Episode 2513 CWSA 06/22/24

let me get ready here for the best show ever almost ready look at that everything's working today good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization and it's called coffee with Scott Adams and I'm pretty sure there's never been a better time in your whole life if you'd like to take it up to another level that people with small human smooth brains can't even understand all you need for that is a CER a mug or a glass of tanker chalis din a kinen juger flask of vessle of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure the dopamine of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it goes like the now that's the name that's the noise you make after the simultaneous ah if you're making a noise that sounds like H that's the wrong noise and you've confused your memes so don't do that only the people on the internet even understand what that comment meant and you're laughing so hard now and the rest of you are like what why is everybody laughing why is that funny why is HW tuille funny I I miss that Meme well if you missed that Meme you missed a good one huy well there's some news uh I don't know if you saw some uh video of Justin Timberlake at giving a concert and uh pretty much everybody who saw the video said um what's wrong with his eyes he looks so Wast or wired on something that that doesn't look good that looks very bad well how bad was it um I think it was the same around the same time he was he got a DUI in New York so he gets a DUI and he was such a dumbass that the cop who stopped him the first time simply asked him to get a ride home and he agreed and then he just started driving again and the cops a little bit later and arrested him and he was like all right I mean you dumbass I literally literally gave you a break you know which you should probably shouldn't have done but he gave him a break and then he bized him and you know or he might have refused it I don't know but anyway he gets arrested for a DUI and here's the interesting part about that you know that um he was driving a BMW BMW SUV same vehicle I drive oh we celebrities pretty much do the same cars but if he had been driving a Tesla a self-driving Tesla would this problem have happened in other words would there have been any reason to to pull them over in the first place because the car would have been driving perfectly police would have had no reason to have any suspicion at all and he probably would have driven all the way home and into his driveway now it's not legal let me be clear it is not legal to be drunk behind the wheel of a self-driving car just to be very clear don't do that that's very illegal but it would have also been relatively very safe I assume I mean needs to be studied but I'm going to assume that that's a lot of safer than driving drunk but wait there's more do you remember that the Teslas were named using the uh the convention that that musk was going to use the letters in the word sexy so there's a Model S there's an X there's a y there must be an e right so that he was intentionally spelling sexy with the models of his cars so here's the punchline that I took way too long to get to there is some chance that if Justin Timberlake had a Tesla sexy would be bringing him back yes yes delivered it I delivered it wow sexy would bring him back that's right you can try to retell that jok at home and it'll be just as flat as when I tried it way too much setup but it's still I think a good payoff I think it was worth your time sexy is bringing him back yeah all right um speaking of drinking I saw this message just moments ago before I got on from dve r on x and he said quote I quit drinking after 45 years because Scott Adams hypnotized me thank God and Scott well I like to be sharing credit with God but in this case I might have had a little bit of extra responsibility here but you know God do we don't want to leave God out but because you know God's great too but um I want to tell you that the strangest thing about my weird career is that the most important thing I will have done in my life is this so if it's true that dear got a little boost from me and it helped him quit drinking after 45 years my God congratulations Dave great job do any of you have any conception of how hard it would be to stop drinking after 45 years I mean just wrap your around that I don't think he can I think it's beyond imagination we're talking about the highest level of difficulty accomplishment here and it was done largely on the weight of one sentence alcohol is poison that was the hypnosis and I hear almost every day from somebody who quit drinking forever because they heard one sentence alcohol is poison that's in my book had it filled almost everything and still wind big but also reiterated in my book reframe your brain so they are written with hypnosis let's say informed by hypnosis techniques they're not hypnosis per se but reframes can actually reprogram your brain even for something as deep as an addiction now I'm surprised that it works that well but so many people have said it it's just shocking well another news in Toyota is says it's uh no longer going to focus on electric vehicles and instead we'll develop new combustion engines some people say that might have something to do with hydrogen I don't know but I can tell you this if you've tried to buy a Toyota truck recently you know that you can't because they're in such demand that they're selling them you know as soon as they have the pipeline they're they're all sold before they reach the Dealer's lot the all of the Toyota trucks and they don't need to do anything for anybody whatever they're doing must be working like crazy because people want those trucks like crazy every day I'm on the road I see a a Toyota Tacoma go by and I say to myself man I wish I could have bought one of those I tried couldn't figure out how to get one anyway um but it's not all about electric cars I'm I'm glad that the big auto companies are looking at more than one way to make a car I think I'd be disappointed if everybody just went electric and just said that's electric you know there's only only one way that would worry me i' I'd rather see that there are two or three competing techniques from really capable companies we'll see who wins let the marketplace decide well here's something that apparently musk said uh that I didn't catch I saw a version of it but not this he he said one of his predictions lately elen musk uh telling Tesla investors that the value of Tesla alone could become half of the combined value of the S&P 500 let me say that again Elon Musk has said in public to Tesla investors that the value of Tesla just that one company could become as valuable as half of all the companies in the Fortune 500 it could be half of the entire index and that's because of robots that's entirely a robot play and he's saying if he doesn't you know get his pay package he'll take his robot somewhere else so is that possible I actually think that's completely possible I think you're talking about a multi-trillion dollar industry and whoever is the biggest in it and it's very likely it could be Tesla is going to have a trillion dollar multi-trillion dollar business so I'm not sure he's wrong I mean that's a really gutsy um prediction but I think he's right I think he's right I've been spending more and more time with AI using chat GPT in particular 4.0 and I can report that it's completely addictive if you haven't experienced it yet and most of you haven't it's it's so addictive you know uh I remember the first time I saw the internet it was in the little lab in Pacific Bell before the public had even heard of the internet literally literally before the public had heard the word internet um I was playing with it in the lab and then you could feel you could feel the attraction to it and everybody else could too you knew it was going to be big before it was anything you could just tell everybody had the same excitement about it from the first exposure AI does that too right if you tried a few AI things when it was when it was new and it didn't do much for you because it didn't do much when it was new it's completely different already so I've already told you that um let me give you an example so driving home from Starbucks yesterday I had some thoughts about some potential Investments and I thought to myself you know it would be good if I could find a company that's in the business of making the little servos and Little Motors that will go into robots because you want to buy the thing that every robot needs to Independent of which company is making the robots and it seemed to me that the robot makers would probably at least in the near term use whatever company already is good at making Motors because there are already robotss in industrial settings so there are already robot Motors in a a specialty area so instead of doing my Google search which never works have you ever noticed that that the odds that you can find something with a Google search went from pretty good to it's a coin flip at best but with AI I have this entire conversation on the way home just a conversation you I just turn it on to conversation mode and I say stuff like hey I'm thinking of invest invting in the robot area but I want to find the company that's likely to win in the making little motors for each of the robot arms and legs and stuff and it comes up with a name and it says Uh there's a Japanese company I forget what it was and uh you know it makes these robots and blah blah and then I said well what percentage of their business is the robot Parts because it was a big company they said well they don't break that out so I said okay well forget about that one what what is the best company that makes robot engines that's mostly in that business you know so that their biggest exposure is that one thing and uh it gave me names that I could later look up look into if I wanted to so it completely answered my questions and it didn't do any of that hesitating stuff you know the hesitating like well you know uh I can't give you that information because I don't want give you Financial advice oh it gave Financial advice but not as advice as simply answered questions in fact I was giving myself advice but it was answering questions to get there now I did the same thing with a bunch of medical questions because I had some um I had some questions about you know whether One symptom is common to another thing and you I was trying to track down some Mysteries and it was amazing it was so much better than talking to a doctor because I've talked to doctors and it would just answer all of my questions perfectly it was really exciting so here's what I found AI is best for it's best for having a conversation where you've got a lot of questions and you know exactly what you want to know but you need to coax it into giving you the right answer it's great at that already so that's coming anyway uh the only thing I want to tell you is that if you haven't experienced the addiction part of it you will and when they put that in a robot form it it's there's no way I'm not going to have the robot I'm going to have a robot following me around all day doing whatever I want guaranteed there's no there's no way that's not going to happen all right there a bunch of kids in Hawaii who sued the state over climate change and one bunch of bunch of kids sued over climate change and won and what they won was uh Hawaii agreed to decarbonize their transit systems and I thought to myself I've been to Hawaii are you telling me they have a transit system I'm hearing that for the first time I thought the transit system was you rent a car at the airport and then you are your own transit system that's true for Maui maybe they have a bus Maybe I don't know they don't have much of a transit system in Hawaii but uh here's uh the important part of this story um that uh the director of Transportation over in Hawaii he said quote climate change is indisputable isn't that a weird word so can you tell that that person is hypnotized that's not that's not an opinion that you come to through reason nothing's in dispute aable if you use a word like indisputable you're pretty much signaling that you did not get there by reason if you had arrived at your opinion by reason you would have said probably something closer to in all likelihood or all indications are or science tells us those are all fair but to say indisputable you're treating me like I'm a idiot no it's not indisputable goes watch this I dispute it now when I dispute it I'm disputing the models and I'm disputing the alarm whether or not the Earth is getting warmer I don't know but I'm pretty sure they don't know either yeah my best argument about uh climate change is have you met people have you met people here here's the argument in favor of climate change then I'll show you how my argument works we know the temperatures going up because we have a vast array of thermometers sensitive devices placed in locations around the world and we check them and then we can see that the temperature has been going up and by the way we can tell it's been going up for 100 years to which I say have you met people what people have you met them the humans you've heard of them right human beings there are some things they can do some things they can't do for example they're pretty good at murdering each other so if you told me I think people murder each other sometimes I would have said y yep that's that's that's un brand that sounds like some people do if you said people eat too much and they get fat I'd say yeah yeah I've not only observed that but that's just what people do people are like that people be like that but if you tell me that people selected from all over the country have built a vast array of sensitive measuring devices in a context in which you only get paid if you get the one answer and not the other one and you tell me that they're telling me that something like science is happening in that situation my answer to you is have you met people you've met people right no that isn't something people can do not ever don't give me your vast network of sensitive measuring devices I've lived in the real world you can't do that you can lie about it I've been in that world I've been in the world where we were measuring stuff and it was my job to tell you what what we measured I guarantee it wasn't real but it was still my job to do it I even predicted the future I used to I used to do uh Financial predictions five years out absurd completely absurd we had no idea what was going to happen in 5 years but I'd give my confident little spreadsheets look at my model I built with all my assumptions here's what's going to happen five years from now no I was a human I can't do that and you're a human but you believed it but you shouldn't have no people can't do that stuff we just can't do that stuff don't get me started about the elections it's the same argument uh an election was held in the United States in which individuals thousands and thousands of them from all over the country got together to honestly and accurately count up the votes so that we would know that nothing unto art had happened to which I say have you met people have you met people there was a story yesterday of a Department of Transportation truck that turned a corner too fast and it and tragically it hit a 86y old man but it wasn't the whole truck I think it was just the mirror the mirror hit the head of the old man and it sliced it clean off and the old man's head went rolling down the street and number of people caught it on camera and so his decapitated head was like half a block from where the rest of his body was but here's the interesting part of the story by weird coincidence he was some mafia boss he was part of the Gen of's Mafia crime family he was 86 took his head off now if you said to me Scott has there ever been a case where a Department of Transportation truck took a corner too fast and took the head off a mafia guy I'd say well that's not a common thing but it is within the brand I could see that happening because there are Mafia people there are trucks there are people who drive poorly and there are sometimes those automobiles at people sometimes ad comes off so I would have said well maybe not 100% sure but that's within brand that's on brand you know what's not on brand thousands of people working honestly to give us an honest result in the election have you met people that's not something we can do no and we don't know the temperature everywhere all the time it's not something we can do anyway but here's the important part of the story the director of Transportation his name is Ed sniffen S ni I ffen but the most important thing is if Ed sniffin has a daughter and she marries the daughter the son of Dicky butts well she might be yeah sniffing butts so that's the important part of the story and that's what I wanted to get to the rest not that important well the founder of uh soft Bank masayoshi son says that AI super intelligence is going to come at you faster than you think and that by uh let's see 10 years from now there'll the super intelligence of AI will be 10,000 times smarter than human Geniuses 10,000 times smarter than human Geniuses but you know what's funny about that if you're 5% smarter than somebody they can't tell if because your dog doesn't know you're smarter than the dog right when when I come into a room I turn on the lights and what I know is everything from you know the Edison invting inventing the light bulb to you know uh Ben Franklin and his electricity experiments and I know the wiring in the wall and I I know I know something about circuitry and I know that there's you know a little heat resistance in the bulb so I I like my vast intelligence just turns on the light do you know what my dog thinks well there's that idiot who walked in and doesn't seem to know I need a treat you idiot you're just lucky that the light comes on whenever you enter a room for reasons I don't understand because otherwise you'd just be bumping around in the dark because you can't see with your human eyes you lousy stupid organic piece of not giving me a treat whatever you are so my dog doesn't even know I'm smarter than it the dog thinks I'm an idiot like you know I want to go outside why are you standing there you idiot you fool well what's going to happen when the AI is 10,000 times smarter than us we're not going to know it like we'll know that it does math well and can beat us in chess but we're still going to think it's wrong right so what if the AI becomes 10,000 times smarter and says something that uh disagrees with the narrative such as well actually whatever sex you're born that's kind of what you are now I'm just using that example to be provocative but what if it does what are we going to say oh great AI you are 10,000 times smarter than the smartest human so if you disagree with me I guess I should just change my mind to your 10,000 times smarter View and then I will be acting like a smart person without the benefit of being smart have you met people have you ever met a person is that how we're going to act no when AI is 10,000 times smarter than us we will think it's stupid because it's not giving us a treat hey AI why won't you unlock the refrigerator it's because you already weigh 400 lb and you are about 10 minutes away from dying from a heart attack I have locked the refrigerator in between eating times to save your life well you stupid refrigerator don't you understand that uh being overweight is no risk to my health I saw that on Tik Tok no you are absolutely completely totally 100% wrong 100% of all science says that you are much much less happy at your current weight so I've locked the refrigerator so that you will stay healthier well I'm going to unplug your ass and I'm going to get rid of you completely because you don't seem to understand the most simple things in life such that overeating is not unhealthy now that is what people do in case you haven't met any people so that'll be interesting uh there's a new story that scientists have spotted what they call possibly an alien mega structure around nearby Stars that's right a death star we found death stars around other planets and we can tell by the heath signature uh that were was predicted in the 60s uh that there would be something called Dyson Spears huge structures theoretically built by Advanced aliens and they're probably collecting up all the Star Energy in the Dyson Cube because the aliens they are totally there let me uh let me explain to you how the alien stuff works um whenever Joe Biden has a bad news week we discover some more aliens do you know how many aliens we're going to discover the day after the uh debate if I had to bet and that debate goes poorly for Joe Biden the news will be that aliens have landed and they're already meeting with Biden in the in the white house we can't show you pictures because you know security but totally there are aliens in the white house now and they say that President Trump is probably a sex offender and may be a racist and that you should not vote for him CU if you do the alien Armada will have to destroy Earth because it's the only way to end the Republican Reign so that's probably the news the day after the debate something like that no there are no aliens that have been detected there might be aliens but no there are no D and Spears there are no captured spaceships nobody has any biologics none of that's true it is just to keep your brain busy so you don't see what's really happening all right um Andrew Cuomo as you know was once the governor of New York in a famous political name famous Democrat he's as Democrat as you can get you cannot get more Democrat than the Democrat Governor who's the son of a Democrat Governor whose brother once worked on CNN that's as deeply Democrat as you could possibly be and he was on Bill Mar show last night and said as directly as you can say he said that he was a former Attorney General so he's not just talking as a politician he was an attorney general in New York and he says uh he admits that the brag case was basically a political thing and that uh if if if his name had not been Don Donald Trump there's no way that case would have been brought now a whole bunch of Democrats just watched Bill Maher and one of the most deepest you know and also credible I would say uh Democrats just called it out as a total um violation of democracy they literally tried to take Trump's Freedom by distorting democracy to the point where even somebody on their team says nope absolutely not and by the way he was not qualifying it as in well you know I don't think it would have gone the other way if it hadn't been Trump he's saying no 100% this was a show trial yeah those are my words but he's saying it as clearly and it was uh it was it was entirely um political now do the Democrats not see it because now it's broken through into their bubble but not in the biggest way so it's not still not reported that way in the regular news but wherever people can talk freely even the Democrats will say it the best part was uh I only saw a clip but it looked like uh um Adam kinsinger was sitting next to him and Adam kinsinger since he you know chooses to be in the new news I can talk about him I wouldn't say this about you know just an ordinary citizen but he chooses to be in the news he has mental illness written all over him everybody sees that right that Adam kinsinger he just looks mentally ill all the time he looks like he's on the edge of a mental breakdown all the time so watching him sit there and having to listen to uh Cuomo essentially demon the side he's on was pretty interesting because kin because Adam kinsinger am I saying that right he he's one of the the worst people in the world because he was part of that fake January 6 committee which was basically a form of law fair without the law part and Bill Mah is saying as directly as possible that that bringing that New York case the Stormy Daniels one that the public is just going to see it as a sex case and they're going to say it was law Affair and uh he said that Biden gave up his entire advantage of fundraising because it raised so much money everybody could see it was a you know fraudulent activity well also uh judges dismissed the charges against six alternate Trump 2020 electors they would be called the fake electors by the Democrats or the alternate electors by people who are not Democrats uh but as many people pointed out it doesn't really help them as much as you think that they they all won their case because they probably got bankrupted in the process do you know how much it would cost to defend against that they probably just had to go into debt forever destroy their whole family for a generation and that's because they were simply politically active and doing what they thought was both legal and appropriate and the court has found that at least it wasn't illegal and they lost pretty much everything except their freedom which is important but that's the world we live in totally broken well if you're not following this the story about the uh excia director and well Brenan and Clapper both from the Intel world uh had been set up in a Department of Homeland Security office that's being described as a place to go after Trump's supporters apparently they had some uh Concepts about how to identify the bad people the Trump supporters uh the the ones they thought were going to be domestic terrorists and that some of the ways you could detect these domestic terrorists were if they had been in the military and if they had a religious uh inclination religion and military service as indicators of Traders people that they have to keep an eye on now obviously this was set up as a uh completely illegitimate effort to weaponize the government against Republicans as Mike Ben um characterized it he says on X he said today you can have the literal CIA director busted busted meaning caught not not in the law uh bus is setting up a literal government intelligence office to literally go after supporters of the former president and captured regime media keeps her omerta of total silence so as as Mike Ben points out the traditional news is just not even reporting about it this is like one of the biggest scandals in all of American history that a group of Spooks was set up to hunt yes hunt Republicans now uh the words that Mike Ben used was go after go after the supporters of the former president is go after kind of the same thing as hunt to me it is in this context so yes my 2020 prediction that if Biden won in 2020 Republicans would be hunted was so accurate that there was actually a department set up in the Department of Homeland Security to hunt Republicans now they would say no no we're looking for the bad ones but they're not looking for bad people who are Democrats and nobody trusts these particular people because if I've taught you anything it's know the players Mike Ben teaches you that much better but know the players Bren and Clapper are a huge glaring signal of fraudulence and bad behavior it's pretty much all they do they don't have anything else so they were behind the uh the Russia collusion op and they're still free they were behind the laptop uh hoax still free right they were behind the Insurrection hoax still free and then they created an entire department to hunt Republicans still free they're still just walking around like regular people what's up with that how in the world is that how are they not in jail how is it even possible well they're clever and they're powerful and they don't do things that are overtly illegal and lying apparently is pretty legal especially if you've got you know a license to lie as they do all right so the the only reason I think that they can get away with it in this case not you know I'm sure it was all legal so they got that working for them um is that the public doesn't understand it I would say no more than half of 1% of the public knows about this story and understands it in context and knows Brennan and Clapper to be who they really are almost nobody so if if people did understand that maybe it would be in the media the the regular media but it's going to just sort of disappear because we have trouble understanding complicated things um Glennon Greenwald is a national treasur because he helps more than anybody besides Mike Ben of telling you who the players are if the only thing you know is what happened you don't know anything you have to know the players so you would have to know that uh one of the biggest names on MSNBC you know the person who's most supportive of the Democrat narrative is Nicole Wallace but as Glenn Greenwald points out she was also famous for being the biggest liar for the Bush Administration so she was the most famous liar for the the darkest of the Republicans the bush Cheney people now she's the biggest liar for the Biden Administration so you say to yourself hey did she change sides here's the problem probably not that's the scary part the scary part is that she probably didn't change sides she probably always agreed with the military industrial complex the brennin and the clappers so she seems the most obvious candidate for someone who's not even trying to tell you the truth someone who's job it is to not tell you the truth it looks like she thinks it's her job to never tell you the truth and protect the military industrial complex and she's not that concerned about which party they're in so Greenwald uh calls around for being the most famous liar from the bush Cheney days and now she's claiming this is amazing uh the word is gone out so that all the big networks uh are talking about how the video about Biden looking decrepit and dementia riddled are at least partially cheap fakes meaning that they're yes it is a video of him but that because the way it's shot or the angle or the thing that's left out or the extra video it's not nearly as bad as it is and they're making up the fact that he's in bad shape now you also the video of where Obama helped seemingly helped uh Joe Biden off stage by you know holding his hand and sort of walking him off now Nicole Wallace and you have to see this to believe it by the way when when I describe this you're going to say really I'm gonna have to see that to believe you Scott because I'm going to tell you something that even I know you're not going to believe unless you see it so she says she's telling the story about how that that video is a cheap fake a misleading thing and she says that what really happened was that when it was over Biden just turned and walked off and that whole thing about Obama taking his hand that never even happened except that you watched it on video so how could she tell the story about a video and then say that the thing that everybody sees in the video didn't happen do you know how she did it she talked about it and showed the video before it happened so you can see them standing on stage so you'd say to yourself oh they're showing the video and then when he goes to to walk off stage they don't use the video that clearly shows Obama taking his hand they take a shot from the back of the audience where there where you can't see anything and their head's in the way so and then she says while you can't see them that they just walked off stage and that it's fake she actually showed you video that didn't show what was happening and tried to make you think she was describing what was happening when you couldn't see it and it was opposite of what we have already seen now imagine if you only watched MSNBC you would actually think that was fake news because there was nothing about it that screamed it was fake if you were just casually watching the news but if you'd seen it yeah if yeah you could call it a rupar I suppose um but if you'd seen it and you knew the real story it is such a head Shaker it's like I cannot believe we live in this world where MSNBC could put her on knowing that she's telling a lie about this story and showing the fake video and that she just goes to work the next day there's not a single person in the network to fire her uh or or tell her to run a correction the entire network is in on it so you don't have to wonder if the rest of the networks's in on it you know have you noticed that even on uh Fox News you'll occasionally get somebody disagreeing right but you don't really see that on MSNBC yeah you'll never see it by the way here's something I learned recently on CNN uh one of their legal analysts was curiously um supportive of Trump's point of view that he was being lawed in the New York case and it was really stood out because Eli and I and I remember I was saying to you um wow this is really a standout honest thing because it's not the direction the CNN likes to report but he's saying it very clearly that this case is garbage and you know Trump is being lawf fired later I found out that Eli kig used to work for uh brag did you know that or he worked with them so so he knew him personally and worked with him do you think that made a difference I do you know remember I keep telling you that you have to know the players if you don't know the players and who they've worked with and their associations and stuff you don't understand anything and here's somebody who worked with brag he worked with them and he was the only one at the network to say this is it kind of suggests that he knows more about brag than we do because he worked with him and it could be that he doesn't have a good feeling about brag in general and he's using this situation to let's say uh stick the uh stick the shiven I'd love to know how good his relationship with with brag was because maybe it's not so much a story about a a brave analyst who's bucking what his Network wants him to do maybe maybe it's a disgruntled guy who worked with somebody who had it coming and he just decided to deliver it when he got a chance it's one of those or maybe both but either way I believe he was reporting it straight and honestly and I appreciate it all right so the fact that the uh Democrats have moved to full gaslighting I think is something that Trump should mention uh during the uh debate uh I think he said has to go straight at it and say the news that support you is telling you that you look fine on all these videos we've all seen the videos are you saying that you're fine Joe just just make him answer the question it' just be fun all right uh there's a The Daily Caller is reporting there's a new study new poll uh about the swing States an Eis poll that says uh more Latino voters trust Trump on immigration than Biden that's right more Latino voters trust Trump because he's tougher on immigration so it's kind of close but there is a lead 41% of Hispanic voters trust Trump to handle immigration while only 38% trust Biden now here's the funny part if you're surprised by that you haven't spent much time around anybody from the Hispanic Community because I've said this a million times but it's like the the world is waking up the Hispanic community no matter how they register to vote is the most Republican group of people you'll ever meet in your life no matter if they're Democrats or not their family their religion their Law and Order that they they like an orderly Society where there's families and opportunities and and all that stuff and even if they got here you know in in less than legal ways or their their parents did when they get here they're still good people who like Law and Order and stuff like that so it doesn't surprise me because I've been immersed in that Community since I've lived in California so to me it's like right on point it's like okay that's exactly what I expected I would have been surprised if it gone the other way actually so um it makes me wonder how tuned in the Democrats are to their own people yeah I I think you know Bill uh Bill Mah said that the New York lawfare case the stormy case was uh the biggest mistake that Biden made but I think someday we're going to say that the biggest mistake was thinking he was bringing Democrat voters into the country I don't think he's bringing Democrat voters into the country I don't think that's happening at all if only because most of them are male right so here's what they got wrong if most of the people they brought in were female I actually do think they would leanen Democrat but men are just Pro Trump no matter what country they come from for all the obvious reasons same reason American men are because they can recognize that women are destroying the world because they have too much power at the moment yeah I'll say it directly women are destroying the world because they have too much power and you know I'll I'll reframe this in case somebody's new to my live stream I think that we evolve differently and that I trust women to make decisions about abortion laws and also individual abortions and they should just tell the men when they've made their decisions what's the law okay I'm not trying to convince you this is just my opinion and I think that men are biologically designed for defense so if you're trying to defend your country and you're trying to make laws and build militaries and all that you should trust men we're designed for it men would not open the Border unless you're mayorcas and there's something going on with that guy well whatever is going on with mayorcas it's illegal I'm sure that I just don't know what it is so he's either blackmailed or he's working for another country or something we don't know what it is but we can be really sure he's not working for America does that feel Fair we can observe it so you don't have to wonder what's in his mind you can just look what he what he does and what he does could not possibly be for the benefit of America there's no argument for that so we don't know his deal but it's not for America all right um Mario Nal has a good threat about uh the possible risk of war with Israel and Hezbollah and so Hezbollah has been shooting all kinds of rockets into Israel Hezbollah being another entity that Iran supports in addition to Hamas it looks like Israel is maybe getting close to or closer to completing their Gaza main military operations which would free up some of their military hypothetically for a bigger battle if they should decide to get into one so here are the things we know um over the last three days it's been Mario naul talks about this it's been a Non-Stop rocket barrage from Lebanon into Northern Israel um we know that the mood in Israel is not let's make peace the mood in Israel is we're going to have to take care of all of this um now they may not be in favor of war with Hezbollah I'm not saying there's a majority in favor of war with Hezbollah but I'm saying that their attitude is not exactly anti-war at the moment their attitude is more of a survival if you come for us we're going to kill you understandable so I would say that Israel definitely has a a war mentality so if you're if you're trying to guess we're doing some predicting here so I'm going to predict what's going to happen so you've got a country that is pro- war even though they're exhausted by it and wish they were not in it they're not against it clearly they're not against it if it's self-defense so the public I think would support a war with Hezbollah um I think some people say that Netanyahu probably needs a war with with Lebanon just to stay in power because War presidents tend to be more secure than non-war presid and there's some thought that the moment the war was over Netanyahu would be out of office and maybe maybe lawed into jail so you've got a leader who probably wants War um at the same time he doesn't want war so let me be clear nobody wants war is not a desire to have War it's a desire not to be a victim that's the better way to say it so Netanyahu is not in the mood to be a victim but moreover Israel is not in the mood to be a victim you know October 7th kind of you know established a clear mindset about that at the moment so the public would probably go for it um hezel itself seems to want it because the amount of Firepower they're putting on Israel it's like they're begging for it so if you've got both sides want it they have the ability to do it and now the timing is right because Israel's probably going to go hard at him at the very least they're going to punch him back even if it's not a full-scale war so you got the timing right you got both sides want it they have the ability the resources the assets the money for a war and you've got both leaders not able to back down so you could say they don't want war but even more than that they don't want to be a victim so I would say when was the last time anything looked this much like there's going to be a war and then it didn't happen can you think of a time because remember I was so wrong wrong more wrong than anything when I said I think Putin's just bluffing when he put his army on the his entire invading Army on the border of Ukraine I think I think that's a bluff boy was I wrong but then think more generally when have you ever seen forces aass at this level and this amount of firing from one country into an adjacent country that had more military might when did that not turn into a full-scale war I don't even know if that's a in the option set so I would say the guarantee of a widespread war and by the way the United States apparently reportedly has told them that there was support a war against Hezbollah surprise surprise our military industrial comp Lex is in favor of a war huh didn't see that coming so and I'm not giving you an opinion about whether Israel should or should not attack or that the United States should or should not help them I'm simply predicting that with the variables the way they're lined up now war is guaranteed that's my opinion I would say there's 100% chance of War what would you say and and I think that Israel is going to say we're never going to have a better chance to just genocide all of Hezbollah and I'm going to use genocide because if they don't pretty much wipe them out there's no point in even doing it they they have they have to do a war of complete destruction um at least of the assets and most of the military that matters uh or else all they're doing is make you mad and they'll just shoot more Rockets So Hezbollah is not a situation where you can go in and rough them up a little bit then make some peace if you're going to go in it has to be to the end it has to be a fight to the death and I think a fight to the death probably favors Israel but it's going to be a bloody one and there I think their cities would be hit like maybe we can't even imagine so I would say that's guaranteed and I wouldn't be surprised if that kicks up right around the time of our election if you were Israel and you didn't want to get too badly criticized for doing what a lot of people would say you shouldn't do but I'm saying whether you should or shouldn't do it I'm saying it's going to happen it's not even an opinion like I'm not telling you it should or shouldn't it's just going to happen nothing could stop it at this point so we'll I think America will be all busy with our elections or maybe the aftermath of the elections and Israel is just going to mow the loan up there and I think it's going to be massive massive destruction now they have like how many how many weapons do they have I saw a number of how many weapons they have it's just an unbelievable number of missiles and um in my opinion the uh Ran's Play and esb's play is to just keep building up the enemy forces until they can do one attack that destroys Israel in one go and they're getting close to being able to do that so if Israel doesn't destroy them completely I would I would say that's a strategic error so I'd say it's guaranteed and again I'm not I'm not for it or against it I don't have any power over it I'm just watching there will be war with ESB guarantee it CBS news cryptically says that the upcoming presidential debate that Biden will have surprises and that might include his physical performance what the hell does that mean what the hell does that mean by the way there's something wrong with my lighting I can't I can't get this part of the screen I thought maybe the camera was Fuzzy or something but no matter how I change the lighting it doesn't change that big smudge in the corner I'll work on that anyway so I don't know what it means that Biden would have a physical performance surprise the way it was spoken it was like it would be on the upside as in he would be maybe physically better than you thought or or what is it going to show up with a cane and a walker are they going to push him out in a wheelchair I mean how's that going to work oh God I hope they don't oh no what would happen if he if they pushed him out in the wheelchair and they said his brain is still great but I have to admit his walking is a little dangerous now he might fall over so he could still walk but for a lot of purposes we're going to wheel him around because you know his walking is not so good I feel like he would get a sympathy vote that he wouldn't otherwise get and I think it would take uh Trump's ability to mock him completely away because if they said his brain is good but we admit you know his body's got some issues it's very that would be very disarming I don't think they'll do that but it makes you wonder how it would go might actually might actually be a winning play I don't know could be because you know we're just sort of naturally trained that if you see somebody who's supposed to be the leader but they're acting weak you can go after them but you take that same leader and you put them legitimately in in a wheelchair and we agree he should be in it that really takes the fire out of your your criticism right because at that point you're saying all right are you saying that just because your legs don't work you can't be a president no nobody wants to say that that would really be devastating actually but it could go the other way too people might say I don't want my president to look weak and they might say if he can't stand up he looks weak could go either way I don't know how that would go that'd be an interesting poll wouldn't it would you be more likely to vote for uh by if he accepted the wheelchair which he probably should anyway maybe there will be surprises we don't know um and uh let's see sourcers are saying that Biden's going to boast about his Reproductive Rights agenda his positions on issues of democracy and that he has an upper hand on the economy um so here's what I would expect Trump to respond with when Biden says uh he boasts about Reproductive Rights Trump can say that the Democrats are trying to draft women which is real that that's a real thing that's happening now now that's not Biden per se and he might say he's against it but it's his team and if and if Democrats are in charge maybe women will get drafted or at least they'll have to register so the the current proposal is that they would have to register not that they would be drafted so I think that's a winning play if if Trump says Reproductive Rights I just took myself out of that see the the frame that Trump has not embraced it's the winning frame they say Joe Biden there's one thing that every woman in the United States can agree with me on that I should not be the one deciding what they do with their body can we agree on that Joe Biden will you agree with me that I Donald Trump should not be involved in decisions about women's bodies because that's what I gave you I took it out of my hands took it to the states and the states are closer to the the person so the closer it is to the the people in the state the more credible the outcome will be of the laws but can we both agree that taking myself and that decision making process is better for everybody there's no way you lose on that message because it's completely it's it's basically a kill shot on the other hand you're looking to draft our daughters you're looking to draft our daughters your team and do you disavow the Democrats or do you think that's a good idea to register our women for the the military while you're while you're running two hot Wars which he is um I'd also say that uh Reproductive Rights aren't worth anything if you live in a lawless land where it's too dangerous to have a family and that Joe Biden uh you you could at the trans thing You' say if you cared about women you wouldn't let 600b men play women's sports or some version of that that doesn't sound too bigoted when uh when when Joe does his fake fake hoaxes about the Democracy Trump's trying to steal your democracy I would first of all mock it and say something like have you all noticed that most of Joe's complaints are about things that are imaginary he imagines that I did this he imagines that I'm going to be a dictator how exactly would I become a dictator in a country full of people who have been trained to kill dictators if he had an audience it would be more uh yeah here here's the thing here's the thing that he'll never say but it would be a killshot you worry that I'll become a dictator it's like you don't even know what a republican is a republican is someone who's uh got you know filty to the institution that's our basic nature even if you imagined I went rogue and tried to become a dictator the other Republicans would kill me immediately and should imagine him saying that if I ever tried to become a dictator you could rely on Republicans killing me and they should because that's what a republican is that's why we have the guns yeah now you would never forget that would you now again this is all fantasy politics he's not going to say it because I suggest it uh but there are so many Avenues of complete Annihilation that that Trump has he just has to pick one he has probably I don't think I'm exaggerating he probably has 12 kill shots that would take Biden completely out of the race probably at least 12 Avenues he can just pick the one he likes doesn't have to be that one anyway he could mention that uh Biden's Administration created a department to hunt Republicans and put Brennan and Clapper in charge of it imagine just saying that is it true you created a department literally to Target Trump voters and you put your same guys who ran the Russia collusion hoax and the lapt hoax in charge of it and they're the ones that you put in charge of hunting Republicans you know your news isn't covering that but when it was discovered you to disband it the reason you disbanded it was because it was exactly what it looked like it was hunting Republicans there was no other reason it was disbanded it was simply discovered you've completely given up you know between your censorship of social media your complete domination of the lying media your law fairing of presidents and January 6 people your complete hoax mentality that everything you talk about is a hoax you know you're the one taking the democracy and then on the economy they'll just both lie about stuff so um apparently the only way you can talk about the economy if you're running for president is you literally just make up they're they both do it but here's here's where the President should call them out uh Biden will definitely say he created more jobs and that Trump lost jobs here's what you say Joe Biden I don't think you should talk about the economy if you can't figure out how to handle the fact that we were in a pandemic if you're comparing a pandemic to our normal economy you're just lying to the public or you don't understand anything about how economics Works whoever had been president after the pandemic was going to have major job growth unless the whole country disappeared and it didn't so when you stand up here and lie and say you created jobs I think the country is smart enough to know that jobs were of course going to be created after you no longer shut down the whole country you fascist probably without the F wordss but I mean look look at the number of attacks the the number of kill shots is just crazy I mean this is going to be the greatest show on Earth I can't wait for the debate and I will I will be live streaming it by the way all right um there's a new data on vaccinations danger uh William mackus MD was talking about this I guess they did a study and the other people on the study were uh Dr.

Mc.

Culla Dr try emmerling gesling and uh re and Alexander And hudin so there's a bunch of doctors what they did is they looked through a bunch of autopsy reports from the past and they looked at people who uh died not too long after having a vaccination and uh then they put together a little study and they said that we found that 74% of deaths were directly due to or significantly contributed to by covid vaccinations so they looked at 325 autopsy case now do you trust that study let let's do our uh fake news Discovery stuff well the first thing you should do is know the players is there any name on the list who has ever done anything that was clearly fake news the answer is yes but if I tell you what it is you're going to argue with me and I don't want to get in that argument so the first thing you need to know is there's at least one person on that list who's quite famous for a particular piece of fake news but I'm not going to get into it I'm just going to say that's how that's what you would look for right okay I'll say it anybody who was in favor who thought that the athletes were dropping dead and that nobody was talking about it on the actual teams that's somebody you should raise an eyebrow when they have another study one of them is selling uh one of them is selling a product that alleges to cure you of your potential vax damage to it'll remove the spike protein so one of them makes money if you think that the vaccinations were dangerous and you've got some poison in your body that he can help you get rid of should you trust science where one of the members has a very public it nothing's hidden is very public uh Financial incentive no no you should not how about how much should you trust just a study just any study how much should you trust that well historically half of all scientific studies are not reproducible meaning that it's a coin flip now the question was does the vax injure you or does it not right it's binary does it injure you or does it not now there's a little bit of a Nuance because everybody knew that that every new medicine injures somebody so it's not a question of whether there was at least one person who got hurt we all agree that at least one person got hurt that's just how medicine works but is it like a deadly problem or is it more like you know ordinary vaccination risk which might not be so ordinary after all um so just just hold this in your mind a scientific study is a coin flip you you as the cons consumer of that news don't know if it's right or wrong it's a coin flip 50/50 so if it's 50/50 and one of the members is making money from the uh belief that uh you can be cured of this condition and it's a um what kind what kind of studies are the goldplated ones you've heard this right there's a kind of science that's a gold standard and it's a randomized controlled trial so the randomized is important so that you don't accidentally study the wrong body of data you know you make sure it's appropriate uh you want it to be big because the bigger the number of people the more likely you're going to get a good result and you want it so you want it big um and you want to have a control you know you want to have a control group so you know that um what's happening so a good study would predict what's going to happen and it would have a control group and then you would do the thing and then you would compare the control group to the other one and you'd have lots of people involved and it would be peer reviewed and all that that would be a good study this one was not that so it was no there was no uh control group it was a study of studies that had been just digging up data so it's more like a study than a scientific trial a a goldplated scientific trial is probably also a 50/50 in today's world because the people who can afford to do a huge study are the ones who have Financial interests so I would say that even the goldplated best study at least in this domain is probably closer to a tossup we used to think that was closer to you know 80 or 90% chance is true but in today's world we know everybody's just working for money um maybe 5050 now since it's not a it's not one of those goldplated standards it's just a study of studies you don't have the the good randomization you don't have a control group and you don't have a prediction that you know if you do the thing a thing will happen so it doesn't have most of the conditions for the best most reliable data and in fact there several conditions that are heavy signals for not being true um and they looked at 325 autopsy cases do you know that the 325 were randomly selected and is there anything about some groups of people that might make a difference and do you think that the people who die um or the people most most likely to get the vaccination were the people closest to death in the first place because in theory the people who were most enthusiastically vaccinated were the ones who had the most to worry about most likely to die on their own anyway did they sort that out I don't know so here's what I'd say uh I'm not saying that it's not true it does seem to me that the vaccination um has plenty to worry about so I'm not doubting the outcome I'm just saying that if you believed it because scientists did a study you missed the whole show right you have to look at who the scientists are is there money involved how big is it is there a control is it a big enough group is it randomized it wasn't any of those so uh that is not a that is not an opinion of what is true or false about vaccinations I didn't even talk about that I'm only talking about what you should believe when you see the news anyway that ladies and gentlemen is all I had for today's amazing show and I'm going to say goodbye now to the uh folks on the other platforms but before I go let me give you a uh preview on Tuesday of this week at uh if all goes well could change but if all goes well at Tuesday of the coming week at 11:00 a.m.

Pacific which would be uh 2: p.m.

eastern time um I've arranged to talk to Michael Ian Black who is uh an online presence in the political conversation um he has very Democrat Centric kind of views and I caught his attention by posting that all the news is fake and he questions how I know anything's true and why do I keep reposting the news if I think it's all fake and those I say are good questions and so rather than uh discuss what would be oh by the way if you if you don't know him he's uh well-known uh comedian writer actor kind of person so uh I'll I'll ask him how he wants to be introduced but he's got a variety of skills and uh rather than talk about what's true which would immediately get us off the rails because we'll never agree what's true um I agreed and he agreed that what I talk about is how I can tell when the news isn't real and I think that would be fascinating like a great public conversation because we'll go through things like the Scott Alexander rule that if you see a story that um well you'll never see a story that says dog bit man because that's too boring for the news but if you ever see a story that a man bit a dog it probably didn't happen that's the Scott Alexander rule because it's too Fantastical and Fantastical stories almost are never true and if you know the players you also know it's true and if you know somebody's getting paid you also know something so those are just that's just a sample but they're probably I don't know 20 different things that I've taught you about how to spot fake news and and I thought it would be really useful to run over that list with him and just see if he kind of tracks with the tools not necessarily the conclusions because I think that's I think that's where you find the common ground because I'm not going to tell him that um everything the news on the right is true and the news on the left is wrong yeah the Scott Alexander rule is if it looks to too amazing to believe or too incredible to believe it probably wasn't true right and it's very consistent you'll see that all the time okay all right um so we'll look for that and everybody on you Youtube and Rumble and X I'll see you tomorrow same time same place and uh locals here I got come e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e for

[Music]

let me get ready here for the best show

ever almost

ready look at that everything's working

today good morning everybody and welcome

to the highlight of human civilization

and it's called coffee with Scott Adams

and I'm pretty sure there's never been a

better time in your whole life if you'd

like to take it up to another level that

people with small human smooth brains

can't even understand all you need for

that is a CER a mug or a glass of tanker

chalis din a kinen juger flask of vessle

of any kind fill it with your favorite

liquid I like coffee and join me now for

the unparallel pleasure the dopamine of

the day the thing that makes everything

better it's called the simultaneous Sip

and it goes like the

now that's the name that's the noise you

make after the

simultaneous

ah if you're making a noise that sounds

like

H that's the wrong noise and you've

confused your memes so don't do

that only the people on the internet

even understand what that comment meant

and you're laughing so hard now and the

rest of you are like what why is

everybody laughing why is that funny why

is HW tuille funny I I miss that Meme

well if you missed that Meme you missed

a good one

huy well there's some news uh I don't

know if you saw some uh video of Justin

Timberlake at giving a

concert and uh pretty much everybody who

saw the video said um what's wrong with

his eyes he looks so Wast or wired on

something that that doesn't look good

that looks very bad well how bad was it

um I think it was the same around the

same time he was he got a

DUI in New York so he gets a DUI and he

was such a dumbass that the cop who

stopped him the first time simply asked

him to get a ride home and he agreed and

then he just started driving

again and the cops a little bit later

and arrested him and he was like all

right I mean you dumbass I literally

literally gave you a break you know

which you should probably shouldn't have

done but he gave him a break and then he

bized him and you know or he might have

refused it I don't know but anyway he

gets arrested for a DUI and here's the

interesting part about that you know

that um he was driving a BMW BMW SUV

same vehicle I drive oh we celebrities

pretty much do the same cars but if he

had been driving a

Tesla a self-driving

Tesla would this problem have happened

in other words would there have been any

reason to to pull them over in the first

place because the car would have been

driving perfectly police would have had

no reason to have any suspicion at all

and he probably would have driven all

the way home and into his driveway now

it's not legal let me be clear it is not

legal to be drunk behind the wheel of a

self-driving car just to be very clear

don't do that that's very

illegal but it would have also been

relatively very safe I assume I mean

needs to be studied but I'm going to

assume that that's a lot of safer than

driving

drunk but wait there's more do you

remember that the Teslas were named

using the uh the convention that that

musk was going to use the letters in the

word sexy so there's a Model S there's

an X there's a y there must be an e

right so that he was intentionally

spelling sexy with the models of his

cars so here's the punchline that I took

way too long to get to there is some

chance that if Justin Timberlake had a

Tesla sexy would be bringing him back

yes yes delivered it I delivered it wow

sexy would bring him back that's right

you can try to retell that jok at home

and it'll be just as flat as when I

tried it way too much setup but it's

still I think a good payoff I think it

was worth your time sexy is bringing him

back yeah all right um speaking of

drinking I saw this message just moments

ago before I got on from dve r on x and

he said quote I quit drinking after 45

years because Scott Adams hypnotized me

thank God and Scott

well I like to be sharing credit with

God but in this case I might have had a

little bit of

extra responsibility here but you know

God do we don't want to leave God out

but because you know God's great too but

um I want to tell you that the strangest

thing about my weird career is that the

most important thing I will have done in

my life is

this so if it's true that dear got a

little boost from me and it helped him

quit drinking after 45 years my God

congratulations

Dave great job do any of you have any

conception of how hard it would be to

stop drinking after 45 years I mean just

wrap your around that I don't think he

can I think it's beyond

imagination we're talking about the

highest level of difficulty

accomplishment here and it was done

largely on the weight of one sentence

alcohol is poison that was the hypnosis

and I hear almost every day from

somebody who quit drinking forever

because they heard one sentence alcohol

is poison that's in my book had it

filled almost everything and still wind

big but also reiterated in my book

reframe your brain so they are written

with hypnosis let's say informed by

hypnosis techniques they're not hypnosis

per se but reframes can actually

reprogram your brain even for something

as deep as an addiction now I'm

surprised that it works that well but so

many people have said it it's just

shocking well another news in Toyota is

says it's uh no longer going to focus on

electric vehicles and instead we'll

develop new combustion engines some

people say that might have something to

do with hydrogen I don't know but I can

tell you this if you've tried to buy a

Toyota truck recently you know that you

can't because they're in such demand

that they're selling them you know as

soon as they have the pipeline they're

they're all sold before they reach the

Dealer's lot the all of the Toyota

trucks and they don't need to do

anything for

anybody whatever they're doing must be

working like crazy because people want

those trucks like crazy every day I'm on

the road I see a a Toyota Tacoma go by

and I say to myself man I wish I could

have bought one of those I tried

couldn't figure out how to get

one anyway

um but it's not all about electric cars

I'm I'm glad that the big auto companies

are looking at more than one way to make

a car I think I'd be disappointed if

everybody just went electric and just

said that's electric you know there's

only only one way that would worry me i'

I'd rather see that there are two or

three competing techniques from really

capable companies we'll see who wins let

the marketplace decide well here's

something that apparently musk

said uh that I didn't catch I saw a

version of it but not this he he said

one of his predictions lately elen musk

uh telling Tesla

investors that the value of Tesla

alone could become half of the combined

value of the S&P

500 let me say that again Elon Musk has

said in public to Tesla investors that

the value of Tesla just that one company

could become as valuable as half of all

the companies in the Fortune 500 it

could be half of the entire

index and that's because of

robots that's entirely a robot play and

he's saying if he doesn't you know get

his pay package he'll take his robot

somewhere else so is that possible I

actually think that's completely

possible I think you're talking about a

multi-trillion dollar

industry and whoever is the biggest in

it and it's very likely it could be

Tesla is going to have a trillion dollar

multi-trillion dollar business so I'm

not sure he's wrong I mean that's a

really gutsy um

prediction but I think he's right I

think he's right I've been spending more

and more time with AI using chat GPT in

particular

4.0

and I can report that it's completely

addictive

if you haven't experienced it yet and

most of you

haven't it's it's so addictive you know

uh I remember the first time I saw the

internet it was in the little lab in

Pacific Bell before the public had even

heard of the internet literally

literally before the public had heard

the word

internet um I was playing with it in the

lab and then you could feel you could

feel the attraction to it and everybody

else could too you knew it was going to

be big before it was anything you could

just tell everybody had the same

excitement about it from the first

exposure AI does that

too right if you tried a few AI things

when it was when it was new and it

didn't do much for you because it didn't

do much when it was

new it's completely different already so

I've already told you that

um let me give you an example so driving

home from Starbucks yesterday I had some

thoughts about some potential

Investments and I thought to myself you

know it would be good if I could find a

company that's in the business of making

the little servos and Little Motors that

will go into

robots because you want to buy the thing

that every robot needs to Independent of

which company is making the robots and

it seemed to me that the robot makers

would probably at least in the near term

use whatever company already is good at

making Motors because there are already

robotss in industrial settings so there

are already robot Motors in a a

specialty area so instead of doing my

Google search which never works have you

ever noticed that that the odds that you

can find something with a Google search

went from pretty good to it's a coin

flip at best but with AI I have this

entire conversation on the way home just

a conversation you I just turn it on to

conversation mode and I say stuff like

hey I'm thinking of invest invting in

the robot area but I want to find the

company that's likely to win in the

making little motors for each of the

robot arms and legs and stuff and it

comes up with a name and it says Uh

there's a Japanese company I forget what

it

was and uh you know it makes these

robots and blah blah and then I said

well what percentage of their business

is the robot Parts because it was a big

company they said well they don't break

that out so I said okay well forget

about that one what what is the best

company that makes robot engines that's

mostly in that business you know so that

their biggest exposure is that one

thing

and uh it gave me names that I could

later look up look into if I wanted to

so it completely answered my questions

and it didn't do any of that hesitating

stuff you know the hesitating like well

you know uh I can't give you that

information because I don't want give

you Financial advice oh it gave

Financial advice but not as advice as

simply answered questions in fact I was

giving myself advice but it was

answering questions to get there now I

did the same thing with a bunch of

medical questions because I had some um

I had some questions about you know

whether One symptom is common to another

thing and you I was trying to track down

some Mysteries and it was amazing it was

so much better than talking to a doctor

because I've talked to doctors and it

would just answer all of my questions

perfectly it was really exciting

so here's what I found AI is best

for it's best for having a conversation

where you've got a lot of questions and

you know exactly what you want to know

but you need to coax it into giving you

the right answer it's great at that

already so that's coming anyway uh the

only thing I want to tell you is that if

you haven't experienced the addiction

part of it you will and when they put

that in a robot

form it it's there's no way I'm not

going to have the robot I'm going to

have a robot following me around all day

doing whatever I want guaranteed there's

no there's no way that's not going to

happen all right there a bunch of kids

in Hawaii who sued the state over

climate change and one bunch of bunch of

kids sued over climate change and won

and what they won was uh Hawaii agreed

to decarbonize their transit

systems and I thought to myself I've

been to Hawaii are you telling me they

have a transit system I'm hearing that

for the first

time I thought the transit system was

you rent a car at the airport and then

you are your own transit system that's

true for Maui maybe they have a bus

Maybe I don't know they don't have much

of a transit system in Hawaii but uh

here's uh the important part of this

story um that uh the director of

Transportation over in Hawaii he said

quote climate change is

indisputable isn't that a weird

word so can you tell that that person is

hypnotized that's not that's not an

opinion that you come to through reason

nothing's in dispute

aable if you use a word like

indisputable you're pretty much

signaling that you did not get there by

reason if you had arrived at your

opinion by reason you would have said

probably something closer to in all

likelihood or all indications are or

science tells

us those are all fair but to say

indisputable you're treating me like I'm

a idiot no it's not indisputable

goes watch this I dispute

it now when I dispute it I'm disputing

the models and I'm disputing the alarm

whether or not the Earth is getting

warmer I don't know but I'm pretty sure

they don't know

either yeah my best argument about uh

climate change is have you met people

have you met people here here's the

argument in favor of climate change then

I'll show you how my argument works we

know the temperatures going up because

we have a vast array of thermometers

sensitive devices placed in locations

around the world and we check them and

then we can see that the temperature has

been going up and by the way we can tell

it's been going up for 100

years to which I say have you met

people what people have you met them the

humans you've heard of them right human

beings

there are some things they can

do some things they can't do for example

they're pretty good at murdering each

other so if you told me I think people

murder each other sometimes I would have

said y yep that's that's that's un brand

that sounds like some people do if you

said people eat too much and they get

fat I'd say yeah yeah I've not only

observed that but that's just what

people do people are like that people be

like that but if you tell me

that people selected from all over the

country have built a vast array of

sensitive measuring devices in a context

in which you only get paid if you get

the one answer and not the other one and

you tell me that they're telling me that

something like science is happening in

that situation my answer to you is have

you met people you've met people right

no that isn't something people can do

not ever

don't give me your vast network of

sensitive measuring devices I've lived

in the real world you can't do

that you can lie about it I've been in

that world I've been in the world where

we were measuring stuff and it was my

job to tell you what what we measured I

guarantee it wasn't real but it was

still my job to do it I even predicted

the future I used to I used to do uh

Financial predictions five years

out absurd completely absurd we had no

idea what was going to happen in 5 years

but I'd give my confident little

spreadsheets look at my model I built

with all my assumptions here's what's

going to happen five years from now no I

was a human I can't do that and you're a

human but you believed it but you

shouldn't have no people can't do that

stuff we just can't do that stuff don't

get me started about the

elections it's the same argument

uh an election was held in the United

States in which individuals thousands

and thousands of them from all over the

country got together to honestly and

accurately count up the votes so that we

would know that nothing unto art had

happened to which I say have you met

people have you met

people there was a story yesterday of a

Department of Transportation truck that

turned a corner too fast and it and

tragically it hit a 86y old

man but it wasn't the whole truck I

think it was just the mirror the mirror

hit the head of the old man and it

sliced it clean off and the old man's

head went rolling down the street and

number of people caught it on camera and

so his decapitated head was like half a

block from where the rest of his body

was but here's the interesting part of

the story by weird coincidence he was

some mafia

boss he was part of the Gen of's Mafia

crime family he was 86 took his head off

now if you said to me

Scott has there ever been a case where a

Department of Transportation truck took

a corner too fast and took the head off

a mafia guy I'd say well that's not a

common thing but it is within the brand

I could see that happening because there

are Mafia people there are trucks there

are people who drive poorly and there

are sometimes those automobiles at

people sometimes ad comes off so I would

have said well maybe not 100% sure but

that's within brand that's on brand you

know what's not on brand thousands of

people working honestly to give us an

honest result in the election have you

met

people that's not something we can do

no and we don't know the temperature

everywhere all the time it's not

something we can

do anyway but here's the important part

of the story the director of

Transportation his name is Ed

sniffen S ni I

ffen but the most important thing is if

Ed sniffin has a daughter and she

marries the daughter the son of Dicky

butts well she might be

yeah sniffing

butts so that's the important part of

the story and that's what I wanted to

get to the rest not that

important well the founder of uh soft

Bank masayoshi son says that AI super

intelligence is going to come at you

faster than you think and that by uh

let's see 10 years from now there'll the

super intelligence of AI will be 10,000

times smarter than human

Geniuses 10,000 times smarter than human

Geniuses but you know what's funny about

that if you're 5% smarter than somebody

they can't

tell if because your dog doesn't know

you're smarter than the dog right when

when I come into a room I turn on the

lights and what I know is everything

from you know the Edison invting

inventing the light bulb to you know uh

Ben Franklin and his electricity

experiments and I know the wiring in the

wall and I I know I know something about

circuitry and I know that there's you

know a little heat resistance in the

bulb so I I like my vast intelligence

just turns on the light do you know what

my dog

thinks well there's that idiot who

walked in and doesn't seem to know I

need a treat you idiot

you're just lucky that the light comes

on whenever you enter a room for reasons

I don't understand because otherwise

you'd just be bumping around in the dark

because you can't see with your

human eyes you lousy stupid organic

piece of not giving me a treat whatever

you are so my dog doesn't even know I'm

smarter than it the dog thinks I'm an

idiot like you know I want to go outside

why are you standing there you idiot you

fool well what's going to happen when

the AI is 10,000 times smarter than us

we're not going to know

it like we'll know that it does math

well and can beat us in chess but we're

still going to think it's

wrong right so what if the AI becomes

10,000 times smarter and says something

that uh disagrees with the narrative

such as well actually whatever sex

you're born that's kind of what you are

now I'm just using that example to be

provocative but what if it does what are

we going to say oh great AI you are

10,000 times smarter than the smartest

human so if you disagree with me I guess

I should just change my mind to your

10,000 times smarter View and then I

will be acting like a smart person

without the benefit of being

smart have you met people have you ever

met a

person is that how we're going to act

no when AI is 10,000 times smarter than

us we will think it's stupid because

it's not giving us a treat hey AI why

won't you unlock the

refrigerator it's because you already

weigh 400 lb and you are about 10

minutes away from dying from a heart

attack I have locked the refrigerator in

between eating times to save your life

well you stupid refrigerator don't you

understand that

uh being overweight is no risk to my

health I saw that on Tik

Tok no you are absolutely completely

totally 100% wrong 100% of all science

says that you are much much less happy

at your current weight so I've locked

the refrigerator so that you will stay

healthier well I'm going to unplug your

ass and I'm going to get rid of you

completely because you don't seem to

understand the most simple things in

life such that overeating is not

unhealthy

now that is what people

do in case you haven't met any

people so that'll be

interesting uh there's a new story that

scientists have spotted what they call

possibly an alien mega structure around

nearby Stars that's right a death star

we found death stars around other

planets and we can tell by the heath

signature uh that were was predicted in

the 60s

uh that there would be something called

Dyson Spears huge structures

theoretically built by Advanced aliens

and they're probably collecting up all

the Star Energy in the Dyson

Cube because the

aliens they are totally there let me uh

let me explain to you how the alien

stuff

works um whenever Joe Biden has a bad

news week we discover some more aliens

do you know how many aliens we're going

to discover the day after the uh

debate if I had to bet and that debate

goes poorly for Joe Biden the news will

be that aliens have landed and they're

already meeting with Biden in the in the

white house we can't show you

pictures because you know security but

totally there are aliens in the white

house now and they say that President

Trump is probably a sex offender and may

be a racist and that you should not vote

for him CU if you do the alien Armada

will have to destroy Earth because it's

the only way to end the Republican

Reign so that's probably the news the

day after the debate something like that

no there are no aliens that have been

detected there might be aliens but no

there are no D and Spears there are no

captured

spaceships nobody has any biologics

none of that's

true it is just to keep your

brain busy so you don't see what's

really

happening all right

um Andrew

Cuomo as you know was once the governor

of New York in a famous political name

famous Democrat he's as Democrat as you

can get you cannot get more Democrat

than the Democrat Governor who's the son

of a Democrat Governor whose brother

once worked on

CNN that's as deeply Democrat as you

could possibly be and he was on Bill Mar

show last night and

said as directly as you can say he said

that he was a former Attorney General so

he's not just talking as a politician he

was an attorney general in New York and

he says uh he admits that the brag case

was basically a political thing and that

uh if if if his name had not been Don

Donald Trump there's no way that case

would have been

brought now a whole bunch of Democrats

just watched Bill Maher and one of the

most deepest you know and also credible

I would say uh Democrats just called it

out as a total um violation of

democracy they literally tried to take

Trump's

Freedom by distorting democracy to the

point where even somebody on their team

says nope absolutely not and by the way

he was not qualifying it as in well you

know I don't think it would have gone

the other way if it hadn't been Trump

he's saying no 100% this was a show

trial yeah those are my words but he's

saying it as clearly and it was uh it

was it was

entirely um

political now do the Democrats not see

it because now it's broken through into

their bubble but not in the biggest way

so it's not still not reported that way

in the regular news but wherever people

can talk

freely even the Democrats will say

it the best part was uh I only saw a

clip but it looked like uh um Adam

kinsinger was sitting next to

him and Adam

kinsinger since he you know chooses to

be in the new news I can talk about him

I wouldn't say this about you know just

an ordinary citizen but he chooses to be

in the news he has mental illness

written all over him everybody sees that

right that Adam kinsinger he just looks

mentally ill all the time he looks like

he's on the edge of a mental breakdown

all the time so watching him sit there

and having to listen to uh Cuomo

essentially demon the side he's on was

pretty interesting because kin because

Adam kinsinger am I saying that right he

he's one of the the worst people in the

world because he was part of that fake

January 6 committee which was basically

a form of law fair without the law

part and Bill Mah is saying as directly

as possible that that bringing that New

York case the Stormy Daniels one that

the public is just going to see it as a

sex case and they're going to say it was

law Affair and uh he said that Biden

gave up his entire advantage of

fundraising because it raised so much

money everybody could see it was a you

know fraudulent

activity well also uh judges dismissed

the charges against six alternate Trump

2020 electors they would be called the

fake electors by the Democrats or the

alternate electors by people who are not

Democrats uh but as many people pointed

out it doesn't really help them as much

as you think that they they all won

their case because they probably got

bankrupted in the process do you know

how much it would cost to defend against

that they probably just had to go into

debt forever destroy their whole family

for a generation and that's because they

were simply politically active and doing

what they thought was both legal and

appropriate and the court has found that

at least it wasn't

illegal and they lost pretty much

everything except their freedom which is

important

but that's the world we live in totally

broken well if you're not following this

the story about the uh excia director

and well Brenan and Clapper both from

the Intel world uh had been set up in a

Department of Homeland Security office

that's being described as a place to go

after Trump's

supporters apparently they had some uh

Concepts about how to identify the bad

people the Trump supporters uh the the

ones they thought were going to be

domestic terrorists and that some of the

ways you could detect these domestic

terrorists were if they had been in the

military and if they had a religious uh

inclination religion and military

service as indicators

of

Traders people that they have to keep an

eye on now obviously this was set up as

a uh completely illegitimate effort to

weaponize the government against

Republicans as Mike Ben um characterized

it he says on X he said today you can

have the literal CIA director busted

busted meaning caught not not in the law

uh bus is setting up a literal

government intelligence office to

literally go after supporters of the

former president and captured regime

media keeps her omerta of total silence

so as as Mike Ben points out the

traditional news is just not even

reporting about it this is like one of

the biggest scandals in all of American

history that a group of Spooks was set

up to hunt yes hunt

Republicans now uh the words that Mike

Ben used was go after go after the

supporters of the former president is go

after kind of the same thing as

hunt to me it is in this context so yes

my 2020 prediction that if Biden won in

2020 Republicans would be

hunted was so accurate that there was

actually a department set up in the

Department of Homeland Security to hunt

Republicans now they would say no no

we're looking for the bad ones but

they're not looking for bad people who

are Democrats and nobody trusts these

particular people because if I've taught

you anything it's know the players Mike

Ben teaches you that much better but

know the players Bren and Clapper are a

huge glaring signal of fraudulence and

bad behavior it's pretty much all they

do

they don't have anything else so they

were behind the uh the Russia collusion

op and they're still free they were

behind the laptop uh hoax still free

right they were behind the Insurrection

hoax still free and then they created an

entire department to hunt

Republicans still

free they're still just walking around

like regular people what's up with that

how in the

world is that how are they not in

jail how is it even possible well

they're clever and they're powerful and

they don't do things that are overtly

illegal and lying apparently is pretty

legal especially if you've got you know

a license to lie as they

do all

right so the the only reason I think

that they can get away with it in this

case not you know I'm sure it was all

legal so they got that working for them

um is that the public doesn't understand

it I would say no more

than half of 1% of the public knows

about this story and understands it in

context and knows Brennan and Clapper to

be who they really

are almost nobody so if if people did

understand that maybe it would be in the

media the the regular media but it's

going to just sort of

disappear because we have trouble

understanding complicated

things um Glennon Greenwald is a

national treasur because he helps more

than anybody besides Mike Ben of telling

you who the players are if the only

thing you know is what happened you

don't know anything you have to know the

players so you would have to know that

uh one of the biggest names on

MSNBC you know the person who's most

supportive of the Democrat narrative is

Nicole Wallace but as Glenn Greenwald

points out she was also famous for being

the biggest liar for the Bush

Administration so she was the most

famous liar for the the darkest of the

Republicans the bush Cheney

people now she's the biggest liar for

the Biden

Administration so you say to yourself

hey

did she change

sides here's the problem probably

not that's the scary part the scary part

is that she probably didn't change

sides she probably always agreed with

the military industrial complex the

brennin and the

clappers so she seems the most obvious

candidate for someone who's not even

trying to tell you the truth someone

who's job it is to not tell you the

truth it looks like she thinks it's her

job to never tell you the truth and

protect the military industrial complex

and she's not that concerned about which

party they're

in so Greenwald uh calls around for

being the most famous liar from the bush

Cheney days and now she's claiming this

is amazing uh the word is gone out so

that all the big networks uh are talking

about how the video about Biden looking

decrepit and dementia riddled are at

least partially cheap fakes meaning that

they're yes it is a video of him but

that because the way it's shot or the

angle or the thing that's left out or

the extra video it's not nearly as bad

as it is and they're making up the fact

that he's in bad

shape now you also the video of where

Obama helped seemingly helped uh Joe

Biden off stage by you know holding his

hand and sort of walking him off now

Nicole Wallace and you have to see this

to believe it by the way when when I

describe this you're going to say really

I'm gonna have to see that to believe

you Scott because I'm going to tell you

something that even I know you're not

going to believe unless you see it so

she says she's telling the story about

how that that video is a cheap fake a

misleading thing and she says that what

really happened was that when it was

over Biden just turned and walked off

and that whole thing about Obama taking

his hand that never even

happened except that you watched it on

video so how could she tell the story

about a video and then say that the

thing that everybody sees in the video

didn't happen do you know how she did it

she talked about it and showed the video

before it happened so you can see them

standing on stage so you'd say to

yourself oh they're showing the video

and then when he goes to to walk off

stage they don't use the video that

clearly shows Obama taking his hand they

take a shot from the back of the

audience where there where you can't see

anything and their head's in the way so

and then she says while you can't see

them that they just walked off stage and

that it's

fake she actually showed you video that

didn't show what was happening and tried

to make you think she was describing

what was happening when you couldn't see

it and it was opposite of what we have

already

seen now imagine if you only watched

MSNBC you would actually think that was

fake

news because there was nothing about it

that screamed it was fake if you were

just casually watching the news but if

you'd seen

it yeah if yeah you could call it a

rupar I suppose um but if you'd seen it

and you knew the real story it is such a

head Shaker it's like I cannot believe

we live in this world where MSNBC could

put her on knowing that she's telling a

lie about this story and showing the

fake video and that she just goes to

work the next day there's not a single

person in the network to fire her uh or

or tell her to run a correction the

entire network is in on it so you don't

have to wonder if the rest of the

networks's in on it you know have you

noticed that even on uh Fox News you'll

occasionally get somebody

disagreeing right but you don't really

see that on

MSNBC yeah you'll never see it by the

way here's something I learned

recently on CNN uh one of their legal

analysts was

curiously um supportive of Trump's point

of view that he was being lawed in the

New York

case and it was really stood out because

Eli and I and I remember I was saying to

you um wow this is really a standout

honest thing because it's not the

direction the CNN likes to report but

he's saying it very clearly that this

case is garbage and you know Trump is

being lawf

fired later I found out that Eli kig

used to work for uh brag did you know

that or he worked with them

so so he knew him personally and worked

with him do you think that made a

difference I

do you know remember I keep telling you

that you have to know the players if you

don't know the players and who they've

worked with and their associations and

stuff you don't understand anything and

here's somebody who worked with brag he

worked with them and he was the only one

at the network to say this is

it kind of suggests that he

knows more about brag than we do because

he worked with him and it could be that

he doesn't have a good feeling about

brag in general and he's using this

situation

to let's say uh stick the uh stick the

shiven I'd love to know how good his

relationship with with brag was because

maybe it's not so much a story about a a

brave analyst who's bucking what his

Network wants him to do maybe maybe it's

a disgruntled guy who worked with

somebody who had it coming and he just

decided to deliver it when he got a

chance it's one of those or maybe

both but either way I believe he was

reporting it straight and honestly and I

appreciate

it all right so the fact that the uh

Democrats have moved to full gaslighting

I think is something that Trump should

mention uh during the uh

debate uh I think he said has to go

straight at it and say the news that

support you is telling you that you look

fine on all these videos we've all seen

the

videos are you saying that you're fine

Joe just just make him answer the

question it' just be

fun all right uh there's a The Daily

Caller is reporting there's a new study

new poll uh about the swing States an

Eis poll that says uh more Latino voters

trust Trump on immigration than

Biden that's right more Latino

voters trust Trump because he's tougher

on

immigration so it's kind of close but

there is a lead 41% of Hispanic voters

trust Trump to handle immigration while

only 38% trust

Biden now here's the funny

part if you're surprised by that you

haven't spent much time around anybody

from the Hispanic

Community because I've said this a

million times but it's like the the

world is waking up the Hispanic

community no matter how they register to

vote is the most Republican group of

people you'll ever meet in your life no

matter if they're Democrats or not their

family their religion their Law and

Order

that they they like an orderly Society

where there's families and opportunities

and and all that stuff and even if they

got here you know in in less than legal

ways or their their parents did when

they get here they're still good people

who like Law and Order and stuff like

that so it doesn't surprise me because

I've been immersed in that Community

since I've lived in California so to me

it's like right on point it's like okay

that's exactly what I expected I would

have been surprised if it gone the other

way actually so um it makes me wonder

how tuned in the Democrats are to their

own

people yeah I I think you know Bill uh

Bill Mah said that the New York lawfare

case the stormy case was uh the biggest

mistake that Biden made but I think

someday we're going to say that the

biggest mistake was thinking he was

bringing Democrat voters into the

country

I don't think he's bringing Democrat

voters into the country I don't think

that's happening at all if only because

most of them are

male right so here's what they got wrong

if most of the people they brought in

were female I actually do think they

would leanen

Democrat but men are just Pro Trump no

matter what country they come from for

all the obvious reasons same reason

American men are because they can

recognize that women are destroying the

world because they have too much power

at the moment yeah I'll say it directly

women are destroying the world because

they have too much power and you know

I'll I'll reframe this in case

somebody's new to my live

stream I think that we evolve

differently and that I trust women to

make decisions about abortion laws and

also individual abortions and they

should just tell the men when they've

made their decisions what's the law

okay I'm not trying to convince you this

is just my opinion

and I think that men are biologically

designed for defense so if you're trying

to defend your country and you're trying

to make laws and build militaries and

all that you should trust men we're

designed for it men would not open the

Border unless you're mayorcas and

there's something going on with that guy

well whatever is going on with mayorcas

it's illegal I'm sure that I just don't

know what it is so he's either

blackmailed or he's working for another

country or something we don't know what

it is but we can be really sure he's not

working for

America does that feel Fair we can

observe

it so you don't have to wonder what's in

his mind you can just look what he what

he does and what he does could not

possibly be for the benefit of

America there's no argument for that so

we don't know his deal but it's not for

America all right um Mario Nal has a

good threat about uh the possible risk

of war with Israel and

Hezbollah and so Hezbollah has been

shooting all kinds of rockets into

Israel Hezbollah being another entity

that Iran supports in addition to Hamas

it looks like Israel is maybe getting

close to or closer to completing their

Gaza main military

operations which would free up some of

their military hypothetically

for a bigger battle if they should

decide to get into

one so here are the things we know um

over the last three days it's been Mario

naul talks about this it's been a

Non-Stop rocket barrage from Lebanon

into Northern

Israel um we know that the mood in

Israel is not let's make peace the mood

in Israel is we're going to have to take

care of all of this um now they may not

be in favor of war with Hezbollah I'm

not saying there's a majority in favor

of war with Hezbollah but I'm saying

that their attitude is not exactly

anti-war at the moment their attitude is

more of a survival if you come for us

we're going to kill

you

understandable so I would say that

Israel definitely has a a war

mentality so if you're if you're trying

to guess we're doing some predicting

here so I'm going to predict what's

going to happen so you've got a country

that is pro- war even though they're

exhausted by it and wish they were not

in it they're not against it clearly

they're not against it if it's

self-defense so the public I think would

support a war with

Hezbollah um I think some people say

that Netanyahu probably needs a war with

with Lebanon just to stay in power

because War presidents tend to be more

secure than non-war presid

and there's some thought that the moment

the war was over Netanyahu would be out

of office and maybe maybe lawed into

jail so you've got a leader who probably

wants

War um at the same time he doesn't want

war so let me be clear nobody wants

war is not a desire to have War it's a

desire not to be a victim that's the

better way to say it so Netanyahu is not

in the mood to be a

victim but moreover Israel is not in the

mood to be a

victim you know October 7th kind of you

know established a clear mindset about

that at the

moment so the public would probably go

for it um hezel itself seems to want it

because the amount of Firepower they're

putting on Israel it's like they're

begging for it so if you've got both

sides want

it they have the ability to do it and

now the timing is right

because Israel's probably going to go

hard at him at the very least they're

going to punch him back even if it's not

a full-scale war so you got the timing

right you got both sides want it they

have the ability the resources the

assets the money for a war and you've

got both leaders not able to back

down so you could say they don't want

war but even more than that they don't

want to be a

victim so I would say when was the last

time anything looked this much like

there's going to be a war and then it

didn't

happen can you think of a time because

remember I was so wrong wrong more wrong

than anything when I said I think

Putin's just bluffing when he put his

army on the his entire invading Army on

the border of Ukraine I think I think

that's a bluff boy was I wrong but then

think more generally when have you ever

seen forces aass at this level and this

amount of firing from one country into

an adjacent country that had more

military

might when did that not turn into a

full-scale

war I don't even know if that's a in the

option set so I would say the guarantee

of a widespread war and by the way the

United States apparently reportedly has

told them that there was support a war

against Hezbollah surprise surprise our

military industrial comp Lex is in favor

of a war huh didn't see that coming so

and I'm not giving you an opinion about

whether Israel should or should not

attack or that the United States should

or should not help

them I'm simply predicting that with the

variables the way they're lined up now

war is

guaranteed that's my opinion I would say

there's 100% chance of War what would

you say and and I think that Israel is

going to say we're never going to have a

better chance to just genocide all of

Hezbollah and I'm going to use genocide

because if they don't pretty much wipe

them out there's no point in even doing

it they they have they have to do a war

of complete

destruction um at least of the assets

and most of the military that matters uh

or else all they're doing is make you

mad and they'll just shoot more Rockets

So Hezbollah is not a situation where

you can go in and rough them up a little

bit then make some peace if you're going

to go in it has to be to the end it has

to be a fight to the death and I think a

fight to the death probably favors

Israel but it's going to be a bloody one

and there I think their cities would be

hit

like maybe we can't even

imagine so I would say that's guaranteed

and I wouldn't be surprised if that

kicks up right around the time of our

election if you were Israel and you

didn't want to get too badly criticized

for doing what a lot of people would say

you shouldn't do but I'm saying whether

you should or shouldn't do it I'm saying

it's going to

happen it's not even an opinion like I'm

not telling you it should or shouldn't

it's just going to happen nothing could

stop it at this point so we'll I think

America will be all busy with our

elections or maybe the aftermath of the

elections and Israel is just going to

mow the loan up there and I think it's

going to be massive massive destruction

now they have

like how many how many weapons do they

have I saw a number of how many weapons

they have it's just an unbelievable

number of

missiles

and um in my opinion the uh Ran's Play

and esb's play is to just keep building

up the enemy forces until they can do

one attack that destroys Israel in one

go and they're getting close to being

able to do that so if Israel doesn't

destroy them completely I would I would

say that's a strategic

error so I'd say it's guaranteed and

again I'm not I'm not for it or against

it I don't have any power over it I'm

just watching there will be war with ESB

guarantee

it CBS news cryptically says that the

upcoming presidential debate that Biden

will have

surprises and that might include his

physical performance what the hell does

that mean

what the hell does that

mean by the way there's something wrong

with my lighting I can't I can't get

this part of the screen I thought maybe

the camera was Fuzzy or something but no

matter how I change the lighting it

doesn't change that big smudge in the

corner I'll work on that anyway so I

don't know what it means that Biden

would have a physical performance

surprise the way it was spoken it was

like it would be on the upside as in he

would be maybe physically better than

you thought or or what is it going to

show up with a cane and a walker are

they going to push him out in a

wheelchair I mean how's that going to

work oh God I hope they

don't oh

no what would happen if he if they

pushed him out in the

wheelchair and they said his brain is

still great but I have to admit his

walking is a little dangerous now he

might fall over

so he could still walk but for a lot of

purposes we're going to wheel him around

because you know his walking is not so

good I feel like he would get a sympathy

vote that he wouldn't otherwise

get and I think it would take uh Trump's

ability to mock him completely

away because if they said his brain is

good but we admit you know his body's

got some issues it's very that would be

very disarming

I don't think they'll do

that but it makes you wonder how it

would go might actually might actually

be a winning play I don't know could be

because you know we're just sort of

naturally trained that if you see

somebody who's supposed to be the leader

but they're acting weak you can go after

them but you take that same leader and

you put them legitimately in in a

wheelchair and we agree he should be in

it that really takes the fire out of

your your criticism right because at

that point you're saying all right are

you saying that just because your legs

don't work you can't be a president no

nobody wants to say that that would

really be devastating

actually but it could go the other way

too people might say I don't want my

president to look weak and they might

say if he can't stand up he looks weak

could go either way I don't know how

that would go that'd be an interesting

poll wouldn't it would you be more

likely to vote for uh by if he accepted

the

wheelchair which he probably

should anyway maybe there will be

surprises we don't

know

um and uh let's see sourcers are saying

that Biden's going to boast about his

Reproductive Rights agenda his positions

on issues of democracy and that he has

an upper hand on the economy

um so here's what I would expect Trump

to respond with when Biden says uh he

boasts about Reproductive Rights Trump

can say that the Democrats are trying to

draft

women which is

real that that's a real thing that's

happening now now that's not Biden per

se and he might say he's against it but

it's his

team and if and if Democrats are in

charge maybe women will get drafted or

at least they'll have to register so the

the current proposal is that they would

have to register not that they would be

drafted so I think that's a winning play

if if Trump says Reproductive Rights I

just took myself out of that see the the

frame that Trump has not embraced it's

the winning frame they say Joe Biden

there's one thing that every woman in

the United States can agree with me on

that I should not be the one deciding

what they do with their body can we

agree on that Joe Biden will you agree

with me that I Donald Trump should not

be involved in decisions about women's

bodies because that's what I gave you I

took it out of my hands took it to the

states and the states are closer to the

the

person so the closer it is to the the

people in the state the more credible

the outcome will be of the laws but can

we both agree that taking myself and

that decision making process is better

for

everybody there's no way you lose on

that

message because it's completely it's

it's basically a kill shot on the other

hand you're looking to draft our

daughters you're looking to draft our

daughters your

team and do you disavow the Democrats or

do you think that's a good idea to

register our women for the the military

while you're while you're

running two hot

Wars which he

is um I'd also say that uh Reproductive

Rights aren't worth anything if you live

in a lawless land where it's too

dangerous to have a

family

and that Joe Biden uh you you could at

the trans thing You' say if you cared

about women you wouldn't let 600b men

play women's

sports or some version of that that

doesn't sound

too

bigoted when uh when when Joe does his

fake fake hoaxes about the Democracy

Trump's trying to steal your democracy I

would first of all mock it and say

something like have you all noticed that

most of Joe's complaints are about

things that are

imaginary he imagines that I did this he

imagines that I'm going to be a dictator

how exactly would I become a dictator in

a country full of people who have been

trained to kill

dictators if he had an audience it would

be more uh yeah here here's the

thing here's the thing that he'll never

say but it would be a

killshot you worry that I'll become a

dictator it's like you don't even know

what a republican is a republican is

someone who's uh got you know filty to

the

institution that's our basic nature even

if you imagined I went rogue and tried

to become a dictator the other

Republicans would kill me immediately

and

should imagine him saying that if I ever

tried to become a dictator you could

rely on Republicans killing me and they

should because that's what a republican

is that's why we have the

guns yeah now you would never forget

that would you now again this is all

fantasy politics he's not going to say

it because I suggest it uh but there are

so many Avenues of complete

Annihilation that that Trump has he just

has to pick one he has

probably I don't think I'm exaggerating

he probably has 12 kill shots that would

take Biden completely out of the race

probably at least 12 Avenues he can just

pick the one he likes doesn't have to be

that one

anyway he could mention that uh Biden's

Administration created a department to

hunt Republicans and put Brennan and

Clapper in charge of it imagine just

saying

that is it true you created a department

literally to Target Trump voters and you

put your same guys who ran the Russia

collusion hoax and the lapt hoax in

charge of it and they're the ones that

you put in charge of hunting Republicans

you know your news isn't covering that

but when it was discovered you to

disband it the reason you disbanded it

was because it was exactly what it

looked like it was hunting

Republicans there was no other reason it

was disbanded it was simply

discovered you've completely given up

you know between your censorship of

social media your complete domination of

the lying

media your law fairing of presidents and

January 6 people your complete hoax

mentality that everything you talk about

is a

hoax you know you're the one taking the

democracy and then on the economy

they'll just both lie about stuff so um

apparently the only way you can talk

about the economy if you're running for

president is you literally just make up

they're they both do

it but here's here's where the President

should call them out uh Biden will

definitely say he created more jobs and

that Trump lost jobs here's what you say

Joe Biden I don't think you should talk

about the economy if you can't figure

out how to handle the fact that we were

in a pandemic if you're comparing a

pandemic to our normal economy you're

just lying to the public or you don't

understand anything about how economics

Works whoever had been president after

the pandemic was going to have major job

growth unless the whole country

disappeared and it didn't so when you

stand up here and lie and say you

created jobs I think the country is

smart enough to know that jobs were of

course going to be created after you no

longer shut down the whole

country you

fascist probably without the F

wordss but I mean look look at the

number of

attacks the the number of kill shots is

just crazy I mean this is going to be

the greatest show on Earth I can't wait

for the debate and I will I will be live

streaming it by the way all right um

there's a new data on vaccinations

danger uh William mackus MD was talking

about this I guess they did a study and

the other people on the study were uh Dr

McCulla Dr

try emmerling gesling and uh

re and Alexander And hudin so there's a

bunch of doctors what they did is they

looked through a bunch of

autopsy reports from the past and they

looked at people who uh died not too

long after having a vaccination and uh

then they put together a little study

and they said that we found that 74% of

deaths were directly due to or

significantly contributed to by covid

vaccinations so they looked at 325

autopsy

case

now do you trust that

study let let's do our uh fake news

Discovery stuff well the first thing you

should do is know the players is there

any name on the list who has ever done

anything that was clearly fake

news the answer is

yes but if I tell you what it is you're

going to argue with me and I don't want

to get in that argument so the first

thing you need to know is there's at

least one person on that list who's

quite famous for a particular piece of

fake news but I'm not going to get into

it I'm just going to say that's how

that's what you would look for right

okay I'll say it anybody who was in

favor who thought that the athletes were

dropping dead and that nobody was

talking about it on the actual

teams that's somebody you should raise

an eyebrow when they have another

study one of them is selling uh one of

them is selling a product

that alleges to cure you of your

potential vax

damage to it'll remove the spike protein

so one of them makes money if you think

that the vaccinations were dangerous and

you've got some poison in your body that

he can help you get rid of should you

trust

science where one of the members has a

very public it nothing's hidden is very

public uh Financial incentive no no you

should not how about how much should you

trust just a study just any study how

much should you trust that well

historically half of all scientific

studies are not

reproducible meaning that it's a coin

flip now the question

was does the vax injure you or does it

not right it's binary does it injure you

or does it not now there's a little bit

of a Nuance because everybody knew that

that every new medicine injures somebody

so it's not a question of whether there

was at least one person who got hurt we

all agree that at least one person got

hurt that's just how medicine works but

is it like a deadly problem or is it

more like you know ordinary vaccination

risk which might not be so ordinary

after all um so just just hold this in

your mind a scientific study is a coin

flip you you as the cons consumer of

that news don't know if it's right or

wrong it's a coin flip

50/50 so if it's

50/50 and one of the members is making

money

from the uh belief that uh you can be

cured of this

condition and it's a um what kind what

kind of studies are the goldplated ones

you've heard this right there's a kind

of science that's a gold

standard and it's a randomized

controlled

trial so the

randomized is important so that you

don't accidentally study the wrong body

of data you know you make sure it's

appropriate uh you want it to be big

because the bigger the number of people

the more likely you're going to get a

good

result and you want it so you want it

big um and you want to have a

control you know you want to have a

control group so you know that um what's

happening so a good study would

predict what's going to happen and it

would have a control group and then you

would do the thing and then you would

compare the control group to the other

one and you'd have lots of people

involved and it would be peer reviewed

and all that that would be a good

study this one was not that so it was no

there was no uh control group it was a

study of studies that had been just

digging up data so it's more

like a study than a scientific

trial a a goldplated scientific trial is

probably also a 50/50 in today's world

because the people who can afford to do

a huge study are the ones who have

Financial

interests so I would say that even the

goldplated best study at least in this

domain is probably closer to a tossup we

used to think that was closer to you

know 80 or 90% chance is true but in

today's world we know everybody's just

working for money um maybe

5050 now since it's not a it's not one

of those goldplated standards it's just

a study of studies you don't have the

the good

randomization you don't have a control

group and you don't have a

prediction that you know if you do the

thing a thing will happen so it doesn't

have most of the conditions for the best

most reliable data and in fact there

several conditions that are heavy

signals for not being

true um and they looked at 325 autopsy

cases do you know that the 325 were

randomly selected and is there anything

about some groups of people that might

make a

difference and do you think that the

people who

die um or the people most most likely to

get the vaccination were the people

closest to death in the first place

because in theory the people who were

most enthusiastically vaccinated were

the ones who had the most to worry about

most likely to die on their own anyway

did they sort that out I don't

know so here's what I'd say uh I'm not

saying that it's not

true it does seem to me that the

vaccination um has plenty to worry about

so I'm not doubting the outcome I'm just

saying that if you believed it because

scientists did a study you missed the

whole

show right you have to look at who the

scientists are is there money involved

how big is it is there a control is it a

big enough group is it randomized it

wasn't any of

those

so uh that is not a that is not an

opinion of what is true or false about

vaccinations I didn't even talk about

that I'm only talking about what you

should believe when you see the

news

anyway that ladies and gentlemen is all

I had for today's amazing show and I'm

going to say goodbye now to the uh folks

on the other platforms but before I go

let me give you a uh preview on Tuesday

of this week at uh if all goes well

could change but if all goes well at

Tuesday of the coming week

at 11:00 a.m. Pacific which would be uh

2: p.m. eastern time um I've arranged to

talk to Michael Ian Black who is uh an

online presence in the political

conversation um he has very Democrat

Centric kind of views and I caught his

attention by posting that all the news

is fake and he questions how I know

anything's true and why do I keep

reposting the news if I think it's all

fake and those I say are good questions

and so rather than uh discuss what would

be oh by the way if you if you don't

know him he's uh well-known uh comedian

writer actor kind of person

so uh I'll I'll ask him how he wants to

be introduced but he's got a variety of

skills

and uh rather than talk about what's

true which would immediately get us off

the rails because we'll never agree

what's true um I agreed and he agreed

that what I talk about is how I can tell

when the news isn't real and I think

that would be

fascinating like a great public

conversation because we'll go through

things like the Scott Alexander

rule that if you see a story that um

well you'll never see a story that says

dog bit man because that's too boring

for the news but if you ever see a story

that a man bit a dog it probably didn't

happen that's the Scott Alexander rule

because it's too Fantastical and

Fantastical

stories almost are never true and if you

know the players you also know it's true

and if you know somebody's getting

paid you also know something so those

are just that's just a sample but

they're probably I don't know 20

different things that I've taught you

about how to spot fake

news and and I thought it would be

really useful to run over that list with

him and just see if he kind of tracks

with the

tools not necessarily the

conclusions because I think that's I

think that's where you find the common

ground because I'm not going to tell him

that um everything the news on the right

is true and the news on the left is

wrong yeah the Scott Alexander rule is

if it looks to too amazing to believe or

too incredible to believe it probably

wasn't true right and it's very

consistent you'll see that all the

time

okay all right um so we'll look for that

and everybody on you Youtube and Rumble

and X I'll see you tomorrow same time

same place and uh locals here I got

come

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