell you what the poll says and then I'll tell you the two reasons is frightening one of them may be obvious the in the head-to-head matchup between Biden and Trump Biden would win okay that's the first scary thing and to be as objective as possible not because he's a Democrat that that's not why I'm saying that's bad you know some would say that but that's not my point my point is he's 100 years old that's all yeah if you were a republican I'd say the same thing too old but apparently he would win against Trump according to the Rasmussen poll now here's the second bad news the second bad news is this might indicate there's something wrong with polling and apparently there are challenges at the moment that are uh different than challenges in the past you know in the old days you just call it everybody's landline and you'd guess something that was semi-useful but now young people don't answer landlines so you have to get them through some kind of other mechanism in which there's payment so there's a payment involved and there's some thought that maybe the young people are you know just checking boxes to get a payment and maybe they're not getting the right actual opinions so there's some hypotheses within the polling Community there are some hypotheses that the polling has some kind of distortion in it that they're looking for as hard as they can so I I don't think you need to believe a poll at the moment on presidential stuff uh but uh let's hope that that gets more credible as we go all right but but they're so close I mean it's a close thing however the poll said that Trump would beat Kamala Harris if they ran against each other you know do personalities matter anymore or is it really just the process itself like the Democrats vote for the Democrats the Republicans vote for the Republicans and whoever gets out more votes and games the system the best wins it no longer feels like it's anything about the candidates because when I I play the game in my head where I change out the Republican candidates to say okay what if it's De.

Santis one of his pants what if it's Mike Pompeo and then I say to myself the same thing after I'm done I don't think it matters do you do you think that Pompeo and De.

Santis would have a different result I feel like it would be identical Trump is the only one that's like a wild card because people like really will be you know motivated people will be motivated to vote for him run against them Etc but the others are not really motivating if you had a non-motivating republican wouldn't the Democrats win I don't know that but I don't think there are enough Republicans to just win straight up if you had a generic Republican against a generic Democrat don't Democrats win every time am I wrong about that because they're just more of them right and more of them in the places where it matters Trump was losing in the polls in 2016.

well he was very close by election day I think by election day the polls were very close and in fact the result was very close Trump took the place of abortion okay um this is what it looks like when Scott says I'm not supporting Trump well I am supporting Trump because he's I'm a single issue voter this time this time it's just going to be fentanyl for me I mean I'll talk about all the issues but my own personal choice is just whose stuff is unfentanyl and if somebody else decides to be as tough As Trump but they're younger I'd probably jump to that person it's good I'm telling you I have no loyalty this time this I'm I'm operating on zero loyalty one one topic and I don't recommend that I don't recommend it for the rest of you I'm just saying my personal personal choice all right I like Trump personally um okay for what that for what that's worth all right um have you seen the uh my campaign for California Senate is going well um so far the only activity is Machiavelli's underbelly the Twitter account that you shall be following which is running sort of a campaign for me with um deep fakes so there's a shake version of me that AI creates that gives speeches that I tweet when I see them and now there's a Adam Schiff AI that gives a little talk as a goblin so as Adam Schiff represented as a goblin and uh so that's how my campaign is going um now what's happening with you know Machiavelli's underbelly and these AI uh ad campaigns they're they're not you know obviously they're not super serious in terms of my running for Senate but it's telling you a lot about what's coming you should take a look at them because imagine you could easily imagine a world in which the the version of Adam Schiff as a goblin becomes viral and you can't get it out of your head now I don't know that this one will become viral you know so far these these tweets have stayed within a smallish Community but it would only take one of them to break out and the AI is so powerful and so visual that it could completely Rebrand a candidate yeah it could totally Rebrand the candidate now the reason that the goblin one won't work is that the goblin that the AI created was kind of cute in a goblin way whereas Adam Schiff is sort of uh not like the actual Adam Schiff looks more like a creature than what AI created as the comical creature that was supposed to be him the real one is super creepy the artificial one was kind of cute so it worked opposite of you know how the power of AI could work which is making the artificial one creepy you know the uh The Uncanny Valley I talk about it too much it's the effect where if a robot looks like a proper robot it could be cute oh that's a cute little robot but if you made an Android that looked almost like a human but not quite it would be a frightening zombie look because it's like almost a person but why does it talk like this and its eyes are too open right you would be disgusted by it because it's almost human but there's something wrong ah it just makes you creep out imagine AI taking a real politician speech and only adding The Uncanny Valley just like a three percent tweak so it is the person and when you look at it you're like I feel like this is the actual person talking because it would be they would just be tweaked a little bit to make them look like The Uncanny Valley and you would be disgusted by them at a subconscious level but it would look just like that person kind of you know minus two or three percent so you can see the power of the tool in this particular example it made him look cute so it worked the opposite but you could yeah once you refine this tool a little bit and you get that uncanny valley thing going it's just going to look just like the real one minus two or three percent and I don't know if you can tell you know we we saw a preview of this when um some Democrats had their voices slowed down I think it was Nancy Pelosi if you slow down her voice by just a few percent she sounded drunk and also when you played it at full speed she sounded drunk but she sounded drunk ER if you slowed it down do you remember that right so that's the sort of small change you could make to a real thing that people would not pick up they would not pick that up they would just feel something and they wouldn't know why that's how dangerous it is now keep in mind that no hypnotist has used AI as far as I know if you put that tool in my hands you got problems right so it's a good thing I'm not you know directly working with it um so an interesting tweet I'm going to assume it's true I know it's the type of thing that's a little bit too on the nose so maybe it's not true but I'm gonna trust them in this case I'm going to trust it uh because I want to I guess but this is a tweet I saw the other day I said dear Disney we are a black family and at our daughter's request we are canceling Disney plus over uh there's a movie called The Proud Family and I guess it's a black family and the Tweet goes on says she feels beating the daughter she feels it promotes racism against whites after looking at it I have to agree with her and I am so proud of her now what happens when the common enemy is wokeness because it is the common enemy and and Americans need a common enemy like we don't do well when we don't have an external enemy right and Russia isn't working for us like we're all oh yeah yeah you crave but it's not I wouldn't say it's United in the country in any way would you it's not Ukraine does not unite the country it's just a common or Russia's sort of a common adverse area I guess so and even people don't agree whether Russia is the bad guy or or Ukraine so it's not really unifying us but here's my optimistic take a child born today literally today do you think that they will grow up embracing wokeness or rejecting it because every every new generation rejects the thing that was that their parents did right if you're born today your parents are woke right if your parents are woke are you going to be probably not I feel like the next generation is going to erase wokeness and I'm going to go further and I'll bet I don't know this some somebody may have made this prediction before I'm going to make you the weirdest out of the box prediction the kids being born today are the next Boomers not in terms of numbers probably the kid the kid's born today are the next Boomers they're going to be their grandparents and great great parents great grandparents the Boomers were uh pro-america and uh anti-victim right I mean there were more than that but they were very pro-america and they were very anti-victim they were not woke at all the the people born today are going to be pro-america because it's the opposite of what what's happening right now and they're they're going to be anti-woke because it's the opposite of what's Happening Now and as the the prediction is based entirely on that the new generation corrects what the the old generation did in excess right now I might surprise you if you haven't heard me say this I'm in favor of vogness I'm totally in favor of it I like wokeness let me say it clearly I like wokeness what I don't like is overdoing it I like drinking water if I had to drink a barrel of water a day I wouldn't like it I wouldn't like it at all right I like eating potato chips if I had to eat 100 pounds of potato chips a day I would like it I wouldn't like it at all that doesn't make potato chips not taste good they're still good I just don't want too much of it here's the right amount everybody everybody has their personal level here's the right amount of wokeness for me somebody prefers to be called by some name than another name not it doesn't matter what it is so you could say I prefer to be called black instead of African-American okay I don't have any problems with that is it inconvenient for me a little bit but that's also how Society works right we we all accept a little bit of inconvenience like I will hold the door for you even though it's a little inconvenient it's just not very inconvenient I'd rather hold the door for you because Society is just a better way to Greece Society even though it's a little bit inconvenient so wokeness to me is like that there's a little bit of good wokeness it's a little bit inconvenient but I like it because I just like being I I would like people to call me by what I would like to be called so if somebody has the same request to me I say well she on the other foot I would certainly want to be called what I consider respectful so I would ask the same thing so somebody asked me that I'm good now with the pronouns specifically I'm an anti-pronoun but I'm Pro calling people what they want to be called I just asked that you don't give me a problem when I say it wrong that's all right maybe maybe uh clarify for me if I say wrong oh I prefer you know her or him okay I have no problem with that but you don't have a problem with me if I get it wrong that that's that's my bottom line if I get it wrong don't give me any problems not not cool because I'm trying right my my head's in the right place I'm trying to give people whatever respect they think is appropriate within reason within reason and those of you who are rejected fine yeah those of you say no no no no way I like it the old way yeah I'm okay with you too yeah I don't have any problem with that all right um but I think there's something good coming from the coming generation um Twitter algorithms are so complicated the Elon Musk apparently uh concerned because his own tweets apparently sometimes would go you know to tens of millions of people and sometimes to much smaller number and he couldn't figure out why and his Engineers speculated that maybe it was because some of his tweets were not as popular or that people were kind of over him he wasn't as interesting anymore uh musk quite correctly as it turns out believed that that was BS and that there's something in the algorithm that nobody understands and so he brought together his remaining Engineers he has not yet fired and uh this is how it's reported anyway we don't know it's true we only know what's reported but what's reported is that you brought them together and they could not figure out why his his tweets get the amount of attention or lack of attention that they do now think about that the primary engineers at Twitter could not figure out how the algorithm works for Elon Musk in other words they could not predict in advance that if you put this through the algorithm it should have a predictable outcome it appears unpredictable and it appears too complicated to fix do you know how they fixed it they put in some code that forced Elon musk's tweets to be seen by more people they had to bypass their own algorithm because they didn't understand how it works or how to correct it that's what I predicted that's what I predicted I predicted it was too complicated and there was no one person at Twitter who had an idea how the algorithm Works does anybody remember me saying that long before musk took over does anybody remember me saying that uh yeah okay so some people remember yeah so it turns out it's exactly that it's too complicated for any engineer at Twitter to actually know if if the system has been gamed that was the only thing that made sense to me from the start is that the engineers didn't know themselves they didn't know now if it's possible to put in this one line of code that bumps elon's tweets higher up I think they've adjusted it since then so that may not be the case now but wouldn't that mean that any engineer who had access could have forced a line of code in there I don't know if they catch every line of code or how that works but could somebody have inserted some code without the double checking process catching it is that something that could have happened or or is any change in the code does it get flagged to somebody in charge so they can see the actual lines that have been added I would assume it gets flagged like I can't imagine you could change the code on the Fly like it would have to be a process for you know new patches going in and who looks at it and all that but it but but we were surprised or maybe we weren't that so many Engineers had access to the code or the algorithm maybe that's different so I guess we still don't know what's going on there and Elon Musk doesn't but uh here's the good news of the bad news if we can't understand how the algorithm at Twitter works it's alive it's alive no it really is it's alive we could kill it but do you know what makes people appear alive what makes us what makes anything appear alive is that you can't predict what it's going to do that's it you don't know why it does what it does if human brains were predictable algorithms where you knew if I say this to this person they will respond this exact way if you knew exactly how a person or an animal would respond exactly they would not appear alive they wouldn't they would appear to be machines because they would be machines it's only the complexity and the unpredictability of our actions that make us appear alive Twitter is unpredictable and appear apparently it exists as an entity does it reproduce apparently it reproduces in the sense that it grows and it gets new users and it gets new engagement and all of those things are like the system that you know their form the algorithm and its supporting body you could say you could say the users and all the activity outside of the algorithm are like the body of a person by analogy again this is not an argument just an explanation analogies don't work for arguments only explanations if you imagine a person is a brain but then also a body and if you don't take care of the body you know the brain can't survive so Twitter is the algorithm is like the brain is unpredictable but the body the company exists like the body of a human and so as long as Twitter The Entity exists and his brain is this algorithm it's alive the the I'm watching some people having a reaction that's not so good yeah the one thing that we cling to more than anything as human beings is that we have a soul and we're special we're not like machines we're probably very close as a civilization to learning that's wrong and that the only difference between the Twitter algorithm and you is how you feel yeah that's about it but they're both alive for all practical purposes you know free wills and Free Will is an illusion just as it is with the Twitter algorithm but if humans and Twitter algorithms are unpredictable they're both alive yeah that's a thinker isn't it um here's an update on Ukraine that's actually uh something I hadn't heard before something interesting for a change now before all of my Ukraine discussions what do I tell you I don't say this in tweets so much but I probably should um I tell you that you shouldn't believe anything that you hear about Ukraine or Russia no I don't believe that Ukraine is all good and Russia is all bad no I don't believe that I don't believe that reasons we got into the War I don't believe we know who's going to win I don't believe we know how it'll turn out don't believe any of it but it's still fun to talk about so General Petraeus who knows more than I do was asked by Peter Bergen and this is on CNN site what technologies have proven key to Ukrainian successes in this war and this is interesting so here are the top four things that General Petraeus who actually knows what he's talking about as opposed to me this is what he says we're the top technologies that are making a difference number one uh Elon musk's satellite system Elon Musk is one of the top four technologies that allow Ukraine to stay in the fight starlink the Elon Musk is again one of the most important people in the world because he built starlink so that's number one number two is the high Mars system you have the highly precise rockets and I think Whoever has the most precise Rockets wins I mean it's just so it used to be in the old days that um if you could see something you you could destroy it but that wasn't as true as it is today because the drones can see anything on the Russian side they spot anything worth destroying and now we can put a missile right on it so at this point we can see and destroy anything they want not we the ukrainians the ukrainians can see with drones and then put a missile right on it as often as they want to all day long and probably not run out of missiles I don't know how you lose I'm not sure how you could lose in that situation but I suppose the other side could have overwhelming you know artillery and make a difference all right so the other technology is uh Clear View AI do you remember Clear View AI it's a an app that law enforcement uses to identify people now not every law enforcement uses it because it's controversial people complain that they you know scraped data and that's there's a privacy problem and blah blah blah um but it works really well it the it works really well just trust me it works well so apparently the ukrainians are using it to tell who the Russians are so that they don't have any spies or uh people pretending to be ukrainians do you know how valuable that is in a war between ukrainians and Russians an app where you can tell which side they're on by their face think about that I mean think about that imagine if they couldn't tell all the things that Russia could do to them if they could just slip their Russians in as ukrainians and get behind the lines but now they can just hold the phone up and they know if you're a Russian Defector or the Spy that's that's you know kind of an amazing technology then the other thing is the Turkish armed drones that I guess the ukrainians are using uh have been devastating to Russian targets and then also the cheap commercial drones so um it looks like it's going to be a stalemate forever because the ukrainians have better stuff and maybe better training and they're more motivated the Russians have the ability to throw unlimited you know bodies into any situation so it looks like it's just going to be a tie for a long time you know little one town going back and forth but totally destroyed whenever it happens nobody wants to live there anymore yeah So eventually I guess it has to be negotiated but not until everybody's in enough pain but that'll come ukrainians were Manpower is uh decreasing true at the same time that their Precision missiles are increasing so if they're Precision missiles increase they can they can lose a lot of people and still be okay you just said whoever has the most precise Rockets wins yeah all things being equal so if you have the same amount of people on the precise Rockets would win but if you had unlimited people that you're willing to to kill then that can be an equalizer but yes I I was unclear about that uh don't you think Sean Penn hopes he gets assassinated so he can die like a dictator martyr I wonder about that sometimes uh carpet bombing yeah that would work um Russian mothers will decide the war well apparently the Russians the Russian public is completely uninterested you you know what would make a Russian citizen uninterested in the war telling them that only the dangerous prisoners are fighting oh don't worry about it we're just sending your prisoners uh I think I think if this country fought a war and you believed incorrectly but if you believed that the fighters were mostly prisoners from you know who had done serious crimes you probably wouldn't even care honestly you probably wouldn't you should but I bet you wouldn't all right all right is there any uh topic that I didn't talk about this worth talking about so I don't do the earthquakes and the um shootings I ignore those because you got plenty of that you don't need to hear all right does it feel like there's some big news coming do you feel like that I feel like there's something coming I guess there always is so that's like a generic thing to say but maybe even if there's nothing important coming it will look like it's important um World War III I I would say the odds of nuclear war are vanishingly small because Putin doesn't need it he doesn't need it I think keeping Putin in in office pretty much guarantees no nuclear war because I think he would settle for a stalemate at the moment Putin is not not bothered by his uh domestic um you know unhappiness all right so Putin has no domestic problem at home right he doesn't have a domestic problem he's not running out of money because apparently they can sell their energy to other places so he has money he has domestic support and he has a strategy which we'll end up with him controlling probably some percentage of important strategic land that he can call a success why would he nuke us there's no upside to that he basically his his worst case scenario at this point looks like he stays in office Russia stays stable the domestic people and he gets a little extra land and you know he gets to keep Crimea or something whatever whatever we negotiate we meaning the world and Ukraine so no we're not even close to nuclear war we're probably further from nuclear war than you know well I won't say we're further but now as far as China why in the world would China want to Nuke us you realize that would be insane right that would be like nuking themselves I mean they would end up getting nuked but China still requires us to exist for them to exist at the moment China can't exist successfully without the United States also existing because right now they depend on our on our technology and our markets if they nuke us how are they better off there's no scenario in which Russia or China could even conceivably imagine that launching a nuclear weapon would be in their best interest now the thing that protects us is that although she and Putin are both evil bastards nobody suggests that they're unstable Minds right everybody knows that they're working for the best interests of themselves and their countries maybe the country's second but as long as there's a stable logical smart capable people and they seem to be how evil they are probably won't matter because they're still in it for their self-interest and their self-interest has no no no no connection to using a nuclear weapon that could not possibly be a self-interest Hillary was probably crazy from the start and we're not suggesting that the leaders of Russia or China are crazy you call the Ukrainian Expedition logical yes yes because Russia will probably come out with some extra strategic goals Putin will probably look good because of it or he'll make sure that the history reports he looks good yeah it looks like it worked because remember Putin doesn't care too much about his casualties so yeah looks like he's working for him I mean not it's not working as well as he wanted but he's gonna guess of land and he'll be able to sell that as a whim uh Iran and North Korea same situation so Kim Jong-un in North Korea has his own little you know Mafia kind of situation why would he want to ruin it there's literally and by the way Kim Jong-un doesn't seem crazy to me I I don't I don't see him he's not acting crazy at all so the good news is we don't seem to have any crazy leaders who have nukes Iran is a special case but they don't act that crazy yeah even the Iranian um you know religious higher level uh considerations it doesn't get you to that level of craziness Biden yeah even Biden's not crazy enough to Nuke here are the things I think you should not worry about number one do not worry about getting nuked we're not we're not anywhere in that worry Zone nowhere near it number two don't worry that there's a ongoing War to destroy all our food sources and infrastructure there are definitely a bunch of strange things happening in that domain but there's nothing to tie them together to you know any particular for info and certainly our foreign foes are maybe trying to influence those things that are hurting us just as we might be doing the same with them but we're not aware of it so that sort of business as usual we'll work that out my take on all the things that are falling apart is that we're just at that point in the country's age where things start to crumble if you're not if you're not funding them and maintaining them so some of it's just the normal life cycle of stuff and some of it is that the news is surfacing stories to make it look like a pattern where maybe you didn't notice it before let me ask you this if the only thing you knew about what's happening in the country was from the mainstream corporate news would you believe that there's some kind of attack on the infrastructure because I think it takes social media to keep surfacing it so you it looks like more of a pattern you would say you would say yes if you watched Fox News but here's the trick Fox News is influenced by social media right if social media were not making a big deal of the fact that it looks like some kind of coordinated attack do you think Tucker Carlson would talk about it I don't think so I think only because social media sees it as a thing that the news says it's a thing or it might be a thing where people think it's a thing but you take away the social media the corporate news would just talk about whatever they wanted to talk about and you wouldn't even notice pattern you're just like oh a lot of things get attacked that'd be all that's all you think about um the attacks look like Insurance scams Maybe um yeah Ford battery China connection um I don't know the details of that story well we'll think consider this uh if there are really been a thousand derailments in the past year I think Tucker said that that is that track it feels like too high and maybe maybe derailment has all kinds of different levels you know maybe there's some kind of minor derailment where nobody gets hurt 700 average per year so that if it's 1700 per year there must be a big category of minor derailments that you never hear about right because it probably doesn't happen on the open lines it probably happens like in the the rail yard or something where things get switched around I've got a feeling that that number is misleading while not necessarily being wrong oh you think that they meant the number of cars derailed oh but still is too many it feels still too many so imagine imagine if this Ohio train had not happened so let's say the Ohio derailment never happened the one with the chemical spill if you had never heard of that one you also never would have heard of the other 1700.

and you wouldn't even be aware there was any kind of pattern so you were one trained derailment away from not knowing that any trained derailments happen do you know what I would have guessed per year if you'd said guess how many train derailments there are in the United States per year I would have said on average one I would have guessed that there are several years in a row when done you know sort of like plane accidents I would I would have guessed like plane accidents there could be years with none and then the other to be one and maybe in a weird case it'll be two but basically I would have guessed one 1700 doesn't sound slightly believable to me but imagine that you never would have heard of them without that one the Ohio one without Ohio you would still think it's either one maybe three yeah hot pocket I agree with you they're they're probably more you know technical derailments at the train yard where it's all you know slow and you can correct it more easily probably that makes sense yeah derailment doesn't mean crash correct derailment could mean they just immediately stop and then figure out how to fix it um you said derailments caused by shunts you believe that there were 1700 derailments caused by the that trick where they put a wire across the rail somehow and they short out something no if that were the case that would be the biggest story in the country wouldn't it yeah wouldn't we have like a massive FBI Department working on that and how in the world can they not figure out who's doing that when we can figure out who does anything how in the world are there not already trail cams on all the real real loans railroad sections uh oh hold on here let's see a derailment can be caused by Collision um uh many derailments are minor this is from Wikipedia yeah so there are many derailments are minor that's what we I guess that's what we knew of those 400 is caused by okay of a thousand per year according to the Federal Railroad Administration of the thousands per year 400 caused by track defects um another five or six hundred by human error okay um why are the residents of Palestinian Ohio not getting Palestine Ohio not getting hotel rooms for free I don't know maybe they don't have any I can't imagine there's a whole lot of Hotel business in that town the chemicals were not to be on those tracks is that the story is there a story that those chemicals should not be that should not have been transported on those tracks I don't know about that one oh okay all right I'm gonna run I gotta go Goodbye You.

Tube I'll see you later best You.

Tube uh live stream you've seen today

you YouTube people

good morning and welcome to the

highlight of civilization itself it's

called coffee with Scott Adams there's

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blah blah coffee with Scott Adams yeah

it's like that everywhere and if you

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Joker flask a vessel of any kind fill it

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the thing makes everything better it's

called the simultaneous Sip and it

happens now go

oh sip sip Surrey

yeah no sip sip sorry now that doesn't

work

all right well

the news is

funny and unimportant today mostly funny

and unimportant and that's the best kind

the best kind of news is the stuff you

can be entertained by and not worry

about too much

so number one in the news that isn't

very important at all but it's funny

uh White House spokesperson Jean-Pierre

uh she said quote

the president is the best Communicator

that we have in the White House

I will pause while you enjoy the Deep

hearty laugh that you're having at home

ha ha

and as you might imagine the Wags the

critics

the people who just can't handle a happy

thought

they waited and they said things like

well that explains a lot

oh

you're reminding me of the cruelest

thing

that a teacher ever said to a child

it happened in a science class my

science class I was in it when I was I

don't know 14 or 15 or something and

I've been inside this class and our

science teacher was a very well-known

badass in the town so he was a teacher

but he was a badass

and one day he was telling us that you

know you can't look at the sun because

it would you know burn your redness or

something

and there was a kid in the first row

who raised his hand and you'd have to

know that the kid in the first row

uh he had been promoted since

kindergarten without passing any classes

now that was how they did it in the old

days I think he passed zero classes but

he'd already gotten into high school so

they didn't really have like a special

class for the people who couldn't pass

any class he had you know serious

learning disability problems

and so this kid who was famous as being

the one kid who probably had never

literally never passed a class he's

sitting there and the professor says you

know you can't look at the sun you know

don't look at the Sun

and the kidney front row raises the hand

he goes I look at the sun all the time

and the professor looks at him they're

not Professor but the the science

teacher

the science teacher looks at him and in

front of the entire class he goes

well that explains a lot

that actually happened

if you could imagine

that the rest of us were crying because

it was so cruel and funny at the same

time it was really cruel

but it was very funny

true story so uh yes the the Biden is

the best Communicator in the White House

and uh maybe that does explain a lot

maybe he does

well Wall Street Journal is reporting

that speed dating is making a comeback

if you don't know what that is it's

where a bunch of single people get

together and they uh they quickly spend

like a minute with each other I don't

know how fast the speed is but it's

really fast so something like a minute

or two you spend with each person you

sit down and say how you doing for about

a minute it's about five minutes

somebody says a few a few minutes I

guess and you use the power of First

Impressions basically because first

impressions are weirdly

reliable in terms of attraction

so here's my prediction

I don't think that online dating

can be a viable long-term solution

and you know that's been well discussed

you know that the the most attractive

guys get 100 of the female interest and

that leaves everybody you know

scrambling for the the scraps I guess

but on top of that

um is there anybody here who uses online

dating

is this even a like a category that

anybody watching this cares about

some of you all right I want I want to

see if I can get a confirmation of this

everybody's lying right

or are the men not lying about their

height and their income and showing old

pictures and are the women not lying

about their appearance and taking the

one photograph that makes them look like

a different person or using the

photograph from 15 years ago and

so

I wouldn't believe anything I saw on an

online dating profile

so it the the whole point of the whole

point of online dating is that you get

more and better information about

Alternatives and you can contact them

right the whole point

is more and better information about

your Alternatives and the ability to

contact them

but once you remove any honesty

there is no information all it is is you

contacting a random person who may or

may not have something in common with

that that online profile so it's

basically just turned into the phone

book

online dating is just the phone book

from the 70s if you had a phone book in

the 70s you can flip through and

randomly dial a number and ask for

somebody for a date

the problem with that is you would have

no idea who you were calling

just like online dating

in 2023 just because the profile says

they're a certain thing it doesn't mean

anything it doesn't have any any

informational value whatsoever you have

no idea who you're getting it's just a

phone book so I'm not surprised that

online or I'm sorry in-person dating

would have a comeback

I feel like that has to happen because

people don't give up on mating

you know young people aren't going to

say well online dating doesn't work so

we just won't do it anymore

I think it has to move back to in person

wouldn't you say what do you think

is it not

um

is it not inevitable that online all the

online stuff is broken so it will become

less important

now we'll see well there's a Harvard

study or study of Harvard people I guess

they've been studying uh 260 Harvard

sophomores they started studying them in

1938 you know trying to find out various

things about their lifestyle and health

and happiness and they basically just

track this little group

what they believe they found

and I believe that they of course did

not find it but what they believe they

found is that the people who had the

best

social lives were the happiest by the

time they reached 80.

the people with the best social

experiences you know the best satisfying

social lives were the happiest at age

80.

what's wrong with that study

it's the whole correlation causation

problem every time

every time

because

I have a feeling that the people who are

able to have satisfying social lives

are probably different kinds of people

does somebody who weighs 400 pounds

have the same access to a happy social

life as someone who doesn't

what do you think

if you weighed 400 pounds would your

social life just be rated

I don't think so if you had you know

some serious health problem

would your dating life be as good as if

you didn't

I mean to me it looks like healthy

people are happier

that's all it is and are you surprised

that healthier people are happier

that that feels like

you haven't learned anything I mean

there's nothing in the information

that's telling you or anything so I feel

like this study first of all it's not

that many people secondly they came from

Harvard so that's a weird sample but to

me it's obvious that good relationships

make people happier

you know no question about that but I

don't think I don't think

you know the 400 pound person can say oh

I know how to be happy now I'll just go

have a good relationships now there's

something about the 400 pounder

that they need to change before the good

relationships are going to be coming in

quantity

so

I think it's basically just a health a

health impact

that they confuse with causation again

well Alex Berenson is catching up to me

finally

finally

so he's got a pretty provocative and

interesting

um

peace in sub stack and he he allowed

everybody to see this one so it's not

behind the paywall and I recommend it

looks like it's well written and

interesting and he starts out by saying

that the regular seasonal flu shots

are closer to a placebo than an actual

useful thing

who who told you that first

who's the first person who told you that

the regular annual flu shot was

well I've been saying it I've been

saying it since the beginning of the

pandemic

because I never I never believed that

people were dying from regular flu at

least in 50 000 a year yeah whoever

believed that 30 000 people a year were

dying from the regular flu

and then therefore you needed to get a

shot so you maybe you wouldn't die

I never believed that

to me that was that just always looked

like obviously so I I have not

taken the regular annual flu shot

for some years I don't know how many

all right so it's good to see that Alex

Berenson has caught up to me on the

regular flu shots being completely

useless

but in his article

um

he had this statement that I thought

perfectly captures my point of view

uh so this is from Alex Berenson well

one of the most famous Skeptics of the

uh covid shots

he says in his peace today quote we now

have two years of real world data on the

MRNA the MRNA shots based on billions of

doses

putting side effects aside so he and I

both accept that the MRNA stuff would

have higher side effects than

traditional things so he and I have

always been on the same side

that the new technology is riskier

all right so we always agreed on that

um

and uh he says putting aside the side

effects that he and I agree on they work

extremely well against covid for about

four months after the second shot

so the the vaccinations only work but

well for about four months

so by complete luck

complete luck I got my second dose right

before the Delta phase

which turned out to be the perfect time

to do it because if Alex Berenson is

right that it was very protective but

only for about four months I hit the

four months perfectly

the four months that I was most

protected was during Delta

now I didn't I didn't plan that but I

had you know the I had the best

accidental timing

now

you would argue that it would be better

not to have any of it in you at this

point and I agree

do we agree on that

as of today if you don't you know if you

didn't get any Delta or Alpha you're way

better off if you just didn't get

vaccinated I think you know with below a

certain age for sure

so I think Alex and I are in exactly the

same page on all of this stuff I would

agree with them completely that uh

getting vaccinated for Omicron would be

a sketchy situation I'm not sure why I

would I would agree with them and always

have that I didn't understand why young

people were getting vaccinated

but apparently for older people and

people have comorbidities and uh people

who got the shot at exactly the right

time it might have been a good insurance

policy

and I did some research to see if the

current thinking is if the vaccinations

uh so-called

not really vaccinations but if the shots

actually had protective effect against

long covet and the current thinking is

yes

not complete production but it would

reduce it

so it looks like I hit it exactly by

luck

all right let's talk about retail sales

jump three percent the news is crowing

uh what would cause retail sales to go

up three percent in January

what uh is there any macro

large economic influence that's been

happening lately called in Flay in Flay

inflation inflation I believe is the

word yeah

can you believe that the news reported

three percent higher retail sales

without mentioning that that's sort of

the rate of inflation

at least for a lot of items it depends

on the item

but okay

all right and this caused me to ask the

following question

what happened to that supply chain

emergency

are are docs still uh to have ships like

waiting for days

did that just stop

how did the news just sort of is sort of

Peter down right

what happened

why why is the news never reported about

all those ships that used to be waiting

to be unloaded but weren't unloaded

how in the world does a story that big

just disappear

do you have I mean seriously I don't

know I don't know how that could happen

like what is happening

there there's something

terrible happening

that this could even be Florida took up

the slack

but there must have been something that

happened

what was it that we slowly adjusted and

moved back to normal as as I see the

comment there or was it that we did

something clever

and that made a difference

or was it never real

I have no idea

isn't that weird

uh did you even notice that in my

opinion that was the biggest story in

the world

because the supply chain problem could

have crashed a lot of stuff and might

still might still

so I asked people you know and so I

tweeted that

and a number of people said no we still

have big problems getting stuff it takes

a long time and a lot of stuff they're

getting seems to be important for you

know the infrastructure and the power

grid and and all that stuff now I've

also noticed that if I'm buying

something sometimes it takes longer to

get here

but I haven't really hasn't been a big

deal in my life

um

yeah I I haven't really noticed any big

deal and I've bought

you know a reasonable number of things

recently they all seem to come maybe

assist I got used to waiting for two

months

because there's a lot of stuff that I

buy now that I wait two months for

and that no longer seems like a long

time to me

specific Firearms or six day months I

can see that but you know it was always

the case

it was always the case there's some

things took months even in the best of

times you know if you buy a high-end car

and let's say a BMW with certain

features you're going to wait months for

that because they have to build it for

you and ship it over here

you've been waiting a month and a half

for some bowling shirts from China

yeah I did have one you know small item

that took a few months but I feel as if

maybe just we all got used to it and it

was never

you're never going to kill us I know

the FDA is considering whether to make

Narcan easier to purchase

and I guess if they if they do this

you won't need a prescription you can

just buy it from Amazon or anywhere else

I guess

um now I love this

I think this is the right thing to do

but

I can't not notice

that the only time we do something that

looks right is if a pharmaceutical

company can make more money

why is that always the case

oh there's only one thing you can do

about

Fentanyl

there's only one thing

just one thing you can do coincidentally

it requires giving a lot more money to a

pharmaceutical company that makes the

Narcan

why is that is that a coincidence

it doesn't feel like a coincidence does

it it feels like unless somebody who is

a big corporate entity can make money

the government won't do a damn thing

it's just like oh this drug company can

make money let's do this now I'm in

favor of it so I don't want to poo-poo

it we should all have Narcan handy and

it does work it does work

well the EU

is effectively Banning gas cars by 20 to

35.

so the emission requirements have been

lowered to the point where no gas car

could ever meet the requirement

so 2035

you think that's too far away too soon

so I think it's all going to be electric

cars or something now of course they

could always revise that in five years

if it looks like it's not going to

happen

but

I don't know

I guess my biggest concern would be that

they wouldn't have enough electricity

I I'm not I don't hate the fact

that we're moving probably to Electric

yeah oh they consulted whatever they

want but has to pass inside each oh okay

there's a I'm seeing a uh clarification

that I was not aware of that if the EU

votes for it it doesn't mean anything

unless the individual countries say yes

that makes sense

is that is that right the individual

countries still have to say yes or what

happens if most of them say yes and some

say no

they still get to do their own thing

or does the EU have some kind of control

over individual Nations

I don't know the answer to that question

all right well anyway that's developing

let's talk about that Ohio explosion

um

how many of you believe that there are

dead fish and dead birds all over the

place

in Palestine Ohio and that that's caused

by the chemical leak

yeah I've I've seen news reports both

ways

uh I've seen news reports that they were

coincidentally dead fish and probably

wasn't caused by that

um I would say I don't believe those

stories

I'm not I'm not saying they're false

but they don't feel believable to me

could be yeah it's a distinct

possibility

but it doesn't feel and here's the part

I'm trying to understand

why would anybody in the government any

any government local or any other why

would any government official

want people to go back to their homes

prematurely

because remember government officials

they're not the ones suffering yeah

they're the ones who give you mandates

I think I feel like the government

would be very conservative because

there's nothing for them to gain to go

back early

but there's plenty to lose if people go

back early and they have diseases from

it so I I feel like the information

coming out of that area is all bad

it's hard to form a clear opinion on

this because I just think everybody's

lying about everything

so I guess that's my bottom line

everybody's lying about everything

well the government says they still

don't know what those three unidentified

objects were that they shot down as of

this morning do you believe that

do you believe that our government does

not know

what those three objects are that they

shot down no those are lies yeah that

definitely lies

do you believe that we got to today

and nobody nobody in the major media

neither left nor right media nobody in

the major media has either mocked me

for saying that here's a picture of the

weather balloon with the octagonal

bottom it's clearly that's what they

shot down at least one of them

because they said it was octagonal

um nobody has either debunked me

or agreed with me

they've just ignored it

what did I predict

I predicted it would be ignored

didn't I and and it's almost impossible

to imagine that that could be ignored

because like I said my Twitter feed hits

every major news entity there's at least

a producer for every news entity that

follows me on Twitter

they've all seen me show the picture

it's an American company they can verify

it by just going to the website like I

it is right on the front page it's on

the front page of their website big

picture of an octagonal payload on a

balloon

now

if you report that there's a UFO with an

octagonal shape that's exactly like what

that balloon has

and you ignore the fact that a

cartoonist found a picture of it on a

website from the company that makes lots

of them and by the way

there should be a fair number of those

octagonal things above our skies right

now

because it's a weather balloon company

and they're doing well they make a lot

of they make a lot of weather balloons

people buy them they're in the air

they're above you they're octagonal now

how in the world could that be ignored

by the entire media

at the very least somebody should be

debunking me

am I right

somebody should say haha cartoonist You

couldn't possibly be right here's why

you know that company went out of

business 10 years ago their website's

still up something you know that's not

the case but something just anything

because when was the last time I I put

anything on Twitter that wasn't debunked

anything

no matter how right or wrong you are

when you put something on Twitter

somebody tries to debunk it

but I put this on here and they just

sort of people go

nobody knows what to do with it

Mike says you're wrong about facts

Mike doesn't know who I am

Mike I'm uh Scott Adams

I'm a cartoonist

uh you should learn something about me

because obviously you don't know

anything about me

yes I did do a husband apology where I

apologized for not knowing what I had

done wrong

and people were nice enough to accept my

apology and I appreciated that

all right

but

um

does Mike did you think that I told

other people what to do with the fact

the so-called vaccination

I'm just curious

is there somebody on YouTube

who believes I recommended somebody else

get Medical Treatments

do you actually believe that

do you actually believe

that I recommended medical

treatments for people

I'm pretty sure I only recommended my

own situation

pretty sure

and why would you why would you fact

check my personal medical decisions

why would you do that

Mike

Mike why would you do that all right

I'll let you go

um Nikki Haley has decided to be boring

um here's her uh they're talking about

what her approach will be or what her

slogan will be

and

she's working with not enough Americans

feel proud of their country and it's

time for a new generation of leadership

and in her announcement speech she will

quote lean into that idea that America

America is not racist and we should be

proud of who we are as Americans

and generations are being taught to hate

America and we need to renew our

American Pride and stop

I'm sorry what was I doing oh I was

reading something about Nikki Haley's

political uh positioning

um I'm bored to death by that

no I like it I like it the the things

that I just said

I agree with and I like but I'm not

really inspired by it

I mean it doesn't come close to make

America great again as provocative as

that is and good and both both bad ways

it's just not I don't know it's just a

nothing

like what what exactly is Nikki Haley

going to be doing about any of that

something a president complained about

but presidents don't have any control

over the school boards and the school

boards decide what the schools teach at

the teachers unions will say teachers

unions decide what gets taught directly

or indirectly

and then the children get brainwashed to

you know feel bad about racism and

themselves and everything else

uh what is Nikki Haley going to do about

any of that

it's a state problem

so she's running for president like

she's running for governor like none of

it it's just like a little bit off

am I wrong

and again I agree with her that America

you know we should learn to think of

ourselves as a non-racist country as

best we can while we're still working on

you know making it that I mean I think I

think it makes sense to be

aspirationally non-racist

but what is she going to do about it

what did anybody ever do about it

it's just not something that the

president works on

so if Nikki Haley can't even come up

with a like a major theme that's

something a president even works on I

mean

yeah what's she gonna do about wars and

inflation and

borders and stuff like that those are

interesting

but the other stuff feels just like talk

all right Rasmussen has a new poll

that

um

is frightening for two different reasons

I'll tell you what the poll says and

then I'll tell you the two reasons is

frightening

one of them may be obvious

the in the head-to-head matchup between

Biden and Trump Biden would win

okay that's the first scary thing

and

to be as objective as possible not

because he's a Democrat that that's not

why I'm saying that's bad

you know some would say that but that's

not my point my point is he's 100 years

old

that's all yeah if you were a republican

I'd say the same thing too old

but apparently he would win against

Trump according to the Rasmussen poll

now here's the second bad news

the second bad news is this might

indicate there's something wrong with

polling

and apparently there are challenges at

the moment

that are uh different than challenges in

the past you know in the old days you

just call it everybody's landline

and you'd guess something that was

semi-useful but now young people don't

answer landlines so you have to get them

through some kind of other mechanism in

which there's payment

so there's a payment involved and

there's some thought that maybe the

young people are you know just checking

boxes to get a payment and maybe they're

not getting the right actual opinions

so there's some hypotheses

within the polling Community there are

some hypotheses that the polling

has some kind of distortion in it that

they're looking for as hard as they can

so I I don't think you need to believe a

poll at the moment

on presidential stuff uh

but uh let's hope that that gets more

credible as we go

all right

but but they're so close I mean it's a

close thing however the poll said that

Trump would beat Kamala Harris if they

ran against each other you know

do personalities matter anymore or is it

really just the process itself

like the Democrats vote for the

Democrats the Republicans vote for the

Republicans and whoever gets out more

votes and games the system the best wins

it no longer feels like it's anything

about the candidates

because when I I play the game in my

head where I change out the Republican

candidates to say okay what if it's

DeSantis one of his pants what if it's

Mike Pompeo

and then I say to myself the same thing

after I'm done I don't think it matters

do you

do you think that Pompeo and DeSantis

would have a different result

I feel like it would be identical

Trump is the only one that's like a wild

card

because people like really will be you

know motivated

people will be motivated to vote for him

run against them Etc but the others are

not really motivating

if you had a non-motivating republican

wouldn't the Democrats win

I don't know that

but I don't think there are enough

Republicans to just win straight up if

you had a generic Republican against a

generic Democrat don't Democrats win

every time

am I wrong about that because they're

just more of them right and more of them

in the places where it matters

Trump was losing in the polls in 2016.

well he was very close by election day I

think by election day the polls were

very close

and in fact the result was very close

Trump took the place of abortion

okay

um

this is what it looks like when Scott

says I'm not supporting Trump

well I am supporting Trump

because he's I'm a single issue voter

this time this time it's just going to

be fentanyl for me I mean I'll talk

about all the issues but my own personal

choice is just whose stuff is unfentanyl

and if somebody else decides to be as

tough As Trump but they're younger

I'd probably jump to that person

it's good I'm telling you I have no

loyalty this time this I'm I'm operating

on zero loyalty one one topic and I

don't recommend that I don't recommend

it for the rest of you I'm just saying

my personal personal choice

all right I like Trump personally

um okay for what that for what that's

worth all right

um have you seen the uh my campaign for

California Senate is going well

um so far the only activity is

Machiavelli's underbelly the Twitter

account that you shall be following

which is running sort of a campaign for

me with

um

deep fakes so there's a shake version of

me that AI creates that gives speeches

that I tweet when I see them and now

there's a Adam Schiff AI that gives a

little talk as a goblin

so as Adam Schiff represented as a

goblin and uh so that's how my campaign

is going

um

now what's happening with you know

Machiavelli's underbelly and these AI uh

ad campaigns they're they're not you

know obviously they're not super serious

in terms of my running for Senate but

it's telling you a lot about what's

coming

you should take a look at them because

imagine you could easily imagine a world

in which the the version of Adam Schiff

as a goblin

becomes viral

and you can't get it out of your head

now I don't know that this one will

become viral you know so far these these

tweets have stayed within a smallish

Community but it would only take one of

them to break out and the AI is so

powerful and so visual

that it could completely Rebrand a

candidate

yeah it could totally Rebrand the

candidate now the reason that the goblin

one won't work is that the goblin that

the AI created was kind of cute

in a goblin way

whereas Adam Schiff is sort of

uh not

like the actual Adam Schiff looks more

like a creature

than what AI created as the comical

creature that was supposed to be him the

real one is super creepy

the artificial one was kind of cute so

it worked opposite of you know how the

power of AI could work which is making

the artificial one creepy you know the

uh

The Uncanny Valley I talk about it too

much it's the effect where if a robot

looks like a proper robot it could be

cute oh that's a cute little robot but

if you made an Android that looked

almost like a human but not quite it

would be a frightening zombie look

because it's like almost a person but

why does it talk like this and its eyes

are too open right you would be

disgusted by it because it's almost

human but there's something wrong ah it

just makes you creep out

imagine AI

taking a real politician speech and only

adding The Uncanny Valley

just like a three percent tweak

so it is the person and when you look at

it you're like I feel like this is the

actual person talking because it would

be they would just be tweaked a little

bit to make them look like The Uncanny

Valley and you would be disgusted by

them at a subconscious level

but it would look just like that person

kind of you know minus two or three

percent

so you can see the power of the tool in

this particular example it made him look

cute so it worked the opposite but you

could yeah once you refine this tool a

little bit and you get that uncanny

valley thing going

it's just going to look just like the

real one

minus two or three percent and I don't

know if you can tell you know we we saw

a preview of this when

um some Democrats had their voices

slowed down

I think it was Nancy Pelosi if you slow

down her voice by just a few percent she

sounded drunk

and also when you played it at full

speed she sounded drunk but she sounded

drunk ER if you slowed it down

do you remember that right so that's the

sort of small change you could make to a

real thing that people would not pick up

they would not pick that up they would

just feel something and they wouldn't

know why

that's how dangerous it is now keep in

mind that no hypnotist has used AI as

far as I know

if you put that tool in my hands you got

problems right so it's a good thing I'm

not you know directly working with it

um

so an interesting tweet I'm going to

assume it's true

I know it's the type of thing that's a

little bit too on the nose so maybe it's

not true but I'm gonna trust them in

this case I'm going to trust it uh

because I want to I guess

but this is a tweet I saw the other day

I said dear Disney

we are a black family and at our

daughter's request we are canceling

Disney plus over uh there's a movie

called The Proud Family and I guess it's

a black family and the Tweet goes on

says she feels beating the daughter she

feels it promotes racism against whites

after looking at it I have to agree with

her and I am so proud of her

now

what happens

when the common enemy is wokeness

because it is the common enemy

and and Americans need a common enemy

like we don't do well when we don't have

an external enemy

right and Russia isn't working for us

like we're all oh yeah yeah you crave

but it's not I wouldn't say it's United

in the country in any way would you

it's not Ukraine does not unite the

country it's just a common or Russia's

sort of a common adverse area I guess

so and even people don't agree whether

Russia is the bad guy or or Ukraine so

it's not really unifying us

but here's my optimistic take

a child born today

literally today

do you think that they will grow up

embracing wokeness

or rejecting it because every every new

generation rejects the thing that was

that their parents did

right if you're born today your parents

are woke

right

if your parents are woke are you going

to be

probably not

I feel like the next generation is going

to erase wokeness and I'm going to go

further and I'll bet I don't know this

some somebody may have made this

prediction before I'm going to make you

the weirdest out of the box prediction

the kids being born today

are the next Boomers

not in terms of numbers probably

the kid the kid's born today are the

next Boomers

they're going to be their grandparents

and great great parents great

grandparents

the Boomers were uh pro-america

and uh anti-victim

right I mean there were more than that

but they were very pro-america and they

were very anti-victim they were not woke

at all the the people born today are

going to be pro-america because it's the

opposite of what what's happening right

now and they're they're going to be

anti-woke because it's the opposite of

what's Happening Now

and as the the prediction is based

entirely on

that the new generation corrects what

the the old generation did in excess

right now I might surprise you if you

haven't heard me say this I'm in favor

of vogness

I'm totally in favor of it I like

wokeness let me say it clearly I like

wokeness

what I don't like is overdoing it

I like drinking water

if I had to drink a barrel of water a

day I wouldn't like it I wouldn't like

it at all

right I like eating potato chips if I

had to eat 100 pounds of potato chips a

day I would like it I wouldn't like it

at all that doesn't make potato chips

not taste good

they're still good

I just don't want too much of it

here's the right amount

everybody everybody has their personal

level here's the right amount of

wokeness for me

somebody prefers to be called by some

name than another name not it doesn't

matter what it is so you could say I

prefer to be called black instead of

African-American

okay

I don't have any problems with that is

it inconvenient for me a little bit

but that's also how Society works right

we we all accept a little bit of

inconvenience like I will hold the door

for you

even though it's a little inconvenient

it's just not very inconvenient I'd

rather hold the door for you

because Society is just a better way to

Greece Society

even though it's a little bit

inconvenient so wokeness to me is like

that there's a little bit of good

wokeness it's a little bit inconvenient

but I like it because I just like being

I I would like people to call me by what

I would like to be called

so if somebody has the same request to

me I say well

she on the other foot I would certainly

want to be called what I consider

respectful

so I would ask the same thing

so somebody asked me that I'm good now

with the pronouns specifically I'm an

anti-pronoun

but I'm Pro calling people what they

want to be called

I just asked that you don't give me a

problem when I say it wrong that's all

right maybe maybe uh clarify for me if I

say wrong oh I prefer you know her or

him

okay

I have no problem with that

but you don't have a problem with me if

I get it wrong that that's that's my

bottom line if I get it wrong

don't give me any problems

not not cool because I'm trying right my

my head's in the right place I'm trying

to give people whatever respect they

think is appropriate within reason

within reason

and those of you who are rejected

fine

yeah those of you say no no no no way

I like it the old way yeah I'm okay with

you too yeah I don't have any problem

with that

all right

um

but I think there's something good

coming from the coming generation

um

Twitter algorithms are so complicated

the Elon Musk apparently uh

concerned

because his own tweets apparently

sometimes would go you know to tens of

millions of people and sometimes to much

smaller number

and he couldn't figure out why

and his Engineers speculated that maybe

it was because some of his tweets were

not

as popular or that people were kind of

over him he wasn't as interesting

anymore

uh musk quite correctly as it turns out

believed that that was BS and that

there's something in the algorithm that

nobody understands

and so he brought together his remaining

Engineers he has not yet fired

and uh this is how it's reported anyway

we don't know it's true we only know

what's reported but what's reported

is that you brought them together and

they could not figure out why his his

tweets get the amount of attention or

lack of attention that they do

now think about that the primary

engineers at Twitter could not figure

out how the algorithm works

for Elon Musk

in other words they could not predict in

advance

that if you put this through the

algorithm it should have a predictable

outcome it appears unpredictable

and it appears too complicated to fix do

you know how they fixed it

they put in some code that forced Elon

musk's tweets to be seen by more people

they had to bypass

their own algorithm because they didn't

understand how it works or how to

correct it

that's what I predicted

that's what I predicted I predicted it

was too complicated and there was no one

person at Twitter who had an idea how

the algorithm Works does anybody

remember me saying that long before musk

took over

does anybody remember me saying that

uh yeah okay so some people remember

yeah so it turns out it's exactly that

it's too complicated for any engineer at

Twitter to actually know if if the

system has been gamed

that was the only thing that made sense

to me from the start

is that the engineers didn't know

themselves they didn't know

now if it's possible to put in this one

line of code that bumps elon's tweets

higher up I think they've adjusted it

since then so that may not be the case

now

but wouldn't that mean that any engineer

who had access could have forced a line

of code in there I don't know if they

catch every line of code or how that

works but could somebody have inserted

some code

without the double checking process

catching it

is that something that could have

happened

or or is any change in the code does it

get flagged to somebody in charge so

they can see the actual lines that have

been added

I would assume it gets flagged

like I can't imagine you could change

the code on the Fly

like it would have to be a process for

you know new patches going in and who

looks at it and all that

but it but but we were surprised or

maybe we weren't

that so many Engineers had access to the

code or the algorithm maybe that's

different

so I guess we still don't know what's

going on there and Elon Musk doesn't but

uh

here's the good news of the bad news

if we can't understand how the algorithm

at Twitter works

it's alive

it's alive

no it really is it's alive

we could kill it

but do you know what makes people appear

alive

what makes us what makes anything appear

alive is that you can't predict what

it's going to do

that's it

you don't know why it does what it does

if human brains were predictable

algorithms

where you knew if I say this to this

person they will respond this exact way

if you knew exactly how a person or an

animal would respond exactly

they would not appear alive

they wouldn't they would appear to be

machines because they would be machines

it's only the complexity and the

unpredictability of our actions that

make us appear alive

Twitter is unpredictable

and appear apparently it exists as an

entity

does it reproduce

apparently it reproduces in the sense

that it grows and it gets new users and

it gets new engagement

and all of those things are like the

system that you know their form the

algorithm and its supporting body you

could say you could say the users and

all the activity outside of the

algorithm are like the body of a person

by analogy again this is not an argument

just an explanation analogies don't work

for arguments only explanations

if you imagine a person is a brain but

then also a body and if you don't take

care of the body you know the brain

can't survive so Twitter

is the algorithm is like the brain

is unpredictable

but the body the company

exists like the body of a human and so

as long as Twitter The Entity exists and

his brain is this algorithm

it's alive

the the I'm watching some people having

a reaction that's not so good yeah

the one thing that we cling to more than

anything as human beings is that we have

a soul and we're special we're not like

machines

we're probably very close as a

civilization to learning that's wrong

and that the only difference between the

Twitter algorithm and you

is how you feel

yeah that's about it but they're both

alive

for all practical purposes you know free

wills and Free Will is an illusion just

as it is with the Twitter algorithm but

if humans and Twitter algorithms are

unpredictable

they're both alive

yeah that's a thinker isn't it

um

here's an update on Ukraine that's

actually uh something I hadn't heard

before something interesting for a

change

now before all of my Ukraine discussions

what do I tell you

I don't say this in tweets so much but I

probably should

um I tell you that you shouldn't believe

anything that you hear about

Ukraine or Russia no I don't believe

that Ukraine is all good and Russia is

all bad no I don't believe that I don't

believe that reasons we got into the War

I don't believe we know who's going to

win I don't believe we know how it'll

turn out

don't believe any of it but it's still

fun to talk about so General Petraeus

who knows more than I do was asked by

Peter Bergen and this is on CNN site

what technologies have proven key to

Ukrainian successes in this war

and

this is interesting

so here are the top four things that

General Petraeus who actually knows what

he's talking about as opposed to me this

is what he says we're the top

technologies that are making a

difference

number one uh Elon musk's satellite

system

Elon Musk is one of the top four

technologies that allow Ukraine to stay

in the fight starlink

the Elon Musk is again

one of the most important people in the

world

because he built starlink

so that's number one

number two is the high Mars system you

have the highly precise rockets and I

think Whoever has the most precise

Rockets wins

I mean it's just

so it used to be in the old days that

um if you could see something you you

could destroy it

but that wasn't as true as it is today

because the drones can see anything on

the Russian side they spot anything

worth destroying and now we can put a

missile right on it

so at this point

we can see and destroy

anything they want not we the ukrainians

the ukrainians can see

with drones and then put a missile right

on it as often as they want to all day

long and probably not run out of

missiles

I don't know how you lose I'm not sure

how you could lose in that situation but

I suppose the other side could have

overwhelming you know artillery and make

a difference all right so the other

technology is uh Clear View AI

do you remember Clear View AI it's a an

app that law enforcement uses to

identify people now not every law

enforcement

uses it because it's controversial

people complain that they you know

scraped data and that's there's a

privacy problem and blah blah blah

um but

it works really well

it the

it works really well just trust me it

works well so apparently the ukrainians

are using it to tell who the Russians

are so that they don't have any spies or

uh

people pretending to be ukrainians

do you know how valuable that is in a

war between ukrainians and Russians an

app where you can tell which side

they're on

by their face

think about that

I mean think about that imagine if they

couldn't tell

all the things that Russia could do to

them

if they could just slip their Russians

in as ukrainians and get behind the

lines but now they can just hold the

phone up and they know if you're a

Russian Defector or the Spy

that's that's you know kind of an

amazing technology then the other thing

is the Turkish armed drones

that I guess the ukrainians are using uh

have been devastating to Russian targets

and then also the cheap commercial

drones

so

um it looks like it's going to be a

stalemate forever

because the ukrainians have better stuff

and maybe better training and they're

more motivated the Russians have the

ability to throw unlimited you know

bodies into any situation so it looks

like it's just going to be a tie for a

long time you know little one town going

back and forth but totally destroyed

whenever it happens nobody wants to live

there anymore

yeah So eventually I guess it has to be

negotiated but not until everybody's in

enough pain but that'll come

ukrainians were Manpower is uh

decreasing true at the same time that

their Precision missiles are increasing

so if they're Precision missiles

increase

they can they can lose a lot of people

and still be okay

you just said whoever has the most

precise Rockets wins yeah all things

being equal

so if you have the same amount of people

on the precise Rockets would win but if

you had unlimited people

that you're willing to to kill then that

can be an equalizer but yes I I was

unclear about that

uh

don't you think Sean Penn hopes he gets

assassinated so he can die like a

dictator martyr

I wonder about that sometimes

uh carpet bombing yeah that would work

um

Russian mothers will decide the war well

apparently the Russians the Russian

public is completely uninterested

you you know what would make a Russian

citizen uninterested in the war

telling them that only the dangerous

prisoners are fighting oh don't worry

about it we're just sending your

prisoners

uh I think I think if this country

fought a war and you believed

incorrectly but if you believed that the

fighters were mostly prisoners from you

know who had done serious crimes you

probably wouldn't even care

honestly you probably wouldn't

you should but I bet you wouldn't

all right all right

is there any uh topic that I didn't talk

about this worth talking about so I

don't do the earthquakes and the

um shootings

I ignore those because you got plenty of

that you don't need to hear

all right

does it feel like there's some big news

coming

do you feel like that

I feel like there's something coming I

guess there always is so that's like a

generic thing to say

but maybe even if there's nothing

important coming

it will look like it's important

um

World War III I I would say the odds of

nuclear war are vanishingly small

because Putin doesn't need it

he doesn't need it

I think keeping Putin in in office

pretty much guarantees no nuclear war

because I think he would settle for a

stalemate

at the moment Putin is not not bothered

by his uh domestic

um

you know unhappiness all right so Putin

has no domestic problem at home

right he doesn't have a domestic problem

he's not running out of money because

apparently they can sell their energy to

other places

so he has money

he has domestic support

and he has a strategy which we'll end up

with him controlling probably

some percentage of important strategic

land that he can call a success why

would he nuke us

there's no upside to that

he basically his his worst case scenario

at this point looks like he stays in

office Russia stays stable

the domestic people

and he gets a little extra land and you

know he gets to keep Crimea or something

whatever whatever we negotiate we

meaning the world and Ukraine

so no we're not even close to nuclear

war we're probably further from nuclear

war than

you know well I won't say we're further

but

now as far as China why in the world

would China want to Nuke us

you realize that would be insane right

that would be like nuking themselves I

mean they would end up getting nuked but

China still requires us to exist for

them to exist

at the moment China can't exist

successfully without the United States

also existing because right now they

depend on our on our technology and our

markets

if they nuke us how are they better off

there's no scenario in which Russia or

China

could even conceivably imagine that

launching a nuclear weapon would be in

their best interest now the thing that

protects us

is that although she

and Putin

are both evil bastards

nobody suggests that they're unstable

Minds

right everybody knows that they're

working for the best interests of

themselves and their countries maybe the

country's second

but as long as there's a stable logical

smart capable people and they seem to be

how evil they are probably won't matter

because they're still in it for their

self-interest

and their self-interest has no

no no no connection to using a nuclear

weapon that could not possibly be a

self-interest

Hillary was probably crazy from the

start and we're not suggesting that the

leaders of Russia or China are crazy

you call the Ukrainian Expedition

logical yes

yes because Russia will probably come

out with some extra strategic goals

Putin will probably look good because of

it or he'll make sure that the history

reports he looks good

yeah it looks like it worked because

remember Putin doesn't care too much

about his casualties

so yeah looks like he's working for him

I mean not it's not working as well as

he wanted but he's gonna guess of land

and he'll be able to sell that as a whim

uh Iran and North Korea same situation

so

Kim Jong-un in North Korea

has his own little you know Mafia kind

of situation why would he want to ruin

it

there's literally and by the way Kim

Jong-un doesn't seem crazy to me

I I don't I don't see him he's not

acting crazy at all

so the good news is we don't seem to

have any crazy leaders who have nukes

Iran is a special case but they don't

act that crazy

yeah even the Iranian

um you know religious

higher level uh considerations it

doesn't get you to that level of

craziness

Biden yeah even Biden's not crazy enough

to Nuke

here are the things I think you should

not worry about number one

do not worry about getting nuked we're

not we're not anywhere in that worry

Zone nowhere near it

number two

don't worry that there's a ongoing War

to destroy all our

food sources and infrastructure

there are definitely a bunch of strange

things happening in that domain but

there's nothing to tie them together to

you know any particular for info

and certainly our foreign foes are maybe

trying to influence those things that

are hurting us just as we might be doing

the same with them but we're not aware

of it so that sort of business as usual

we'll work that out my take on all the

things that are falling apart

is that we're just at that point in the

country's age where things start to

crumble if you're not if you're not

funding them and maintaining them so

some of it's just the normal

life cycle of stuff

and some of it is that the news is

surfacing stories to make it look like a

pattern where maybe you didn't notice it

before let me ask you this

if the only thing you knew about what's

happening in the country

was from the mainstream corporate news

would you believe that there's some kind

of attack on the infrastructure

because I think it takes social media to

keep surfacing it so you it looks like

more of a pattern

you would say you would say yes if you

watched Fox News but here's the trick

Fox News is influenced by social media

right if social media were not making a

big deal of the fact that it looks like

some kind of coordinated attack do you

think Tucker Carlson would talk about it

I don't think so

I think only because social media sees

it as a thing that the news says it's a

thing or it might be a thing where

people think it's a thing but you take

away the social media the corporate news

would just talk about whatever they

wanted to talk about and you wouldn't

even notice pattern you're just like oh

a lot of things get attacked that'd be

all that's all you think about

um the attacks look like Insurance scams

Maybe

um

yeah

Ford battery China connection

um I don't know the details of that

story

well we'll think consider this uh if

there are really been a thousand

derailments in the past year

I think Tucker said that

that is that track it feels like too

high

and maybe maybe derailment has all kinds

of different levels you know maybe

there's some kind of minor derailment

where nobody gets hurt

700 average per year so that if it's

1700 per year there must be a big

category of minor derailments that you

never hear about

right

because it probably doesn't happen on

the open lines it probably happens like

in the the rail yard or something where

things get switched around I've got a

feeling that that number is misleading

while not necessarily being wrong

oh you think that they meant the number

of cars derailed

oh

but still is too many

it feels still too many

so

imagine imagine if this Ohio train had

not happened

so let's say the Ohio derailment never

happened the one with the chemical spill

if you had never heard of that one

you also never would have heard of the

other 1700.

and you wouldn't even be aware there was

any kind of pattern

so you were one trained derailment away

from not knowing that any trained

derailments happen do you know what I

would have guessed

per year

if you'd said guess how many train

derailments there are in the United

States per year

I would have said on average

one

I would have guessed that there are

several years in a row when done

you know sort of like plane accidents I

would I would have guessed like plane

accidents there could be years with none

and then the other to be one

and maybe in a weird case it'll be two

but basically I would have guessed one

1700 doesn't sound slightly believable

to me

but imagine that you never would have

heard of them without that one the Ohio

one without Ohio you would still think

it's either one maybe three

yeah hot pocket I agree with you they're

they're probably more you know technical

derailments at the train yard where it's

all you know slow and you can correct it

more easily probably that makes sense

yeah derailment doesn't mean crash

correct derailment could mean they just

immediately stop and then figure out how

to fix it

um you said derailments caused by shunts

you believe that there were 1700

derailments

caused by the that trick where they put

a wire across the rail somehow and they

short out something

no if that were the case that would be

the biggest story in the country

wouldn't it yeah wouldn't we have like a

massive FBI Department working on that

and how in the world can they not figure

out who's doing that when we can figure

out who does anything

how in the world are there not already

trail cams on all the real real loans

railroad sections

uh oh hold on here let's see a

derailment can be caused by Collision

um

uh many derailments are minor this is

from Wikipedia

yeah so there are many derailments are

minor that's what we I guess that's what

we knew

of those 400 is caused by okay of a

thousand per year according to the

Federal Railroad Administration of the

thousands per year 400 caused by track

defects

um another five or six hundred by human

error

okay

um why are the residents of Palestinian

Ohio not getting Palestine Ohio not

getting hotel rooms for free

I don't know maybe they don't have any

I can't imagine there's a whole lot of

Hotel business in that town

the chemicals were not to be on those

tracks

is that the story

is there a story that those chemicals

should not be

that should not have been transported on

those tracks

I don't know about that one

oh okay all right I'm gonna run I gotta

go Goodbye YouTube I'll see you later

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