Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive July 10, 2026
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Episodes Episode #2525 Segments
MainContent Politics as Persuasion

Back to episode — Episode 2525 CWSA 07/03/24

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y one is follow the money. So you've got a bunch of, you know, maybe 25-ish Democrats who feel like they'll lose their job and their money. You know, nobody wants to go look for a new job. So they would be the ones who would turn on Biden and suddenly they can see all of his infirmities. But the people who have no money on the line and have safe jobs, they think he's fine. So could there be a cl…

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he determinant. Biden's not going to drop out unless he gets a lot worse fast. And he might be so worse that he can't make the decision to drop out because he's not thinking right. So we may be past the point where he is coherent enough to even know he should drop out. So we might be stuck.

But here's the thing. Was there really some chance that anybody but Kamala Harris was going to be considered? And the answer is if you've been alive for the last five years and you weren't in a coma, you know that they could not skip over Kamala Harris because she's black and female. And by the way, there's a California politician who says it directly on video. There's no way you're going to skip over the black woman because you're going to lose black women voters and then you're dead. You can't win. So the threat is there. It's direct and it's public. You can't do it. And of course they know they can't do it. They are the DEI party. They can't ignore DEI just because it got inconvenient. That would blow the whole game. So they're stuck with her.

But here's where I think many of you might be wrong, especially the betting markets. I don't think she's going to be officially at the top of the ticket on Election Day. I think they're going to run the Schrodinger's candidate. Now you remember Schrodinger's cat, famous mental experiment where you put a cat in a sealed box and there's some radioactive decay. And if it goes a certain way, and you can't tell because it'd be a randomized process, the cat would be dead because it would release a poison. And if the radioactive decay went a different way, the poison would not be released and when you opened the box the cat would be alive.

So and then the weird physics of it, which you could debate, is that until you see the cat it is neither alive nor dead. It's in a superposition or it's only in a state of potential, potentially alive, potentially dead. And you don't know until you open the box because according to physics things don't solidify until they're observed or measured somehow.

So here's what the Biden-Harris team appears to be doing, and this is my prediction. Biden will still be top of the ticket on Election Day no matter how degraded he is, so long as he can still talk. If he's on machines it might be different. But I think they're going to say, you know what, here's the proposition. Here's my prediction. Democrats will eventually settle on the following message: you're voting for Kamala either way. That's it. That's the message. We're going to run Joe Biden at the top, but we all agree that he's going to step down as soon as he gets elected. So whether Kamala goes to the top place and runs or she stays as vice president and runs, in both cases you're voting for Kamala.

But here's the beauty of it, the psychological beauty. And remember we're in stupid world. So what I tell you next you're going to say, but Scott, that's so illogical. Right, right it is. And it's what they're going to think and do. Something completely illogical and very predictable. And it looks like this. They're going to run the Schrodinger's candidate. They're going to say if you like Biden, vote for Biden. You're going to get Kamala Harris. But if you don't want to vote for Kamala Harris, you don't have to because Biden's right there. Vote for Biden. But suppose you want to not vote for Biden because you could see that would be a disaster. What do you do then? You vote for Kamala Harris by voting for Biden because in both cases you get Kamala Harris.

It's just, well, there's really only one situation. You're going to get Kamala Harris because there's no way that Joe would get elected and continue serving. We all know that, right? So we don't know if it's the day after the election, the day after inauguration, six months in. But nobody thinks that if Biden got elected that you still, the president in six months. Nobody thinks that. It'd be 25th Amendment for sure.

But so there's my prediction. So if I were to go to the betting markets and say Kamala Harris is going to be the candidate, I could be right and lose the bet. You see the problem? Because if they simply run as the same package that they said they were, because all the paperwork is done and they're on the ballots, if they simply just do what they say they're going to do, that's really Kamala Harris running. There's no way around that. No smart person would disagree with that statement that at this point if it's Biden at the top of the ticket, it's a Kamala Harris race.

So here's the thing that you weekend speculators are missing. They don't have to do anything. No change is necessary to get everything they want. They'll leave Biden in for everybody who wants to vote for him, but really it's Kamala. And everybody who wanted Kamala to be at the top of the ticket would say, you know what, I guess it is a little late for that, but we'll just take it the other way. You know, we'll just wait six months, which would be quite reasonable. Just wait six months. So then everybody in the Democratic Party gets everything the stupid way. The stupid way by running the guy with no brain but telling you that you can have it either way. You could have a Biden or you could have a Kamala, which is really just Kamala. But if you like Biden, why don't you vote for Biden? He did a great job. Why don't you reward him? Reward him with a vote for Biden. But don't worry because it's just, it's Schrodinger's candidate. They're really going to run both of them and one is dead and one is alive just like the cat. It's kind of fascinating.

But here's the thing. If you think it's not going to be Kamala either as the second part of the ticket or the top, every path is Kamala. It's all Kamala all the way. It never was anything else or any other possibility. There was never a possibility of Michelle Obama. Never. And she just confirmed that it's not in her soul.

And let me tell you how to read an honest versus a dishonest answer. Here would be a potentially dishonest answer if Michelle Obama said, I have to be honest, I haven't even thought about it. Well that would leave the door open, wouldn't it? All you have to do is think about it. Or how about if she said Joe Biden is the nominee, that is the end of it. Well that would be leaving the door open a little bit, wouldn't it? It would. How about, you know, I don't think I could win. Oh that would be leaving the door open a little bit. How about, you know, I haven't had an interest in politics. No, but you could get interested to save the country.

So there are a thousand ways she could have said that she's not interested that you would say, hmm, the way you said it though, the way you said it makes me think you might be. But she didn't do any of the thousand ways that would leave the door open. She said you have to have it in your soul to run for office. I do not have it in my soul. It's not going to happen. That, ladies and gentlemen, is 100% proof she's not going to run. You do not say it's not in my soul unless you're really, really not going to run. Because you don't want anybody to ask you later, well what about that whole soul thing? You're running but I'm not sure you're into it. She's basically poisoned her own candidacy by saying my soul isn't into it. You can't take that back now.

Biden said he wasn't ready, you know, because he had a death in the family or something. Not ready is saying that you will be ready. She's not saying later I'll have a soul for it. She's saying I don't have the soul for it. And there's no way you get elected once you said you don't have the soul for the job. That is a poison pill that she gave to herself right in front of you. Hey, hey morons, do you see this giant poison pill? It's called it's not in my soul. I'm going to take this right in front of you. Will you please shut up? Stop saying I might be president. Shut up. Watch me eat that. Only it's like what can she do to convince you? No, there was never any chance she would be president or run for it.

All right. What about those Mar-a-Lago boxes? If you're not following lawyer Jeff Clark, for all of the lawfare stuff about Trump you're missing a lot of great takes. But Jeff Clark, look for him and follow him on X. And he says in a post today it's now dawning on the left that the argument I've long been making regarding the Mar-a-Lago documents case is correct. That whatever else is true, Trump declassified the documents. And then he puts an asterisk by course of conduct. In other words, the mere act of saying put these in the boxes and send them to Mar-a-Lago, by any reasonable person's judgment would be a declassification because there was no formal process that he had to follow.

So the fact that he was sloppy with the sort of informal process would be irrelevant because he's the president. So if he acts in every way as though documents are being declassified, and certainly packing them up and sending them outside of the White House and outside of a secure environment would be the clearest possible indication that he doesn't expect them to be classified. Now whether he said it or not, I think you have to give him the benefit of the doubt. And it wouldn't matter what president it was. I'd say the same thing. I think on that gray stuff you got to give them the benefit of it that you just can't run the presidency if every little gray area slows them down.

So Jeff Clark says turns out that now it's been confirmed that Trump has immunity for official acts. That's the Supreme Court case. That taking the documents with him to Mar-a-Lago means no criminal liability can attach because it was an official act. That by his actions he declassified the documents. Seems right to me. Now this by the way was exactly my take from the beginning, that he didn't have to say the words because there was no process, no guaranteed process. There was an informal one, there was a traditional one, but not one that he had to follow.

All right. CNN's getting heat for what the left

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thinks is CNN trying to take Biden out of the race. So they think that they biased the debate. They didn't. They think that the CNN people are somehow pro-Trump or at least not anti-Trump enough. I don't see it, but I guess if they're not getting what they want, the MSNBC people, they don't like it so they don't like CNN. All right, let's see what else. So there's a video that's viral of, just so…

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