, it's that everything about this just smells wrong. Just everything about it. So I agree with Eric. I think that's the way it's going to go. But it's a hunch on my part, not based on any knowledge.

Well as you know Trump is planning to do the largest deportation ever. But Axios reports — and I was waiting for this to happen. I kind of suspected that sooner or later the news would start telling you the following thing. You're not going to get many illegal people. So Homan and Trump and everybody smart said the same thing. They said we're obviously going to focus all of our resources in getting rid of the criminals and we don't know how long that's going to take and there's so many of them. But it turns out if you put all your resources on it, yeah you might get a few. There just aren't many.

And Axios had a story here. I won't go through the details, you can read it yourself in Axios. But for example there are a whole bunch of people who are felons who have been convicted of horrible things like homicide and sexual assault but you can't deport any of them until they finish their jail sentences. So you've got 29,000 people who are the most hardened worst criminals and we have them in custody and they're not going to get deported because they're already in jail and jail is the place I guess the law says they got to be. And then there are a few other examples like that where there are people who are sort of here legally, etc.

So it's possible that Homan won't be able to find big busloads of people to send anywhere. So maybe what you're worried about, where you're seeing the military round up giant groups of people and keep them in detention centers until the military transport could get there and take them back, it's a terrible visual that you don't want to live in the country where you're seeing your military carrying anybody away like for anything. It's just a terrible look. I'm pro-deportation for the criminals especially, but it's a bad look. So I don't think we're going to have that look. I think there might be like an anecdotal here or there. You know there might be a bus full of people or a detention center that's there temporarily. But my current feeling is if we stop the new immigrants, you know the new illegal immigrants, if we stop that pretty well and I think Trump will do that, the gigantic migration immigration even if we try as hard as we can it's just hard. And I think it'll be half bus and it just won't be that much of a visual problem. That's my guess.

So my prediction is you'll see a few anecdotal reports. So there will be some reports of too much deportation but they'll be so limited and so just temporary that it's not really going to change the public view of things too much. That's what I think.

There is also the claim that immigrants do less crime than Americans and that's offered as the argument that you should not deport. So does that argument work with you? That the average immigrant — let's do two takes on this. All right, so here what we're going to do is just work through the thinking. So we're only talking about how to think about it. Should you say hey let's have more immigration because on average they lower our average crime rate? Does that make sense? Let's lower our average by having more immigration because apparently the more immigrants you have the lower your crime rate is because they have a lower crime rate. Do you buy that?

Let's say it's true just for a moment. Let's say they do have a lower crime rate. There are also 29,000 felons who are convicted of homicide or sexual assault. That's 29,000 people who would be alive if we didn't have illegal immigration. 29,000 people would be alive or not raped. Doesn't that feel like a lot? I mean I know it's a big country and the 29,000 would be over multiple years but doesn't your government and your citizens have the right to say I don't care that they have a better rate. I want them to kill zero people. If somebody comes into your house and slaughters your family and the police say whoa turns out that the odds of somebody coming in your house and slaughtering your family are way low so stop worrying about it. You'll be like but they slaughtered my family. I know but as a percentage of all the crime it's very low. But my family's dead. I think you need to be a little less racist about this. Yes they did get slaughtered by somebody but as a percentage it was very unlikely so if you could just get over it.

Yeah so I think that both things can be true. I did look a little bit at some of the studies and I would say that there is some good evidence that the recent immigrants are lower at crime. Now what they said was — I know what you're going to say, don't say it. I know what one of you is going to say because there's always at least one. Somebody here is going to say, Scott, the American crime rate is not like one average. Are they doing more or less crime than Black Americans, more or less than white Americans, more or less than Asian-Americans? Well I saw one study that said that they do less crime than white Americans do. You know they left out, as they always do, Asian-Americans. Do you know how often these stories just act like there are no Asian-Americans?

All right now let's ask the question again. I'm an Asian-American and you tell me that I'm bringing in immigrants but don't worry their crime rate is less than the white people. And as an Asian-American I say what? It's less than the white people? Is it less than Asian-Americans? No no it's more than Asian-Americans but it's less than the white people. How do you feel about that? So you're going to increase the rate of crime in my community? Yeah but it's still less than the white people.

I'm just amused that the Asian-Americans do such a good job of staying in a jail and making money and staying married and basically doing everything right just continuously and then get left out of the conversation because they do everything right. Anyway good job Asian-Americans.

But here was one of the hypotheses about why the immigrants are less likely to be involved in crime. And here comes the kill shot. Are you ready for this? This is not going to make you happy. I'm going to give you a reason and now this is just one person's speculation but it s