Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive October 9, 2026
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Episode 2647 CWSA 11/02/24

Episode #2647 Nov 2, 2024 1:20:44 36,477 views

Polls and hoaxes and political shenanigans! Fun! ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

What a show we have ready for you today. When I say "we," I mean mostly me. Let's get your comments up here. There we go. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need is a Goorm glass, a tank, a Kilian jug or flask vessel filled with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the…

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NewsReaction Persuasion

er. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now. I'll bet you all voted for that. Am I right? All right. First we have some news, and we're going to get to all the fun political stuff. But did you know that according to IFL Science, Iceland could be the first nation to get solar…

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NewsReaction Health & Biohacking

ld talk about politics. Next thing you know, here I am. Anyway, all right. Here's your next one. There was, according to The Hill, now I only read the headline on this one so I didn't read too much of the details, but I got the general idea. So Ozempic, the weight loss drug, seems to also have a co…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

if the public at large would put partisanship over truth when consuming news. In other words, would being on a team make you accept a partisan truth, in other words something that isn't true, over something that was true? What do you think? Do you think when people join a team that they value what t…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

a nothing and that's going to take as much time as something that might have been real. So I think the number of observers guarantees that the number of claims will far exceed the system's ability to process them before we have to have a president on January 6. So this is why I reiterate my predict…

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MainContent Confirmation Bias

Whales on X, top 1% of American households hold 30% of US wealth, a massive 44.6 trillion. Now on one hand that sounds pretty bad that 1% own that much wealth. On the other hand, whenever the news talks about economics they get so much wrong that I feel like I have to add at least this clarification…

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MainContent Economics & Finance

have so you'll never be able to have a real job or make money or take care of a family probably. But the criminal trial, I don't know that you could get 12 people of which certainly there will be a few people who want more Daniel Pennys and not fewer of them. I mean could you really get 12 Americans…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

made this the biggest story then they're pretty incompetent. This is the biggest story. This is everything. Trump just won January 6. He won it in a knockout. It's a knockout. Jamie Raskin just said he'd do the same thing Trump would do. You said it on live TV. You said it clearly. You said it unamb…

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MainContent Hypnosis & Influence

el Pollak was pointing out in Breitbart that Trump's done the impossible politically which he's got American Muslims and American Jews on his side at the same time. And I've been watching that happen and the more I look at it I think what am I even saying? Like what am I watching? Like how is that e…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

somebody named Dave Smith, not comic Dave Smith it's just somebody named Dave Smith says you should buy it then. Remember this is 2017. You should buy it then. And Elon Musk replies to him how much is it? In 2017 he was thinking about buying it. That is interesting. All right. There's a thought tha…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

e but in politics that's a thing that happens. You know it's not that unusual. If you really think you're going to win you claim victory but you probably don't want to do that if there's anybody still voting so you'd have to make sure all voting is done before you do any claiming a victory. But to m…

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Closing General Commentary

n't be surprised. Now remember there are a hundred variables that I would not be aware of so Israel has a much better idea if that's a good idea or a bad idea. They have a much better idea if they could get away with it. They have a much better idea what the public in Iran would do. They have a much…

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What a show we have ready for you today. When I say "we," I mean mostly me. Let's get your comments up here. There we go.

Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need is a Goorm glass, a tank, a Kilian jug or flask vessel filled with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now.

I'll bet you all voted for that. Am I right?

All right. First we have some news, and we're going to get to all the fun political stuff. But did you know that according to IFL Science, Iceland could be the first nation to get solar power from space by 2030? They're going to put a big-ass satellite up there with solar cells, and they're going to collect all that electricity up there because there are no clouds up there at all. Whereas you could not put them on the ground in Iceland because of all the clouds. But the satellite will gather up all the electricity and it will send it down to Iceland with some kind of radio waves. And those radio waves are a specific kind that can be turned into electricity. So how about that?

Now if they do it wrong, of course, the risk is that Iceland will melt and fall into the sea. But until 2030, Iceland would be a good place to visit, except for the volcanoes. So sometime between the volcanoes and the satellite that melts the entire country, good time to visit.

All right. I'm going to ask you some questions that science has already answered, and I want to see if you're as smart as science. Could these people have skipped the sciencing and just asked you?

Here's the question: Do you believe that being kind can make you look more attractive? Do you think that kind people appear more attractive? Go.

And the answer is yes. You knew that without even doing a study. I knew that without a study because it's really my secret. I know you don't believe this. I swear this is true. All right, I'm going to tell you something that you're going to resist, but I promise you, I promise you this is the truth. It's not going to seem true, but it's true in reality. I'm not a very attractive man. No, I know, I know, I know. Seriously, seriously, I'm not. But because of my kindness, I appear to you as beautiful. But I promise you I'm not attractive. It's an illusion that I put together with my kindness using science.

All right. Here's the next question from Yale University. They did a little study. They wanted to find out if political professionals are any better than the general public in predicting which kind of messages will persuade people. So do you think that there is such a thing as political professionals who can tell you what a good message is versus a bad message? Yes or no? Can the political professionals do better than the okay? It's kind of a trick because you know I wouldn't even ask the question if the political professionals did better. Would we even be talking about it? If the political professionals did better than amateurs, do you think that would be a top story? Oh, it looks like people who practice things do better. Glad I told you.

No, it turns out that the political pros, according to Yale University, didn't know better than ordinary people when it came to figuring out what messages were the most persuasive. But is there something they should have studied instead? They did political pros and they did ordinary voters, and they found that neither of them are any good at all at knowing what a good persuasive message would be.

If I were designing that study, maybe I would have added a third group: hypnotists. Do you think hypnotists would not do any better than political professionals or lay people in figuring out what is persuasive? They didn't do the study, but they don't really need to. Yes, a good hypnotist on average wouldn't be every hypnotist, but a hypnotist would in fact be better at knowing what would persuade. But political professionals, I do observe, don't seem to know their own jobs.

That is one of the reasons that I so arrogantly inserted myself into the political conversation in America. I looked at what the professionals were saying and I thought, well, I could do better than that. That's the same reason I became a cartoonist. When I was very young, I would open the comics. I'd read all the comics and think to myself, is it in my imagination or do these comics suck? You know, they're well drawn but they're not really funny. And I thought to myself, I wonder if I could do better than that on the first try. And then Dilbert was born. And then one day I said I think I should talk about politics. Next thing you know, here I am.

Anyway, all right. Here's your next one. There was, according to The Hill, now I only read the headline on this one so I didn't read too much of the details, but I got the general idea. So Ozempic, the weight loss drug, seems to also have a correlation with helping people who have knee pain from osteoarthritis. So it turns out that unexpectedly, people who were on Ozempic not only did they lose weight, we knew about that, but they also had much less knee pain. So now they're thinking that Ozempic is good for your knee pain. Does that sound right to you?

All right. Let me ask you this. If nobody had ever done a study on this and I were to ask you, hey, I just want to save some money on a study. Do you think if I gave people a weight loss drug that absolutely totally works and they lost a bunch of weight, yes or no, their knee pain would be reduced? And you'd be like, I don't know, I don't know. How much weight do they lose? Oh, a lot. A lot. I mean people are losing 80 pounds, you know, some people losing 60, 100 pounds. Would that make your knee pain less? I'm going to go out on a limb and say yes. I'm going to say yes. And the answer is yes. Yes it does. So that's your science working for you.

According to a post, people who have higher narcissism are linked to better mental health. So the more narcissistic you are, the less depressed and anxious you are and the less stress you have. Apparently if you're a narcissist, you transfer all of your depression, anxiety, and stress to the people you're dealing with and it offloads it from you.

Now did we need to do a study on this? Did you need to do a study to find that the narcissists seem happier than you? No, no. The narcissists always look happier than you. Have you ever seen Trump look unhappy? He got shot in the head and he still looks happy. Of course narcissists seem happier than you. You didn't have to study that.

All right. Here's the funniest story of the day. There was a story that some whistleblower is saying that the United States has a UAP recovery program, that the government has a program where they've actually recovered UFOs. And the entire news cycle for that was 10 minutes. So the funny part is not the story. The funny part is that there could be a news story that we would all see that says our government is recovering advanced alien spacecrafts and we just look at it and go, ah. The trouble is it came too close to the election. It's too on the nose. You got to do that six months before the election and then we might believe it. You put it right on the week of the election, there's not a single person in the country that thought it was real. As soon as you juxtaposed it too close to the election, everybody looked at it and said, nah, I don't think so. So that was funny.

All right. Here's another one. Stanford University did a study on partisanship versus the truth. So they wanted to see if the public at large would put partisanship over truth when consuming news. In other words, would being on a team make you accept a partisan truth, in other words something that isn't true, over something that was true? What do you think? Do you think when people join a team that they value what the team says is true over what seems obviously true? Do you think they needed to do a study? Do you think they could have just asked me, since I say about once a week for the last 10 years that if you're on a team you're going to vote for them whether your team is batshit crazy or not? No, you didn't have to study this. People, I could have answered this quite definitively.

But here's the funniest part. You see if you picked up on this. This is a study in which the researchers were trying to give people true facts, presumably about the news and life in general, true facts, and then they were going to give them some not-true facts and then they were going to see if they could sort them out and who could sort them out better. Do you see anything wrong with that? You see any problem with the study design? It means the researchers believe they could tell what was true. That's not a thing. There's no objective source of truth. I don't know that you could study that because if it was anything from the real world there was no objective truth so they wouldn't know who was right or who was wrong. They would have no way to know because they wouldn't know if they were being affected the same way everybody else is being affected.

But if they didn't use the real world for their test, and I don't know what they did, but if they used an artificial statement and some artificial false thing, I think people would have detected that it was artificial so you wouldn't get an actual test. So I think they should have just talked to me about that. Save some time.

All right. I would like to give you a summary of all the stories that I'm hearing about the election. This will be a jumble of just words and things that are coming out. Something about the drop box and the post office should have mailed the thing but they didn't think the thing and then the court, they ruled on the thing, they overruled the thing that was the thing but then they ruled it back but they might change that because that might be challenged but that might only be 50 ballots but it could be as many as 500. There's some people that saw some things that happened with boxes but maybe they didn't see it. There are some people who say that the court should be involved in the thing. The voting, the people that the address is not matching the voter rolls. Okay, I have no idea what's going on with the election. All I know is that the number of reported irregularities is very high and they're all over the place and on first hearing they sound credible, right?

So there's one, you know, one says somebody dropped a bunch of ballots in a box. Sounds credible but it could very easily be it was just their relatives and everything's fine. So you can have a lot of claims. And remember my rule. The rule is this: 99% of the claims won't be true. They will be false, guaranteed. 99% of all the election fraud claims won't be true. What we don't know about is the 1%. And I'm not saying that the 1% will be true. I'm saying that you could be pretty sure that 99% won't be. It's just that if there were any true ones in the mix you wouldn't know which is a problem.

So if the number of potential, and this is just hypothetical talk, speculative, if there were real irregularities they would be so buried with the fake ones that no legal system could sort it out before a president is picked. So we might be drowning in our own good luck, meaning that we've got these thousands of election observers, a lot of them are attorneys. They're going to find stuff or at least they're going to see things that they don't understand and then they're going to say, hmm, I don't understand what I just saw. Like why did that box get moved over there and who unlocked it? So they're going to write it up and maybe it was a nothing and that's going to take as much time as something that might have been real.

So I think the number of observers guarantees that the number of claims will far exceed the system's ability to process them before we have to have a president on January 6. So this is why I reiterate my prediction: we will not have chosen the president by January 6 because the legal system will be all gummed up and there will be protests on the streets and people will be threatening every possible thing you can threaten. And I think people will be going to jail by then. I think people will get in a line. People will do some violent things that I do not recommend. Don't do anything violent. But here's the thing. We'll figure it out.

I think we're very close to what I would call the very best, best, best case scenario. But it doesn't have to go that way. It could go off the rails. So one of the possibilities is America just goes off the rails. If I had to put a percentage on it I'd say 20%, 10% maybe. So there's a real risk. America doesn't run into too many 10% risks of going off the rails. It's pretty unusual. So there's a real risk. But 90% is that we're going to find massive election fraud. Trump will be proved right that in 2024 there was enough fraud that any smart person will say, oh damn, it must have been there in 2020. I think that's where we're heading very fast.

I think that so many watchers will find so many things that it will look like 2020 must have been rigged because you couldn't have this many irregularities in 2024 unless they were also there before. We just weren't looking for them. So best case scenario, best case scenario: Trump wins after a protracted fight and he proves that he was right about the election being rigged in the first place. That's the highest win. You can't win harder than that. If you're going to make a list of what's the hardest you could win, well it would be that.

We've got misleading voter information sent out, all kinds of claims. Rasmussen Reports says they have done their final poll for the election so there will be no updates from Rasmussen. This is their final poll. Now why is that important? It's important because Rasmussen has been pretty close in the last several elections so they're top five typically. And here's what their poll is, and this is for the whole country so this would be the popular vote. You ready for this? Trump up three nationally.

Do you know what that means? If Trump is up three nationally that won't just be a landslide. It could be the biggest one we've ever seen maybe. But there's also a possibility that polling is wonky this year and I think Rasmussen would admit that as well. That the pollsters are very nervous this time because they think the people are lying to them and they probably are and it's just difficult to get people to answer.

But if I were a Democrat and I were on the Harris team, do you know what is the last thing I would want to hear dead last? Rasmussen says Trump is up three nationally a few days before the election. There's nothing worse than that. You can feel the dagger halfway in. Like it's not all the way in but it's like there's three more pushes. Rasmussen up three two days before election, up three nationally. Now remember Trump could win a landslide being behind nationally. If he's ahead nationally, all right.

In Arizona there is some question about the veracity of the polling and I won't get into the details but there's some thought that the polls have been just outrageously rigged. And that would be important not just for Trump but especially for Kari Lake because polls had been showing that Trump might win but that Kari Lake was kind of far behind her challenger whose name is Ruben Gallego. However, when things get close to the actual election, do you remember what happens? That's when the fake polls stop faking. Because you could always say well a month ago that's what it was but since we didn't vote we can't prove we were right or wrong. But once you have the vote you no longer can argue that your poll was right if it doesn't match the vote. So at that last minute the polls are going to look the most accurate they'll ever look.

And here's what's new. The latest data, Orbital poll, put Kari Lake taking a slim lead over Ruben Gallego and President Trump overtaking Harris with a massive 7.8% lead. And yeah, if Trump is up 7.8 and Kari Lake has a narrow lead in the polling, it's looking like a good day for Kari Lake. Now of course we don't know which polls are more reliable than other polls and I haven't heard of some of these but what you would expect is if the polls used to be rigged and there's certainly some good reporting on that suggests that they are, you would see that this would be the most accurate poll today because it's the closest to the election. And then suddenly for the first time Kari Lake's ahead. Maybe she always had. Maybe the polls were just trying to push the fundraising in one direction. So we don't know what's going to happen. Still too close to call but might be a good day coming up.

All right. If you'd like to know how powerful is brainwashing, here's one of those natural experiments. There's an experiment in the wild meaning that it wasn't an experiment on brainwashing but it accidentally shows you how powerful it is. So according to Axios vibes, they did a little poll about different ages of voters and whether people at different ages trust or don't trust voting machines. They call it ballot machines more than human counting. So it turns out that boomers, they trust voting machines. 68% of them would trust a machine over a human counting. Right, so if you're elderly you're thinking those voting machines are better than people.

If you're a millennial and you were born and raised and steeped in technology, only half of them, half of millennials believe that the ballot machines are better than human counting. Now when I said this was a natural test about brainwashing, here's what I mean. There are very few situations where you can know for sure what's right because we're not that smart, right? When I look at a poll of what do you think is right I usually have a strong opinion but I'm also at the same time thinking but it's an opinion, like it could be wrong.

But when it comes to voting machines and whether or not you should trust them more than human counting, that's actually something that I don't think is an opinion. Because if it's human counting you have more than one person watching so the odds of that going wrong, especially since you could recount, is pretty low because the person watching can just find the errors or demand a recount. But if you have a machine, things go into the black box and you and I don't know what kind of controls they have. And if they said they have great controls you wouldn't know if that's true. If they said nobody could ever hack us you'd say really, it's the only machine in the world that can't be hacked? And they'd say nope, we're not even connected to the internet. And then you say but do human beings have access to them? Well yes they do. Well then what's the difference if they're attached to the internet? Because a human can just stick a card in there and reprogram them, right? Well but nobody has said that or nobody's been caught. To which I say but you don't know if anybody's done anything. It's just not knowable. We have a system that's designed to make sure you don't know.

Now that tells you how powerful brainwashing is. That even half of millennials who are more educated about the vulnerabilities of technology, even half of them think that they would trust the machine more than the person. Now if half of them had said oh I think the machines will be faster, well that would be an opinion that maybe is wrong. They would just be less experienced about what really happens. But if you say you trust the machine more than a person, more than two people because it would be two people looking at it, I don't know, that feels more like brainwashing. Because I don't know how your common sense could ever get you to the point of trusting the machine over a person.

I remember when ATMs were first rolled out at banks. I was working at Crocker Bank in San Francisco. We were one of the first banks in the country to have ATMs. So we also had to deal with the psychology of the customer. Do you know what the biggest problem with ATMs was? It wasn't the technology. It wasn't the cost. It wasn't the implementation. It was older people wouldn't trust the machine versus a teller. Because I think if a teller makes a mistake it's sort of there, two of us watching, and you know it's easier to catch. But if the machine gives you less money than it says, what are you going to do? What are you going to do if the machine says there I just gave you your $100 but it only gave you 20? The old people were like oh hell, what are we going to do now?

The answer turned out to be ridiculously simple. The bank just backs the customer most of the time and they've got video so all the machines have video so you can see for sure. But for the small stuff if you went in and said I asked for $40 but your ATM only gave me 20 and they wanted to make a big deal about it, maybe for some reason the video didn't work, the bank would just give you the extra $20 because they're not going to fight for $20. So it turns out that this seemed like a big problem was not really any problem. Nobody's really had any major ATM problems. So you can see that the trust in machines is not automatic. And if two-thirds of boomers are trusting these ballot machines it suggests that that's a brainwashing operation and not so much because they thought about it or that it matches their experience in life.

Well the top 1% of Americans according to Unusual Whales on X, top 1% of American households hold 30% of US wealth, a massive 44.6 trillion. Now on one hand that sounds pretty bad that 1% own that much wealth. On the other hand, whenever the news talks about economics they get so much wrong that I feel like I have to add at least this clarification. Billionaires technically have billions of dollars but it's not in the mattress where nobody else can get to it or have any benefits from it. No, it's employed. All their money is employed. It's invested. It's either in a business that's operating, it's in stocks that are boosted by their ownership, it's in banks where the bank can then lend it out.

If you didn't have people who had more money than they needed to spend you wouldn't have much of a country. You need to have some people, and ideally lots of them, who have so much more money than they have a need to spend it that it gets employed in places that it wouldn't normally go. Do you know why the United States has such a good entrepreneurial culture and other places don't? Here's why. If you told me Scott you're doing better than just getting by, you are saving a little extra money so you're saving 10% of your paycheck every year and you're doing good, you saved up $100,000 in your retirement account and it's growing 10% a year, that's not enough for me to invest in a startup. Are you kidding? I'd be like oh my God I'm going to need every penny. I'm not going to take a chance on a startup.

But if you give me a hundred billion dollars and say here's a hundred billion, what the hell am I going to do with a hundred billion? If I tried to consume all day long the most expensive things a person can consume I wouldn't even get close to that. So what does the world need? Okay, to go to Mars. So that's how you get Mars. You don't get Mars unless you also have 1% of the top Americans own 30% of the wealth. You don't get Mars and there's probably a whole bunch of things you don't get because you're not going to get the big crazy investments that sometimes work out. You need somebody to be crazy enough. How do you think Uber got started? It was just a whole bunch of rich people who could put in massive amounts of money because they had it and then that one works out. They don't all work out.

So I think that when we look at how much the rich people own, as someone with an economics background I say ah that kills me. I know it's unfair and I do understand the argument. It's just that the whole system depends on our smartest people having the most money. You don't want to take the money away from the best investors and give it to the people who are buying cigarettes and wine. Now if they need health care and food, well then yes we got to do something about that. But you don't want the smartest people not to be making the decisions. You want Elon Musk to have a trillion dollars. Well obvious example. Do you think the world would be better off if Elon Musk had his 250 billion whatever he's worth or do you think the world would be better off if he had half a trillion? Well what is he doing with his money? Has he spent it on his big mansion? I don't believe he has one. Has he spent it with gold encrusted candy or something? I don't know, whatever rich people do. No, he's building new businesses. He's putting satellites up. He's going into space. He would do more of that. So we have to keep it in perspective.

Here's potentially some good news in the Daniel Penny case. And I can't believe that the public is just finding this out. So his trial started and now we have learned that Neely, the person who died tragically, he was the erratic guy who was threatening people on the subway and Daniel Penny put him in a chokehold and he died soon after. But here's what we didn't know. When police arrived he was still alive and he was already in recovery hold. In other words the way he was being restrained when police arrived was not in a way that would be dangerous. He had already released the more dangerous hold for a less, you know, more of a recovery hold they call it. And he was breathing and his heart was beating when police came there. Police instead of giving him mouth to mouth because quote he seemed like a drug user, so they gave him Narcan instead. So Narcan as if it were an opioid overdose. Probably it wasn't because the Narcan would have worked otherwise. But we will need to find out more about what he actually died from.

But if you tell me that the police arrived when he was alive and they administered what appears to be the wrong kind of first aid, is Daniel Penny going to be liable for anything? This feels like one of those situations where the criminal case will release him and the family will sue him and ruin his life because they could probably get a majority which is all you need for a lawsuit to say oh yeah the majority thinks you probably did something wrong so you need to give us a billion dollars that you'll never have so you'll never be able to have a real job or make money or take care of a family probably. But the criminal trial, I don't know that you could get 12 people of which certainly there will be a few people who want more Daniel Pennys and not fewer of them. I mean could you really get 12 Americans and not one of them wants more Daniel Pennys? You know what I mean? Because I want more Daniel Pennys. If you could give me a hundred Daniel Pennys I will take every one of them even if they do this, even if every one of them was involved in this. Because it doesn't look like he killed him. It looks like what he did was at the very minimum that seems to have been proved is that Daniel Penny knew where the line was and didn't cross it. That's what it looks like. It looks like he knew where the line was, what would be deadly force, and he did not use it. And then the fact that he had already loosened to a recovery mode before the police got there and there were other people around helping, it certainly shows that his intention was protection. Both protection of the people in the car, protection of himself obviously, but also protecting the person because he put him in a protective mode once the danger had passed.

If this guy gets put in jail for this I'm going to have a real problem with it. All right, because it looks like racism. Let's be honest. It just looks like racism against white guys. And I'd like to see Daniel Penny get out. I'd like to see President Trump get in and I'd like to see a lot of things go our way this week.

Meanwhile Jamie Raskin was on Bill Maher's show. Eric Abinante watched the show so I didn't have to and he reports some of the things that happened, saw some clips. And Bill Maher asking if he was worried that Trump would go after his enemies. And Maher said to Raskin you yourself might be in trouble. You were the lead impeachment manager. How big an a-hole do you have to be where they go after you after you left the job of being that person I guess?

And here's my answer to that. You may have heard this before. No one is above the law. Why are they so afraid? Why are they so afraid? No one's above the law and no one is suggesting that anything outside the law happen. Are there some Republicans who are suggesting let's do something outside the legal process? I've never heard that. I've never heard a single person suggest we do something outside the legal process. So why would anybody be worried? It seems to signal some indication of guilt.

Now I can't read minds but I know if you said to me Scott are you worried about being arrested for murdering that guy that died in the hands of Daniel Penny I'd say well no I wasn't even there. How could a legal process put me in jail when I literally wasn't even in the state and it's easy to prove? So no, not worried. But Jamie Raskin seems to be worried. What's he worried about if he didn't break any laws? I don't know any Republican that would be in favor of the legal process being used against them. I mean there must be, it's a big world so there's somebody in favor of everything but I don't know anybody. I wouldn't be in favor of it. If I see the legal system being pushed by Republicans to do something against Democrats I'm going to be really loud about it because it's not just about Trump. It's just we can't have a country if we're lawfaring our leaders. Just can't do it. So no, Republicans, I think the good ones are not anywhere near the page where they would want to punish anybody just for revenge. But if the law was broken, no one's above the law.

But here's the best part. Bill Maher asked Raskin if he would accept the results of the election. What have I been saying? I've been saying can somebody please, please do your job as a reporter and ask a ranking Democrat: will you accept the results of the election if it doesn't look legitimate to you? Because that's what Trump did. He didn't accept it when it didn't look legitimate to him. So the question has to be Jamie Raskin, will you accept the result if it doesn't look legitimate to you? Do you know what he said? No. He said no. He said if it looked like there was some, I'm paraphrasing, but if it looks like there's some shenanigans and it's sort of clear that there are some shenanigans then no of course I would not accept that.

There it is. That's it. We're done. That's the whole election. January 6 was the only thing they were hanging their hat on. If by the end of Monday at least the Republican press hasn't made this the biggest story then they're pretty incompetent. This is the biggest story. This is everything. Trump just won January 6. He won it in a knockout. It's a knockout. Jamie Raskin just said he'd do the same thing Trump would do. You said it on live TV. You said it clearly. You said it unambiguously. There was no gray area. He said if it doesn't look real he's not going to accept it. Exactly what Trump did.

Now you might say but who gets to decide whether it looks real enough? And the answer is we all do. We all get to decide if it looks real enough. Jamie Raskin is going to make his decision and he gets to do that. Trump made his decision. He gets to do that. I made my decision. I get to do that. There's nobody above us for our opinions, right? Nobody above us. So if the public doesn't like the result apparently Jamie Raskin and Trump are on the same page that you shouldn't accept it. This is the biggest news of the year because it came from Jamie Raskin and it just completely frees Trump from all these allegations. Now only if the Republican-leaning press knows how to handle it. If they let this go and the day goes by and tomorrow goes by and nobody mentioned that the whole January 6 narrative completely fell apart, completely, well then I'd be pretty disappointed. But this should be the end of it. This should be a resounding Trump victory after this. We'll see.

And this is also something that I was wondering about. So the Democrats were doing that saving democracy message and one of the guests on Bill Maher also was doing, well you know we should worry about the important things like saving democracy. To which I thought at what point was an average person worried about losing democracy? They're worried about paying for gas and college and stuff like that. But that was never real. The whole saving democracy thing. And once you hear Jamie Raskin say that he would not accept an election that looks sketchy to him we can throw away this whole democracy is at risk too. That's also gone. That's gone. Because if you get to decide what democracy looks like and it's just your opinion, well democracy is already gone. So I don't think it ever made sense that democracy was at risk and I don't think the public bought that but some percentage, 25% probably, bought it.

Compliments to Bill Maher because he found he was annoyed and he should have been that his team was trying to turn that Liz Cheney thing into saying that Trump wanted her to be shot by a firing squad. Now that didn't happen. The context was he said she was a war hawk and you know she's sending people to have guns pointed at them but she wouldn't love it if it happened to her. So of course it was all fake news. So Bill Maher to his credit called it down unambiguously as fake news. Now I like that because you could imagine that he could have said something like well you know in the context of the other things he said stuff like that. One of the other guests tried that and it just sounded stupid. But he was just unambiguously saying stop, stop just lying about stuff. It's not helping that my own team is making such an obvious lie.

Now I like that. He also mocked Kamala Harris for going to the black barber shop. He had a good joke about that. But I'd like to return the favor. So Bill Maher, thank you for standing up for honesty even if your team is hurt by it.

But I heard a story yesterday that I didn't believe so I didn't look into it and then I did look into it and then I found out oh that's why I didn't believe it. It was so stupid that obviously it was fake. So there's a story that Tim Walz insulted Elon Musk by calling him gay in public. First of all as Elon Musk is fast to point out it's not an insult to be called gay. It's 2024 people. It's just not an insult. Musk got exactly the right answer. It's like that's not an insult. That would be a statement of something that's either true or false. That's all it is. And that's the good news. It's the good news that in 2024 smart people can say that's not an insult.

But then I listened to what Walz said and what he said was he meant to say guy but he slurred it and said gay. And then when he realized it came in as gay instead of guy he joked and said Michigan knows what that word means. And then Republicans took "Michigan knows what that word means" to suggest that he was suggesting that it was an insult to be called gay. Nobody in the world believes that Tim Walz thinks it's an insult to be called gay. Can we be a little bit realistic? No he did not say that Michigan thinks that being gay is bad. It's the opposite. Michigan knows what that word means means that people in Michigan are completely okay with gay. They know what it means. It's just nothing. There's nothing to it. He laughed it off. This is not a real thing. He did not call anybody gay and he definitely didn't think there was anything wrong with being gay. That didn't happen.

So I do this in the spirit of Bill Maher was willing to say his team was lying. I think this is Republicans just lying.

And even Jake Tapper, Breitbart News is reporting this, Jake Tapper fact-checked Harris for some of her lies which you would think oh that's a good sign for CNN but I'm going to tell you it's not in a moment. But here's what he said. He said they had two tiny little fact checks because Harris said did everyone hear that Trump said yesterday that he will do what he wants quote and here's what I'm going to quote do whether the women like it or not. So Harris is saying he's going to do things to women whether they like it or not. And then she says must vote. This is the thing. You know there's a saying that you have to listen to people when they tell you who they are and this is not the first time he has told us who he is. He does not believe women should have the agency and authority to make decisions about their own bodies.

So even Jake Tapper couldn't take that. Goes two tiny little fact checks. First of all she keeps referring to the Trump proposal on tariffs as a sales tax. It's not a sales tax. You can dispute tariffs but not whether it's a sales tax. And the second thing is when Trump said he was going to do something for women whether they like it or not he was talking about protecting women. And certainly you can take issue with language but he wasn't saying he was just going to do whatever he wanted regardless. He was going to protect them.

Now you would say to yourself hey that's a good sign. That's CNN doing a real fact check on Kamala Harris. Is it? I'm going to go the opposite direction. I think this is CNN protecting themselves so they can say hey we did a fact check. But what they don't do is the real ones. So they don't do January 6 was not a real insurrection. They don't do the fine people hoax was a hoax. They don't do the drinking bleach that was a hoax. They don't do the other 20 hoaxes. No they'll fact check these little ones that you knew were not true because you knew they were not true. But if you can't tell if it's true well they're going to sell it to you as true if it's good for them. So don't take this as good news. Take this as covering their ass in case somebody says but you've never fact-checked the other side. But yeah we did. We said that tariffs are not a sales tax. You knew that. We all knew it.

All right. CNN is pointing out that Trump is seeming to do a better job getting both Muslim Americans and Jewish Americans to vote for him which is a hell of a thing. I think it was Joel Pollak was pointing out in Breitbart that Trump's done the impossible politically which he's got American Muslims and American Jews on his side at the same time. And I've been watching that happen and the more I look at it I think what am I even saying? Like what am I watching? Like how is that even possible? And then I started to understand how it's possible. It's because of his messaging.

When Trump talks about war he says I don't want people to die. That's so powerful. It sounds like he's avoiding the question doesn't it? Like you want him to take sides and what are you going to do and he starts with I don't want people to die. You can't do better than that. That has to be your starting point. Because if you say later well you know I want a ceasefire if that's what he wants later well then that's all compatible. No matter what happens after that he's compatible as long as he stays with I want fewer people to die. But Harris tries to take both sides. Like if she's talking to one group it might sound pro-Jewish. If she's talking to the other it might sound a little less pro-Jewish. So then both sides can take something she said and make her look bad to the other side. But Trump says things that are hard to disagree with. That it wouldn't have happened if I'd been president. And you think well I don't know maybe it would have but okay. See it's not taking sides. He's just saying it wouldn't have happened and I don't want anybody to die. And of course October 7th was terrible. Everybody could say that.

So Trump is very cleverly finding there is no middle ground and he somehow found a high ground I guess that's the way to say it. There is no middle ground so instead he found the high ground. The high ground is I don't want anybody to die and that's consistent with everything else he says, right? He doesn't want abortion in later months because he doesn't want anybody to die. He doesn't want open borders because he doesn't want anybody to die. He's in favor of IVF because he wants more people to live. He's very consistent on life. You have to give him that. You can say he's a bullshitter. I agree. You can say he doesn't pass the fact-checking. I agree. But he is consistent as hell about laying life over death and you got to like that. You got to like that.

According to Nina Jankowicz, whose name you already might remember, some would call her, I think Molly Hemingway called her a censorship activist practitioner, sort of a Democrat who has worked in those areas where they're trying to tell social media to change their messaging if they don't like it. And she says that 2020 was different because number one now platforms aren't creating some friction for the spread of misinformation. So in other words there's more free speech now. She would say there's not enough friction on the spread of misinformation but that allows her to determine what is misinformation. That's no way. No. She says also there's less frequent and robust coordination between federal government and platforms. In other words there's less censorship. So Nina Jankowicz is worrying that the election might be influenced by free speech. Free speech does bring with it misinformation but do you know what brings more misinformation? Lack of free speech.

This is amazing. I'm seeing an actual post. This is in the comments. This is from 2017 and Elon Musk posts I love Twitter. So it's 2017 and somebody named Dave Smith, not comic Dave Smith it's just somebody named Dave Smith says you should buy it then. Remember this is 2017. You should buy it then. And Elon Musk replies to him how much is it? In 2017 he was thinking about buying it. That is interesting.

All right. There's a thought that the Amish might be the deciding demographic for Trump because they seem to be a little more pro-Trump. And one of the reasons is, I didn't know this, but the Amish traditionally are a farming community but the people who own the farms already own all the land so the young generation can't also be farmers because there's not enough land where they're also Amish. So a lot of them just started businesses and they tend to be Republican-like in their free market kind of thinking.

And I want to read to you what Scott Presler said recently during a Trump rally when he was speaking to the Amish. And this gets back to your earlier point I made about can experts know what is a good persuasive message compared to just an average person. And this I would say that Scott Presler is definitely not an average person. He's I would put him in the expert category in politics at this point. But do you think that he nailed this persuasion right? I read it to you. Tell me if you feel it. That's the key. Tell me if you feel it. Now you're not Amish so this is not meant for you but see if you could judge whether you would just feel it.

Quote: To our beautiful Amish in Lancaster in Pennsylvania and across the state, we will protect your raw milk, your dairy, your farming, your school choice, your religious freedom, your ability to have 10 beautiful children per family. Wow. Wow. It's kind of perfect. Now do you feel it? You can feel that right? If you tell me that Scott Presler is unable to do persuasion and persuasive messages better than the average person and better than the average professional I would say you're clearly wrong. This is good work. Yeah that hits everything.

I don't know. I think it's because I had a lot, I have a lot of farm experience. So it used to be my job at my uncle's farm that was walking distance from my house. I would walk there or ride my bike and clean the bulk tank. Now the bulk tank was a giant metal holding tank for the milk that came from the cows that same day. Now it would only be in the tank for half a day until a big truck would come and suck it out and take it away. And so I had to clean it and sterilize it. And then my family would drink raw milk from the farm because my mother insulted the milk company and they wouldn't deliver to our house anymore so we had to get our milk from my uncle but it was walking distance so it wasn't a big deal. So raw milk is sort of in my blood so to speak. You know what I mean? Farming sort of in my blood. I spent a lot of time on a farm and when I hear these things they just completely hit me. We're going to protect your raw milk. That goes so deep. It's just beautiful.

Anyway The Hill is talking about here's a headline that I didn't read the story. Former President Trump's vows for revenge face few limitations in second term. I chose not to read the story that that headline is attached to. Let me read it again. Former President Trump's vows for revenge face few limitations in second term. His vows for revenge. When did that happen? Can you show me the quote where he vowed revenge? Do you think he ever used that word? I don't think so. No, no I don't think so. I think he said that there are enemies within and that if they committed crimes you know the legal system should deal with them but nobody's above the law. So I'm going to say that's just a propaganda story. And I would say that any president who wanted to get revenge would find that there are not many limitations. Didn't Obama use the IRS to get at his enemies? Didn't Obama drone an American? Once the American president can get a lot of revenge. So yeah I mean obviously anybody can but we do not approve of Trump getting revenge. We only approve of the law being followed.

Washington State Governor Jay Inslee is activating the National Guard in case there's trouble after the election. But it turns out according to Reuters that Democrats are preparing phase one of the cheat. Now this is me speaking speculatively and allegedly and hypothetically. I am not aware of any factual basis for what I'm about to say. I'm just saying that it looks exactly like what you would do if you were planning to rig an election. That doesn't mean they're going to. I'm going to tell you what the story is so according to Reuters Democrats are readying a rapid fire response to flood social media and the airwaves with calls for calm and patience with vote counting should Trump try to prematurely claim election victory as he did in 2020.

So let's say Trump is winning in a landslide and it's 10:00 at night and he reasonably believes that unless there's cheating he's going to win and he declares victory. You could argue he shouldn't do that until the election is done but in politics that's a thing that happens. You know it's not that unusual. If you really think you're going to win you claim victory but you probably don't want to do that if there's anybody still voting so you'd have to make sure all voting is done before you do any claiming a victory. But to me it sounds like what they just announced is a propaganda and stalling operation until they have time to complete the cheat. In other words they need to make sure that the media does not embrace the thought that Trump won because they're going to plan to change their minds by altering the vote afterwards. Again I have no evidence of that. This is not a factual conversation. This is based on exactly what it looks like. What it looks like is they're telling us very clearly that they're going to confuse the public medium of conversation to make it look like Trump did not win. And again the hypothetical is we don't know if he won or not in the hypothetical but in the hypothetical he claims victory so they have a plan to make sure that they can stall that situation long enough that they've completed counting the vote.

Now if that doesn't sound like a plan to cheat you're not as suspicious as I am because that's exactly what you would do if you plan to lose but cheat after the numbers come in so you know how much to cheat by. So we do not have any factual evidence of a plan to cheat. There is however factual evidence of a plan that would be 100% compatible with cheating. Doesn't mean that's the reason. It's just coincidentally 100% compatible and I've never seen anything like it. So it seems like it's something you need every year but this year they seem to think they need it anyway.

In other news the United States is deploying B-52 bombers and fighter jets and refueling aircraft and Navy destroyers to the Middle East. So let's see where are we. Iran missile Israel a while ago and then Israel attacked back and now I think Iran is saying they might attack back for the attack back. I'm getting lost in who's going first and who's going last but as I've said a number of times and this is not a prediction it's just a statement of the obvious, Americans are really really distracted this month, this week. But this month you all agree with that right? No matter what happens the election is absorbing everybody who has any kind of geopolitical interest whatsoever. We're all just totally absorbed by it. We don't even care about the government recovering UFOs. Couldn't care less. Just tell us about this election.

Well when we're this distracted and Israel's in exactly the situation they are, if they were ever planning to do a decapitation strike on Iran it's going to be like in a week now. If I were the supreme leader I would do some little extra hiding. Like if you've got a really good bunker I'd be using the good one. Because while I don't think it's necessarily a good idea to take out the leader of Iran because you don't know what would happen it would be a very unstable situation, I also don't know that it's a bad idea. So I guess I'm just an observer. I don't prefer it. I don't un-prefer it. I don't condemn it. I don't praise it. I'm just watching. And I've never seen a situation where this many variables came together so obviously coincidentally at the same time. It's just the perfect time because America just we just don't have anybody strong enough to deal with it. We would just have to we would say strong words about how we don't like it. Trump would say oh it wouldn't have happened if I'd been president. Biden would say oh we need to calm down but nothing would happen. I mean it's not like somebody's going to take funding away from Israel. We would just go on with our own little problems.

So it's not a prediction and it's not a preference that there's a decapitation strike. I'm just telling you that if you were going to predict the future I wouldn't overlook the fact that there's never been and never will be a time in the history of those two countries for Israel to take a decisive action. So I wouldn't be surprised. Now remember there are a hundred variables that I would not be aware of so Israel has a much better idea if that's a good idea or a bad idea. They have a much better idea if they could get away with it. They have a much better idea what the public in Iran would do. They have a much better idea if they could defend themselves from a counterattack. So I don't know. 90% of what I would need to know to know if it's a go. I'm just saying that from purely the political standpoint you're never going to get a better shot than that. And I'm not anxious to have that happen because that would be real destabilizing for the world and I'm not looking forward to that but it might. But it might.

That ladies and gentlemen are the prepared remarks that I had for today. If you don't remember the Dilbert calendar which you see over my shoulder for 2025 is available for sale. I think most of you who have ordered it so far will see it in November if you've already ordered it because they did wait to print them until they get a good bunch but they should all be there by Christmas as long as you order it before December 1st. If you order it after December 1st probably you'll still get it by Christmas but sooner is better. And also my books God's Debris the complete works and the new version version two of Win Bigly slightly updated. It's not that different from the original just a better edit. And Reframe Your Brain which is changing people's lives all over the place. So you got lots of holiday buying if you want it.

All right I'm going to talk to the locals people privately. I do expect that on Election Day I'll be live streaming. I don't have a specific plan for that yet but certainly during the prime time when most of the votes are in I'll certainly be live then. So for sure I will be live during the most critical parts of the results coming in in the evening.

All right coming at you locals. The rest of you on Rumble and YouTube and X, thanks for joining. Always appreciate you. I'll see you tomorrow same time same place.

what a show we have ready for you today when I say we I mean mostly me let's get your comments up here there we go good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand when they're tiny shiny human brains all you need is guer M Glass a tank of chel aen juger flask vessel of fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure the dope mean of the day the thing that makes everything better is called the simultaneous up and it's going to happen now H I'll bet you all voted for that am I right all right first we have some news and we're going to get to all the fun political stuff but did you know that according to IFL science Iceland could be the first nation to get solar power from space by 2030 they're going to put a big ass satellite up there with the solar cells and they're going to collect all that electricity up there because there are no clouds there are no clouds there at all whereas you could not put them on the ground in Iceland because of all the clouds but the satellite will gather up all the electricity and it will send it down to Iceland with some kind of uh some kind of uh radio waves and those radio waves are a specific kind that can be turned into electricity so how about that now if they do it wrong of course the you know the risk is that Iceland will melt and fall into the sea but until 2030 Iceland would be a good place to visit except for the volcanoes so sometime between the volcanoes and the satellite that melts the entire country good time to visit all right I'm going to ask you you some questions that science has already answered and I want to see if you're as smart as science could these people have skipped the sciencing and just asked you here's the question do you believe that being kind can make you look more attractive do you think that kind people appear more attractive go and the answer is yes you knew that without even doing a study um I knew that without a study um because it's really my secret I know you don't believe this I I swear this is true all right I'm going to tell you something that you're going to resist but uh I promise you I promise you this is the truth it's not going to seem true but it's true in reality I'm not a very attractive man no I know I know I know seriously seriously I'm not but because of my kindness I appear to you as beautiful but I promise you I'm not attractive it's it's an illusion that I put together with my kindness using science all right here's the next question from y University they did a little study they wanted to find out if political professionals are any better than the general public in predicting which kind of messages will persuade people so do you think that there is such a thing as political professionals who can tell you what a good message is versus a bad message yes or no can can the political professionals do better than the okay it's kind of a trick because you know I wouldn't even ask the question if the political professionals did better would we even be talking about it if the political professionals did better than amateurs do you think it do you think that would be a top of story oh it looks like people who practice things do better glad I told you no it turns out that the political Pros according to the yell University didn't know better than ordinary people when it came to figuring out what messages were the most persuasive but is there something they should have studied instead huh they did political Pros and they did ordinary voters and they found that neither of them are any good at all and knowing what a good persuasive message would be huh if I were designing that study maybe I would have added a third group hypnotists do you think hypnotists would not do any better than political professionals or lay people in figuring out what is persuasive they didn't do the stuff but they don't really need to yes the p a good hypnotist on average wouldn't be every hypnotist but hypnotist would in fact be better at knowing what would persuade but political professionals I do observe don't seem to know their own jobs that one of the reasons that I so arrogantly inserted myself into the political conversation in America is that I looked at what the professionals were saying and I thought well I could do better than that that's the same reason I became a cartoonist when I was very young I would open the comics I I'd read all the comics and I think to myself is in my imagination or these Comics suck you know they're well drawn but they're not really funny and I thought to myself I wonder if I could do better than that on the first try and then Dilbert was born and then one day I Saidi think I should talk about politics next thing you know here I am anyway all right here's your next one um there was a according to the hill now I only read the headline on this one so I didn't I didn't read too much of the details but I got the general idea so OIC the weight loss drug uh seems to also have a correlation with helping people with have knee pain from osteoarthritis so it turns out that unexpectedly that people who were on a OIC um not only did they lose weight we knew about that but they also had much less knee pain so now they're thinking that the OIC is good for your knee pain does that sound right to you all right all right let me ask you this if nobody had ever done a study on this this and I were to ask you hey I just I want to save some money on a study do you think if I gave people a weight loss drug that absolutely totally works and they lost a bunch of weight yes or no their knee pain would be reduced and I'd be like H I don't know I don't know they how much how much weight do they lose oh a lot a lot I mean people are losing 80 lbs you know some people losing 60 100 lbs I'm like would that would that make your knee pain less I'm going to go out the limb and say yes I'm going to say yes and the answer is yes yes it does it does so that's your science working for you according to S poost people who have higher narcissism are linked to uh better Mental Health so the more narcissistic you are uh the less depressed and anxious you are and the less stress you have apparently if you're a narcissist you transfer all of your depression anxiety and stress to the people you're dealing with and it offloads it from you now did we need to do a study on this did you need to do a study to find that the narcissists seem happier than you no no the the narcissists always look happier than you have you ever seen Trump look unhappy the got shot in the head and he still looks happy of course narcissists seem happier than you you didn't have to study that all right here's the funniest story of the day uh there was a story uh that some whistleblower is saying that the United States has a UAP uh a recovery program that the government has a program where where they've actually recovered UFOs and the the entire news cycle for that was 10 minutes so the funny part is not the story the funny part is that there could be a news story that that we would all see that says our government is recovering Advanced alien spacecrafts and we just look at it and go ah the trouble is it came too close to the election it's too on the nose you you got to do that six months before the election and then we might believe it you put it right on the week of the election there's not a single person in the country that thought it was real as soon as you ju supposed it too close to the election everybody looked at it and said N I don't think so so that was funny all right here's another one Stanford University did a study uh and partisanship versus the truth so they wanted to see if uh if the public at large would put partisanship over truth when consuming news in other words would being on a team make you accept a partisan truth in other words something that isn't true over something that was true what do you think do you think when people join a team that they value what the team says is true over what seems obviously true do you think they needed to do a study do you think they could have just asked me since I say about once a week for the last 10 years that if you're on a team you're going to vote for them whether your team is bashit crazy or not no you didn't have to study this people I could have I could have answered this quite definitively but here's the funniest part you see if you picked up on this this is a study in which the researchers were trying to give people true facts presumably about you know the news and life in general true facts and then they were going to give them some not true facts and then they were going to see if they could sort them out and who could sort them out better do you see anything wrong with that you see any problem with the study design it it means the researchers believe they could tell what was true that's not a thing there's no object we don't have an objective source of truth I don't know that you could study that because if it if it was anything from The Real World there was no objective truth so they wouldn't know who was right or who wasn't wrong that would have no way to know because they wouldn't know if they were being affected the same way everybody else is being affected uh but if they didn't use the real world for their test and I don't know what they did but if they used an artificial statement and some artificial false thing I think people would have detected that it was artificial so you wouldn't get an actual test so I think they should have just talked to me about that save some time all right I would like to give you a summary of all the stories that I'm hearing about the election uh this will be a jumble of just words and things that are coming out uh something about to drop box and the the uh the post office should have mailed the thing but they didn't think the thing and then the then the court they ruled on the thing they overruled the thing that was the thing but then they ruled it back back but they might change that cuz that might be challenge but that might only be 50 ballots but it could be as many as 500 there's some people that saw some things that happened to with boxes but maybe they didn't see it there are some people who say that the court should be involved in the thing the the voting the people that the the address is not matching the voter roles okay I have no idea what's going on with the election all I know is that the number of reported irregularities is very high and they're all over the place and you know on first hearing they sound credible right so there's one you know one says somebody dropped a bunch of ballots in a box sounds credible but it could very easily be it was just their relatives and everything's fine so you know that you can have a lot of claims and remember my rule the rule is this 99% % of the claims won't be true they will be false guaranteed 99% of all the election fraud claims won't be true what we don't know about is the 1% and I'm not saying that the 1% will be true I'm saying that you could be pretty sure that 99% won't be it's just that if there were any true ones in the mix you wouldn't know which is a problem so if the number of potential and this is just um hypothetical talk speculative if there were real irregularities they would be so buried with the fake ones that no legal system could sort it out before a president is picked so we might be um we might be drowning in our own good luck meaning that we've got these thousands of election observers a lot of them are attorneys they're going to find stuff or at least they're going to see things that they don't understand and then they're going to say hm I don't understand what I just saw like why did that box get moved over there and why who unlocked it so they're going to write it up and maybe it was a nothing and that's going to take as much time as something that might have been real so I think the number of observers guarantees guarantees that the number of CLS will far exceed the system's ability to process them before we have to have a president January 6 so this is why I reiterate my prediction we will not have chosen the president by January 6 because the legal system will be all gummed up and there will be protests on the streets and people will be threatening every possible thing you can threaten so and I think people will be going to jail by then I think people will get an A Line people will do some violent things that I do not recommend don't do anything violent um but here's the thing we'll figure it out I I I think we're very close to what I would call the very best best best case scenario but it doesn't have to go that way it could it could go off the rails so one of the possibilities is America just goes off the rails if I had to put a percentage on it I'd say 20% 10% maybe so there's there's a real risk I mean we don't America doesn't run into too many you know 10% risks of going off the rails it's pretty unusual so there's a real risk but 90% is that we're going to find massive election fraud Trump will be proved right that in 2024 there was enough fraud that any smart person will say oh damn it must have been there in 2020 I think that's where we're heading very fast I think that so many Watchers will find so many things that it will look like 2020 must have been rigged because you couldn't have this many irregularities in 2024 unless they were also there before we just weren't looking for them so best case scenario best case scenario Trump wins after a protracted fight and he proves that he was right about the election being rigged in the first place that's the highest win you can't win harder than that if you're going to make a like a list of what's the hardest you could win well it would be that it would be that so uh let's see yeah we've got misleader voting misleading voter information sent out all kinds of claims rasmuson uh polling the rasmon reports says they have done their final Poll for the election so there will be no updates from rasmason this is their final poll now why is that important it's important because rasmon has been pretty close in the last several elections so they're top five typically um and here's what they're poll is and this is for the whole country so this would be the the the popular vote you ready for this Trump up three nationally do you know what that means if Trump is up three nationally that won't just be a landslide it could be the biggest one we've ever seen maybe but there's also a possibility that polling is wonky this year and I think I think rasmason would admit that as well that uh the pollsters are very they're very nervous this time because they think the people are lying to them and and they probably are and it's just difficult to get people to answer but uh if I were a Democrat and I were on the haris team do you know what is the last thing I would want to hear dead last rasm rasmason says Trump is up three nationally few days before the election there's nothing worse than that you can feel the dagger halfway in like it's not all the way in but it's like you know there's like three more three more pushes but but rasmuson up three two days before election up three nationally now remember Trump could win a landslide being behind nationally if he's ahead nationally all right um in Arizona there is some uh question about the veracity of the polling and uh I won't get into the details but there's some thought that the polls have been just outrageously um rigged uh and that would be important not just for Trump but for especially Cary Lake because polls had been showing that Trump might win but that Cary Lake was uh kind of far behinder Challenger whose name is uh Ruben g g Gago um however when things get close to the actual election do you remember what happens that's when the fake polls stop faking because you could always say well a month ago that's what it was but since we didn't vote we can't prove we were right or wrong but but we say a month ago we were right too once you have the vote you no longer can argue that your poll was right if it doesn't matter the vote so at that last minute the polls are going to look the most accurate they'll ever look and here's what's new the latest data orbital poll put uh K Lake taking a slim lead over Ruben gyo and president Trump overtaking Harris with a massive 7.8% lead and uh yeah yeah if Trump is up 7.8 and car lake has a narrow lead in the polling it's looking like a good day for car Lake now of course we don't know which poles are more reliable than other poles and you know I I haven't heard of some of these but what you would expect is if the polls used to be rigged and there's certainly some good there there's good uh let's say the reporting on that suggests that they are uh you would see that this would be the most rura poll today because it's the closest to the election and then suddenly for the first time Carri Lakes ahead maybe she was always had maybe the polls were just trying to push the fundraising in One Direction so we don't know what's going to happen still too close to call but uh might be a good day coming up all right if you'd like to know how powerful is brainwashing here's one of those natural experiments there's an experiment in the wild meaning that it wasn't an experiment on brainwashing but it accident shows you how powerful it is so according to axios Vibes they did a little poll about uh different ages of Voters and whether people at different ages trust or don't trust voting machines they call it ballot machines uh more than human counting so it turns out that uh Boomers uh they trust voting machines 68% of them would trust a machine over a human counting right so if you're if you're elderly you're you're thinking those voting machines are better than people if you're a millennial and you were born and raised and steeped in techn techology uh only half of them half of Millennials believe that the ballot machines are better than human counting now when i s told you this was a natural test about brainwashing here's what I mean there are very few situations where you can know for sure what's right because we're not that smart right when I look at a poll of what do you think is right I usually have a strong opinion but I'm also at the same time think but it's an opinion like it could be wrong but when it comes to voting machines and whether or not you should trust them more than human counting that's actually something that uh I don't think is an opinion because if it's human counting you have more than one person watching so the odds of that going wrong especially since you could recount is pretty low because the person watching can just find the errors or demand a recount but if you have a machine things go into the black box and you and I don't know what kind of controls they have and if they said they have great controls you wouldn't know if that's true if they said nobody could ever hack us you'd say really it's the only machine in the world that can't be hacked and they'd say nope we're not even connected to the internet and then you say but do human beings have access to them well yes they do well then what's the difference if they're attached to the internet because a human can just stick a card in there and reprogram them right well but nobody has said that or nobody's been caught to which I say but you don't know if anybody's done anything it's just not knowable we have a system that's designed to make sure you don't know now that tells you how power powerful bre washing is that even half of Millennials who who are more educated about the vulnerabilities of Technology even half of them think that they would trust the machine more than the person now if half of them had said oh I think the machines will be faster well that would be an opinion that maybe is wrong they would just be less experienced about what really happens but if you if you say you trust the machine more than a person more than two people because it would be two people looking at I don't know that feels more like brainwashing because I don't know how your common sense could ever get to you to the point of trusting the machine over a person I remember when ATMs were first rolled out at at Banks I was working at Crocker Bank in San Francisco we were one of the first banks in the country to have ATMs so we also have to deal with the psychology of the uh customer do you know what the biggest problem with ATMs was it wasn't the technology it wasn't the cost it wasn't the implementation it was older people uh wouldn't trust the Machine versus a teller because I think if you know if a teller makes a mistake it's sort of there two of us watching and you know it's easier to catch but if the machine gives you less money than it says what are you going to do what are you going to do if the machine says there I just gave you your $100 but it only gave you 20 the all the old people were like oh hell what are we going to do now the the answer turned out to be ridiculously simple the bank just backs the customer most of the time and they've got video so all the machines have video so you can see for sure but for the small stuff if you went in and said I asked for $40 but your ATM only gave me 20 and they wanted to make a big deal about it maybe for some reason the video didn't work uh the bank would just give you $20 you know the extra $20 because they're not going to fight for $20 so it turns out that this seemed like a big problem was not really any problem nobody's really had any major ATM problems so you can see that the Trust In machines is not automatic and if people are if two-thirds of boomers are trusting these ballot machines it suggests that that's a brainwashing operation and not so much because they thought about it or or that it matches their experience in life well the top 1% of Americans according to unusual whales uh on X top 1% of Americans um households hold 30% of us wealth a massive 44.6 trillion now on one hand that sounds pretty bad that 1% own that much wealth on the other hand whenever the news talks about economics they get so much wrong that I feel like I have to add at least this clarification billionaires technically have billions of dollars but it's not in the mattress when when I see stories like this I think I think well they're keeping it in a mattress right so nobody else can get to it or or or have any benefits from it no it's employed all their money is employed it's invested it's either in a business that's operating it's in stocks that are boosted by their ownership it's it's in Banks where they the bank can then lend it out if you didn't have people who had more money than they needed to spend you wouldn't have much of a country you need to have some people and ideally lots of them who have so much more money than they have a need to spend it that it gets employed in places that it wouldn't normally go do you know why the United States has such a good entrepreneurial um culture and other places don't here's why if you told me Scott you're you're not you're doing better than just getting by you are saving a little extra money so you're saving 10% of your paycheck every year and you're doing good you saved up $100,000 in your uh your retirement account and it's it's growing 10% a year that's not enough for me to invest in a startup are you kidding I'd be like oh my God I'm going to need every penny I'm not going to take a chance on a startup but if you give me a hundred billion dollar and say Here's a100 billion do I'm GNA say what the hell am I going to do with100 billion do if I Tred to consume all day long the most expensive things a person can consume I wouldn't even get close to that so what does the world need okay to go to Mars so that's how you get Mars you don't get Mars unless you also have 1% of the top Americans own 30% of the wealth you don't get Mars and there's probably a whole bunch of things you don't get because you're not going to get the the big crazy Investments that sometimes work out you need somebody to be crazy dumb like how do you think Uber got started it was just a whole bunch of rich people who could put in massive amounts of money because they had it and then that one works out they don't all work out so I think that when we look at how much the rich people own as someone with an economics background I say ah that kills me I know it's unfair and I do understand the argument it's just that the whole system depends on our smartest people having the most money you don't want to take the money away from the best investors and and and give it to the people who are buying cigarettes and wine now if they need health care and food well then yes we got to do something about that but you don't want you don't want the smartest people not to be making the decisions you want you want Elon Musk to have a trillion dollars well obvious example do you think the world would be better off if Elon Musk had his 250 billion whatever he's worth or do you think the world would be better off if he had half a trillion well what is he doing with his money has he spent it on his big mansion I don't believe he has one has he spent it with a you know gold encrusted candy or something I don't know whatever rich people do no he he's building new businesses he's putting satellites up he's going into space he would do more of that so we have to keep it in perspective here is potentially some good news in the Daniel peny case uh and I can't believe that the public is just finding this out so his trial started and now we have learned that uh Neely the person who died tragically um he was the erratic guy who was threatening people on the subway and Daniel peny put him in a choke hold and he died soon after but here's what we didn't know when police alive arrived he was still alive and he was already in recovery hold in other words the way he was being restrained when police arrived was not in a way that would be dangerous it was he had already released the more dangerous hold for a less you know more of a recovery hold they call it and uh he was breathing and his heart was beating when police came there police instead of giving him mouth to mouth because quote he seemed like a drug user so they gave him Naran instead so Naran as if it were an opioid overdose probably it wasn't because the narana would have worked otherwise but we will need to find out more about what he actually died from but if you tell me that the police arrived when he was alive and they administered what appears to be the wrong kind of first aid is Daniel Penny going to be liable for anything this feels like one of those situations where the criminal case will release him and the family will sue him and ruin his life because because they could probably get a majority which is all you need for a lawsuit to say oh yeah yeah the majority thinks you probably did something wrong so you need to give us a billion dollars that you'll never have so you'll never be able to have a real job or make money or take care of a family probably but the criminal trial I don't know that you could get 12 people of which certainly there will be a few people who want more Daniel pennies and not fewer of them I mean could you really get 12 people 12 Americans and not one of them wants more Daniel pennies you know what I mean because I want more Daniel pennies if you could give me a 100 Daniel pennies I will take everyone everyone even if they do this even if every one of them you know was involved in this because it doesn't look like he killed them it looks like what he did was it the the very minimum that seems to have been proved is that uh Daniel Penny knew where the line was and didn't cross it that's what it looks like it looks like he knew where the line was what would be a deadly force and he did not use it now and and then the fact that he had already um loosened to a recovery mode before the police got there and there were other people around you know helping to it certainly shows that his intention was protection both protection of the people in the car protection of himself obviously but also protecting the per cuz he put him in a protective mode once the danger had passed if this guy gets gets uh put in jail for this I'm going to have a real problem with it all right because it looks like racism let's be honest it just looks like racism against white guys you know and uh I'd like to see Daniel Penny get out I'd like to see President Trump get in and I'd like to see a lot of things go our way this week meanwhile Jamie Rasin was on Bill marah show Eric abinante watched the show so I didn't have to and he reports some of the things that happened saw some clips and uh Bill Mar asked asking if he was worried that Trump would go after his enemies and Mara said to Rasin you yourself might be in trouble you were the lead impeachment manager how big an a-hole do you have to be where they go after you after you left the job of being that person I guess um and here's my answer to that uh you may have heard this before no one is above the law why are they so afraid why are they so afraid no one's Above the Law and no one is suggesting that anything outside the law happen are there are there some Republicans who are suggesting let's do something outside the legal process I've never heard that I've never heard a single person suggest we do something outside the legal process so why would anybody would be worried it seems to Signal some some indication of guilt now I can't read mins but I know if you said to me Scott are you worried about being arrested for murdering uh that guy that died in the hands of Daniel Penny I'd say well no I wasn't even there how could a How could a legal process put me in jail when I literally wasn't even in the state and it's easy to prove so no not worried but Jamie Rasin seems to be worried what's he worried about if he didn't break any crimes I don't know any Republican that would be in favor of the legal process being used against them I mean there must be I it's a big world so there's somebody in favor of everything but I don't know anybody I wouldn't be in favor of it yeah if I see the legal system being pushed by Republicans to do some against Democrats I'm going to be really loud about it because it's not just about Trump it's just we can't have a country if we're law faring our leaders just can't do it so no Republicans I think the good ones are not anywhere near the page where they would want to punish anybody just for Revenge but if the law was broken no one's above the law but here's the best part um Bill Mah asked Rasin if he would accept uh he would accept the results of the election what have I been saying I've been saying can somebody please please do your job as a reporter and ask a ranking Democrat will you accept the results of the election if it doesn't look legitimate to you because that's what Trump did he didn't accept it when it didn't look legitimate to him so the question has to be Jamie Rasin will you accept the result if it doesn't look legitimate to you do you know what he said no he said no he said if it looked like there was some you I'm I'm paraphrasing but if he said it looks like there's some Shenanigans and it's you know sort of clear that there are some Shenanigans then no of course I would not accept that there it is that that's it we're done that's the whole election January 6 was the only thing they were hanging their hat on if by the end of Monday the at least the Republican press hasn't made this the biggest story then they're pretty incompetent this is the biggest story This is Everything Trump wants Trump just won January 6 he want it in a knockout it's a knockout Jamie Rasin just said he'd do the same thing Trump would do you said it on live TV you said it clearly you said it unambiguously there was no gray area he said it if it doesn't look real he's not going to accept it exactly what Trump did now you might say but but but who gets to decide whether it looks real enough and the answer is we all do we all get to decide if it looks real enough Jamie Raskin is going to make his decision and he gets to do that Trump made his decision he gets to do that I made my decision I get to do that there's nobody above us for our opinions right nobody above us so if if the public doesn't like the result apparently Jamie Rasin and Trump are on the same page that you shouldn't accept it this is the biggest news of the year because it came from Jamie Rasin and it just completely it completely um freees Trump from all these allegations now only if the Republican leaning press knows how to handle it if they let this go and like the day goes by and and tomorrow goes by and nobody mentioned that the whole January 6 narrative completely fell apart completely well then I'd be pretty disappointed but this should be the end of it this should be a resounding Trump Victory after this we'll see um and uh this this is also something uh that I was wondering about so the Democrats were doing that saving democracy message and one of the guests on Bill Mah also was doing well you know we should worry about the important things like saving democracy to which I thought at what point was an average person worried about losing democracy they're worried about paying for gas and college and stuff like that but that was never real the whole saving democracy thing and once you hear Jamie Raskin say that he would not accept an election that looks sketchy to him we can throw away this whole democracy is at risk too that's also gone that's gone because if you get to decide what democracy looks like and it's just your opinion well democracy is already gone so I don't think it ever made sense that democracy was at risk and I I don't think the public bought that but some percentage 25% probably B it um compliments to Bill Maher because he found uh he was annoyed and he should have been that his team was trying to turn that Liz Cheney thing into saying that Trump wanted her to be shot by a firing squad now that didn't happen the context was he said she was a Warhawk and you know she's sending people to be have bull have guns pointed at them but she wouldn't she wouldn't love it if it happened to her um so of course it was all fake news so Bill Mah to his credit called it down unambiguously unambiguously as fake news now I like that because you know you could imagine that he could have said something like well you know in in the context of the other things he said stuff like that one of the other guests tried that and it just sounded stupid but he was just unambiguously saying stop stop just lying about stuff it's not helping that my own team is making such an obvious lie now I I like that uh he also mocked Comm Harris for going to the black barber shop he had a good joke about that but uh I'd like to uh I'd like to return the favor so Bill Mara thank you for standing up for honesty even if your team is you know uh hurt by it um but I heard a story yesterday that I didn't believe so I didn't look into it and then I did look into it and then I found out oh that's why I didn't believe it it was so stupid that obviously it was fake so there's a story that Tim Walls uh insulted Elon Musk by calling him gay in public first of all as Elon Musk is fast to point out it's not an insult to be called Gay it's 2024 people it's just not an insult it's must got exactly the right answer it's like that's not an insult that would be a statement of something that's either true or true or false that that's all it is um and that's the good news it's the good news that in 2024 smart people can say that's not an insult um but then I listened to what wal said and what he said was uh he meant to say guy but he slurred it and said gay and then when he realized it came in as gay instead of guy he joked and said Michigan knows what that word means and then Republicans took Michigan knows what that word means to suggest that he was suggesting uh that it was an insult to be called Gay nobody in the world believes that Tim wal thinks it's an insult to be called Gay can we be a little bit realistic no he did not say that Michigan thinks that being gay is bad it's the opposite Michigan knows what that word means means that people in Michigan are completely okay with gay they know what it means it's it's just nothing there's nothing to it he laughed it off this is not a real thing he did not call anybody gay and he definitely didn't think there was anything wrong with being gay that didn't happen so I do this in the spirit of Bill Mah was willing to say his team was lying um I think this is Republicans just lying uh let's see uh and even Jake Tapper breit bar news is reporting this Jake Tapper fact checked Harris for some of her lies which you would think oh that's that's a good sign for CNN but I'm going to tell you it's not in a moment but here's what uh he said he said they had two tiny little fact checks uh because Harris said uh did quote did everyone hear that uh Trump said yesterday that he will do what he wants quote and here's what I'm going to quote do whether the women like it or not so so Harris is saying he's going to do things to women whether they like it or not uh and then she says must vote this is the thing you know there's a saying that you have to listen to people when they tell you who they are and this is not the first time he has told us who he is he does not believe women should have the agency and authority to make decisions about their own bodies so even Jake Tapper couldn't take that goes two tiny little fact checks first of all she keeps referring to the Trump proposal on tariffs as a sales tax it's not a sales tax uh you can dispute tariffs but not not whether it's a sales tax and the second thing is when Trump said he was going to do something for women whether they like it or not um he was talking about protecting women and certainly you can take issue with language but he wasn't saying he was just going to do whatever he wanted regardless he was he was going to protect them now you would say to yourself hey that's a good sign that's CNN doing a a real fact check on KL Harris is it I'm going to go the opposite direction I think this is CNN protecting himself so they can say hey we did a fact check but what they don't do is the real ones so they don't do January 6 was not a real Insurrection they don't do the fine people hoax was a hoax they don't do the drinking bleach that was a hoax they don't do the other 20 hoaxes no they'll they'll fact check these little ones that you knew were not true because you knew they were not true but if you can't tell if it's true well they're going to sell it to you as true if it's good for them so don't take this as good news take this as covering their ass in case somebody says but you've never fact checked the other side but yeah we did we said that tariffs are not a sales tax you knew that we all knew it all right CNN is uh pointing out that Trump is seeming to do a better job getting both um Muslim Americans and Jewish Americans to vote for him which is a hell of a thing uh I think it was Joel poock was pointing out in Breitbart that Trump's done the impossible politically which he's got American Muslim and American Jews on his side at the same time and I I've been watching that happen and I the more I look at it I think I what am I even saying like what am I watching like how is that even possible and and then I I started to understand how it's possible it's because of his messaging when when when Trump talks about war he says I don't want people to die that's so powerful it sounds like he's avoiding the question doesn't it like you want him to take sides and what are you going to do and he starts with I don't want people to die you can't do better than that that has to be your starting point because that if you say later well you know I want to cease fire if that's what he wants later well then that's all compatible no matter what happens after that he's compatible as long as he stays with I want fewer people to die and but Harris tries to take both sides like if she's talking to one group it might sound pro-jewish if she's talking to the other it might sound a little less pro-jewish so then both sides can take something she said and make her look bad to the other side side but Trump says things that are hard to disagree with that he says it wouldn't happened if I'd been president and you think well I don't know maybe it would have but okay see it's not taking sides he's just saying it wouldn't have happened and I don't want anybody to die and of course you know October 7th was terrible everybody could say that so Trump is very very cleverly finding there is no middle ground and he somehow found a high ground I guess that's the way to say it there is no middle ground so instead he found The High Ground The High Ground is I don't want anybody to die and that's consistent with everything else he says right he doesn't want abortion in later months because he doesn't want anybody to die he doesn't want uh open borders because he doesn't want anybody to die he's in favor of um he's in favor of IVF because he wants more people to live he's very consistent on life you have to give him that you you can say he's a bullshitter I agree you can say he doesn't pass the factchecking I agree but he is consistent as hell about Laing life over death and you got to like that you got to like that uh according to Nina janowitz whose name you already might remember some would call her I think Molly Hemingway called her a censorship activist practitioner sort of a Democrat who has worked in those areas where they're trying to tell social media to uh change their messaging if they don't like it and uh she says that 2020 was different because number one now platforms aren't creating some friction for the spread of misinformation so in other words there's more free speech now she would say there's no there's not enough friction on the spread of misinformation but that allows her to determine what is misinformation that's that's no way no she says also there's less frequent and robust coordination between federal government and Platforms in other words there's less censorship so Nina janowitz is worrying that the election might be influenced by Free Speech Free Speech does bring with it misinformation but do you know what brings more misinformation lack of free speech this is amazing I'm seeing a I'm seeing an actual uh post this is in the comments this is from um 2017 and Elon Musk posts I love Twitter so it's 2017 and uh somebody named Dave Smith not it's not comic Dave Smith it's just somebody named Dave Smith says you should buy it then remember this is this is 2017 you should buy it then and Elon Musk replies to him how much is it in 2017 he was thinking about buying it that is interesting all right um there is a uh there's a thought that the Amish might be deciding the deciding demographic for Trump because they they seem to be a little more Pro Trump and one of the reasons is there uh I didn't know this but the Amish traditionally are a farming Community but the people who own the Farms already own all the land so so the the the Young Generation can't also be Farmers because there's not not enough land where they're also Amish so a lot of them just started businesses and uh they tend to be Republican likee in their in their you know free market kind of uh thinking and uh I want to read to you what Scott presler said recently during a trump rally when he was speaking to the Amish and this gets back to your the earlier point I made about can experts know what is a good persuasive message compared to just an average person and this uh I would say that uh Scott presler is definitely not an average person uh he he's I would put him in the expert category in politics at this point but do you think that he nailed this persuasion right I read it to you tell me if you feel it that that's the key tell me if you feel it now you're not Amish so this is not meant for you but but see if you could judge whether you would just feel it quote to our beautiful Amish in Lancaster in Pennsylvania and across the state we will protect your raw milk your Dairy your farming your school choice your religious freedom your ability to have 10 beautiful children per family wow wow It's Kind of Perfect now do you feel it you can feel that right if if you tell me that Scott presler is unable to do persuasion and persuasive messages better than the average person and better than the average professional I would say you're clearly wrong this this is good work yeah that hits everything I don't know I think it's because because I had a lot I have a lot of farm experience so it used to be my job at my uncle's farm that was walking distance from my house uh I would walk there or ride my bike and clean the bulk tank now the bulk tank buk was a giant um metal holding tank for the milk that came from the cows that same day now it would only be in the tank for I half a day until a big truck would come and suck it out and take it away and so has to clean it and sterilize it so and then my family would drink raw milk from the farm because my mother insulted the milk company and they wouldn't they wouldn't wouldn't deliver to our house anymore so we had to get our milk from my uncle but it was you know it was walking distance so it wasn't a big deal um so raw milk is sort of in my blood so to speak you know what I mean farming sort of in my blood I spent a lot of time on a farm and when I hear these things they just completely hit me we're going to protect your raw milk that like goes so deep it's just it's just beautiful anyway the hill is talking about uh uh here's a headline that I didn't read the story former president Trump's vows for Revenge fa few limitations in second term I chose not to read the story that that headline is attached to let me read it again former president Trump's vows for Revenge face few limitations in second term his vows for Revenge when did that happen can you show me the quote where he vowed Revenge do you think he ever used that word I don't think so no no I don't think so I think he said that there are enemies within and that if they committed crimes you know the legal system should deal with them but nobody's Above the Law so I'm going to say that's just a propaganda story and uh I would say that any president who wanted to get revenge would find that there are not many limitations didn't Obama use the IRS to get at his enemies you know didn't Obama drone an American once the American president can get a lot of Revenge so yeah I mean obviously anybody can but we do not we do not approve of trump getting revenge we only approve of the law being followed uh Washington State Governor Jay Insley is activating the National Guard unless there in case there's trouble after the election but it turns out according to Reuters that Democrats are preparing phase one of the cheat now this is me speaking speculatively and allegedly and hypothetically I am not aware of any factual uh basis for what I'm about to say I'm just saying that it looks exactly like what you would do if you were planning to rig an election that doesn't mean they're going to I'm going to I'm going to tell you what I'm talking about and you tell me does this sound exactly like Democrats expect to lose the vote but they have a plan for winning the presidency all right I'll just tell you what the story is so according to Reuters uh Democrats are reading a rapid fire response to flood social media and the airwaves with calls for common patience with vote counting should Trump uh try to prematurely claim election Victory as he did in 2020 so let's say Trump is winning in the landslide and it's 10:00 at night and um he reasonably believes that unless there's cheating he's going to win and he declares Victory You could argue he shouldn't do that until the election is done but in politics that's a thing that happens you know it's not that unusual if you really think you're going to win you claim victory but you probably doesn't want to do that if there's anybody still voting so you'd have to make sure all voting is done before you do any claim claiming a victory but to me it sounds like what they just announced is a propaganda and stalling operation until they have time to complete the cheat in other words they need to make sure that the media does not embrace the thought that Trump won because they're going to plan to change their minds by altering the vote afterwards again I have no evidence of that this is not a factual conversation this is based on exactly what it looks like what it looks like is they're telling us very clearly that they're going to confuse the the public medium of conversation to make it look like Trump did not win and again the the the hypothetical is we don't know if he W or not in the hypothetical but in the hypothetical he claims Victory so they have a plan to make sure that they can stall that situation long enough that they've completed counting the vote now if that doesn't sound like a plan to cheat you're not as suspicious as I am because that's exactly what you would do if you plan to lose but cheat after the after the numbers come in so you know how much to cheat by so we do not have any factual there is there's no factual uh evidence of a plan to cheap there is however F factual evidence of a plan that would be 100% compatible with cheating doesn't mean that's the reason it's just coincidentally 100% compatible and I've never seen anything like it so seems like it's something you need every year but this year they seem to think they need it anyway um in other news the United States is deploying uh B 52 bombers and fighter jets and refueling aircraft um and Navy destroyers to the Middle East so let's see where are we um Iran missil Israel a while ago and then Israel attacked back and now I think Iran is saying they might attack back for the attack back I'm getting lost in who's going first and who's going last but uh as I've SE said a number of times and this is not a prediction it's just a statement of the obvious Americans are really really distracted this month this week but this month you all agree with that right no matter what happens the election is absorbing everybody who has any any kind of geopolitical Interest whatsoever we're all just totally absorbed by it we don't even care about the the the we don't even care about the government recovering uh UFOs couldn't care less just tell us about this selection well when we're this distracted and uh Israel's in exactly the situation they are if they were ever planning to do a decapitation strike on Iran it's going to be like in a week now if I were the supreme leader I would do some little extra hiding like if you've got a really a good bunker I'd be using the good one because uh while I don't think it's necessarily a good idea to take out the leader of Iran because you don't know what would happen it would be a very unstable situation uh I also don't know that it's a bad idea so I guess I'm I'm just an observer I I don't prefer it I don't unpr prefer it I don't condemn it I don't praise it I'm just watching and I've never seen a situation where this many variables came together so obviously coincidentally at the same time it's just the perfect time because America just we just don't have anybody strong enough to deal with it we would just have to we would say strong words about how we don't like it Trump would say oh it wouldn't have happened if I'd been president uh Biden would say oh we we need to calm down but nothing would happen I mean it's not like somebody's going to take funding away from Israel we would just go on with our own little problems so it's not a prediction and it's not a preference that there's a decapitation strike I'm just telling you that if you're were going to predict the future uh I wouldn't Overlook the fact that there's never been and never will be a time in the history of those two countries for Israel to take a decisive action so wouldn't be surprised now remember there are a 100 variables that I would not be aware of so you know Israel has a much better idea if that's a good idea or a bad idea they have a much better idea if they could get away with it they have a much better idea what the public in Iran would do they have a much better idea if they could defend themselves from a Counterattack so I don't know you know 90% of what I would need to know to know if it's a go I'm just saying that from purely the political standpoint you're never going to get a better shot than that so uh and I'm not I'm not anxious to have that happen because that would be real destabilizing for the world and uh I'm not looking forward to that but it might but it might that ladies and gentlemen are the prepared remarks that I had for today if you don't remember the Dilbert calendar which you see over my shoulder for 2025 is available for sale I think most of you who have ordered it so far will see it in November if you've already ordered it because they did wait to print them until they get a good Bunch but they should all be there by Christmas as long as you order it before December 1st if you order it after December 1st probably you'll still get it by Christmas but sooner is better um and uh also my books God's debris the complete works and the new version version two of wind bigley slightly updated it's not that different from the original just a better edit and uh reframe your brain which is changing people's lives all over the place so you got lots of holiday buying if you want it all right I'm going to talk to the uh locals people privately um I do expect that on Election Day I'll be live streaming uh I don't have a specific plan for that yet but certainly during the prime time when most of the votes are are in um I'll certainly be live then so for sure I will be live during the most critical parts of the uh results coming in in the evening all right coming at you locals the rest of you on Rumble and You.

Tube and X thanks for joining always appreciate you I'll see you tomorrow same time same place e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e

what a show we have ready for you today

when I say we I mean mostly

me let's get your comments up

here there we

[Music]

go good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human civilization it's

called coffee with Scott Adams and

you've never had a better time but if

you'd like to take your experience up to

levels that nobody can even understand

when they're tiny shiny human brains all

you need is guer M Glass a tank of chel

aen juger flask vessel of fill it with

your favorite liquid I like coffee and

join me now for the unparallel pleasure

the dope mean of the day the thing that

makes everything better is called the

simultaneous up and it's going to happen

now

H I'll bet you all voted for that am I

right all

right first we have some news and we're

going to get to all the fun political

stuff but did you know that according to

IFL science Iceland could be the first

nation to get solar power from space by

2030 they're going to put a big ass

satellite up there with the solar cells

and they're going to collect all that

electricity up there because there are

no clouds there are no clouds there at

all whereas you could not put them on

the ground in Iceland because of all the

clouds but the satellite will gather up

all the electricity and it will send it

down to Iceland with some kind of uh

some kind of uh radio

waves and those radio waves are a

specific kind that can be turned into

electricity so how about that now if

they do it wrong of course the you know

the risk is that Iceland will melt and

fall into the sea but until 2030 Iceland

would be a good place to visit except

for the volcanoes so sometime between

the

volcanoes and the satellite that melts

the entire country good time to

visit all right I'm going to ask you you

some questions that science has already

answered and I want to see if you're as

smart as

science could these people have skipped

the sciencing and just asked you here's

the question do you believe that being

kind can make you look more

attractive do you think that kind people

appear more attractive

go and the answer is

yes you knew that without even doing a

study um I knew that without a

study um because it's really my

secret I know you don't believe this I I

swear this is true all right I'm going

to tell you something that you're going

to resist but uh I promise you I promise

you this is the truth it's not going to

seem true but it's true in

reality I'm not a very attractive man no

I know I know I know seriously seriously

I'm not but because of my

kindness I appear to you as

beautiful but I promise you I'm not

attractive it's it's an illusion that I

put together with my kindness using

science all right here's the next

question from y University they did a

little study they wanted to find out if

political professionals are any better

than the general public in predicting

which kind of messages will persuade

people so do you think that there is

such a thing as political professionals

who can tell you what a good message is

versus a bad message yes or no can can

the political professionals do better

than the okay it's kind of a trick

because you know I wouldn't even ask the

question if the political professionals

did

better would we even be talking about it

if the political professionals did

better than amateurs do you think it do

you think that would be a top of story

oh it looks like people who practice

things do

better glad I told you

no it turns out that the political Pros

according to the yell University didn't

know better than ordinary people when it

came to figuring out what messages were

the most persuasive but is there

something they should have studied

instead huh they did political Pros and

they did ordinary

voters and they found that neither of

them are any good at all and knowing

what a good persuasive message would be

huh if I were designing that study maybe

I would have added a third

group

hypnotists do you think hypnotists would

not do any better than political

professionals or lay people in figuring

out what is

persuasive they didn't do the stuff but

they don't really need to yes the p a

good hypnotist on average wouldn't be

every hypnotist but hypnotist would in

fact be better at knowing what would

persuade but political professionals I

do observe don't seem to know their own

jobs that one of the reasons that I so

arrogantly inserted myself into the

political conversation in America is

that I looked at what the professionals

were saying and I thought well I could

do better than

[Laughter]

that that's the same reason I became a

cartoonist when I was very young I would

open the comics I I'd read all the

comics and I think to myself is in my

imagination or these Comics

suck you know they're well drawn but

they're not really funny and I thought

to myself I wonder if I could do better

than that on the first

try and then Dilbert was born and then

one day I Saidi think I should talk

about politics next thing you know here

I am

anyway all right here's your next

one

um there was a according to the hill now

I only read the headline on this one so

I didn't I didn't read too much of the

details but I got the general idea so

OIC the weight loss

drug uh seems to also have a correlation

with helping people with have knee pain

from

osteoarthritis so it turns out that

unexpectedly that people who were on a

OIC um not only did they lose weight we

knew about that but they also had much

less knee pain so now they're thinking

that the OIC is good for your knee

pain does that sound right to

you all right all right let me ask you

this if nobody had ever done a study on

this this and I were to ask you hey I

just I want to save some money on a

study do you think if I gave people a

weight loss drug that absolutely totally

works and they lost a bunch of weight

yes or no their knee pain would be

reduced and I'd be like H I don't know I

don't know they how much how much weight

do they lose oh a lot a lot I mean

people are losing 80 lbs you know some

people losing 60 100 lbs I'm like would

that would that make your knee pain less

I'm going to go out the limb and say yes

I'm going to say yes and the answer is

yes yes it does it

does so that's your science working for

you according to S poost people who have

higher

narcissism are linked to uh better

Mental

Health so the more narcissistic you are

uh the less depressed and anxious you

are and the less stress you

have apparently if you're a narcissist

you transfer all of your depression

anxiety and stress to the people you're

dealing with and it offloads it from you

now did we need to do a study on

this did you need to do a study to find

that the narcissists seem happier than

you no no

the the narcissists always look happier

than you have you ever seen Trump look

unhappy the got shot in the head

and he still looks

happy of course narcissists seem happier

than you you didn't have to study

that all right here's the funniest story

of the day uh there was a

story uh that some whistleblower is

saying that the United States has a UAP

uh a recovery program that the

government has a program where where

they've actually recovered

UFOs and the the entire news cycle for

that was 10

minutes so the funny part is not the

story the funny part is that there could

be a news story that that we would all

see that says our government is

recovering Advanced alien

spacecrafts and we just look at it and

go

ah the trouble is it came too close to

the election it's too on the nose you

you got to do that six months

before the election and then we might

believe it you put it right on the week

of the election there's not a single

person in the country that thought it

was

real as soon as you ju supposed it too

close to the election everybody looked

at it and

said N I don't think

so so that was

funny all right here's another one

Stanford University did a

study uh and partisanship versus the

truth so they wanted to see if

uh if the public at large would put

partisanship over truth when consuming

news in other words would being on a

team make you accept a partisan truth in

other words something that isn't true

over something that was

true what do you think do you think when

people join a

team that they value what the team says

is true over what seems obviously

true do you think they needed to do a

study do you think they could have just

asked me since I say about once a week

for the last 10 years that if you're on

a team you're going to vote for them

whether your team is bashit crazy or not

no you didn't have to study this people

I could have I could have answered this

quite

definitively but here's the funniest

part you see if you picked up on this

this is a study in which the researchers

were trying to give people true facts

presumably about you know the news and

life in general true facts and then they

were going to give them some not true

facts and then they were going to see if

they could sort them out and who could

sort them out better do you see anything

wrong with that

you see any problem with the study

design it it means the researchers

believe they could tell what was

true that's not a

thing there's no object we don't have an

objective source of

truth I don't know that you could study

that because if it if it was anything

from The Real World there was no

objective truth so they wouldn't know

who was right or who wasn't wrong that

would have no way to know because they

wouldn't know if they were being

affected the same way everybody else is

being

affected uh but if they didn't use the

real world for their test and I don't

know what they did but if they used an

artificial statement and some artificial

false thing I think people would have

detected that it was artificial so you

wouldn't get an actual

test

so I think they should have just talked

to me about that save some

time all right I would like to give you

a summary of all the stories that I'm

hearing about the

election uh this will be a jumble of

just words and things that are coming

out uh something about to drop box and

the the uh the post office should have

mailed the thing but they didn't think

the thing and then the then the court

they ruled on the thing they overruled

the thing that was the thing but then

they ruled it back back but they might

change that cuz that might be challenge

but that might only be 50 ballots but it

could be as many as 500 there's some

people that saw some things that

happened to with boxes but maybe they

didn't see it there are some people who

say that the court should be involved in

the thing the the voting the people that

the the address is not matching the

voter

roles okay I have no idea what's going

on with the election all I know is that

the number of reported

irregularities is very high

and they're all over the place and you

know on first hearing they sound

credible right so there's one you know

one says somebody dropped a bunch of

ballots in a box sounds credible but it

could very easily be it was just their

relatives and everything's fine so you

know that you can have a lot of claims

and remember my

rule the rule is this 99% % of the

claims won't be true they will be false

guaranteed 99% of all the election fraud

claims won't be

true what we don't know about is the

1% and I'm not saying that the 1% will

be true I'm saying that you could be

pretty sure that 99% won't be it's just

that if there were any true ones in the

mix you wouldn't know which is a problem

so if the number of potential and this

is just um hypothetical talk

speculative if there were real

irregularities they would be so buried

with the fake ones that no legal system

could sort it out before a president is

picked so we might be um we might be

drowning in our own good luck meaning

that we've got these thousands of

election observers a lot of them are

attorneys they're going to find stuff or

at least they're going to see things

that they don't understand and then

they're going to say hm I don't

understand what I just saw like why did

that box get moved over there and why

who unlocked it so they're going to

write it up and maybe it was a nothing

and that's going to take as much time as

something that might have been real so I

think the number of observers

guarantees

guarantees that the number of CLS will

far exceed the system's ability to

process them before we have to have a

president January 6 so this is why I

reiterate my prediction we will not have

chosen the president by January 6

because the legal system will be all

gummed up and there will be protests on

the streets and people will be

threatening every possible thing you can

threaten so and I think people will be

going to jail by then I think people

will get an A Line people will do some

violent things that I do not recommend

don't do anything violent um but here's

the

thing we'll figure it

out I I I think we're very close to what

I would call the very best best best

case scenario but it doesn't have to go

that way it could it could go off the

rails so one of the possibilities is

America just goes off the rails if I had

to put a percentage on it I'd say 20%

10% maybe so there's there's a real risk

I mean we don't America doesn't run into

too many you know 10% risks of going off

the rails it's pretty unusual so there's

a real

risk but

90% is that we're going to find massive

election

fraud Trump will be proved right that in

2024 there was enough fraud that any

smart person will say oh damn it must

have been there in

2020 I think that's where we're heading

very fast I think that so many Watchers

will find so many things that it will

look like 2020 must have been rigged

because you couldn't have this many

irregularities in 2024 unless they were

also there before we just weren't

looking for them so best case

scenario best case scenario Trump wins

after a protracted fight and he proves

that he was right about the election

being rigged in the first place that's

the highest win you can't win harder

than that if you're going to make a like

a list of what's the hardest you could

win well it would be that it would be

that so uh let's see yeah we've got

misleader voting misleading voter

information sent out all kinds of claims

rasmuson uh polling the rasmon reports

says they have done their final Poll for

the election so there will be no updates

from rasmason this is their final poll

now why is that important it's important

because rasmon has been pretty close in

the last several elections so they're

top five

typically

um and here's what they're poll is and

this is for the whole country so this

would be the the the popular

vote you ready for

this Trump up three

nationally do you know what that

means if Trump is up three

nationally that won't just be a

landslide it could be the biggest one

we've ever seen

maybe but there's also a possibility

that polling is wonky this year and I

think I think rasmason would admit that

as well that uh the pollsters are

very they're very nervous this time

because they think the people are lying

to them and and they probably are and

it's just difficult to get people to

answer but

uh if I were a

Democrat and I were on the haris team do

you know what is the last thing I would

want to hear dead

last rasm rasmason says Trump is up

three

nationally few days before the

election there's nothing worse than

that you can feel the dagger halfway in

like it's not all the way in but it's

like you know there's like three more

three more pushes

but but rasmuson up three two days

before election up three nationally now

remember Trump could win a landslide

being behind

nationally if he's ahead

nationally all right um in Arizona there

is some uh question about the veracity

of the polling and uh I won't get into

the details but there's some thought

that the polls have been just

outrageously um

rigged uh and that would be important

not just for Trump but for especially

Cary

Lake because polls had been showing that

Trump might win but that Cary Lake was

uh kind of far behinder Challenger whose

name is uh Ruben g g Gago

um

however when things get close to the

actual election do you remember what

happens that's when the fake polls stop

faking because you could always say well

a month ago that's what it was but since

we didn't vote we can't prove we were

right or wrong but but we say a month

ago we were right too once you have the

vote you no longer can argue that your

poll was right if it doesn't matter the

vote so at that last minute the polls

are going to look the most accurate

they'll ever look and here's what's new

the latest data orbital poll put uh K

Lake taking a slim lead over Ruben gyo

and president Trump overtaking Harris

with a massive 7.8%

lead and

uh yeah

yeah if Trump is up

7.8 and car lake has a narrow lead in

the

polling it's looking like a good day for

car Lake now of course we don't know

which poles are more reliable than other

poles and you know I I haven't heard of

some of these but what you would expect

is if the polls used to be rigged and

there's certainly some good there

there's good uh let's say the reporting

on that suggests that they

are uh you would see that this would be

the most rura poll today because it's

the closest to the election and then

suddenly for the first time Carri Lakes

ahead maybe she was always

had maybe the polls were just trying to

push the fundraising in One Direction so

we don't know what's going to happen

still too close to call but uh

might be a good day coming

up all right if you'd like to know how

powerful is brainwashing here's one of

those natural experiments there's an

experiment in the wild meaning that it

wasn't an experiment on brainwashing but

it accident shows you how powerful it is

so according to axios

Vibes they did a little poll about uh

different ages of Voters and whether

people at different ages trust or don't

trust voting machines they call it

ballot machines uh more than human

counting so it turns out that uh Boomers

uh they trust voting machines 68% of

them would trust a machine over a human

counting right so if you're if you're

elderly you're you're thinking those

voting machines are better than

people if you're a millennial and you

were born and raised and steeped in

techn

techology uh only half of them half of

Millennials believe that the ballot

machines are better than human

counting now when i s told you this was

a natural test about brainwashing here's

what I mean there are very few

situations where you can know for sure

what's right because we're not that

smart right when I look at a poll of

what do you think is right I usually

have a strong opinion but I'm also at

the same time think but it's an opinion

like it could be wrong but when it comes

to voting

machines and whether or not you should

trust them more than human

counting that's

actually something that uh I don't think

is an

opinion because if it's human counting

you have more than one person watching

so the odds of that going wrong

especially since you could recount is

pretty low

because the person watching can just

find the errors or demand a recount but

if you have a machine things go into the

black box and you and I don't know what

kind of controls they have and if they

said they have great controls you

wouldn't know if that's true if they

said nobody could ever hack us you'd say

really it's the only machine in the

world that can't be hacked and they'd

say nope we're not even connected to the

internet and then you say but do human

beings have access to them well yes they

do well then what's the difference if

they're attached to the internet because

a human can just stick a card in there

and reprogram them right well but nobody

has said that or nobody's been caught to

which I

say but you don't know if anybody's done

anything it's just not knowable we have

a system that's

designed to make sure you don't

know

now that tells you how power powerful

bre washing is that even half of

Millennials who who are more educated

about the vulnerabilities of Technology

even half of them think that they would

trust the machine more than the

person now if half of them had said oh I

think the machines will be faster well

that would be an opinion that maybe is

wrong they would just be less

experienced about what really

happens but if you if you say you trust

the machine more than a

person more than two people because it

would be two people looking

at I don't know that feels more like

brainwashing because I don't know how

your common sense could ever get to you

to the point of trusting the machine

over a

person I remember when ATMs were first

rolled

out at at Banks I was working at Crocker

Bank in San Francisco we were one of the

first banks in the country to have ATMs

so we also have to deal with the

psychology of the uh customer do you

know what the biggest problem with ATMs

was it wasn't the technology it wasn't

the cost it wasn't the implementation it

was older

people uh wouldn't trust the Machine

versus a teller because I think if you

know if a teller makes a mistake it's

sort of there two of us watching and you

know it's easier to catch but if the

machine gives you less money than it

says what are you going to do what are

you going to do

if the machine says there I just gave

you your $100 but it only gave you

20 the all the old people were like oh

hell what are we going to do now the the

answer turned out to be ridiculously

simple the bank just backs the customer

most of the time and they've got video

so all the machines have video so you

can see for sure but for the small stuff

if you went in and said I asked for $40

but your ATM only gave me 20 and they

wanted to make a big deal about it maybe

for some reason the video didn't work uh

the bank would just give you $20 you

know the extra $20 because they're not

going to fight for $20 so it turns out

that this seemed like a big

problem was not really any problem

nobody's really had any major ATM

problems so you can see that the Trust

In machines is not

automatic and if people are if

two-thirds of boomers are trusting these

ballot machines it suggests that that's

a brainwashing operation and not so much

because they thought about it or or that

it matches their experience in

life well the top 1% of Americans

according to unusual whales uh on X top

1% of Americans um households hold 30%

of us wealth a massive 44.6 trillion now

on one hand that sounds pretty bad that

1% own that much wealth

on the other hand whenever the news

talks about economics they get so much

wrong that I feel like I have to add at

least this

clarification

billionaires technically have billions

of dollars but it's not in the

mattress when when I see stories like

this I think I think well they're

keeping it in a mattress right so nobody

else can get to it or or or have any

benefits from it no it's

employed all their money is employed

it's invested it's either in a business

that's operating it's in stocks that are

boosted by their ownership it's it's in

Banks where they the bank can then lend

it out if you didn't have people who had

more money than they needed to spend you

wouldn't have much of a country you need

to have some people and ideally lots of

them who have so much more money than

they have a need to spend it that it

gets employed in places that it wouldn't

normally go do you know why the United

States has such a good

entrepreneurial um culture and other

places

don't here's

why if you told me Scott you're you're

not you're doing better than just

getting by you are saving a little extra

money so you're saving 10% of your

paycheck every year and you're doing

good you saved up $100,000 in your uh

your retirement account and it's it's

growing 10% a

year that's not enough for me to invest

in a startup are you kidding I'd be like

oh my God I'm going to need every penny

I'm not going to take a chance on a

startup but if you give me a hundred

billion

dollar and say Here's a100 billion do

I'm GNA say what the hell am I going to

do with100 billion

do if I Tred to consume all day long the

most expensive things a person can

consume I wouldn't even get close to

that so what does the world need okay to

go to

Mars so that's how you get Mars you

don't get Mars unless you also have 1%

of the top Americans own 30% of the

wealth you don't get Mars and there's

probably a whole bunch of things you

don't get because you're not going to

get the the big crazy Investments that

sometimes work out you need somebody to

be crazy

dumb like how do you think Uber got

started it was just a whole bunch of

rich people who could put in massive

amounts of money because they had it and

then that one works out they don't all

work

out so I think that when we look at how

much the rich people

own as someone with an economics

background I say ah that kills me I know

it's unfair and I do understand the

argument it's just that the whole system

depends on our smartest people having

the most

money you don't want to take the money

away from the best

investors and and and give it to the

people who are buying cigarettes and

wine now if they need health care and

food well then yes we got to do

something about that but you don't want

you don't want the smartest people not

to be making the decisions you want you

want Elon Musk to have a trillion

dollars well obvious example do you

think the world would be better off if

Elon Musk had his 250 billion whatever

he's worth or do you think the world

would be better off if he had half a

trillion well what is he doing with his

money has he spent it on his big mansion

I don't believe he has

one has he spent it with a you know gold

encrusted candy or something I don't

know whatever rich people do no he he's

building new businesses he's putting

satellites up he's going into space he

would do more of that so we have to keep

it in

perspective here is potentially some

good news in the Daniel peny case uh and

I can't believe that the public is just

finding this out so his trial started

and now we have learned that uh Neely

the person who died tragically um he was

the erratic guy who was threatening

people on the subway and Daniel peny put

him in a choke hold and he died soon

after but here's what we didn't know

when police alive arrived he was still

alive and he was already in recovery

hold in other words the way he was being

restrained when police arrived was not

in a way that would be dangerous it was

he had already released the more

dangerous hold for a less you know more

of a recovery hold they call it and uh

he was breathing and his heart was

beating when police came there police

instead of giving him mouth to mouth

because quote he seemed like a drug

user so they gave him Naran instead so

Naran as if it were an opioid overdose

probably it wasn't because the narana

would have worked

otherwise but we will need to find out

more about what he actually died from

but if you tell me that the police

arrived when he was alive and they

administered what appears to be the

wrong kind of first

aid is Daniel Penny going to be liable

for

anything this feels like one of those

situations where the criminal case will

release him and the family will sue him

and ruin his life because because they

could probably get a majority which is

all you need for a lawsuit to say oh

yeah yeah the majority thinks you

probably

did something wrong so you need to give

us a billion dollars that you'll never

have so you'll never be able to have a

real job or make money or take care of a

family probably but the criminal trial I

don't know that you could get 12

people of which certainly there will be

a few people who want more Daniel

pennies and not fewer of them I mean

could you really get 12 people 12

Americans and not one of them wants more

Daniel pennies you know what I mean

because I want more Daniel pennies if

you could give me a 100 Daniel pennies I

will take

everyone everyone even if they do this

even if every one of them you know was

involved in this because it doesn't look

like he killed them it looks like what

he did was it the the very minimum that

seems to have been proved is that uh

Daniel Penny knew where the line was and

didn't cross it

that's what it looks like it looks like

he knew where the line was what would be

a deadly force and he did not use

it now and and then the fact that he had

already um loosened to a recovery mode

before the police got there and there

were other people around you know

helping to it certainly shows that his

intention was protection both protection

of the people in the car protection of

himself obviously but also protecting

the per cuz he put him in a protective

mode once the danger had

passed if this guy

gets gets

uh put in jail for

this I'm going to have a real problem

with

it all right because it looks like

racism let's be honest it just looks

like racism against white guys you know

and uh I'd like to see Daniel Penny get

out I'd like to see President Trump get

in

and I'd like to see a lot of things go

our way this

week meanwhile Jamie Rasin was on Bill

marah show Eric abinante watched the

show so I didn't have to and he reports

some of the things that happened saw

some

clips and uh Bill Mar asked asking if he

was worried that Trump would go after

his

enemies and Mara said to Rasin you

yourself might be in trouble you were

the lead impeachment manager how big an

a-hole do you have to be where they go

after you after you left the job of

being that person I guess um and here's

my answer to that uh you may have heard

this

before no one is above the

law why are they so

afraid why are they so afraid no one's

Above the Law and no one is suggesting

that anything outside the law happen are

there are there some Republicans who are

suggesting let's do something outside

the legal process I've never heard that

I've never heard a single person suggest

we do something outside the legal

process so why would anybody would be

worried it seems to Signal

some some indication of

guilt now I can't read

mins but I know if you said to me Scott

are you worried about being arrested for

murdering uh that guy that died in the

hands of Daniel Penny I'd say well no I

wasn't even there how could a How could

a legal process put me in jail when I

literally wasn't even in the state and

it's easy to prove so no not worried but

Jamie Rasin seems to be

worried what's he worried

about if he didn't break any crimes I

don't know any Republican that would be

in favor of the legal process being used

against them I mean there must be I it's

a big world so there's somebody in favor

of everything but I don't know anybody I

wouldn't be in favor of it yeah if I see

the legal system being pushed by

Republicans to do some against

Democrats I'm going to be really loud

about it because it's not just about

Trump it's just we can't have a country

if we're law faring our leaders just

can't do it so no Republicans I think

the good ones are not anywhere near the

page where they would want to punish

anybody just for

Revenge but if the law was

broken no one's above the

law but here's the best

part um Bill Mah asked Rasin if he would

accept uh he would accept the

results of the

election what have I been

saying I've been saying can somebody

please please do your job as a

reporter and ask a ranking

Democrat will you accept the results of

the election if it doesn't look

legitimate to you because that's what

Trump did he didn't accept it when it

didn't look legitimate to him so the

question has to be Jamie Rasin will you

accept the result if it doesn't look

legitimate to you do you know what he

said

no he said no he said if it looked like

there was some you I'm I'm paraphrasing

but if he said it looks like there's

some

Shenanigans and it's you know sort of

clear that there are some Shenanigans

then no of course I would not accept

that there it

is that that's it we're done that's the

whole election January 6 was the only

thing they

were hanging their hat on if by the end

of Monday the at least the Republican

press hasn't made this the biggest

story then they're pretty incompetent

this is the biggest

story This is Everything Trump wants

Trump just won January 6 he want it in a

knockout it's a knockout Jamie Rasin

just said he'd do the same thing Trump

would do you said it on live TV you said

it clearly you said it unambiguously

there was no gray area he said it if it

doesn't look real he's not going to

accept it exactly what Trump

did now you might say but but but who

gets to decide whether it looks real

enough and the answer is we all do we

all get to decide if it looks real

enough Jamie Raskin is going to make his

decision and he gets to do that Trump

made his decision he gets to do that I

made my decision I get to do that

there's nobody above us for our opinions

right nobody above us so

if if the public doesn't like the result

apparently Jamie Rasin and Trump are on

the same page that you shouldn't accept

it this is the biggest news of the year

because it came from Jamie Rasin and it

just completely it completely um freees

Trump from all these allegations now

only if the Republican leaning press

knows how to handle it if they let this

go and like the day goes by and and

tomorrow goes by and nobody mentioned

that the whole January 6 narrative

completely fell apart

completely well then I'd be pretty

disappointed but this should be the end

of it this should be a resounding Trump

Victory after this we'll

see

um and uh this this is also something

uh that I was wondering about so the

Democrats were doing that saving

democracy message and one of the guests

on Bill Mah also was doing well you know

we should worry about the important

things like saving democracy to which I

thought at what

point was an average person worried

about losing democracy they're worried

about paying for gas and college and

stuff like that but that was never real

the whole saving democracy thing and

once you hear Jamie Raskin say that he

would not accept an election that looks

sketchy to

him we can throw away this whole

democracy is at risk too that's also

gone that's gone

because if you get to decide what

democracy looks like and it's just your

opinion well democracy is already gone

so I don't think it ever made sense that

democracy was at risk and I I don't

think the public bought that but some

percentage 25% probably B it um

compliments to Bill

Maher because he found uh he was annoyed

and he should have been that his team

was trying to turn that Liz Cheney thing

into saying that Trump wanted her to be

shot by a firing squad now that didn't

happen the context was he said she was a

Warhawk and you know she's sending

people to be have bull have guns pointed

at them but she wouldn't she wouldn't

love it if it happened to

her

um so of course it was all fake news so

Bill Mah to his credit called it down

unambiguously unambiguously as fake

news now I like that because you know

you could imagine that he could have

said something like well you

know in in the context of the other

things he said stuff like that one of

the other guests tried that and it just

sounded stupid but he was just

unambiguously saying stop stop just

lying about stuff it's not helping that

my own team is making such an obvious

lie now I I like

that uh he also mocked Comm Harris for

going to the black barber shop he had a

good joke about that but uh I'd like to

uh I'd like to return the favor

so Bill Mara thank you for standing up

for honesty even if your team is you

know uh hurt by it um but I heard a

story yesterday that I didn't believe so

I didn't look into it and then I did

look into it and then I found out oh

that's why I didn't believe it it was so

stupid that obviously it was fake so

there's a story that Tim Walls uh

insulted Elon Musk by calling him gay in

public first of all as Elon Musk is fast

to point out it's not an insult to be

called Gay it's 2024

people it's just not an insult

it's must got exactly the right answer

it's like that's not an insult that

would be a statement of something that's

either true or true or false that that's

all it

is um and that's the good news it's the

good news that in 2024 smart people can

say that's not an insult

um but then I listened to what wal said

and what he said was uh he meant to say

guy but he slurred it and said gay and

then when he realized it came in as gay

instead of guy he joked and said

Michigan knows what that word means and

then Republicans took Michigan knows

what that word means to suggest that he

was suggesting uh that it was an insult

to be called

Gay nobody in the world believes that

Tim wal thinks it's an insult to be

called Gay can we be a little bit

realistic no he did not say that

Michigan thinks that being gay is bad

it's the opposite Michigan knows what

that word means means that people in

Michigan are completely okay with gay

they know what it means it's it's just

nothing there's nothing to it he laughed

it off this is not a real thing he did

not call anybody gay and he definitely

didn't think there was anything wrong

with being gay that didn't happen so I

do this in the spirit of Bill Mah was

willing to say his team was lying um I

think this is Republicans just

lying uh let's

see uh and even Jake Tapper breit bar

news is reporting this Jake Tapper fact

checked Harris for some of her lies

which you would think oh that's that's a

good sign for CNN but I'm going to tell

you it's not in a moment but here's what

uh he said he said they had two tiny

little fact

checks uh because Harris said uh did

quote did everyone hear that uh Trump

said yesterday that he will do what he

wants quote and here's what I'm going to

quote do whether the women like it or

not so so Harris is saying he's going to

do things to women whether they like it

or

not uh and then she says must vote this

is the thing you know there's a saying

that you have to listen to people when

they tell you who they are and this is

not the first time he has told us who he

is he does not believe women should have

the agency and authority to make

decisions about their own

bodies so even Jake Tapper couldn't take

that goes two tiny little fact checks

first of all she keeps referring to the

Trump proposal on tariffs as a sales tax

it's not a sales tax uh you can dispute

tariffs but not not whether it's a sales

tax

and the second thing is when Trump said

he was going to do something for women

whether they like it or not um he was

talking about protecting

women and certainly you can take issue

with language but he wasn't saying he

was just going to do whatever he wanted

regardless he was he was going to

protect them now you would say to

yourself hey that's a good sign that's

CNN doing a a real fact check on KL

Harris is

it I'm going to go the opposite

direction

I think this is CNN protecting himself

so they can say hey we did a fact check

but what they don't do is the real ones

so they don't do January 6 was not a

real Insurrection they don't do the fine

people hoax was a hoax they don't do the

drinking bleach that was a hoax they

don't do the other 20 hoaxes no they'll

they'll fact check these little ones

that you knew were not true because you

knew they were not true but if you can't

tell if it's true well they're going to

sell it to you as true if it's good for

them so don't take this as good news

take this as covering their ass in case

somebody says but you've never fact

checked the other side but yeah we did

we said that tariffs are not a sales tax

you knew that we all knew

it all

right CNN is uh pointing out that Trump

is seeming to do a better job getting

both um Muslim Americans and Jewish

Americans to vote for him which is a

hell of a

thing uh I think it was Joel poock was

pointing out in Breitbart that Trump's

done the impossible politically which

he's got American Muslim and American

Jews on his side at the same time and I

I've been watching that happen and I the

more I look at it I think I what am I

even saying like what am I watching like

how is that even possible and and then I

I started to understand how it's

possible it's because of his

messaging when when when Trump talks

about war he says I don't want people to

die that's so powerful it sounds like

he's avoiding the question doesn't it

like you want him to take sides and what

are you going to do and he starts with I

don't want people to

die you can't do better than

that that has to be your starting point

because that if you say later well you

know I want to cease fire if that's what

he wants later well then that's all

compatible no matter what happens after

that he's compatible as long as he stays

with I want fewer people to

die and but Harris tries to take both

sides like if she's talking to one group

it might sound pro-jewish if she's

talking to the other it might sound a

little less pro-jewish so then both

sides can take something she said and

make her look bad to the other side side

but Trump says things that are hard to

disagree

with that he says it wouldn't happened

if I'd been

president and you think well I don't

know maybe it would have but okay see

it's not taking sides he's just saying

it wouldn't have happened and I don't

want anybody to die and of course you

know October 7th was terrible everybody

could say that so Trump is very very

cleverly finding there is no middle

ground and he somehow found a high

ground I guess that's the way to say it

there is no middle ground so instead he

found The High Ground The High Ground is

I don't want anybody to die and that's

consistent with everything else he says

right he doesn't want abortion in later

months because he doesn't want anybody

to die he doesn't want uh open

borders because he doesn't want anybody

to die he's in favor

of um

he's in favor of

IVF because he wants more people to live

he's very consistent on life you have to

give him that you you can say he's a

bullshitter I agree you can say he

doesn't pass the factchecking I agree

but he is consistent as hell about Laing

life over

death and you got to like that you got

to like

that uh according to Nina janowitz whose

name you already might remember some

would call her I think Molly Hemingway

called her a censorship activist

practitioner sort of a Democrat who has

worked in those areas where they're

trying to tell social media to uh change

their messaging if they don't like it

and uh she says that 2020 was different

because number one now platforms aren't

creating some friction for the spread of

misinformation so in other words there's

more free speech now she would say

there's no there's not enough friction

on the spread of

misinformation but that allows her to

determine what is

misinformation that's that's no way no

she says also there's less frequent and

robust coordination between federal

government and Platforms in other words

there's less

censorship so Nina janowitz is worrying

that the election might be influenced by

Free

Speech Free Speech does bring with it

misinformation but do you know what

brings more

misinformation lack of free

speech this is amazing I'm seeing a I'm

seeing an actual uh post this is in the

comments this is from um 2017

and Elon Musk posts I love Twitter so

it's

2017 and uh somebody named Dave Smith

not it's not comic Dave Smith it's just

somebody named Dave Smith says you

should buy it then remember this is this

is

2017 you should buy it then and Elon

Musk replies to him how much is

it in 2017 he was thinking about buying

it that is

interesting all

right um there is a uh there's a thought

that the Amish might be deciding the

deciding demographic for Trump because

they they seem to be a little more Pro

Trump and one of the reasons is there uh

I didn't know this but the Amish

traditionally are a farming Community

but the people who own the Farms already

own all the land so so the the the Young

Generation can't also be

Farmers because there's not not enough

land where they're also

Amish so a lot of them just started

businesses and uh they tend to be

Republican likee in their in their you

know free market kind of uh thinking and

uh I want to read to you what Scott

presler said recently during a trump

rally when he was speaking to the Amish

and this gets back to your the earlier

point I made about can experts know what

is a good persuasive message compared to

just an average person and this uh I

would say that uh Scott presler is

definitely not an average person uh he

he's I would put him in the expert

category in politics at this point but

do you think that he nailed this

persuasion right I read it to you tell

me if you feel it that that's the key

tell me if you feel it now you're not

Amish so this is not meant for you but

but see if you could judge whether you

would just feel

it quote to our beautiful Amish in

Lancaster in Pennsylvania and across the

state we will protect your raw milk your

Dairy your farming your school choice

your religious freedom your ability to

have 10 beautiful children per

family

wow wow It's Kind of

Perfect now do you feel

it you can feel that right if if you

tell me that Scott presler is unable to

do persuasion and persuasive messages

better than the average person and

better than the average professional I

would say you're clearly

wrong this this is good

work yeah that hits everything I don't

know I think it's because because I had

a lot I have a lot of farm experience so

it used to be my job at my uncle's farm

that was walking distance from my house

uh I would walk there or ride my bike

and clean the bulk tank now the bulk

tank buk was a giant um metal holding

tank for the milk that came from the

cows that same day now it would only be

in the tank for I half a day until a big

truck would come and suck it out and

take it away and so has to clean it and

sterilize it so and then my family would

drink raw milk from the farm because my

mother insulted the milk company and

they wouldn't they wouldn't wouldn't

deliver to our house anymore so we had

to get our milk from my uncle but it was

you know it was walking distance so it

wasn't a big deal um so raw milk is sort

of in my blood so to speak you know what

I mean farming sort of in my blood I

spent a lot of time on a farm

and when I hear these things they just

completely hit me we're going to protect

your raw

milk that like goes so

deep it's just it's just

beautiful anyway the hill is talking

about uh uh here's a headline that I

didn't read the story former president

Trump's vows for Revenge fa few

limitations in second

term I chose not to read the story that

that headline is attached to

let me read it

again former president Trump's vows for

Revenge face few limitations in second

term his vows for

Revenge when did that

happen can you show me the quote where

he vowed

Revenge do you think he ever used that

word I don't think so no no I don't

think so I think he said that there are

enemies

within and that if they committed crimes

you know the legal system should deal

with

them but nobody's Above the Law so I'm

going to say that's just a propaganda

story and uh I would say that any

president who wanted to get revenge

would find that there are not many

limitations didn't Obama use the IRS to

get at his

enemies you know didn't Obama drone an

American

once the American president can get a

lot of Revenge so yeah I mean obviously

anybody can

but we do not we do not approve of trump

getting revenge we only approve of the

law being

followed uh Washington State Governor

Jay Insley is activating the National

Guard unless there in case there's

trouble after the

election but it turns out according to

Reuters that Democrats are preparing

phase one of the cheat now this is me

speaking speculatively and allegedly and

hypothetically I am not aware of any

factual uh basis for what I'm about to

say I'm just saying that it looks

exactly like what you would do if you

were planning to rig an

election that doesn't mean they're going

to I'm going to I'm going to tell you

what I'm talking about and you tell me

does this sound exactly like Democrats

expect to lose the

vote but they have a plan for winning

the presidency

all right I'll just tell you what the

story is so according to Reuters uh

Democrats are reading a rapid fire

response to flood social media and the

airwaves with calls for common patience

with vote counting should Trump uh try

to prematurely claim election Victory as

he did in

2020 so let's say Trump is winning in

the

landslide and it's 10:00 at night

and um he reasonably believes that

unless there's cheating he's going to

win and he declares

Victory You could argue he shouldn't do

that until the election is done but in

politics that's a thing that happens you

know it's not that unusual if you really

think you're going to win you claim

victory but you probably doesn't want to

do that if there's anybody still voting

so you'd have to make sure all voting is

done before you do any claim claiming a

victory but to me it sounds like what

they just announced is a propaganda and

stalling operation until they have time

to complete the cheat in other words

they need to make sure that the media

does not embrace the thought that Trump

won because they're going to plan to

change their minds by altering the vote

afterwards again I have no evidence of

that this is not a factual conversation

this is based on exactly what it looks

like what it looks like is they're

telling us very clearly that they're

going to confuse the the public medium

of conversation to make it look like

Trump did not win and again the the the

hypothetical is we don't know if he W or

not in the hypothetical but in the

hypothetical he claims Victory so they

have a

plan to make sure that they can stall

that situation long enough that they've

completed counting the vote now if that

doesn't sound like a plan to

cheat you're not as suspicious as I

am because that's exactly what you would

do if you plan to lose but cheat after

the after the numbers come in so you

know how much to cheat by so we do not

have any factual there is there's no

factual uh evidence of a plan to

cheap there is however F factual

evidence of a plan that would be 100%

compatible with

cheating doesn't mean that's the reason

it's just coincidentally 100% compatible

and I've never seen anything like it so

seems like it's something you need every

year but this year they seem to think

they need

it anyway um in other news the United

States is deploying uh B 52 bombers and

fighter jets and refueling

aircraft um and Navy destroyers to the

Middle

East so let's see where are we um Iran

missil Israel a while ago and then

Israel attacked back and now I think

Iran is saying they might attack back

for the attack back I'm getting lost in

who's going first and who's going last

but uh as I've SE said a number of times

and this is not a prediction it's just a

statement of the

obvious Americans are really really

distracted this month this week but this

month you all agree with that right no

matter what happens the election is

absorbing everybody who has any any kind

of geopolitical Interest whatsoever

we're all just totally absorbed by it we

don't even care about the the the we

don't even care about the government

recovering uh

UFOs couldn't care less just tell us

about this

selection well when we're this

distracted and uh Israel's in exactly

the situation they

are if they were ever planning to do a

decapitation strike on

Iran it's going to be like in a

week now if I were the supreme leader I

would do some little extra hiding like

if you've got a really a good bunker I'd

be using the good

one because uh while I don't think it's

necessarily a good idea to take out the

leader of Iran because you don't know

what would happen it would be a very

unstable

situation uh I also don't know that it's

a bad

idea so I guess I'm I'm just an observer

I I don't prefer it I don't unpr prefer

it I don't condemn it I don't praise it

I'm just

watching and

I've never seen a situation where this

many variables came together so

obviously coincidentally at the same

time it's just the perfect

time because America just we just don't

have anybody strong enough to deal with

it we would just have to we would say

strong words about how we don't like it

Trump would say oh it wouldn't have

happened if I'd been president uh Biden

would say oh we we need to calm

down but nothing would happen I mean

it's not like somebody's going to take

funding away from Israel we would just

go on with our own little

problems so it's not a prediction and

it's not a preference that there's a

decapitation strike I'm just telling you

that if you're were going to predict the

future uh I wouldn't Overlook the fact

that there's never been and never will

be a time in the history of those two

countries for Israel to take a decisive

action so wouldn't be surprised now

remember there are a 100 variables that

I would not be aware

of so you know Israel has a much better

idea if that's a good idea or a bad idea

they have a much better idea if they

could get away with it they have a much

better idea what the public in Iran

would do they have a much better idea if

they could defend themselves from a

Counterattack so I don't know you know

90% of what I would need to know to know

if it's a go I'm just saying that from

purely the political standpoint you're

never going to get a better shot than

that so uh and I'm not I'm not anxious

to have that happen because that would

be real destabilizing for the world and

uh I'm not looking forward to

that but it might but it might that

ladies and gentlemen are the prepared

remarks that I had for today if you

don't remember the Dilbert calendar

which you see over my shoulder for 2025

is available for sale I think most of

you who have ordered it so far will see

it in November if you've already ordered

it because they did wait to print them

until they get a good Bunch but they

should all be there by Christmas as long

as you order it before December 1st if

you order it after December 1st probably

you'll still get it by Christmas but

sooner is better um and uh also my books

God's debris the complete works and the

new version version two of wind bigley

slightly updated it's not that different

from the original just a better edit and

uh reframe your brain which is changing

people's lives all over the place so you

got lots of holiday buying if you want

it all right I'm going to talk to the uh

locals people

privately um I do expect that on

Election Day I'll be live

streaming uh I don't have a specific

plan for that yet

but certainly during the prime time when

most of the votes are are in um I'll

certainly be live then so for sure I

will be live during the most critical

parts of the uh results coming in in the

evening all right coming at you locals

the rest of you on Rumble and YouTube

and X thanks for joining always

appreciate you I'll see you tomorrow

same time same

place

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