Back to episode — Episode 2442 CWSA 04/12/24
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o funny. It's the smugness. The smugness. If somebody's just mentally ill, it's just disturbing. If somebody is perfectly sane and smug, sometimes they're just popular. I would say Hannity is kind of smug, wouldn't you? Sean Hannity. He seems a little smug. Maybe you'd say he's just confident, but a little smug. But he doesn't come off as comedy because he looks like he's doing his job. And you kn…
← Previous segment →leak is about something called Q-star, a rumored super intelligence that will come out of OpenAI fairly soon. Who believes that? How many of you believe that the leaks were about a super AI and they were on the verge of something we've never seen before? I'm going to say no. I'm going to bet against it. I think it was probably a leak. I mean, that part might be true, but I doubt it was about a super intelligence which we'll all be frightened to hear about. I think everything's going to be incremental. That's what I think. I think all AI improvement will be incremental but still astonishing when anybody looks back at it. So I think the things we think are going to happen in a month are going to take two years, and they'll be amazing, but we'll have so much time to adjust to it that the amazing part might wear off. You know, you'll just be, well, there's another that's a little five percent better than that last one. So I'm going to be on the underwhelmed side of things for AI, and I'm happy to be wrong. I'd love to be wrong, but I think it would be underwhelming.
Well, you probably all saw the story of Representative Sheila Jackson Lee at a public event speculating out loud how we could possibly settle the moon because it's made of gas. And how exactly do you build something on top of gas so that big old round moon, she said, was just a big gaseous thing. And okay, now you probably say to yourself, okay, but she's a politician, so you don't really expect your politicians to know everything about science. It'd be good if they knew the basics, but you know, you give them a pass. They're the representative. The public wanted them there. So if the public wanted them as a representative and they're not having much to do with any science-y stuff, that would be fair. I mean, as long as she's not involved directly in any kind of science decision, does it really matter?
Well, here's a little background you didn't know. She used to be on the House Space and Aeronautics Subcommittee. Yeah, yeah. One of our experts in the government who was on the House Space and Aeronautics Subcommittee thinks the moon is made of gas. Well, let's have a drink to our experts, shall we? Not just the scientific experts but the political experts, the ones who are serving on the House Space and Aeronautics Subcommittee who think the moon is made of gas. Here's to you.
But you know, even as I tell you how many experts are wrong about things, at least they got climate change right. Am I right? Like, thank God. I mean, because that's so important. But all these experts in all these fields clearly lying or wrong or batshit crazy. But at least climate change is believable, incredible, and pure science. Really?
Let's see. Next story. Harvard, Yale, MIT, and Brown are all returning to standardized tests. Now, that's a surprise because you think that the smartest people in the country, you know, the people running these higher-level institutions, when they decided that not testing people before admitting them was a good idea, I'm really surprised that that didn't work out, huh?
Have I ever told you that if you don't measure, you're not managing? That's one of those little bumper sticker rules that pops up all the time. If you're not measuring it with some kind of legitimate measurement system, you're not managing. It's not managing to say, well, I'd like to have more of this or less of that. You need to have a real idea of what you're shooting at or you're not really managing. And if you're not watching if you're going in the right direction or the wrong, it can't be called managing.
But the smartest institutions, in fact Harvard wants to teach you how to make decisions and be an economist and a business person, and they didn't know that the number one rule of management is you've got to measure things. So if you'd like to get your MBA at Harvard, just know you're taught by people who were caught by surprise that measuring things made a difference when they were trying to manage things. Didn't work out.
So it looks like they had a choice of being super racist at the same time of being overpriced, and those are two things that they couldn't pull off at the same time. We'd like to be overpriced, but we'd also really like to be super racist. And then the public said, hold on, hold on, that's too far. You can be overprice
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d or you can be super racist, but you cannot be both. That's too much. That's too much, Harvard. So Harvard said, well, as much as we love being super racist, I guess it would be better to be high paid. So they chose the money over the principle. Experts. Here's to the experts at Harvard who are teaching you how to manage without measuring things. To them. To them. So good. Well, even though your…
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