All right, so I saw some speculation that Iran might be convinced that President Trump is going to be reelected. I don't know how they would be convinced of that exactly because the polls clearly say that Biden will win. But all the smart people are pretty sure that Biden doesn't have a chance. So I don't know how Iran is clever enough to sort that out because it seems like they would look at the polls and say, well it looks like every single Democrat who's in the top four could beat this president so we don't have to deal with this guy. He's going to be gone in 2020. But I think that Iran is clever enough that they listen to the right people and the right people are saying there's not going to be Biden and it looks like Trump is cruising to reelection. So what that does is it changes their calculation about who they're going to be negotiating with and it takes off the table the option of waiting until 2020 and getting somebody else to negotiate with who could give them, in their view, a better deal.

So the fact that the president's reelection looks likely gives the United States a tremendous bargaining advantage. And it's created, I think Iran is in this weird little zone where they're trying to make noise and they're trying to cause a little bit of trouble but they don't want to cause a lot of trouble because this president has created an impression that he is unpredictable and you don't know when you're going to cross the line. They probably thought they crossed the line already but he played it cool and now they're thinking about, all right, well if we do a little more than that are we going to get bombed? If we do a little more than we've done but doing less than we've done isn't going to make any difference, so what are you going to do? So I think the president has put Iran in the position in which their incentive to negotiate is pretty high.

And I'll say this again because it's so shocking. Peace in the Middle East. Just the phrase "peace in the Middle East" sounds so ridiculous. Then you tell yourself, well that's not even a thing. It's a perpetual war zone. There will always be a perpetual war zone. And on some level that might be true at the small level. But just think about this. At this point in time with this president, and some of it's luck but some of it is the way they treat the Middle East and the leaders there, etc., President Trump has gotten the Middle East, not by himself but he's a big part of it, the Middle East has reached a point where peace for the entire Middle East is down to one guy who's in his eighties, that Ayatollah Khomeini. So if the Supreme Leader of Iran ever decides to negotiate in good faith, we don't know if he ever will, but he's the last person. Now maybe there's somebody behind him. If he were replaced maybe you'd be just the same. But there's just one position. Just one person has to change their mind and we're done. One person has to say, you know I don't think anything that we do is going to change the reality that Israel exists and it's going to keep existing. Just one person. Think about that. Have we ever been this close that one person just needs to change their mind? And that one person is under tremendous pressure internally and externally to change his mind.

Some people are asking about Turkey. Turkey, Turkey is a weird situation because they're a NATO ally. At the same time we didn't want them to have anti-aircraft missiles because I guess they're taking shipment of some Russian anti-aircraft missiles. So I don't quite understand our position on Turkey because either you're a NATO ally or you're not. If you're a NATO ally, do we care that you have a way to defend yourself? I don't think that buying Russian missiles is our first choice but it's not the worst problem in the world, is it? Are we going to bomb Turkey? I don't think we're planning on bombing Turkey. So why do we care if they have good anti-aircraft? And by the way, who is Turkey defending against? I don't know the answer to that. Can somebody tell me who does Turkey think is going to attack them from the air? Why am I just thinking of this now? I don't even know why Turkey has a threat. Does anybody even know? Because ISIS doesn't have an air force. They are an occupied NATO ally. Somebody saying, well I don't know what that means. Yeah they're, they don't need the anti-aircraft missiles because of immigration. They don't need it because their neighbors, not really. Do you think Turkey has a risk from Iraq? Does Turkey have a risk from Iran from the air? I don't think so. I guess they need them. So those are the problems that we have, that one of our allies is buying weapons from somebody else. I don't know if we have the biggest problem in the world but I think we're very close to something like peace in the Middle East. One person's away and that person is tipping. That person is leaning.

Turkey can't use our equipment with Russian stuff. Yeah, well I'm sure that we would rather sell Turkey our own American equipment and there are probably lots of strategic and other advantages in doing that. Somebody says I lived in Turkey. I know I miss, what it is that you know, internal coups, Greece. Everybody has a different idea of why Turkey needs anti-aircraft missiles but I guess we're all guessing.