Back to episode — Episode 2513 CWSA 06/22/24
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ing that Trump should mention during the debate. I think he has to go straight at it and say, "The news that supports you is telling you that you look fine on all these videos. We've all seen the videos. Are you saying that you're fine, Joe?" Just make him answer the question. It'd just be fun. The Daily Caller is reporting there's a new poll about the swing states. An Echelon Insights poll that…
← Previous segment →rockets into Israel. Hezbollah being another entity that Iran supports in addition to Hamas. It looks like Israel is maybe getting close to or closer to completing their Gaza main military operations, which would free up some of their military hypothetically for a bigger battle if they should decide to get into one. So here are the things we know. Over the last three days, it's been, Mario Nawfal talks about this, it's been a nonstop rocket barrage from Lebanon into northern Israel. We know that the mood in Israel is not "let's make peace." The mood in Israel is "we're going to have to take care of all of this." Now they may not be in favor of war with Hezbollah. I'm not saying there's a majority in favor of war with Hezbollah. But I'm saying that their attitude is not exactly anti-war at the moment. Their attitude is more of a survival. If you come for us, we're going to kill you. Understandable. So I would say that Israel definitely has a war mentality.
So if you're trying to guess, we're doing some predicting here. So I'm going to predict what's going to happen. So you've got a country that is pro-war even though they're exhausted by it and wish they were not in it. They're not against it clearly. They're not against it if it's self-defense. So the public I think would support a war with Hezbollah. I think some people say that Netanyahu probably needs a war with Lebanon just to stay in power because war presidents tend to be more secure than non-war presidents. And there's some thought that the moment the war was over, Netanyahu would be out of office and maybe lawfared into jail. So you've got a leader who probably wants war. At the same time he doesn't want war. So let me be clear. Nobody wants war. It's not a desire to have war. It's a desire not to be a victim. That's the better way to say it. So Netanyahu is not in the mood to be a victim. But moreover, Israel is not in the mood to be a victim. You know, October 7th kind of established a clear mindset about that at the moment. So the public would probably go for it. Hezbollah itself seems to want it because the amount of firepower they're putting on Israel, it's like they're begging for it. So if you've got both sides want it, they have the ability to do it, and now the timing is right because Israel's probably going to go hard at them. At the very least they're going to punch them back even if it's not a full-scale war. So you've got the timing right, you've got both sides want it, they have the ability, the resources, the assets, the money for a war. And you've got both leaders not able to back down. So you could say they don't want war, but even more than that they don't want to be a victim. So I would say when was the last time anything looked this much like there's going to be a war and then it didn't happen? Can you think of a time? Because remember I was so wrong, more wrong than anything, when I said I think Putin's just bluffing when he put his entire invading army on the border of Ukraine. I think that's a bluff. Boy, was I wrong.
But then think more generally. When have you ever seen forces massed at this level and this amount of firing from one country into an adjacent country that had more military might? When did that not turn into a full-scale war? I don't even know if that's in the option set. So I would say the guarantee of a widespread war, and by the way the United States apparently reportedly has told them that there was support for a war against Hezbollah. Surprise, surprise. Our military industrial complex is in favor of a war, huh? Didn't see that coming. So and I'm not giving you an opinion about whether Israel should or should not attack or that the United States should or should not help them. I'm simply predicting that with the variables the way they're lined up now, war is guaranteed. That's my opinion. I would say there's a 100% chance of war. What would you say? And I think that Israel is going to say we're never going to have a better chance to just genocide all of Hezbollah. And I'm going to use "genocide" because if they don't pretty much wipe them out, there's no point in even doing it. They have to do a war of complete
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destruction, at least of the assets and most of the military that matters, or else all they're doing is making them mad and they'll just shoot more rockets. So Hezbollah is not a situation where you can go in and rough them up a little bit then make some peace. If you're going to go in, it has to be to the end. It has to be a fight to the death. And I think a fight to the death probably favors Isr…
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