Back to episode — Episode 2647 CWSA 11/02/24
Context —
if the public at large would put partisanship over truth when consuming news. In other words, would being on a team make you accept a partisan truth, in other words something that isn't true, over something that was true? What do you think? Do you think when people join a team that they value what the team says is true over what seems obviously true? Do you think they needed to do a study? Do you…
← Previous segment →a nothing and that's going to take as much time as something that might have been real.
So I think the number of observers guarantees that the number of claims will far exceed the system's ability to process them before we have to have a president on January 6. So this is why I reiterate my prediction: we will not have chosen the president by January 6 because the legal system will be all gummed up and there will be protests on the streets and people will be threatening every possible thing you can threaten. And I think people will be going to jail by then. I think people will get in a line. People will do some violent things that I do not recommend. Don't do anything violent. But here's the thing. We'll figure it out.
I think we're very close to what I would call the very best, best, best case scenario. But it doesn't have to go that way. It could go off the rails. So one of the possibilities is America just goes off the rails. If I had to put a percentage on it I'd say 20%, 10% maybe. So there's a real risk. America doesn't run into too many 10% risks of going off the rails. It's pretty unusual. So there's a real risk. But 90% is that we're going to find massive election fraud. Trump will be proved right that in 2024 there was enough fraud that any smart person will say, oh damn, it must have been there in 2020. I think that's where we're heading very fast.
I think that so many watchers will find so many things that it will look like 2020 must have been rigged because you couldn't have this many irregularities in 2024 unless they were also there before. We just weren't looking for them. So best case scenario, best case scenario: Trump wins after a protracted fight and he proves that he was right about the election being rigged in the first place. That's the highest win. You can't win harder than that. If you're going to make a list of what's the hardest you could win, well it would be that.
We've got misleading voter information sent out, all kinds of claims. Rasmussen Reports says they have done their final poll for the election so there will be no updates from Rasmussen. This is their final poll. Now why is that important? It's important because Rasmussen has been pretty close in the last several elections so they're top five typically. And here's what their poll is, and this is for the whole country so this would be the popular vote. You ready for this? Trump up three nationally.
Do you know what that means? If Trump is up three nationally that won't just be a landslide. It could be the biggest one we've ever seen maybe. But there's also a possibility that polling is wonky this year and I think Rasmussen would admit that as well. That the pollsters are very nervous this time because they think the people are lying to them and they probably are and it's just difficult to get people to answer.
But if I were a Democrat and I were on the Harris team, do you know what is the last thing I would want to hear dead last? Rasmussen says Trump is up three nationally a few days before the election. There's nothing worse than that. You can feel the dagger halfway in. Like it's not all the way in but it's like there's three more pushes. Rasmussen up three two days before election, up three nationally. Now remember Trump could win a landslide being behind nationally. If he's ahead nationally, all right.
In Arizona there is some question about the veracity of the polling and I won't get into the details but there's some thought that the polls have been just outrageously rigged. And that would be important not just for Trump but especially for Kari Lake because polls had been showing that Trump might win but that Kari Lake was kind of far behind her challenger whose name is Ruben Gallego. However, when things get close to the actual election, do you remember what happens? That's when the fake polls stop faking. Because you could always say well a month ago that's what it was but since we didn't vote we can't prove we were right or wrong. But once you have the vote you no longer can argue that your poll was right if it doesn't match the vote. So at that last minute the polls are going to look the most accurate they'll ever look.
And here's what's new. The latest data, Orbital poll, put Kari Lake taking a slim lead over Ruben Gallego and President Trump overtaking Harris with a massive 7.8% lead. And yeah, if Trump is up 7.8 and Kari Lake has a narrow lead in the polling, it's looking like a good day for Kari Lake. Now of course we don't know which polls are more reliable than other polls and I haven't heard of some of these but what you would expect is if the polls used to be rigged and there's certainly some good reporting on that suggests that they are, you would see that this would be the most accurate poll today because it's the closest to the election. And then suddenly for the first time Kari Lake's ahead. Maybe she always had. Maybe the polls were just trying to push the fundraising in one direction. So we don't know what's going to happen. Still too close to call but might be a good day coming up.
All right. If you'd like to know how powerful is brainwashing, here's one of those natural experiments. There's an experiment in the wild meaning that it wasn't an experiment on brainwashing but it accidentally shows you how powerful it is. So according to Axios vibes, they did a little poll about different ages of voters and whether people at different ages trust or don't trust voting machines. They call it ballot machines more than human counting. So it turns out that boomers, they trust voting machines. 68% of them would trust a machine over a human counting. Right, so if you're elderly you're thinking those voting machines are better than people.
If you're a millennial and you were born and raised and steeped in technology, only half of them, half of millennials believe that the ballot machines are better than human counting. Now when I said this was a natural test about brainwashing, here's what I mean. There are very few situations where you can know for sure what's right because we're not that smart, right? When I look at a poll of what do you think is right I usually have a strong opinion but I'm also at the same time thinking but it's an opinion, like it could be wrong.
But when it comes to voting machines and whether or not you should trust them more than human counting, that's actually something that I don't think is an opinion. Because if it's human counting you have more than one person watching so the odds of that going wrong, especially since you could recount, is pretty low because the person watching can just find the errors or demand a recount. But if you have a machine, things go into the black box and you and I don't know what kind of controls they have. And if they said they have great controls you wouldn't know if that's true. If they said nobody could ever hack us you'd say really, it's the only machine in the world that can't be hacked? And they'd say nope, we're not even connected to the internet. And then you say but do human beings have access to them? Well yes they do. Well then what's the difference if they're attached to the internet? Because a human can just stick a card in there and reprogram them, right? Well but nobody has said that or nobody's been caught. To which I say but you don't know if anybody's done anything. It's just not knowable. We have a system that's designed to make sure you don't know.
Now that tells you how powerful brainwashing is. That even half of millennials who are more educated about the vulnerabilities of technology, even half of them think that they would trust the machine more than the person. Now if half of them had said oh I think the machines will be faster, well that would be an opinion that maybe is wrong. They would just be less experienced about what really happens. But if you say you trust the machine more than a person, more than two people because it would be two people looking at it, I don't know, that feels more like brainwashing. Because I don't know how your common sense could ever get you to the point of trusting the machine over a person.
I remember when ATMs were first rolled out at banks. I was working at Crocker Bank in San Francisco. We were one of the first banks in the country to have ATMs. So we also had to deal with the psychology of the customer. Do you know what the biggest problem with ATMs was? It wasn't the technology. It wasn't the cost. It wasn't the implementation. It was older people wouldn't trust the machine versus a teller. Because I think if a teller makes a mistake it's sort of there, two of us watching, and you know it's easier to catch. But if the machine gives you less money than it says, what are you going to do? What are you going to do if the machine says there I just gave you your $100 but it only gave you 20? The old people were like oh hell, what are we going to do now?
The answer turned out to be ridiculously simple. The bank just backs the customer most of the time and they've got video so all the machines have video so you can see for sure. But for the small stuff if you went in and said I asked for $40 but your ATM only gave me 20 and they wanted to make a big deal about it, maybe for some reason the video didn't work, the bank would just give you the extra $20 because they're not going to fight for $20. So it turns out that this seemed like a big problem was not really any problem. Nobody's really had any major ATM problems. So you can see that the trust in machines is not automatic. And if two-thirds of boomers are trusting these ballot machines it suggests that that's a brainwashing operation and not so much because they thought about it or that it matches their experience in life.
Well the top 1% of Americans according to Unusual
Context —
Whales on X, top 1% of American households hold 30% of US wealth, a massive 44.6 trillion. Now on one hand that sounds pretty bad that 1% own that much wealth. On the other hand, whenever the news talks about economics they get so much wrong that I feel like I have to add at least this clarification. Billionaires technically have billions of dollars but it's not in the mattress where nobody else c…
Next segment → →